2016 Poll: Hillary Clinton lapping potential Democratic field
April 30th, 2013
12:11 PM ET
12 months ago

2016 Poll: Hillary Clinton lapping potential Democratic field

(CNN) - Do you need more evidence that Hillary Clinton, if she decides to run for the White House again, would be the overwhelming front-runner among Democrats for their party's 2016 presidential nomination?

If so, then a new national poll provides the proof.

The survey, released Tuesday from Fairleigh Dickinson University, indicates Clinton more than lapping the field of other possible Democratic White House hopefuls.

According to the poll, 63% of self-identified Democrats and those who lean towards the Democratic Party say they'd support Clinton as their presidential nominee. Twelve percent say they'd back Vice President Joe Biden, with 3% supporting New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo, 12% backing someone else and one in ten unsure.

The survey is in-line with just about every other poll conducted the over past five months on the battle for the Democratic nomination, from a WMUR/Granite State survey of New Hampshire Democrats that came out over the weekend to our own CNN/ORC national poll from last December.

It should be noted that polls conducted this early in a presidential cycle are heavily influenced by name recognition. And Clinton, the former first lady, senator from New York State, 2008 Democratic presidential candidate and former secretary of state, has plenty of name recognition.

Even though the next race for the White House is a long way away, there's already intense speculation over whether Clinton will make a second bid for president.

When asked just before she stepped down as secretary of state whether she was thinking of making another run for the White House, Clinton said "I am not thinking about anything like that right now."

And in an interview with CNN later that day, when asked if she's decided against another candidacy for president, Clinton responded that "I have absolutely no plans to run."

But she added that "I am lucky because I've been very healthy. I feel great. I've got enormous amounts of energy that have to be harnessed and focused, so I'm very fortunate. I'm looking forward to this next chapter in my life, whatever it is."

While the race for the Democratic nomination is basically frozen until Clinton makes a decision, the hunt for the Republican nomination remains wide open. The new poll, as with past surveys, indicates that there's no front runner on the GOP side.

Eighteen percent of self-identified Republicans or those who lean towards the GOP say they support Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, with 16% backing former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and 14% supporting New Jersey Gov. Christie. Nine percent back former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, a 2012 GOP presidential candidate who battled eventual nominee Mitt Romney deep into the primary calendar, with 21% preferring someone else and one in five unsure.

"Republican uncertainty mirrors the identity crisis the party is facing as it redefines its message in the aftermath of the 2012 presidential loss. Republican voters seem to be saying they remain on the lookout for their party's Mr. or Mrs. Right," says Krista Jenkins, professor of political science and director of FDU's PublicMind.

The Fairleigh Dickinson poll was conducted April 22-28, with 863 registered voters nationwide questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.


Filed under: 2016 • Hillary Clinton
soundoff (55 Responses)
  1. The Real Tom Paine

    -Peoples State of Illinois

    @The Real Tom Paine

    -Peoples State of Illinois

    The reason this country continues its drift toward socialism and big nanny government is because too many people vote in the expectation of getting something for nothing, not because they have a concern for what is good for the country. A better educated electorate might change the reason many persons vote.
    *******************
    " A better educated electorate": translation, do whatever the knuckledragging Right tells you. As far as getting something for nothing, that about sums up the average GOP voter, who expects to get great schools, services, etc, and never has to pay for it: but boy, if they see anyone who is hurting getting any help, or a family with funny accents moves in down the street, all hell breaks loose.
    -------
    By the way, I'm not that fond of the "right" either. More assumptions by the schill.
    *********************
    Paid to deal with your ignorance/arrogance? I wish. Just so we are clear, I'm nobody's schill. Its strange you make broad-based assumptions about me based upon scanning my posts, when you accuse me of the same thing. The difference between us is that I will call a spade a spade, whereas your comments fall into the usual vocabulary of somone who has spent far too much time worshipping at the alter of Uncle Rupert's propaganda machine. Nothing in your posts shows a trace of an independent thought. Accusing people of being too lazy to work, etc, is a perfect example of an weak intellect: before you start, there are more than enough examples of liberals on here who are equally weak-minded.

    April 30, 2013 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  2. ThinkAgain

    The folks who post here shouting "What difference does it make?" are all Fox watchers who don't have the stones to see or read the complete remark.

    Folks like that deserve to be lied to by the GOP.

    April 30, 2013 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  3. ThinkAgain

    Hilary is why the Repubs are trying to hard to change the Electoral College.

    The GOP knows the only way they can defeat a Dem is by CHEATING.

    April 30, 2013 04:54 pm at 4:54 pm |
  4. The Real Tom Paine

    @ Peoples State of Illinois. Not fond of the Right? Please. Everything you post is a regurgitation of the sneering condescension that FOX hosts have perfected. Quit trying to make yourself out to be anything more than intellectually lazy parrot.

    April 30, 2013 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  5. James V Courtney

    Mrs. Hillary Clinton will be the next President of the USA, if Congress does not get their act together with CIR! As of now she has my vote, a Veteran.

    April 30, 2013 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
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