2016 Poll: Hillary Clinton lapping potential Democratic field
April 30th, 2013
12:11 PM ET
1 year ago

2016 Poll: Hillary Clinton lapping potential Democratic field

(CNN) - Do you need more evidence that Hillary Clinton, if she decides to run for the White House again, would be the overwhelming front-runner among Democrats for their party's 2016 presidential nomination?

If so, then a new national poll provides the proof.

The survey, released Tuesday from Fairleigh Dickinson University, indicates Clinton more than lapping the field of other possible Democratic White House hopefuls.

According to the poll, 63% of self-identified Democrats and those who lean towards the Democratic Party say they'd support Clinton as their presidential nominee. Twelve percent say they'd back Vice President Joe Biden, with 3% supporting New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo, 12% backing someone else and one in ten unsure.

The survey is in-line with just about every other poll conducted the over past five months on the battle for the Democratic nomination, from a WMUR/Granite State survey of New Hampshire Democrats that came out over the weekend to our own CNN/ORC national poll from last December.

It should be noted that polls conducted this early in a presidential cycle are heavily influenced by name recognition. And Clinton, the former first lady, senator from New York State, 2008 Democratic presidential candidate and former secretary of state, has plenty of name recognition.

Even though the next race for the White House is a long way away, there's already intense speculation over whether Clinton will make a second bid for president.

When asked just before she stepped down as secretary of state whether she was thinking of making another run for the White House, Clinton said "I am not thinking about anything like that right now."

And in an interview with CNN later that day, when asked if she's decided against another candidacy for president, Clinton responded that "I have absolutely no plans to run."

But she added that "I am lucky because I've been very healthy. I feel great. I've got enormous amounts of energy that have to be harnessed and focused, so I'm very fortunate. I'm looking forward to this next chapter in my life, whatever it is."

While the race for the Democratic nomination is basically frozen until Clinton makes a decision, the hunt for the Republican nomination remains wide open. The new poll, as with past surveys, indicates that there's no front runner on the GOP side.

Eighteen percent of self-identified Republicans or those who lean towards the GOP say they support Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, with 16% backing former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and 14% supporting New Jersey Gov. Christie. Nine percent back former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, a 2012 GOP presidential candidate who battled eventual nominee Mitt Romney deep into the primary calendar, with 21% preferring someone else and one in five unsure.

"Republican uncertainty mirrors the identity crisis the party is facing as it redefines its message in the aftermath of the 2012 presidential loss. Republican voters seem to be saying they remain on the lookout for their party's Mr. or Mrs. Right," says Krista Jenkins, professor of political science and director of FDU's PublicMind.

The Fairleigh Dickinson poll was conducted April 22-28, with 863 registered voters nationwide questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.


Filed under: 2016 • Hillary Clinton
soundoff (55 Responses)
  1. Homer Simpson

    Its laughable, crying about benghazi, while ignoring 4500+ dead for profits, your so right, america will not forget when our people are snt to die, precisely why no republican will see the oval office for decades, its your own damn fault too, retards

    April 30, 2013 03:07 pm at 3:07 pm |
  2. Rudy NYC

    Peoples State of Illinois wrote::

    If the American people are uninformed/brainless enough to elect her, then they deserve the continuing disaster that will occur. That being said, most of the republicans are not much better, though the disaster will be a bit slower in coming.
    ---------------
    The Republican disaster has already occurred, back 2008.
    We're tyring to make sure that they don't lay another rotten egg on The People.

    April 30, 2013 03:07 pm at 3:07 pm |
  3. Lynda/Minnesota

    Apparently the nomination is Hillary's if she wants it. Whether or not I vote for her depends on who the GOP nominates. So far, it looks as if I won't have much choice BUT to vote for her.

    To date, there is absolutely NO ONE on the right I could ever support as President.

    Great job nominating the clowns, GOPers.

    April 30, 2013 03:13 pm at 3:13 pm |
  4. Guy

    Before she starts picking out new curtains for the Oval Office there still needs to be many questions answered about the Bengahzi cover up.

