Poll: Weiner takes the edge in New York City race
June 25th, 2013
07:48 PM ET
10 months ago

Poll: Weiner takes the edge in New York City race

(CNN) – A little more than a month after entering New York City’s high-profile mayoral race, Anthony Weiner has inched ahead for the first time in the crowded Democratic primary, a new poll indicates.

The former congressman has support among 25% of registered Democrats, with City Council Speaker Christine Quinn, the longtime front-runner in the race, coming in at 20%, according to a survey released Tuesday by the Wall Street Journal, NBC New York and Marist.

Weiner's five percentage point advantage falls within the survey's sampling error, meaning the two are statistically tied.

Following Weiner and Quinn were former Comptroller Bill Thompson at 13%, Public Advocate Bill de Blasio at 10% and city Comptroller John Liu at 8%.

Weiner made a dramatic re-entry into politics last month after spending two years out of the limelight. The former congressman resigned two years ago in his seventh term after being caught and admitting to sending lewd messages to women via social media.

Quinn held a strong advantage over Weiner as recently as May 22, when a Quinnipiac University survey showed the city council speaker in the top spot at 25% among registered Democrats and Weiner behind at 15%. The same poll showed that nearly half of New Yorkers at the time didn't think Weiner should enter the race.

Although he trailed Quinn in the polls when he announced his run, Weiner’s support has increased steadily during the race. Quinn, on the other hand, has seen her numbers decline, with 20% marking her lowest level of support since polling began.

In the new survey, Weiner has the lead over Quinn among male Democrats, 29% to 19%, and a slight edge over his opponent among female Democrats, 22% to 21%. The latter is well within the survey's sampling error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.

For the survey, 689 Democrats were questioned by telephone from June 17 to 21.

Democrats face off in a September 10 primary, with the general election taking place November 5.

In a city where Democrats greatly outnumber Republicans, the winner of the Democratic primary would be considered the favorite in November's race. Recent polls have showed the Democratic nominee with an advantage over the Republican pick in hypothetical matchups.

– CNN’s Ashley Killough and Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.


Filed under: Anthony Weiner • New York • Polls
soundoff (51 Responses)
  1. Data Driven

    Stunning. Absolutely stunning.

    Quinn must be a lousy candidate. Can New York Dems here enlighten us? Rudy?

    Wow.

    June 25, 2013 07:56 pm at 7:56 pm |
  2. lisa s n.j.

    Anthony Weiner can't be the best N.Y. has to offer.

    June 25, 2013 08:25 pm at 8:25 pm |
  3. Joe M.

    Lhota might be able to walk into Gracie Mansion if Weiner is the Dem nominee.

    June 25, 2013 09:11 pm at 9:11 pm |
  4. Octavus

    America and NYC deserves Weiner boy.

    June 25, 2013 09:13 pm at 9:13 pm |
  5. just sayin

    hahahaha... a democrat pervert leading nyc! how absolutely appropriate. a big weiner in the big apple! only the retarded democrats could do something like this with a straight face. iq level in the single digits.

    June 25, 2013 10:15 pm at 10:15 pm |
  6. Name king

    Weiner is the only dem that the repubs are scared of, because they know he will call them out on the bunch of malarky they love to sling around, I was sadden when the only dem that had some kahonas stepped down, but i hope he wins, and even run for president, because we all are human beings and have faults.

    June 25, 2013 10:25 pm at 10:25 pm |
  7. Evergreen

    I will assume he asked God for giveness and was forgiven. I will also assume this works as well for Dems as it does for Repubs.

    June 25, 2013 11:07 pm at 11:07 pm |
  8. Donkey Party

    Please watch what you say about Anthony Weiner, right-wingers, lest we remind you of Vitter, or Ensign, or Gingrich, or Sanford...

    June 25, 2013 11:10 pm at 11:10 pm |
  9. Steve

    I am speechless. I just lost all respect for New Yorkers.

    June 25, 2013 11:16 pm at 11:16 pm |
  10. Thomas

    Money Talks !

    June 25, 2013 11:18 pm at 11:18 pm |
  11. JM

    The polls say – Weiner is up in new York,

    June 25, 2013 11:30 pm at 11:30 pm |
  12. jpigg86

    I will be more than slightly amused if Sanford and Weiner both return to office. It's regrettable that they wouldn't take office in the same year. But that would probably just be to ironical.

    June 26, 2013 12:20 am at 12:20 am |
  13. California

    Only a true idiot would vote for A. Weiner.

    June 26, 2013 12:27 am at 12:27 am |
  14. waitaminute

    NYC The absolute most ignorant people on the planet.

    June 26, 2013 12:59 am at 12:59 am |
  15. simplyput

    How embarassing for NY City.

    June 26, 2013 01:19 am at 1:19 am |
  16. DoNotWorry

    Why are we electing people of his low caliber? Really, New York?

    June 26, 2013 01:34 am at 1:34 am |
  17. rare_earth

    Americans. Showing their ignorance since 1492.

    June 26, 2013 02:00 am at 2:00 am |
  18. Richard

    Just goes to show the quality of the people there that they would re-elect this guy. Losers, all.

    June 26, 2013 02:06 am at 2:06 am |
  19. fastgreg

    Is this the same guy who took away the freedome in San Fransisco ? The last place in the USA it was ok to express nudity without sexism?

    June 26, 2013 02:07 am at 2:07 am |
  20. Arvid Vander Cloppen

    It is difficult to express forcefully enough how utterly incompetent your reporting of the polling results is.

    First, when two candidates are within the statistical margin of error it absolutely does not mean they are "statistically tied" - it means that it is possible they are tied, but the topline number (25-20) is still the most likely result. According to the poll, Weiner is ahead and that's it.

    Second, the margin of error grows as the sample size decreases, which means that the full survey margin of error (reported as 5%) cannot possibly be higher that the results for a sub-sample such as women and men voters (reported sampling error of 3.7%).

    I would think that an organization that touts itself as unbiased and authoritative would have reporters and editors who can master the basics of surveys.

    June 26, 2013 02:08 am at 2:08 am |
  21. Kman66

    It is truly astonishing that this guy could even be considered being elected into another office. I am speechless.

    June 26, 2013 02:18 am at 2:18 am |
  22. wb

    It's good to see Weiner thrusting forward.

    June 26, 2013 02:25 am at 2:25 am |
  23. mountainlady

    Just goes to show that even slutty men rank over honest women. It appears that the US hasn't made the social strides it thinks it has. Also shows that even the Democrats take advantage of the "good old boys" club. All is forgiven Anthony. Save us from petticoat power.

    June 26, 2013 02:26 am at 2:26 am |
  24. Tyler Durden

    Ok, who slipped Weiner's political career a little blue pill? Apparently an oversized one at that because it should have been finished and done waaaay more than 4 hours ago.

    June 26, 2013 02:38 am at 2:38 am |
  25. Oneula

    Pathetic New Yorkers.

    June 26, 2013 02:45 am at 2:45 am |
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