CNN's GUT CHECK for March 26, 2013
March 26th, 2013
04:58 PM ET
1 year ago

CNN's GUT CHECK for March 26, 2013

CNN's GUT CHECK | for March 26, 2013 | 5 p.m.
- n. a pause to assess the state, progress or condition of the political news cycle

DEEPLY DIVIDED: As partisans argued outside the U.S. Supreme Court over same-sex marriage - either hoping for or dreading a landmark decision - justices inside seemed reluctant Tuesday to extend a sweeping constitutional right for gays and lesbian to wed in all 50 states. In the first of two days of hearings on cases that have the potential to fundamentally alter how American law treats marriage, Justice Anthony Kennedy - considered the likely deciding vote on the divided court - questioned whether justices should even be hearing the issue. – Bill Mears and Michael Pearson

KENNEDY’S CONTROL: If there was any doubt before, the Tuesday arguments showed this is Justice Anthony Kennedy's court, and he is likely to be the controlling or "swing" vote for however the court decides the tricky issues. Four more liberal justices appeared at least open to the idea that same-sex marriage should be allowed in California. Three more conservative justices seemed to take a more "traditional" view– that marriage is between one man and one woman. Justice Clarence Thomas, who does not speak at arguments seems likely to agree. That appears to leave the 76-year-old moderate conservative Kennedy in the middle, perhaps ready to offer a compromise view. – Bill Mears

ON THE RISE: Home prices continued their recovery, rising 8.1% in January, although a separate report showed a slight slowdown in new-home sales. “This marks the highest increase since the housing bubble burst,” said David Blitzer, chairman of the index committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices. – Chris Isidore

MARKET WATCH: Dow sets closing record of 14,559, adding 111 points. NASDAQ gains 0.5%, S&P rises 0.8%.

TRAIL TRIVIA
(Answer below)
On this day in 2000, President Bill Clinton met with Syrian President Hafez al-Assad, the father of the current and embattled Syrian leader, Bashar al-Assad. Why did they meet?

MARK (@PrestonCNN) & DAN (@DanMericaCNN)
What caught our eye today in politics

With each passing election, Southern Democrats are becoming a thing of the past.

The last Democrat to win a majority of the South was Georgia’s Jimmy Carter in 1976. There are only four southern Democrats in the Senate: Mary Landrieu of Louisiana, Mark Pryor of Arkansas, Ben Nelson of Florida and Kay Hagan of North Carolina. And eight of the 10 southern states have Republican governors.

That makes Arkansas Democratic Gov. Mike Beebe a rare breed – and possibly a model for the future.

Beebe differs markedly with the national Democratic Party. In the past six years, he vetoed abortion bans, trimmed the state budget and he has reiterated his opposition to same-sex marriage. Beebe has also expanded education funding, advocated getting Medicaid expanded in his state and has said he would vote for a tax increase, as long as the money goes to increasing the transportation budget.

On Monday, Beebe vetoed a bill that would have required residents to produce identification to be able to cast a ballot. Beebe said he vetoed the bill because of its cost, writing that the $300,000 price tag made it an “unnecessary measure that would negatively impact one of our most precious rights as citizens.”

Both chambers of Arkansas legislature passed the voter ID bill and could override the governor's veto with simple majority votes in both the House and Senate.

In nearly eight years as governor, Beebe has picked his spots to side with both political parties. That moderation got him reelected by a 31-point margin in 2010 and landed him among the most popular governors in the nation. In a 2012 poll, almost 65% of people in his state approved of his leadership.

Beebe is term-limited in 2014 and since all of the Arkansas congressional seats went red in the 2012 election - the first time in the state's history - it is widely expected that the governor’s mansion will follow suit and fall to the GOP in 2014.

If Beebe lived in a reliably Democratic state, his legacy would likely be his legislative accomplishments. As a dying breed in the South, though, it is more likely that his legacy will be the model he sets for future southern Democrats.

Correction: An earlier update of this story said Gov. Mike Beebe had approved restrictive abortion laws. That is incorrect and we regret the mistake.

SOCIAL WATCH: Scroll through your Facebook newsfeed today and there is a good chance you will be seeing red.

A simple red equal sign, a variation of the Human Rights Campaign’s traditionally blue and yellow logo, has dominated social media. In total, according to Fred Saiz, vice president of communication for the gay-rights organization, the image has been seen by 10 million people on Facebook alone.

As nine justices pondered the future of same-sex marriage in the United States, millions have taken to Facebook and Twitter to litigate the issue. The top ten terms trending on Facebook all related to same-sex marriage, while terms like "SCOTUS" and "Prop8" were trending nationally on Twitter. – Eric Weisbrod

the LEDE
Did you miss it?