    April 30, 2013 03:22 pm at 3:22 pm |
  5. WouldYouLookAtThat

    Rudy NYC wrote:
    The Republican disaster has already occurred, back 2008.
    We're tyring to make sure that they don't lay another rotten egg on The People.
    ----
    The People in IL have experienced the disasters of a state controlled by dem's. It's not pretty. It's not desirable by anyone.

    April 30, 2013 03:23 pm at 3:23 pm |
  6. marsh cohen

    I'd definitely vote for Hilary given the chance.Her alleged mistake and accountability issue regarding Benghazi is nothing but a goose egg come election season. One little blip like that, not that it doesnt' matter, wont overshadow the woman's capability in handling herself effectively and championing groundbreaking policies.

    April 30, 2013 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  7. Peoples State of Illinois

    The reason this country continues its drift toward socialism and big nanny government is because too many people vote in the expectation of getting something for nothing, not because they have a concern for what is good for the country. A better educated electorate might change the reason many persons vote.

    April 30, 2013 03:28 pm at 3:28 pm |
  8. Peoples State of Illinois

    Rudy NYC

    Peoples State of Illinois wrote::

    If the American people are uninformed/brainless enough to elect her, then they deserve the continuing disaster that will occur. That being said, most of the republicans are not much better, though the disaster will be a bit slower in coming.
    -----
    The Republican disaster has already occurred, back 2008.
    We're tyring to make sure that they don't lay another rotten egg on The People.
    -------------------
    The disaster in 2008 was a democrat caused one. You have already been proven to have no credibility. Buzz off fly speck..

    April 30, 2013 03:31 pm at 3:31 pm |
  9. DirtyHeat

    Rudy NYC – If you think 2008 was a disaster, wait until we have to try and figure out how to pay for Obamacare. Wait until everyones premuim rises. Wait until doctors put strict limits on the # of patients they see. That will be great for an already fragile economy.

    April 30, 2013 03:34 pm at 3:34 pm |
  10. Tony

    @hiram davis
    You are calling liberals low information voters, but you rethugliclowns put george bush in the white house,look what he has done to this country i say no more, other than the most low information voters in this country are right wingers some of you probably cannot tell me the meaning of right winger, and socialist.

    April 30, 2013 03:40 pm at 3:40 pm |
  11. Peoples State of Illinois

    Instead of helping America, our immigration policies are designed to help other countries solve their internal problems by shipping their losers to us. The problem isn't just illegal immigration. During the three years from 2010 through 2012, immigrants have committed about a dozen mass murders in this country, not including the 9/11 attack. The mass murderers were from Afghanistan, South Korea, Vietnam, Haiti, South Africa, Ethiopia and Mexico. None were from Canada or Western Europe.Meanwhile, our government officials just keep singing the praises of 'diversity,' while expressly excluding skilled immigrants who might be less inclined to become 'disaffected' and lash out by killing Americans. In response to the shooting at Fort Hood, Army Chief of Staff Gen. George W. Casey Jr. said: 'As horrific as this tragedy was, if our diversity becomes a casualty, I think that's worse.' On 'Fox News Sunday' this week, former CIA director Gen. Michael Hayden said of the Boston bombing suspects, 'We welcome these kinds of folks coming to the United States who want to be contributing American citizens.' Unless, that is, they have a college degree and bright prospects. Those immigrants are prohibited.

    April 30, 2013 03:42 pm at 3:42 pm |
  12. Homer Simpson

    She can pick out drapes if she wants, done deal, republicans are to busy convincing themselves the whole country is stupid enough to believe a word they say. until they rig the game better, which they are trying, you will continue to lose more power, the only thing you deserve, shameful display of special interest loyalty

