Pennsylvania poll: Clinton comes out on top in 2016 showdowns
March 14th, 2013
12:25 PM ET
2 years ago

Pennsylvania poll: Clinton comes out on top in 2016 showdowns

(CNN) – What if it turns out to be Hillary Clinton vs. Chris Christie in 2016?

It's a fascinating presidential showdown possibility.

And according to a new poll, Clinton would come out on top in such a hypothetical face-off in the battle for Pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes.

That's one of the findings from a survey released Thursday from Quinnipiac University, which asked Keystone voters about nine possible general election matchups in the next race for the White House.

According to the poll, the former first lady, Democratic senator from New York and secretary of state, edges out the Republican New Jersey governor 47%-42%. The survey also indicates Clinton would top Republican Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida 54%-36% and would beat Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, the House Budget Committee chairman and last year's GOP vice presidential nominee, 50%-38%.

While Clinton has consistently said she has no plans to run again for the White House, she hasn't categorically ruled out a bid.

"Former First Lady, Senator and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is keeping her future plans to herself, but if those plans include another run for the White House, she starts in a good position in Pennsylvania," says Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

If Vice President Joe Biden became the 2016 Democratic presidential nominee, the poll suggests it would be a different story.

Biden would trail Christie by 13 points and would be edged by three points by Ryan but would edge Rubio by four points. The single digit margins are within the survey's sampling error.

According to the poll, Christie would lead New York Democratic Gov. Andrew Cuomo by 21 points, with Cuomo slightly edging out Ryan and Rubio among Pennsylvania voters in hypothetical matchups.

Quinnipiac asked the same showdowns in a national survey earlier this month.

The last time a Republican carried Pennsylvania in a presidential election was 1988.

One caveat with such polling is that the next presidential election is still three and a half years away, and surveys this early in a campaign cycle are often heavily influenced by name recognition.

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted March 6-11, with 1,116 registered voters in Pennsylvania questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.

– CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2016 • Andrew Cuomo • Chris Christie • Hillary Clinton • Joe Biden • Pennsylvania • Polls
soundoff (17 Responses)
  1. Sniffit

    "surveys this early in a campaign cycle are often heavily influenced by name recognition."

    Uh oh, get ready for 3 more Christie articles per day from CNN.

    March 14, 2013 12:35 pm at 12:35 pm |
  2. Marie MD

    Not a big surprise but I am too tired frm 2012 to think of 2016 except when the news hounds bring it up the I turn off the TV or radio.

    March 14, 2013 12:41 pm at 12:41 pm |
  3. Moose

    Ben Ghazi and cheatin Willie, does anyone pay attention any more, what a joke

    March 14, 2013 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  4. Debbie

    I was a Republican for 35 years. Between GWB Iraq war and the nutcase TEA I left. The GOP has little (mostly nothing) to vote for. Their official platform says it all. And its not just who the GOP is courting for President but local elections that I'm not voting GOP. The party lost its way between GWB and TEA.

    March 14, 2013 01:05 pm at 1:05 pm |
  5. Wake up People!

    Please run Hillary!! And crush big em.

    March 14, 2013 01:05 pm at 1:05 pm |
  6. critical thinking

    I wonder how Joe Biden feels about this, you know the current Vice President of the United States.

    March 14, 2013 01:08 pm at 1:08 pm |
  7. king

    lesson folks we are in a global market now. So any candidate with that trickle down, give to wallstreet stuff to invest, will not work for maimstreet.

    March 14, 2013 01:08 pm at 1:08 pm |
  8. Terri

    “What difference, at this point, does it make?!”.......Hillary Clinton words regarding the murder of Americans in Benghazi. Proof that this woman couldn't care less that these Americans were murdered. That's enough to keep me from voting for this cold cold woman. If you don't care enough for murdered Americans than you don't care enough for America to get my vote.

    March 14, 2013 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  9. Rick McDaniel

    The Dem socialists will do everything they can to stay in power........no matter how disastrous things get.

    March 14, 2013 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  10. Al-NY,NY

    Moose

    Ben Ghazi and cheatin Willie, does anyone pay attention any more, what a joke
    -------------–

    Lebanon marine barracks and Watergate. Does anyone pay attention anymore? What a joke...Yeah I know it's two different POTUS but it shows your one-sided mindset. And for future reference, it's Benghazi

    March 14, 2013 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  11. Terri

    Wake up People!

    Please run Hillary!! And crush big em.
    ****************************************************************

    Well, of course she will. (eyes rolling)

    March 14, 2013 01:36 pm at 1:36 pm |
  12. muchthunder..little rain

    love her, but she needs a life style lift..her neck looks terrible...

    March 14, 2013 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  13. Chris

    Debbie

    I was a Republican for 35 years. Between GWB Iraq war and the nutcase TEA I left. The GOP has little (mostly nothing) to vote for. Their official platform says it all. And its not just who the GOP is courting for President but local elections that I'm not voting GOP. The party lost its way between GWB and TEA.
    ----------------------------------

    You were never a Republican and you know it. At least be honest when you post on these threads.

    March 14, 2013 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  14. Dean

    I just lost my appetite.................................What a horrible thought.

    March 14, 2013 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  15. lolo

    I guess the republicans want to put the moose killer up against Hillary. Please do so that I can get good laughs. No matter who runs against Hillary from the GOP/TP Klan they are toast. They are already hedging their bets for 2016.First they have to find someone with some good sense. How about concentrating on now and do your jobs. Quit obstructing and being hypocrits. @Rick McDaniel, no different than the GOP/TP crazies trying to stay in power.

    March 14, 2013 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  16. Dean

    king

    lesson folks we are in a global market now. So any candidate with that trickle down, give to wallstreet stuff to invest, will not work for maimstreet.
    Wonder how Obama got elected. He supports Wall Street more than he supports anyone.

    March 14, 2013 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  17. ST

    Am sick and tired with media people showing the picture of Hillary which she looks as a very, very old grandma. She doesn't look that way. I have seen her personally recently. Is this the way you are trying to bring her down? This is beyond my beliefs! Please, Stop it.

    March 14, 2013 01:53 pm at 1:53 pm |