Christie's massive lead in governor's race shrinks
August 21st, 2013
09:48 AM ET
11 months ago

Christie's massive lead in governor's race shrinks

Washington (CNN) – When is a 20 percentage point lead not so impressive?

When it's down from a 30-point lead.

With 2 1/2 months to go until the New Jersey governor's election, a new Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press Poll released Wednesday indicates that Gov. Chris Christie is crushing his Democratic challenger, state Sen. Barbara Buono, 56% to 36% among likely voters. But Christie's 20-point advantage is down from a whopping 61%-31% lead in the last Monmouth survey in mid-June.

According to the poll, the tough-talking GOP governor has the backing of 90% of Republicans and nearly two-thirds of independents, but his support among Democrats now stands at 21%, down from 36% in June.

"The trend suggests that New Jersey Democrats are coming back home. But it's not quite enough for Buono to overcome Christie's sizable advantage among independents," Monmouth University Polling Institute Director Patrick Murray said.

Christie held a 58%-30% lead over Buono in a Quinnipiac University poll conducted at the beginning of August.

Christie's trying to score an impressive re-election victory in November with the support of not only Republicans but also Democratic and independent voters. Christie's 2013 re-election bid is also increasingly seen as a testing ground or launching pad for a possible 2016 bid for the White House.

Those presidential ambitions don't come as a surprise to most Garden State voters - 19% of those questioned in the poll say they think Christie's definitely running in 2016, with six in 10 saying he's probably going to run. Among those who think Christie's definitely going to run, he's up 50%-39% over Buono.

"Convincing more voters that Governor Christie has his eyes set on the White House may narrow the gap for Buono, but is unlikely to close it," Murray added.

The Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press Poll was conducted by telephone from August 15-18 with 777 New Jersey voters likely to cast ballots in the November election. The survey's overall sampling error was plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.


Filed under: Chris Christie • New Jersey • Polls
soundoff (20 Responses)
  1. S.B. Stein

    Maybe people are wising up to the fact that Christie is a bully and doesn't understand how to govern and work across the isle. He is more ideological that people really think. He doesn't want to raise taxes on those that can afford it while cutting off services to those that need them. The poor and those that can't afford health insurance are suffering. I drive a lot in NJ and think that the gas tax should go up as well as the registration on large vehicles just as a start.

    August 21, 2013 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  2. Rudy NYC

    Christie has a big lead. If Buono wants to win, then Christie's record needs to be put in front of voters. Christie has been great for business, but dismal on education, the poor, property taxes, public workers, and the middle class. You know, all of the typical Republican stuff.

    A good place to start would be to let people know about Christie's veto on gun legislation that he actually wrote and sponsored. Christie is slick. He likes to use his line item veto pen to veto out his compromises to the Democratic legislature, while only keeping what he wants.

    August 21, 2013 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  3. jinx9to88

    Its gonna shrink even more since Christie backed that GOP nut job that is running against Booker for Senate.

    August 21, 2013 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  4. Marie MD

    Less massive, just like him. Does CNN do this on purpose?
    It was bound to happen. Hurricane Sandy is a long ago memory if you were not effected by it and Americans have short memories. He's flip flopping now sort of like the twit.
    Did we really expect anything different?

    August 21, 2013 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  5. Pete

    The closer it gets to election time and the more ignorent stunts Christie does it'll definitly get to be a neck to neck race before long and remember republicans you do eat your own don't yah!!

    August 21, 2013 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  6. Data Driven

    I attribute the 10-point drop to "massive" overexposure.

    There would be so many LOLs if Christie lost to Buono - poor Media! Oh noes! - but it won't happen.

    August 21, 2013 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  7. Gurgyl

    He is not fit–next please.

    August 21, 2013 10:40 am at 10:40 am |
  8. wendel

    Democrats need to take back jersey and move forward

    August 21, 2013 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  9. Lynda/Minnesota

    Christie has been running a "I'm scared" campaign for months now. I suspect this has much to do with his crass personality, his ingrained GOP fear and paranoia, and his willingness to use said fear and paranoia as a good sell. I don't care for fear mongering myself, but I understand GOPers love it.

    I have no doubt he'll win reelection in New Jersey.

