Poll: Christie, Clinton in virtual 2016 tie
November 13th, 2013
12:49 PM ET
12 months ago

Poll: Christie, Clinton in virtual 2016 tie

(CNN) – A week after his landslide re-election, a new poll indicates Republican Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey would be locked in a virtual tie with former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton if the 2016 presidential election were held today.

Forty-three percent of American voters support Christie, while 42% back the former secretary of state, according to the Quinnipiac University poll.

The one percentage point margin – a statistical tie – shows a much closer race between the two possible candidates than previous Quinnipiac polls this year, when Clinton held a steady advantage over Christie. Last month, Clinton was ahead of Christie by 13 points, 49%-36%.

The new survey was conducted days after Christie crushed his Democratic opponent in New Jersey to win a second term as a Republican governor in a deep blue state. His win, combined with a victory speech laden with national overtones, further fueled speculation that Christie is gearing up for a White House bid.

Clinton has also had a strong presence in the public eye in the last month, making high profile speeches around the country while her supporters grow more vocal in urging her to run.

"It's a long way off and no one is officially a candidate yet, but the Hillary Clinton-Chris Christie race to the White House is neck-and-neck before the campaign even saddles up," Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, said in a statement about the new poll.

An NBC News survey released Tuesday, however, shows Clinton with a 10-point advantage over Christie, 44% to 34%.

According to Quinnipiac, Clinton fares better than Christie among women, while Christie has more support from men. Independent voters, however, favor Christie by a 16-point margin, 48%-32%.
The potential rivals do equally well with their respective bases. Clinton wins 85% of Democrats; Christie wins 85% of Republicans.

Among white voters, Christie beats Clinton by 15 points, while Clinton holds 65-point advantage among African-Americans. Clinton leads among Hispanics by only eight points – a sharp drop from Obama's 44-point margin over Romney in 2012.

Christie appears to be Clinton's most formidable Republican challenger. She beats Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul by nine points, 2012 GOP vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan by nine points and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz by 14 points.

Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,545 registered voters nationwide by telephone from November 6-11. The sampling error is plus or minus 1.9 percentage points.


Filed under: 2016 • Chris Christie • Hillary Clinton • Polls
soundoff (29 Responses)
  1. Dutch/Bad Newz, VA -aka- Take Back The House -aka- No Redemption Votes

    Poll shmoll. Christie would lose in a landslide to Hillary. CNN, you know this and so does the rest of the country. But anyway, this poll is hypothetical. Just like all the polls said Romney was going to win. Ha! Christie won't make it out of the primaries.

    November 13, 2013 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  2. luke,az

    Why are we wasting time on who's running in 2016. There is too much work to be done right now. Let's concentrate on removing obstructionist Republicans in 2014. They're destroying our country. President Obama's healthcare program is improving lives every day. Good job Mr. President , stay the course !

    November 13, 2013 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  3. No Thank You BENGHAZI HILLARY

    We don't need a person in the White House that abandons Americans under attack overseas and then lies about it. We already have endured 5 years with a pathological liar in the White House and we have 3 more years to go. 4-8 years of her lies would be the last nails in the coffin of this country.

    November 13, 2013 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  4. A True Conservative

    Stop with the polls already – try actually investigating issues and reporting news! A few days ago She was trouncing christie.....the polls are meaningless now.....look into what really happened in Benghazi....what is going on in the IRS.....how did the ACA website end up in such terrble shape and wy did Obama lie to the American people?

    November 13, 2013 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  5. Lynda/Minnesota

    Well, it's never too early to start the presidential (not yet running) CANDIDATES ARE TIED meme ...

    Keeps everyone coming back for more.

    Or something.

    November 13, 2013 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  6. Rick McDaniel

    While I am not a fan of either, the lesser of 2 evils, is definitely Christie.

    November 13, 2013 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  7. Rudy NYC

    The Republicans will treat Christie the same way the treated Jon Huntsman. End of story. They like the "wacko birds."

    November 13, 2013 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  8. Thomas

    If you think Obama lacks transparency , wait till you have Chris Christie .

    Can't wait till the press asks Christie about his ties to "Bernie" Madoff and investment laws.

    November 13, 2013 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  9. rs

    Rudy NYC

    The Republicans will treat Christie the same way the treated Jon Huntsman. End of story. They like the "wacko birds."

    _______________________
    I tend to agree Rudy. The current state of the GOP pretty well precludes Christie as a national party figure- UNLESS they deep-six the TEA Party. I'm not holding my breath. Meanwhile everybody above who said (in essense) 3 years is way too early to be talking candidates or polling is right. There are lots of days and events ahead to impact this poll. It is right now, meaningless data.

    November 13, 2013 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  10. Larry in Houston

    well, I voted for 'ol Hill, but I'm willing to bet if this country had it to do all over again, they would have voted for the one who had the "experience" instead of the current occupant of the w.h.

    Bottom Line : He's a moderate, not a republican..... and if the extreme right wing doesn't embrace Christy, then they will lose again. We will see, come 2016, who they "embrace" .... it's definitely not going to be Cruz, LOL –

    Romney was not a Democrat, and he wasn't a real Moderate, either......To be perfectly honest, I really don't know what Romney was.....I mean, think about it, what do you call someone who puts a dog on top of his car while he's going on vacations / makes remarks & comments regarding the 47% issue / sells off factories & plants for a profit, and puts the billions of dollars he made, in offshore accounts / was a bully in high school / has elevators for his automobile collection, & the list goes ON......

    what do you call that type of person ?? Moderate ? Liberal ? Republican ?

    (Maybe that's just some of the reasons why he lost)

    November 13, 2013 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  11. smith

    Christie 2016 better get used to it. No one wants another Clinton in the WH. Right now, she is just riding the obama wave. When Obama is gone in 2016 people will forget about Hil-dogg and Christie will win.

    November 13, 2013 01:32 pm at 1:32 pm |
  12. Steve, New York City

    Gettng tired of constantly hearing about Miss Ego. I would vote for Christie over Hillary in a heartbeat.
    Curious as to what will be Hillary's talking points on Benghazi and Whitewater.

    November 13, 2013 01:32 pm at 1:32 pm |
  13. Bill from GA

    I hope the dem machine is not so intimidated by The Great Anointed One (Hillary) that they won't look into other possibilities. And remember, with Hillary you get Bill.

    We wouldn't have had 8 years of W if Bill wasn't so loose with his morals. I don't really care what he does, except as it affects the Country and the Democratic Party. But only a total idiot would give the opposition so much to work with, for nothing but his personal pleasure. And now Bill acts like he can give advice to Obama on keeping his 'promise'.

    As to Christie, Fat Chance (pun intended) of getting past the rightie primaries. Thankfully.

    November 13, 2013 01:34 pm at 1:34 pm |
  14. Jo Se

    One or the other it is all the same.

    You want freedom, you know that you have to go tea party.

    November 13, 2013 01:37 pm at 1:37 pm |
  15. sly

    Americans won't vote for an obese ugly man. Sorry – it's just a passing fad, kinda like Palinmania and NaziTedCruz mania.

    I kind of doubt Christie will live until the 2016 election – there is so much lard in his veins the fat man will very likely croak.

    Besides, why would anyone vote for a Republican? Didn't we learn from 8 years of Bush Oil Wars and 8 straight years of record Debt ceiling increases?

    November 13, 2013 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  16. Rudy NYC

    Larry asked:

    Romney was not a Democrat, and he wasn't a real Moderate, either......To be perfectly honest, I really don't know what Romney was.....I mean, think about it, what do you call someone who puts a dog on top of his car while he's going on vacations / makes remarks & comments regarding the 47% issue / sells off factories & plants for a profit, and puts the billions of dollars he made, in offshore accounts / was a bully in high school / has elevators for his automobile collection, & the list goes ON......

    what do you call that type of person ?? Moderate ? Liberal ? Republican ?
    --------------------------------------
    In his own words, Romney was a "serious conservative." He had Thurston Powell down pat.

    November 13, 2013 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  17. Tom

    Maybe Christie should jump ship. He'd probably have a better chance securing the Democratic ticket

    November 13, 2013 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
  18. Name Uche Agonsi

    Christie's presidency gamble would on be meaningful as Demo-turned Christie, not as Repub Christie. Either way its still a long long long time venture. CNN should rather look for ways to overcome the Repubs legislative obstructionism, as well as how to make the US Insurance business competitive.

    November 13, 2013 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  19. Jersey Girl

    Who cares if Christie is overweight. Hillary has so much surgery and work done she is hiding the fact that she is pushing 70 years old. Her fake hair, teeth, neck, face and lips are just an example of how fake she is! Christie looks like he looks. He is not hiding anything. Would you be happier if he had some liposuction and a facelift? How superficial. He is a better man for the job. Hillary could not even keep her husband from cheating on her. She is a disgrace to all women in the world and I would not vote for her nor would anyone that I know!

    November 13, 2013 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  20. Al-NY,NY

    Steve, New York City

    Curious as to what will be Hillary's talking points on Benghazi and Whitewater.
    ------------

    there's nothing to talk about so unless the tightie righties bring them up (and they will), she'll give the right answer......"already debunked. next question, preferably from someone who has a working brain"

    November 13, 2013 01:59 pm at 1:59 pm |
  21. scooter

    Christie's biggest problem is the party he belongs to. 2 years of soul-killing conservative circus hijinx can ruin just about any candidate. Remember the complete disaster of the unending GOP "debates"? Years of painting themselves into a smaller and smaller portion of the political arena. Christie, if he wants to win, has to peal off democrats as well as hold all the GOP. If he cow-tows to the rightwing that will spell disaster. He should just quit the GOP and run against Hillary as a democrat. He'd have a better chance to win. Since he does not seem to be much of a party loyalists I am sure he has thought about it.

    November 13, 2013 02:01 pm at 2:01 pm |
  22. DRJJJ

    Bill, " the role model" Clinton again? Have we learned nothin?

    November 13, 2013 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  23. Rudy NYC

    Steve, New York City wrote:

    Curious as to what will be Hillary's talking points on Benghazi and Whitewater.
    --------------–
    "At this point in time, what difference does it make?" Right wing media listeners exhibit troubling short term memory loss.

    November 13, 2013 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  24. Steve, New York City

    Thanks, Al. I'm not a fan of either extreme. In fact, I think that both sides truly ruin the country –whether it's on the right (Sarah Palin, Joe the Plumber) or the left (Al Sharpton, Nancy Pelosi).
    I disagree that there's nothing to talk about on Benghazi or Whitewater. I recall that Hillary began testifying, and then started crying. Don't you want to hear more about this??? