CNN's GUT CHECK for July 10, 2013
July 10th, 2013
05:21 PM ET
1 year ago

CNN's GUT CHECK for July 10, 2013

CNN's GUT CHECK | for July 10, 2013 | 5 p.m.
- n. a pause to assess the state, progress or condition of the political news cycle

“IT’S NUTS”: The Cook Political Report’s Jennifer Duffy, speaking to Gut Check about Sarah Palin considering a run for Alaska Senate.

GEORGE W. BUSH IS BACK: “THE SYSTEM IS BROKEN” Former President George W. Bush at a naturalization ceremony in Dallas: “The laws governing the immigration system aren't working. The system is broken. I don't intend to get involved in the politics or the specifics of policy, but I do hope there is a positive resolution to the debate.”

MARKET WATCH: U.S. stocks end mixed as Fed minutes show ongoing uncertainty over stimulus. Dow dips 9 points. NASDAQ adds 0.5%.

TRAIL TRIVIA
(Answer below)
What famous politician helped the prosecution in the 1925 Scopes trial?

MICHELLE (@mjaconiCNN)
What caught our eye today in politics

Sarah Palin has done it again. She has the Republican establishment scratching its head and asking ‘is she serious’?

Palin told Sean Hannity’s radio show Tuesday that she is indeed considering a run for Senate in Alaska. “I've considered it because people have requested me considering it, but I'm still waiting to see, you know, what the lineup will be and hoping that, there again - there will be some new blood, new energy - not just kind of picking from the same old politicians in the state that come from political families,” Palin said. “Sen. Mark Begich has got to be replaced.”

Mark Begich is the Democratic incumbent senator who is in a fight to hold onto the seat he won in 2008.

We reached out to Jennifer Duffy, who is the Senior Editor of the Cook Political Report, where she is in charge of ranking the U.S. Senate races.

Gut Check: What do you think of Sarah Palin considering a run for Senate in Alaska?

Duffy: I think it’s nuts. Let’s look at the polling; she was fairly unpopular among Alaska voters and she hasn’t spent that much time in Alaska lately.

Gut Check: She does have money and name ID.

Duffy: There are good candidates in this race already. This is one of Republican Party’s best opportunities to pick up a seat, but this is problematic for the GOP.

Gut Check: Isn’t it better for her then?

Duffy: Yes, because she tends to run outside the party. The worst thing she could do is run as an independent. The great irony for her is that she said there was a need for new blood and new faces, because she isn’t one.

Gut Check: You have the race ranked as a LEAN Democrat. (LINK) If Palin gets into this race for real, would it change your rating for the race?

http://cookpolitical.com/senate/charts/race-ratings

Duffy: There would be no change to the race rating unless she wins the nomination. There would be money - just not a lot from Alaska…Look, Democrats want this to happen; this is their dream for one of their most vulnerable incumbents; they will be her first contribution: ‘How can we help?’

Gut Check: Is it a bluff?

Duffy: With Sarah Palin you never know; this puts her back where she likes to be, in the media spotlight. It’s a 50-50 proposition.

Gut Check: Can you imagine a Senate with Sarah Palin?

Duffy: She’d make Ted Cruz look establishment.

the LEDE
Did you miss it?

Leading CNNPolitics: New allegations against McDonnell emerge
As Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell faces mounting pressure over his ties with a top political donor, a new report details more potentially damaging claims involving the governor and undisclosed donations.

Leading Drudge: Upstream: U.S. Taps Undersea Cables
Recent debate over U.S. government surveillance has focused on the information that American technology companies secretly provide to the National Security Agency. But that is only one of the ways the NSA eavesdrops on international communications. A classified NSA slide obtained by The Washington Post and published here for the first time lists “Two Types of Collection.” – Craig Timberg for The Washington Post

Leading HuffPo: Over The Line
In the courts of law and public opinion, congressional Republicans increasingly accuse President Barack Obama of exceeding his constitutional authority for the benefit of special interests, most recently by delaying a requirement for businesses to provide health care for their workers. – David Espo for the AP

Leading Politico: Immigration reform heads for slow death
Republicans walked away from their 2012 debacle hell-bent on fixing their problems with Hispanics. Now, they appear hell-bent on making them worse. – Mike Allen and Jim Vandehei

