Poll: Voters divided between parties in 2014 battle for House
May 30th, 2013
09:43 AM ET
1 year ago

Poll: Voters divided between parties in 2014 battle for House

Washington (CNN) - A year and a half before the 2014 midterm elections, Americans are divided on whether they'll back Democrats or Republicans in the battle for Congress, according to a new national poll.

A Quinnipiac University survey released Thursday indicates voters nationwide are split at 38% on whether they'd back the Democrat or GOP candidate if elections for all 435 members of the House of Representatives were held today. A fifth of those questioned were unsure.

The generic ballot question asks respondents if they would vote for a Democrat or Republican in their congressional district, without naming any specific candidates. It's used by many polling organization, including CNN/ORC International surveys.

In Quinnipiac's previous poll, released at the beginning of May, the Democrats had a slight 41%-37% edge in the generic ballot. An ABC News/Washington Post poll conducted in mid-May had the Democrats with a 48%-40% advantage.

In the new Quinnipiac survey, independent voters were leaning towards the Republican candidate by a 36%-23% margin, with one in three unsure.

Only three in ten say they approve of the job congressional Democrats are doing, with less than a quarter giving a thumbs up to Republicans in Congress.

The GOP currently has a 234-201 advantage in the House. The Democrats need to win back 17 seats next year to win back control of the chamber.

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted May 22-28, with 1,419 registered voters nationwide questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.6 percentage points.

CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report


Filed under: Congress • Polls
soundoff (20 Responses)
  1. Dutch/Bad Newz, VA -aka- Take Back The House -aka- No Redemption Votes

    Republicans will lose the House. Issa and his witch hunt isn't helping their chances either. Where are those JOBS Boehner?

    May 30, 2013 09:47 am at 9:47 am |
  2. Wake up People!

    It's a sad state of affairs in the US, when anyone who is struggling and isn't wealthy are willing to back the group that continues to block any progress for our country. Call me a cynic but I believe the GOP will retain the House by gerrymandering, cheating and an uninformed and uneducated base.

    It's time for the Dems to play dirty too.

    May 30, 2013 09:56 am at 9:56 am |
  3. Ray E. (Georgia)

    If the Congress would get back to making the laws as fair as possible and leaving the Social/Welfare issues to the States it wouldn't much matter what party was elected. The Pllgrams came to the New World to get rid of Big Government, not re-invent it.

    May 30, 2013 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  4. ed

    The way it should be. Let's get some balance and compromise back in our system and stop with gridlock

    May 30, 2013 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  5. ThinkAgain

    Since they have nothing to offer our country except failed policies, the GOP has spent half of every waking minute since President Obama was elected THE FIRST OF TWO TIMES trying to bring him and our country down. Then the GOP spends the other half of every waking minute whining about the mess they've made, pointing to the President and saying, "See what he did?"

    Reminds me of spoiled three-year-olds who aren't getting their way so they throw a tantrum. I wouldn't care, except the GOP's actions are harming my country and my people.

    Remember this, folks, come November 2014: If you vote for the GOP, you're voting for childish fools.

    If you vote for the Democratic Party and/or reasonable Independents/Repubs (yes, there are a scant few left), then you're voting for continuing the economic turnaround we've experienced, a commitment to invest in OUR country and her people, and resolve to move our nation FORWARD.

    May 30, 2013 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  6. ThinkAgain

    All folks need to remember come November 2012 is how the GOP continues to go against the will of the American people, a majority of whom:

    – Want reasonable gun control, including universal background checks on gun sales (including closing loopholes for gun shows)

    – Do NOT want to go to war with Syria

    – Want an end to multi-billion-dollar oil industry subsidies

    – Want American millionaires and billionaires to pay their fair share in taxes by going after offshore accounts

    The GOP puts the interests of the NRA and the top 1% ahead of everything else. Just remember that, folks – and vote accordingly.

    May 30, 2013 10:13 am at 10:13 am |
  7. Fair is Fair

    "A Quinnipiac University survey released Thursday indicates voters nationwide are split at 38% on whether they'd back the Democrat or GOP candidate if elections for all 435 members of the House of Representatives were held today. A fifth of those questioned were unsure."
    ------–
    So basically CNN is telling us what we already know... the independents will dictate the outcome. Hard hitting statistics there... hard hitting indeed.

    May 30, 2013 10:13 am at 10:13 am |
  8. plain&simple

    I will never understand the reasoning of people who vote people into a government position...who don't like government. These last few years show what the results of that thinking has been!

    May 30, 2013 10:20 am at 10:20 am |
  9. king

    this is what wrong with the American electorate, how can anyone in their right mind vote for these GOP obstructionist is beyond me. look at our country's infrastructure, do we have to have a bridge falling down and killing scores of people on a daily basis to move these repubs to do the right thing, and fix this country, or we just lay back and watch china modernize their country and watch them take our investors away from us when businesses realize we are not moving forward fast enough for them. anyone seen Europe and their austerity movement lately.

    May 30, 2013 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  10. Data Driven

    So Americans are evenly split between the center-right party and the extreme-right party? Depressing.

    It also appears that some soft-minded, low-information voters have been successfully influenced by the ginned-up scandalettes promulgated by the GOP of late. Hope you like gridlock and Boehner, because that's what we're going to continue to get.