    April 30, 2013 03:43 pm at 3:43 pm |
  13. Just a thought

    You GOP Tea-Tards are hilarious....".Take over of America by the Dem Socialist – (HA HA HA – Laugh Laugh Hardy har har). or "This country can't handle another lying dem librul socialist president" (Ha HA HA – a real side spliter). or the today's winner from the top wiener "She won't win. One word SOCIALIST" You silly foolish GOP Tea Tards don't you know that the "SOCIALIST" word has never scared americans? You ever heard of "Social Security".???...Ever heard of "Medicare"????.....the epitome of "Socialism"...And I'd bet none of you "mouthbreathing / knuckle draggers would want to give up your benefits under those programs – LOL

    April 30, 2013 03:54 pm at 3:54 pm |
  14. Homer Simpson

    Repubs cant hold a candlestick to this woman, gop is so blinded by hate, they cant see straight, thats ok, we will let them know How they are doing next year, bye losers, the more you try to rig the game, the more they need to. the information age is their biggest foe, try as they will to tell you they are for the poor, working, and minorities, trying to cut ss, medicade, then on a smaller scale, meals n wheels, summer lunch programs, the list goes on and on

    April 30, 2013 03:54 pm at 3:54 pm |
  15. Lynda/Minnesota

    "And I'd bet none of you "mouthbreathing / knuckle draggers would want to give up your benefits under those programs..."

    You are correct. They want to keep it all to themselves and everyone else be damned.

    April 30, 2013 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  16. The Real Tom Paine

    -Peoples State of Illinois

    Rudy NYC

    Peoples State of Illinois wrote::

    If the American people are uninformed/brainless enough to elect her, then they deserve the continuing disaster that will occur. That being said, most of the republicans are not much better, though the disaster will be a bit slower in coming.
    -–
    The Republican disaster has already occurred, back 2008.
    We're tyring to make sure that they don't lay another rotten egg on The People.
    -------
    The disaster in 2008 was a democrat caused one. You have already been proven to have no credibility. Buzz off fly speck..
    *******************************
    Geez, two years of slim Democratic majorities in the House and Senate caused the firm foundation the GOP had laid to just explode? Where was Bush with his veto power, stopping the Democrats? This myth that everything was just hunky-dory while Bush was Prez and that the GOP Congress was the only thing that made the 90s hum along is just another example of the reflexive GOP reaction to reality. 3 decades of de-regulation and the Republicans unwilling to enforce the rules that remained is what led to the collapse in 2008. Keep trying to dodge responsibility all you want, junior, but the fact remains that the GOP screwed the pooch. Keep mouthing the slogans though, if it helps you get through the day.

    April 30, 2013 04:08 pm at 4:08 pm |
  17. The Real Tom Paine

    -Peoples State of Illinois

    The reason this country continues its drift toward socialism and big nanny government is because too many people vote in the expectation of getting something for nothing, not because they have a concern for what is good for the country. A better educated electorate might change the reason many persons vote.
    *******************
    " A better educated electorate": translation, do whatever the knuckledragging Right tells you. As far as getting something for nothing, that about sums up the average GOP voter, who expects to get great schools, services, etc, and never has to pay for it: but boy, if they see anyone who is hurting getting any help, or a family with funny accents moves in down the street, all hell breaks loose.

    April 30, 2013 04:12 pm at 4:12 pm |
  18. Peoples State of Illinois

    @Just a thought

    You GOP Tea-Tards are hilarious....".Take over of America by the Dem Socialist – (HA HA HA – Laugh Laugh Hardy har har). or "This country can't handle another lying dem librul socialist president" (Ha HA HA – a real side spliter). or the today's winner from the top wiener "She won't win. One word SOCIALIST" You silly foolish GOP Tea Tards don't you know that the "SOCIALIST" word has never scared americans? You ever heard of "Social Security".???...Ever heard of "Medicare"????.....the epitome of "Socialism"...And I'd bet none of you "mouthbreathing / knuckle draggers would want to give up your benefits under those programs – LOL
    -------------------------
    Perfect example of an uneducated lefty. All of like mind ignore the fact that people pay into these two programs during their working lives, and thus, are supposed to receive the money they paid in back when they retire. The only "socialist" part is when money is taken from these two programs and given to people that did not pay into it, due to being to lazy to work (there are exceptions, i.e. disabled, permanently injured where they cannot work etc.) As for the rest, they are a waste of the oxygen they use.

