Poll: Surprise unlikely in NYC mayoral race
November 4th, 2013
11:35 AM ET
5 months ago

Poll: Surprise unlikely in NYC mayoral race

(CNN) – On Election Eve in New York City, a new survey tells the same story: Democrat Bill de Blasio is the overwhelming front runner in the battle for mayor.

According to an NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist Poll released Monday morning, de Blasio has a 41-percentage point 65%-24% lead over Republican Joe Lhota among likely voters.

De Blasio, the city Public Advocate, has enjoyed the commanding lead virtually since he won the crowded Democratic primary in early September, edging out once-dueling frontrunners City Council Speaker Christine Quinn and scandal-plagued former Rep. Anthony Weiner.

Lhota, a businessman, deputy mayor under Republican Rudy Giuliani and former head of the New York City transit authority, has been unable to close the gap with attacks blasting de Blasio for a perceived lack of executive experience, being soft on crime and his seeming eagerness to tax the wealthy.

None of the attacks have stuck with voters, leaving de Blasio poised to be the first Democrat elected mayor of the heavily liberal-leaning city in nearly a quarter century. He's run by promoting the idea of a New Yorker split in two between the haves and have-nots, while attacking Lhota for "extreme" Republican ideology.

Nearly four-fifths of likely Democratic voters, 79%, plan on voting for de Blasio while just 14% say they'll support Lhota. Independent candidate Adolfo Carrion has just two percent of Democrats backing him compared to four percent of all city voters.

The Republican vote is virtually flipped, 71% supporting Lhota while 21% say they'll vote for de Blasio. More than two-thirds of New Yorkers are registered Democrats.

The winner will succeed outgoing three-term independent Mayor Michael Bloomberg.

The survey was conducted October 29 through November 1, with 530 likely New York City voters questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error for likely voters is plus or minus 4.3 percentage points.


Filed under: Bill de Blasio • New York • New York mayoral race
soundoff (16 Responses)
  1. Al-NY,NY

    Lhota, a businessman, deputy mayor under Republican Rudy Giuliani and former head of the New York City transit authority
    -----------–

    Death nail number 1.......ANYTHING to do with Ghouliani. That opportunistic dictator was nothing until 9-11 and then became the "noun/verb/9-11" attention seeker. Death nail number 2.....the MTA. Cut service, raise fares, and basically doing nothing to make it better while sitting pretty with your big salary. Congratulations Mr Mayor (DeBlasio)

    November 4, 2013 11:44 am at 11:44 am |
  2. Gurgyl

    Republicans are gone to dogs. They better have some kind of policies. Pathetic is GOP do not have any policies either to benefit to this nation nor to ordinary, common man. This bothers me. All the while they are after Sam Walton, Koches, Adelsons, Glenn Beck, Rush etc. they better come to the planet called the Earth.

    November 4, 2013 11:48 am at 11:48 am |
  3. Thomas

    Has anybody seen Anthony Weiner's Keys to the City ?

    What will he do next ?

    November 4, 2013 11:48 am at 11:48 am |
  4. Dutch/Bad Newz, VA -aka- Take Back The House -aka- No Redemption Votes

    Duh! Tell us something we don't know. Anyway, I sure can't wait to see Weiner on Real Time with Bill Maher on Friday.

    November 4, 2013 11:50 am at 11:50 am |
  5. just saying

    nyc will deserve everything they get with this diblasio clown. they think bloomberg was a leftist control freak? ha! this guy is right out of socialist europe. the new face of the socialist/communist democrat party.

    November 4, 2013 12:02 pm at 12:02 pm |
  6. anonymous

    Dutch/Bad Newz, VA -aka- Take Back The House -aka- No Redemption Votes
    I sure can't wait to see Weiner
    -–

    Yes, we suspected as much.

    November 4, 2013 12:03 pm at 12:03 pm |
  7. Ol' Yeller

    just saying

    nyc will deserve everything they get with this diblasio clown. they think bloomberg was a leftist control freak? ha! this guy is right out of socialist europe. the new face of the socialist/communist democrat party.

    Blah, blah, blah, socialist. Blah, blah, blah, communist.Blah, blah, blah...

    Every post, every day, every string... blah, blah, blah.
    Come back when your party can win an election fair and square...

    November 4, 2013 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  8. Rudy NYC

    I know NYC seems to like electing Republicans as mayor, but a Tea Party Republican? Come on, man. Never happen.

    November 4, 2013 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  9. Jack

    Will tomorrow never come, so that Lhota can get his GOOD RIDDANCE.

    November 4, 2013 12:24 pm at 12:24 pm |
  10. cumulus

    Socialist, ha, your a gem! Your going to tell me that new Yorkers aren't getting the message, your priceless, thanks, I needed that today

    November 4, 2013 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  11. Lynda/Minnesota

    "On Election Eve in New York City, a new survey tells the same story: Democrat Bill de Blasio is the overwhelming front runner in the battle for mayor."

    Oh, yeah. And 2014 is just around the corner.

    Lets do this nationally, Democrats. This year. Next year. And in 2016

    November 4, 2013 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  12. Sniffit

    "Come back when your party can win an election fair and square..."

    Just a nice way of telling the GOP/Teatrolls to go away forever :-)

    What's the matter, CNN, afraid to report on the absurdities resulting from all the voter suppression laws the GOP/Teatrolls have enacted? Heck, the ones in TX just resulted in former Jim Wright, who was Speaker of the House, being denied a voter ID at age 90 (it also had the same result for Wendy Davis and Greg Abbot, who are running for governor). When is the MSM going to stop being cowed into submission by GOP/Teatroll accusations of "liberal bias" and finally report on their secret war to undo democracy in America?

    November 4, 2013 01:49 pm at 1:49 pm |
  13. sonkarlay

    All i can say is Tuesday will be a good day for democrats

    November 4, 2013 02:22 pm at 2:22 pm |
  14. 2L

    Congrats to De Blasio and McAuliffe!!

    November 4, 2013 02:30 pm at 2:30 pm |
  15. Registered Democrat

    I care about our city and I don't want to go back to the divisions racial tensions riots and crime of the "progressives". Under the "progressive" failures DeBlasio Dinkins we had 1990 anti-Asian anti-Korean Boycotts, the 1991 anti-Jewish riots in Brooklyn (which Gov Cuomos Girgenti report called the worst in NYC history, directed at Jews), the 1992 riots that tore apart Washington heights, and the crazy mugging and murder rates in the inner city brought on by the ivory tower left wing progressives who inflict criminals on all of us law abiding citizens of all races.
    This registered Democrat will be voting for Mr. Lhota. Lhota is the future. DeBlasio is the failed past that used to divide our city.

    November 4, 2013 02:42 pm at 2:42 pm |
  16. PaulCat

    If we want this country to move forward, in every election we need to vote all democrats into office..

    November 4, 2013 02:57 pm at 2:57 pm |