October 15th, 2013
08:26 AM ET
12 months ago

Polls: Booker leads on election eve

(CNN) – Newark Mayor Cory Booker holds a double-digit lead over Republican candidate Steve Lonegan on the eve of a special U.S. Senate election in New Jersey, according to the latest polls.

A Quinnipiac University survey released Tuesday morning indicates Booker, the Democratic nominee, is ahead of Lonegan 54%-40% among likely voters in the Garden State, with 5% unsure. Booker's 14-point lead over Lonegan is virtually unchanged from Quinnipiac's previous poll, which was released last week.

The Quinnipiac survey, which was conducted Thursday through Monday, is one of three polls released over the past 24 hours. Booker held a smaller 10 point 52%-42% advantage over Lonegan in a Monmouth University survey, and a much larger 22-point 58%-36% lead in a Rutgers-Eagleton poll.

Lonegan, former mayor of the northern New Jersey town of Bogota, has tried to paint the two-term Newark mayor as nothing but a celebrity, while Booker tries to characterize Lonegan as a far-right, tea party conservative. Saturday, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, a favorite among tea party activists, campaigned with Lonegan at a high profile event.

The winner of Wednesday's special election will serve out the final 14-and-a-half months remaining in the term of the late Democratic Sen. Frank Lautenberg, who died earlier this year.

The Quinnipiac poll suggests a slight gender gap, with Booker leading by 22 points among women voters, but holding a much smaller five-point margin among men. Independent voters are divided between the two candidates.

"It's a New Jersey habit electing Democrats to the Senate. The liberal mayor of Newark, Cory Booker, holds onto the double-digit lead over the conservative former mayor of Bogota, Steve Lonegan, that we measured when we first looked at likely voters," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

Booker's campaign released a video message Monday from President Barack Obama, who urged New Jersey voters to turn out for the Democratic candidate.

"Cory Booker has spent his entire life bringing people with different perspectives together, regardless of party, to take on tough challenges," said the President, in the video.

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted October 10-14, with 1,696 likely voters in New Jersey questioned by telephone. The poll's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.4 percentage points.


Filed under: 2013 • Cory Booker • New Jersey • Polls • Senate • Steve Lonegan
soundoff (17 Responses)
  1. Tampa Tim

    Since Sarah Palin threw her support behind Lonegan, Booker should bow out. Sarah knows how to use veterans for political purposes, and that means a lot to Fox viewers. Lonegan will win because New Jersey voters know that our country needs to elect one more crazy tea bagger.

    October 15, 2013 08:37 am at 8:37 am |
  2. Marie MD

    Two words that are not working any more except for the 20% of the backwoods crowd ( and I hate myself for writing this witch's name). . . . failin' palin.
    Couldn't do it!! She does sound more screeching than ever. She's aikido starting to look her "age". Must be all that hatred against everything she " stands" (or lies down) for.

    October 15, 2013 08:39 am at 8:39 am |
  3. Data Driven

    ""It's a New Jersey habit electing Democrats to the Senate. The liberal mayor of Newark, Cory Booker,"

    Bitter much, Mr. Carroll? I'm sure it's a South Carolina habit to elect Republicans to the Senate. What's your point?

    And by the way, Mr. Booker isn't "liberal".

    October 15, 2013 08:41 am at 8:41 am |
  4. 2L

    I can see why he has such a big advantage – I've see him on talk shows all the time, he is a very smart pragmatic guy.

    October 15, 2013 08:44 am at 8:44 am |
  5. Lynda/Minnesota

    Anyone ... and I mean ANYONE ... who allows Sarah Palin to become their spokesperson ought never to be given the chance to be voted into the United States Senate or the United States House of Representatives.

    Same applies to ALL TeaParty confederates looking to cash in and disrupt our government for their own personal amusement and financial gain. Especially those who can't seem to find employment outside of the government they so hate and love to protest against.

