N.H. Poll: Clinton way ahead among Dems, GOP lacks clear favorite
August 8th, 2013
09:44 AM ET
12 months ago

N.H. Poll: Clinton way ahead among Dems, GOP lacks clear favorite

(CNN) – While a new poll shows Hillary Clinton as the favorite among New Hampshire Democrats in a potential 2016 presidential run, the survey indicates the GOP lacks a clear frontrunner in the Granite State.

But the New Hampshire primary is about two and a half years away, leaving plenty of time for the 2016 political landscape to change.

According to the WMUR Granite State poll released this week, 62% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would vote for Clinton if the election were held today, while 8% choose Vice President Joe Biden, 5% support Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick and 1% prefer New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo. Nineteen percent say that are undecided.

Among likely Republican primary voters, 21% say they back New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, 16% support Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, 10% choose former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, 8% favor 2012 GOP vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan, and 6% back Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida.

Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, and Texas Gov. Rick Perry each receive 4%, while Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker gets 2%.

Some potential Republican candidates have already put New Hampshire on their summer itinerary. Paul appeared at a fundraiser in Concord in May, and Cruz is set to attend a New Hampshire GOP fundraiser later this month. Two other possible candidates, Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal and Rep. Peter King of New York, have also traveled to the state this summer.

On the Democratic side, Biden is set to headline a fundraiser in Maine for New Hampshire Gov. Maggie Hassan in a couple of weeks.

For the poll, the University of New Hampshire Survey Center interviewed 516 adults in the state by telephone from July 18-29. The sampling error is plus or minus 4.3 percentage points.

Included in the survey were 200 likely 2016 Republican primary voters and 190 likely 2016 Democratic primary voters.


Filed under: 2016 • Polls
soundoff (30 Responses)
  1. Rudy NYC

    They should hae had The Grand Limbaugh's name on the ballot. Now *that* would have been an interesting poll

    August 8, 2013 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  2. Data Driven

    Only Christie would come close to Clinton in 2016. But the "tea party" crowd, who chooses the GOP nominee, don't like him.

    While I do appreciate a ridiculously easy Democratic victory, I'd like a true liberal to be the standard bearer for the Dems. I'm just not enthused about this fait accompli for Hillary.

    August 8, 2013 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  3. J'Cincinnati'Redd

    @data driven. A true liberal is no different then a tru tea party person. Meaning neither could win a national election. Sorry but that is a fact.

    August 8, 2013 10:22 am at 10:22 am |
  4. The Real Tom Paine

    I recall people saying the same thing in 2008 about Hillary: the assumption that she will be the nominee 27 months ahead of the election is ridiculous.

    August 8, 2013 10:23 am at 10:23 am |
  5. Sniffit

    Have no fear...FL is busy trying to purge legitimate minority voters and the Teatrolls runnin various important electoral college states like OH and TX and NC are very very busy arranging for as much suppression of minority and youth votes as they can muster. Did the poll take these things into account? No? Well, then clearly it was "skewed" in favor of the Dems. You better "unskew" it or President Romney will be really upset with you.

    August 8, 2013 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  6. kirk

    My day always seems brighter after these news stories.simply because it drives the gop fantasy machine rolling full throttle. More benghazi please.anything for the love of god give us something to hurt her with.I'm so glad she is out of politics until the election . She makes these good ole rich boys wet themselves

    August 8, 2013 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  7. mightyduk

    The republicans have become a confused, lost, disorganized group it will be interesting who they come up with.

    August 8, 2013 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  8. S.B. Stein

    One, this is more than 2 years away. Two, Clinton hasn't said if she is or isn't (though a lot of people expect her to so that they rally for and against her). Three, the GOP sounds as if they need to get behind someone and getting more spintered everyday.

    August 8, 2013 10:30 am at 10:30 am |
  9. The Real Tom Paine

    Sorry, 39 months.

    August 8, 2013 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  10. Gurgyl

    No one in the right mind will ever vote for another rethuglicans for a decade or two. They messed this nation like a hell. True.

    August 8, 2013 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  11. emskadittle

    lol, skewed polls. Like the ones that said Obama was going to win?

    August 8, 2013 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  12. Rudy NYC

    I'm with Chris Matthews. Barring some major scandal or political crisis, Rand Paul will be the 2016 nominee. The hyper right wing has a good argument that says, "I told you so." Moderate McCain lost in 2008. The energetic base swept away Democrats in 2010. Moderate Mitt lost in 2010.