    May 30, 2013 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  11. Andy

    Again, the voters are divided? I'm wondering if they really are divided, or could the news media be guilty of trying to influence the decisions made by the voters. After seeing the republican led congress, do all they can to discredit and person from the opposing party, only for political gain, how can the voters be divided? It's seems fairly simple to me. You vote out the bottlenecks to success, and forge ahead with new leaders. The people doing whats right get to keep their jobs. This means bipartisan, down to earth governing, without the drama.

    May 30, 2013 11:03 am at 11:03 am |
  12. wild man

    people are divided over what? corrupt career politician a or corrupt politician b what a joke they are all destroying this country with their progressive cancer. clinton was a progressive bush was a progressive Oboma is a progressive they are all the same. using the media to divide us on non issues like justin bdiber or the next sporting event mean while they stuff their pockets with our tax dollars, lie to us, and still act like they know best and when they get caught they do just like Oboma and play dumb like i had no idea and i'm so mad. he either knew unconstitutional activities were taking place or he's just another stupid puppet like bush, what a joke.

    May 30, 2013 11:32 am at 11:32 am |
  13. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    Again, the voters are divided? I'm wondering if they really are divided, or could the news media be guilty of trying to influence the decisions made by the voters
    -------------------------------------------------
    They tried to pull the same stunt during the general election, remember?
    The only idiots that believed those polls were Ann and Mitt Romney.

    May 30, 2013 11:43 am at 11:43 am |
  14. Ray E. (Georgia)

    Humm,
    Obama says Washington on another Post Washington can be fixed. Gee, are you sure? The Democrats had the Congress for 40 years. So, if things are still not fixed, I have to ask, What Happened? Still waiting for someone else to carry your water? You had better learn how to carry your water before the well runs completely dry.On another Web Site the question is asked, Did the Baby Boomers drop the ball 40 years ago. It appears they did. Now those Chickens are coming home to roost. Remember, vote democrat because they have your "Best" iterests at heart.

    May 30, 2013 11:51 am at 11:51 am |
  15. SuperD

    @ Think Again

    Your posts are so full of it....yeah, we need more Democrats....so we can have even more Obamacare, regulations, phantom green energy, stimulus, Dodd-Frank law and now scandals out the waazoo!

    Good Lord, the Democrat party is truly the party of the low information voter. You claim the GOP "obstructs" that's the biggest lie there is. The GOP is standing in the way of LIBERAL CRAPOLA!. The one time they couldn't save the county is when all the Dems voted for that pig....Obamacare.

    Obama is incompetant and corrupt to the core and you are nothing but a pathetic bootlicker who really believes progress and prosperity come from the hands of a corrupt Democrat government.

    You can't fix stupid

    May 30, 2013 11:55 am at 11:55 am |
  16. California Gary

    @SuperD..........the Democrat party is the party of the low information voter? Really? Funny, I thought it was the GOP that has become the party of the "South"........you know........those "red" states that are full of "low information" voters who continue to vote against their own interests because they vote on social issues and guns and tend to either ignore or are misinformed about the other more pressing issues of the day. "You can't fix stupid"......you are right about that, and the GOP is doing everything they can to cash in on stupid.

    May 30, 2013 12:04 pm at 12:04 pm |
  17. Larry L

    Hard to imagine anybody who would reward the Republicans for obstruction and political games. They've done absolutely nothing but pander to the far right-wing and work to create failure. They see good economic news as bad news for the Republican Party. They've done nothing but filibuster, block, and insert toxic riders into every piece of legislation. They've done nothing to create jobs, or help with housing, healthcare, Social Security, and the rising poverty in the middle-class. America is rebounding IN SPITE OF THE REPUBLICANS!

    May 30, 2013 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  18. Sherryin Bama

    Thank God for the GOP and Issa getting to the bottom of this mess in DC.
    If it were not for them, you dems and your puppet masters would have swept it under the rug and let the bully tactics of this admin continue.
    You don't care about anything except yourselves and it shows. VERY much like Obama.
    This government cannot do whatever it wants at the expense of American citizens and the ability to see what is going on through the press. If you have no problem with the scandals, you are truly sheep. You are in for a surprise come November and you will find your path to destruction will not be an easy one.

    May 30, 2013 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  19. An Independent Voter

    As an independent voter, it's all too obvious that the liberal posters here are in reality an extremest view. But what is laughable is their inability to recognize facts and like their party, go to such lengths to mislead and/or outright lie. It's become all to clear that this administration has willfully abused the power of government to push their own agenda. While this isn't anything new to either party, what is new is the criminal intent that prevails through the government under the Obama administration. Democrats toss out the word "obstructionism" at leisure, but are consistently obstructing themselves whenever they are required to testify, turn over documents, etc. Obamacare costs were grossly under estimated by Obama, and now losing their union support. Where is Obama during all of thee scandals? He claims he never knows? Seriously? Such is the way of obstruction at the highest levels of government. Just claim ignorance, but that pays a price too. He's now given the appearance of incompetence. Either he's unable to control his own people, or he's the one giving the orders. It's a lose lose situation for Obama, but even a bigger loss for the American people.

    May 30, 2013 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  20. just sayin

    when the disaster known as obamacare starts wiping out the healthcare plans of nearly 20 million people and young people are forced to buy expensive health care coverage or be in the sights of the irs, the democrats will be thrown out en masse. the train wreck that max baucas, big supporter of obamacare, predicted will be in full swing come election time. republicans warned everybody but you instead chose to believe obama, reid and pelosi. now pay the price, or vote to get rid of it. time is running out to save your healthcare system america.

    May 30, 2013 12:28 pm at 12:28 pm |