    August 21, 2013 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  10. Sniffit

    " who's making $94K annually and not getting insurance from their employer"

    Plenty of people. Independent contractors of all sorts for example....be it a plumber or a small business consultant whose employment arrangement is via 1099. Stop being deliberately obtuse in order to pretend that the extremely sophisticated health care experts who contributed to drafting the ACA somehow missed basic common sense things that only you've been able to figure out. It's absurd.

    August 21, 2013 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  11. Marty, FL

    Lower numbers understandable, especially when Christie backs & agrees with his extremist tea candidate for senate. Sad.

    August 21, 2013 10:57 am at 10:57 am |
  12. Sniffit

    "Its gonna shrink even more since Christie backed that GOP nut job that is running against Booker for Senate."

    One can only hope. Christie was doing nothing more than polishing the turd by trying to cozy up with that Teatroll nutjob...seriously, Lanegan is bad mojo...just to pander to the radicalized base and re-establish some Teatroll street cred. I can only hope he finds himself in a constant reactionary feedback loop in which he's constantly having to take corrective action by pandering to moderates and then to the radicalized RWNJs after pandering to the other. Watching him damage his credibility with both sides by bouncing back and forth like a ping pong ball will be amusing.

    August 21, 2013 10:58 am at 10:58 am |
  13. jinx9to88

    I have to agree with Rudy NYC – Democrats need to show what Christie stands for and I think Dems have a chance to take over NJ. There is a reason he didnt have the special election the same time his election is being held because he didnt want the Dems that are voting for Booker to vote for his Buono. He vetoed gun legislation on Friday night hoping know one will notice then signs the bill to ban mandatory gay therapy Monday morning so everyone can see. He is just a GOP puppet.

    August 21, 2013 11:02 am at 11:02 am |
  14. Rudy NYC

    Lynda wrote:

    I have no doubt he'll win reelection in New Jersey.
    ---------------------
    Today, he most likely would win. Over the weekend, he vetoed his own gun control bill. Over 90% of NJ residents wanted it, according to a poll by a major NJ paper (Star Ledger?). Now Christie has vetoed it, most likely in order to pander to the far right in the event of a 2016 run for POTUS. He signed the law against gay therapy, which outshined the news about his veto.

    August 21, 2013 11:10 am at 11:10 am |
  15. ghost

    I hope people are paying attention of what the GOP agenda really is. They run on one thing and when they get in off they do another. Christie is the same

    August 21, 2013 11:10 am at 11:10 am |
  16. Lynda/Minnesota

    Rudy NYC
    Lynda wrote:

    I have no doubt he'll win reelection in New Jersey.
    -------
    Today, he most likely would win. Over the weekend, he vetoed his own gun control bill.
    ---------

    Personally, Rudy, I would love to see this man lose. And it is great to see that Democrats are finally taking notice and admitting that he isn't one of them and never will be. It would have been a much tighter race had he not pushed Bookers Senate election out from his own gubernatorial election. But as it stands, his double talk has gotten him this far in New Jersey.

    That being said, anything CAN happen. Even in New Jersey. Regardless of what happens in New Jersey (why folks vote for governors they know will be spending the next 3 years on the presidential trail is beyond me) Chris Christie is no moderate.

    Nationally he is toast.

    August 21, 2013 11:22 am at 11:22 am |
  17. Rudy NYC

    Data Driven

    I attribute the 10-point drop to "massive" overexposure.
    ------------------–
    I blame the "We're Stronger Than The Storm" ad that promotes the recovery efforts along the Jersey shore. It was paid for by taxpayers, and features Chris Christie and his family right at the very end, smiling and eating on the beach.

    August 21, 2013 11:28 am at 11:28 am |
  18. Al-NY,NY

    I find the matching of "Christie" and "massive" together amusing...........

    August 21, 2013 11:32 am at 11:32 am |
  19. California Gary

    Once you get past the public persona and look beneath the shine........all that is left is a loudmouthed bully. With each passing day, more and more people will come to realize that.

    August 21, 2013 11:33 am at 11:33 am |
  20. Data Driven

    @Rudy,

    Perhaps so - Jerseyans are pretty wise to political bs, I imagine, and probably didn't appreciate the photo-op based on tragedy.

    August 21, 2013 11:40 am at 11:40 am |