    Unfortunately, the extremits are reading the tea leaves in completely the wrong way. There is a flip side to everything, and they are ignoring it. McCain lost because he was a weaker candidate, who demonstrated bad judgement. He picked Palin. He wanted to put the campaigns on hold during the financial crisis. He called an emergency meeting and didn't contribute. Romney was a bust, no matter how you look at it. He was a salesman, not a statesman. The right wing won in 2010 because they promised "jobs, jobs, jobs" not because they secretly had a right wing social engineering agenda that they wanted to spring on us.

    August 8, 2013 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  13. Wake up People!

    I'm sick of hearing about 2016 already, but the GOP in their effort to make President Obama look irrelevant started the 2016 talk what the day after the election. She hasn't even said she was running yet.

    I don't know who's worse the GOP or the MSM.

    Barack Obama is POTUS until January 2017. Get over it MSM. I know you're upset we picked Obama over Hillary in 08, and you're even more upset we picked him over Willard. Well too bad, we did, and I for one have zero regrets. I won't blame the GOP's temper tantrum and refusal to do anything useful on the POTUS.

    But please continue your attack on the POTUS MSM, I'm sure President Romney is very happy.....

    August 8, 2013 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  14. Minnie Mouse

    We can't be running our country on a potential candidate or candidates. It doesn't matter if the polls aren't even the real numbers and that mock events are being run ect.. you will never not get the true numbers from the public. It's a guessing game for us all! We will change our minds possibly once we find out who the real candidates are. Waste of everyone's time!

    No one can make any informed decision on who they actually want to vote for until we all know who's officially running and then see who officially lands on the ballot.

    August 8, 2013 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  15. Lynda/Minnesota

    Given the lineup of GOP "potentials", it looks as if the Grand Old Party is once again spinning itself out of control.

    August 8, 2013 10:49 am at 10:49 am |
  16. Getoverit

    It's going to be hilarious to watch the Dems scramble like cockroaches do when the light is turned on when Hilary announces that she's not running.

    August 8, 2013 10:58 am at 10:58 am |
  17. Steveo

    Way too early to start this talk! Personally, I'd like to see Christie but who knows? As far as Chris Matthews predicting Paul nomination? Who cares? That would assure a a Clinton victory, which is what he is after anyway! Moderation is dying a quick and painful death! Still too early!

    August 8, 2013 10:59 am at 10:59 am |
  18. Sniffit

    "I don't know who's worse the GOP or the MSM."

    I do. And I bet CNN would like my full answer less than the GOPers/Teatrolls would.

    August 8, 2013 10:59 am at 10:59 am |
  19. Boo

    CNN – would you give this election business A REST? We just had an election LAST YEAR. Isn't there other stuff you can report on? Like the tax overhaul system that John Oliver touched on last night that your network mentioned to "go to the web for more info." NO WONDER YOUR RATINGS ARE TANKING. Start reporting REAL NEWS...not making news.

    August 8, 2013 10:59 am at 10:59 am |
  20. Sniffit

    "The republicans have become a confused, lost, disorganized group it will be interesting who they come up with."

    Yes, but they still have their anger, fear and race resentment...shouldn't that be enough?

    August 8, 2013 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  21. Italmn

    The Republicans are SO, SO, LOST & now ? Just a part of the past. From here on out this country will see the future POTUS as being Democratic or Independent. The Republican Party will never again carry any credit with this country. We turned the corner and they decided to stay behind. They had a choice to help put this country back together right after the collapse and chose NOT to. People continued to fall and they chose to kick them further down by not engaging in creating JOBS. The had the audacity to say to the entire country their main goal FIRST was to get rid of President Obama first and formost above anything else. That is something that is a part of our history now and will never be forgotton.

    August 8, 2013 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  22. geg

    no wonder nothing gets done, the usa is in a never ending election mode.

    August 8, 2013 11:01 am at 11:01 am |
  23. onlyfacts

    J'Cincinnati'Redd, " a true liberal is no different from a true tea party person". I disagree! A true tea party person doesn't know how to think for themselves. They react off of Hannity's, Beck's and Limbaugh's rants and have no clue they are being played. A true liberal has a concept of logic and reality. That is why they are labeled liberal. Please prove me wrong!

    August 8, 2013 11:02 am at 11:02 am |
  24. Rudy NYC

    Minnie Mouse wrote:

    We will change our minds possibly once we find out who the real candidates are. Waste of everyone's time!

    No one can make any informed decision on who they actually want to vote for until we all know who's officially running and then see who officially lands on the ballot.
    -------------------
    I think you have a point. I recall how "other candidate" had led seemingly all of the Republican polls thoughout 2011.

    August 8, 2013 11:04 am at 11:04 am |
  25. Getoverit

    I'm going to bust a gut laughing when Hillary announces that she's not running!

    August 8, 2013 11:05 am at 11:05 am |
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