    Had any one of MSNBCs staff pulled what Palin pulled this weekend (with her hate speech and her anti-Obama impeachment messaging) against a sitting Republican U.S. President, the right wing would be pulling their hair out of their heads yelling "anti-American" talking points to high heaven in an attempt to get that person off the media air waves. Same applies to a sitting United States Senator ... or two attending such rallies.

    Not so much for FOX News now that these "anti-Americans" are one of their own, eh?

    Shaking my head with the stupidity of what has become of the so called "patriots" of this country. You know who they are. They wrap themselves in God, Flag, Hate, Anger, and Disrespect towards all who don't agree with their bigotry and their hate.

    October 15, 2013 09:05 am at 9:05 am |
  6. Peace

    Good news from New Jersey. Please make it happen. Even those who are not sure whom to vote for can go to Lonegan, still Booker will win. Too much of inviting the loser woman from Alaska to campaign. You stand closer to the loser, you will also smell like a loser and hence lose as well.

    October 15, 2013 09:08 am at 9:08 am |
  7. Rudy NYC

    The polling numbers would seem to indicate that the race is tighening because Booker had once had 20+ point advantage over Lonegan. But those same polls also reported nearly 20% of those polled as being undecided. The recent polls are showing that the undecided are making up their minds.

    I would be surprised if Booker does not win by at least 12 points. May his father rest in peace.

    October 15, 2013 09:11 am at 9:11 am |
  8. Tampa Tim

    While catching up on my reading from earlier posts, ED1 has finally introduced a republican plan that addresses the 45 million without healthcare. Give the $40 million to them and we save billions. Yep, that 90 cents would put them on the road to recovery.

    October 15, 2013 09:18 am at 9:18 am |
  9. the hippies were right

    For someone to call in Palin for help just proves he lives in lala land.

    October 15, 2013 09:23 am at 9:23 am |
  10. Name

    We are not going to put another tea party clowns in the Senate

    October 15, 2013 09:26 am at 9:26 am |
  11. MaryM

    Go Cory Booker!!! We have your back !!!

    Steve Lonegan Thought Failin Palin would help him. hahahahahaha

    October 15, 2013 09:36 am at 9:36 am |
  12. Bessy

    Good for him. Hopefully Sarah will pack her bags and get the hell out of N.J. now.

    October 15, 2013 09:42 am at 9:42 am |
  13. Dutch/Bad Newz, VA -aka- Take Back The House -aka- No Redemption Votes

    Palin Power may have worked for Cruz, but that ship drifted off to sea. That radical mumbo jumbo doesn't play well in the north east.

    October 15, 2013 09:50 am at 9:50 am |
  14. szipf

    Please, the only reason New Jersey is so Liberal and sSo Democratic is because it is the ethnic states... Mexican, Balcks, etc... and minority groups will always vote Democratic. Corey Booker is a Joke, and CNN is the Obama Network.

    October 15, 2013 09:55 am at 9:55 am |
  15. Norma Vessels

    Oh, I hope, hope, hope Mr. Booker wins. We desperately need more common sense, more thoughtfulness, more compassion for all us Americans, in Congress. The Republicans have none of those things. How do I know? All I have to do is watch them.

    October 15, 2013 09:57 am at 9:57 am |
  16. Tampa Tim

    szip – I heard about you profilers.

    October 15, 2013 09:59 am at 9:59 am |
  17. Larry in Houston

    LOL – – hey CNN, have you ever considered the gal from Alaska is hurting that guy ? LOL – Just like the thing I saw on CNN last night – You guys ran a clip on those people that were taking down the fence at one of the memorials, and somebody was over spoken on the microphone – saying a bunch of racial slurs about Obama, & etc..... THEN, You See Palin, chiming IN, and saying HER piece. LOL –

    Bottom line is this : Once 'ol Cruz figures out that she hurts him politically, just by being around him, or hollering on the microphone like she did yesterday on T.V. isn't going to win him the W.H. LOL –

    McCain finally figured it out, but it was too late – he already made his veep pick, at the time... ever notice he (McCain) has distanced his self from her, since then ?

    October 15, 2013 10:04 am at 10:04 am |