Leading CNNPolitics: No Full Monty for Prince Harry and Chris Christie
His last visit to the United States ended with a nude romp around a hotel room. But Britain's Prince Harry won't be disrobing during his upcoming tour of New Jersey if the state's governor has any say in it. “He wants to come and see the destruction himself, firsthand,” Christie said in a radio interview with New Jersey 101.5. “He wants to be helpful. And I am going to be spending the entire day with Prince Harry. And believe me, nobody's going to get naked if I'm spending the entire day with Prince Harry.” – Kevin Liptak

Leading Drudge: A Vacation A Month
In the first three months of the year, members of the first family have been on three vacations, averaging a vacation a month. And now it's being reported that the first daughters are on a spring break vacation in the Bahamas. – Daniel Halper

Leading HuffPo: All Eyes On 8
Justice Anthony Kennedy on Tuesday called the prospect of same-sex marriage “unchartered waters” during oral arguments before the U.S. Supreme Court on Proposition 8, California’s gay marriage ban. There’s either a “wonderful destination or a cliff in it,” Kennedy said. – Mike Sacks and Ryan J. Reilly

Leading Politico: Can gay marriage survive SCOTUS loss?
Under the worst-case scenario for gay rights groups, the court could uphold both California’s Proposition 8 and the federal law Defense of Marriage Act — extending no new rights to gay couples looking to marry or take advantage of federal benefits extended to opposite-sex couples. But gay rights activists say this wouldn’t have the impact of Plessy v. Ferguson — the 1896 decision that left “separate but equal” the law of the land until Brown v. Board of Education six decades later. – Josh Gerstein

Leading The New York Times: Justices Hint at Fears of Acting Too Quickly on Gay Marriage
As the Supreme Court began hearing arguments on Tuesday in a challenge to California’s same-sex marriage ban, some justices wondered aloud if the court had moved too fast in taking on the case. – Adam Liptak and Scott Shane

TRAIL MOMENTS
The political bites of the day

– After arguments, lawyers discuss case on the steps of the court –
THEODORE OLSON, THE ATTORNEY ARGUING AGAINST PROPOSITION 8: “It is so valuable to so many of our citizens to be treated equally and with dignity, and as David said, it's one of the major - maybe the major - final civil rights battle that we're fighting in this country. And it is so important to our values as Americans that it be decided in the right way.”
CHARLES COOPER, THE ATTORNEY ARGUING FOR PROPOSITION 8: “The parties and their lawyers have now litigated this case for almost four years, and finally to this point, the case as you have seen was presented to the court, the court asked some penetrating, measured questions of both sides, and now it's in the hands of the court. So we're looking forward to hopefully a prompt response. As I said, this is a difficult, controversial issue.”

– Obama being kept apprised of SCOTUS arguments –
PRESS SECRETARY JAY CARNEY AT THE WHITE HOUSE PRESS BRIEFING: “Senior adviser Valerie Jarrett was there. White House Counsel Kathy Ruemmler, as well as an associate counsel, Kathleen Hartnett, were in attendance. The president has been updated on the arguments.”

Priebus: No ‘Old Testament heretics’ from GOP on same-sex marriage
REPUBLICAN NATIONAL COMMITTEE CHAIRMAN REINCE PRIEBUS IN AN INTERVIEW WITH USA TODAY’S SUSAN PAGE: “My position is that marriage is between a man and a woman, but my other position is also that you treat people with dignity and respect and love and grace and so I think that they’re all compatible with each other. I don’t believe we need to act like, you know, Old Testament heretics either.”

– Paul, Lee and Cruz threaten filibuster for gun legislation –
REPUBLICAN SENS. RAND PAUL, MIKE LEE AND TED CRUZ IN A LETTER TO SENATE MAJORITY LEADER HARRY REID: “We, the undersigned, intend to oppose any legislation that would infringe on the American people’s constitutional right to bear arms, or on their ability to exercise this right without being subjected to government surveillance. … We will oppose the motion to proceed to any legislation that will serve as a vehicle for any additional gun restrictions.”

– Wreck it Ralph is expensive –
CONAN O’BRIEN ON HIS LATE NIGHT COMEDY SHOW: “Joe Biden in some hot water. You have heard about Joe Biden’s mini scandal? It's come out that during Joe Biden’s recent night in Paris, he ran up a hotel bill - Paris, he ran up a hotel bill of $585,000. Yeah. Apparently Biden tried to order "Wreck it Ralph" over 1,000 times.”

TOP TWEETS
What stopped us in 140 characters or less

TRIVIA ANSWER from @DanMericaCNN

In an effort to rekindle peace talks between Syria and Israel, Clinton and al-Assad met in Geneva on March 26, 2000.

Clinton was accompanied by Secretary of State Madeleine Albright as well as peace mediator in the Middle East Dennis Ross and National Security Adviser Sandy Berger. Al-Assad was joined by Foreign Minister Farouk Ashira as well as a team of Syrian security and technical experts.

The meetings came near the end of the Clinton presidency and were widely considered a failure because no peace was reached between the bitterly divided countries.

Thirteen years later, Syria is embroiled in a deadly civil war and the United States has called for Bashar al-Assad to leave the country.

GUT CHECK WINNER’S CIRCLE
(why aren’t you in it)

Congrats to Sean Evins (@Evins) for correctly answering today’s Gut Check Trivia question. Nice job.

GOT NEWS?
Tips or comments? Our inbox awaits: gutcheck@cnn.com
Anyone can sign up for Gut Check by emailing gutcheck@cnn.com

WANT TO SIGN UP?
Do you have a friend who wants to sign up for GUT CHECK or our new CNNPolitics Breaking News Alerts? Click here, log on and scroll down.


Filed under: CNN's Gut Check
soundoff (8 Responses)
  1. Sniffit

    "merit based??? highly doubful. pandering??? highly likely."

    Pierson has been a secret agent for 30 years, was in charge of protection operations for almost a decade and was chief of staff to the head of the Secret Serrvice for 5 years and the best you can come up with is to blow the GOP/Teatrolls' affirmative action dog whistle? And you wonder why the GOP/Teatrolls are looking into the black, hungry maw of oblivion? Given her background, I challenge you to come up with someone who's actually MORE qualified than her. And no, qualifications do not include the presence of a dangledown betwixt the legs.

    March 26, 2013 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  2. Sniffit

    "Could Congress legalize gay marriage nationwide? 14th Amdt gives Congress power to enforce "by appropriate legislation.""

    Most of the Amendments do, which is what made Justice Soprano's quip that he thinks the Voting Rights Act is not something that "should be left to Congress" so mind-boggling, particularly in light of his insistence that he pays so much attention to the text. Of course, over the parst 4 years, we've pretty much watched him throw up his hands and declare "I've had enough...no more pretense" anyway. I mean, he even had the total lack of respect today to refer to Kagan's confirmation in open court. He seems to be hellbent on testing what "good behavior" means and whether we can muster the will to impeach him. So I say to Justice Soprano: PLEASE PROCEED.

    March 26, 2013 05:11 pm at 5:11 pm |
  3. Sniffit

    Time to start proposing legislation limiting marriage to people who can prove their reproductive capabilities and legislation that attempts to limit the number of babies people can have, etc. etc. The GOP/Teatrolls want their fascist utopia: let's give it to them.

    March 26, 2013 05:13 pm at 5:13 pm |
  4. Tommy G

    Sniffit
    Time to start proposing legislation limiting marriage to people who can prove their reproductive capabilities and legislation that attempts to limit the number of babies people can have, etc. etc. The GOP/Teatrolls want their fascist utopia: let's give it to them.
    ============
    Well if I'm going to have to pay to feed, cloth, educate and raise the 10 kids from 10 different fathers, all of them gone, then shouldn't I have a say in matters? Or are we all supposed to just shut up and let the government steal all of our money to support this type of behavior? Meanwhile, MY kids do without or do with less because of this government funded irresponsibility.

    March 26, 2013 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |
  5. Sniffit

    "Well if I'm going to have to pay to feed, cloth, educate and raise the 10 kids from 10 different fathers, all of them gone, then shouldn't I have a say in matters? Or are we all supposed to just shut up and let the government steal all of our money to support this type of behavior? Meanwhile, MY kids do without or do with less because of this government funded irresponsibility."

    You guys really just don't know when not to say what you're thinking, do you? BTW, you forgot to add something about Obamaphones, Cadillacs, Oprah and/or buying Little Debbie snacks with food stamps. Come on!!! You can do better!!!!

    March 26, 2013 05:50 pm at 5:50 pm |
  6. Sniffit

    "So I watched that IRS video. I am appalled at the utter waste of US tax dollars."

    Shatner: Outraged over $60K in IRS "waste" while getting millions in personal and corporate tax breaks/loopholes/preferential treatment.

    I've met Clingons with more integrity.

    March 26, 2013 06:24 pm at 6:24 pm |
  7. Ed1

    When two people of the same sex can make a baby together that's what should determine marriage.

    I don't think two men or two women having sex can make a baby enough said.

    You want civil unions with the same status of marriage that's fine but the gay people don't want that for some reason. They would have the same status as married people what's wrong with that.

    March 26, 2013 10:35 pm at 10:35 pm |
  8. Marie MD

    As soon as god is inserted in the law you lose!
    The bible says a lot of things than somebody wrote in the name of a phantom being.
    If you eat shellfish you go to he!! also!
    People have the right to love and marry whomever they want. If your "god" doesn't like it that's your business and you have no right to impose it on anyone else.

    March 27, 2013 06:51 am at 6:51 am |