    April 30, 2013 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  19. Peoples State of Illinois

    @The Real Tom Paine

    -Peoples State of Illinois

    The reason this country continues its drift toward socialism and big nanny government is because too many people vote in the expectation of getting something for nothing, not because they have a concern for what is good for the country. A better educated electorate might change the reason many persons vote.
    *******************
    " A better educated electorate": translation, do whatever the knuckledragging Right tells you. As far as getting something for nothing, that about sums up the average GOP voter, who expects to get great schools, services, etc, and never has to pay for it: but boy, if they see anyone who is hurting getting any help, or a family with funny accents moves in down the street, all hell breaks loose.
    --------------–
    Obviously another paidschill fly speck. I have been reading posts on here for a while and the schills are obvious by their love of assuming words are in peoples posts that aren't there. The schills can be safely ignored as irrelevant.

    April 30, 2013 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  20. Peoples State of Illinois

    @The Real Tom Paine

    -Peoples State of Illinois

    The reason this country continues its drift toward socialism and big nanny government is because too many people vote in the expectation of getting something for nothing, not because they have a concern for what is good for the country. A better educated electorate might change the reason many persons vote.
    *******************
    " A better educated electorate": translation, do whatever the knuckledragging Right tells you. As far as getting something for nothing, that about sums up the average GOP voter, who expects to get great schools, services, etc, and never has to pay for it: but boy, if they see anyone who is hurting getting any help, or a family with funny accents moves in down the street, all hell breaks loose.
    -------------------
    By the way, I'm not that fond of the "right" either. More assumptions by the schill.

    April 30, 2013 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  21. Christopher

    Hillary 2016. The GOP will continue to flounder. The truths about the non-support from the GOP will eventually come out more and more. Although it's obvious today, and reported on. A factual list will surface that can not be denied, even by Fox. As the GOP try to recreate the Bush legacy, Hillary will be building a stronger team for 2016 built on the truth.

    April 30, 2013 04:37 pm at 4:37 pm |
  22. GonzoinHouston

    That awful odor you're smelling is the result of millions of right-wingers loading their drawers at the thought of "President Hillary Clinton". They are terrified of her. Deep down, what they are most afraid of is that she might become a successful, two-term president. It's a long way to the next election, but right now the right is losing sleep over her.

    "President Hillary Clinton". BWAAA-HAA-HAAAA!!!!!!

    April 30, 2013 04:38 pm at 4:38 pm |
  23. DirtyHeat

    @Homer Simpson

    She can pick out drapes if she wants, done deal, republicans are to busy convincing themselves the whole country is stupid enough to believe a word they say. until they rig the game better, which they are trying, you will continue to lose more power, the only thing you deserve, shameful display of special interest loyalty

    ______________________________________________________________________________________________

    Republicans rigging the game? What do you call it when the main goal of your party, is to get over 50% of the citizens on some sort of government assistance program, making them dependent on your assistance in exchange for votes?

    That is rigging the game if I have ever seen it and it has been Obama's objective from day 1. Create a welfare state where the people cannot survive without assistance from liberal government programs.

    April 30, 2013 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  24. ST

    @ Rudy NYC
    I beg to disagree with you. Age and health of Hillary which you think republican will attack her on that, is not an issue. Hillary is very known everywhere and no one needs to be reminded how old she is or how she looks at the moment. On being health, she is healthy. Being sick once in a while that is part and parcel of how any human being lives. If Queen of Elizabeth can run a country at that age she is now, how can it be impossible for Hillary to run the country at that age she will be!

    April 30, 2013 04:45 pm at 4:45 pm |
  25. California Gary

    I'm trying to envision anyone from the GOP side that could stand on the stage with Hillary and not look "small" by comparison.........even with his huge physical stature, our large governor friend from New Jersey would look small next to Hillary. They just don't have anyone that can match up with her.........if she runs, she wins.

    April 30, 2013 04:47 pm at 4:47 pm |
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