Leading The New York Times: Effects of Ruling on Same-Sex Marriage Start Rippling Out Through Government
The federal government began notifying workers of expanded benefit eligibility for same-sex couples, and the Senate is expected to take up a measure against discrimination. – Jeremy Peters

HOT SOTS
The political bites of the day

– State moving towards softer language on Egypt coup –
SPOKESPERSON JEN PSAKI AT THE STATE DEPARTMENT PRESS BRIEFING: “This is not a situation where you know, he was democratically elected, which of course he was, but the voices of the 22 million people, they spoke out about the way he was governed, governing, I'm sorry. So that is a unique circumstance, that's not for the United States to judge, what the voices of the Egyptian people are saying. What we're encouraging them to do now, is move towards a democratic, a sustainable democratic process.”

– Language watch: “A healthcare dictatorship” –
REPUBLICAN REP. SAM JOHNSON OF TEXAS AT A HEARING ON CAPITOL HILL: “I hate to see a dictatorship come into this country, but it sure looks like that's what's happening with healthcare.”

– Biden talks tough at China forum –
VICE PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN AT A UNITED STATES-CHINA FORUM: “We both will benefit from an open, secure, reliable internet. Outright cyber enabling theft that U.S. companies are experiencing now must be viewed as out-of-bounds and needs to stop.”

TOP TWEETS
What stopped us in 140 characters or less

TRIVIA ANSWER from @DanMericaCNN

When William Jennings Bryan heard of Tennessee's Scopes trial, a case that pinned believers in creationism and believers in evolution against each other, the three-time Democratic presidential candidate and outspoken evangelical helped argue in favor of creationism.

John Thomas Scopes, a young Tennessee teacher, was accused of teaching his class about evolution - an action that broke Tennessee's Butler Act, which made teaching evolution in any public school illegal. He – along with the help of the ACLU – challenged the law and the Scopes trial began on this day in 1925.

Bryan had long been a supporter of the Butler Act. After it was signed into law, he praised the bill, stating "the Christian parents of the state owe you a debt of gratitude for saving their children from the poisonous influence of an unproven hypothesis."

The trial drew hordes of media attention to the small town of Dayton, Tennessee.

After eight days of testimony, a jury found Scopes guilty and forced him to pay a $100 fine. Although the defense appealed the case to the Tennessee Supreme Court, the high court upheld the statute that forbade the teaching of evolution.

Decades later, though, in the case Epperson v. Arkansas, the United States Supreme Court ruled that laws like the Butler Act violated the Establishment Clause, making them unconstitutional.

GUT CHECK WINNER’S CIRCLE
(why aren’t you in it)

Congrats to Edith Chapin (@EdithChapin) for correctly answering Gut Check trivia. We miss seeing Edith at CNN so are happy to reunite with her in the winner’s circle.

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Filed under: CNN's Gut Check
soundoff (49 Responses)
  1. JM

    The wind between their ears.

    July 10, 2013 08:17 pm at 8:17 pm |
  2. Aletheya

    @Ray E. – LOL!! Wow, thanks for the laugh, man, nothing like a real corker to end the work day. Hat tip to Ray E. as the master of irony.

    July 10, 2013 08:39 pm at 8:39 pm |
  3. Elena

    ha ha ha ha ha ha the great republican hero now says "immigration laws are not working" ha ha ha ha ha ha!!

    Wanst so republican after all !

    July 10, 2013 08:43 pm at 8:43 pm |
  4. Marie MD

    I am so sick and tired of this woman and the attention she gets. Somebody compared her to Anna Nicole Smith on another post. We can only hope she drops dead before her time also! That should finally quiet the insane stupidity of the press about this woman.

    July 10, 2013 09:07 pm at 9:07 pm |
  5. Amy

    This bill will bring more laws that won't be be enforced.

    July 10, 2013 09:28 pm at 9:28 pm |
  6. loosun

    A senate with Sarah Palin? Alaska already made a mistake by electing her as governor and her flaws were highlighted in all the comedy shows. It would be an embarrassment for Alaska and the US

    July 10, 2013 09:49 pm at 9:49 pm |
  7. Brad

    Obamacare may not be the answer, but its a start. How can we allow American citizens to not have access to basic healthcare while spending billions on foreign aid and NASA? The absence of healthcare assurance means that Americans are not in fact better off than their European counterparts. Is this what the greatest generation fought for during WWII?

    July 10, 2013 09:54 pm at 9:54 pm |
  8. me

    Is this guy kidding me? George, after you lit up the room and left, the ENTIRE COUNTRY is broken.

    The immigration system is "broken", thanks for that bit of rocket science news there, Bushie Boy. Now please go crawl back under your rock and don't come out anymore. The grown ups are STILL trying to clean up the mess you and Dick made.

    July 10, 2013 09:59 pm at 9:59 pm |
  9. meki60

    Obama is the biggest piece of garbage in the whole world

    July 10, 2013 10:09 pm at 10:09 pm |
  10. twalk

    Sarah Palin is just talking and trying to see valuable. She will not run for the Senate, because that would be to much work and she would quit mid term if not before. Palin is a media whor e that loves attention.

    July 10, 2013 10:13 pm at 10:13 pm |
  11. jim

    you bet THE SYSTEM IS BROKEN!

    July 10, 2013 10:19 pm at 10:19 pm |
  12. Guest

    It is broken. Every darn bill is full of bribes and lies .Ex. Immigration contains casino money for Harry Reid. this is typical of all the bills. Ex. obamacare-your costs will go down.

    July 10, 2013 10:21 pm at 10:21 pm |
  13. jim

    lord palin is nothing but a beaty queen, and nothing more than sucking USA air. I live in the South and I was able to see Russia from my house. TRUST ME, THAT IS TRUE!

    July 10, 2013 10:21 pm at 10:21 pm |
  14. Sammy Z

    So the system is broken??? If only you had been in a position to elect some form of change.

    July 10, 2013 11:52 pm at 11:52 pm |
  15. DontStepInIt

    The system is broken because george bush broke it. He is so dumb he doesn't know he broke it.

    July 11, 2013 12:44 am at 12:44 am |
  16. FNORDZ

    @"truth hurts but reality bites"- so what you're saying is that the federal government isn't part of "the system".. interesting perspective, but not sure how you can support it.

    July 11, 2013 02:34 am at 2:34 am |
  17. Dave

    Bush would know. HE BROKE IT.

    July 11, 2013 03:13 am at 3:13 am |
  18. ohwow

    Bush helped BREAK THE SYSTEM! BWAHAHAHAHAAHAHHAHAHAHAHAAHAA

    Also, immigration laws wont keep people out of the US, itll keep people from leaving. Mark my words.

    July 11, 2013 03:39 am at 3:39 am |
  19. Kevin

    Bush is looking more beautiful now than when he was in Office, killling other people's Children.

    July 11, 2013 03:56 am at 3:56 am |
  20. Here we go again

    @truth
    I was with you until you started rambling about the Affordable Care Act. BTW, I don't suppport it.

    July 11, 2013 04:15 am at 4:15 am |
  21. scootfl78

    As long as Republicans have any sort of power, the system will always be broken. They're corrupt, indecent, lazy, and just the worst thing this country has going for it right now. Democrats aren't much better since they're letting the Republicans do this, but at least with the Democrats during the last 30 or so years we had some prosperity (the 1990s). Its easy to blame Reagan for all this mess because it all started spiraling out of control with him in office. He didn't vote himself into office though, so its not entirely his fault.

    July 11, 2013 04:44 am at 4:44 am |
  22. Neutral Observer

    When bush says the immigration system is broken, is he talking about how much debt the US is heading into having to take care of a huge population of illegal immigrants? I wonder if his solution will reduce this debt or blow it up.

    July 11, 2013 05:38 am at 5:38 am |
  23. Seola

    Wow – blatant bias much? I don't toe a party line, but this "gut check" is almost all opinion and a few facts tossed in to make the rest of the fluff stand up.

    July 11, 2013 05:49 am at 5:49 am |
  24. one party system

    We have two halves of the same whole to vote for, democrat or republican, red or blue, coke or pepsi.

    The reason why nothing gets done is regardless of which one of the two crime families you elect, they represent the same agenda.

    Our politics is like the WWE. Sure they talk alot of smack about how they hate each other when the cameras are on, but afterwards theyre high fiving each other and going out for beers. Congratulating each other for putting on a show welldone.

    Im done with the two party system of vote one criminal out vote another in. The democratic and republican parties should both be abolished.

    July 11, 2013 06:30 am at 6:30 am |
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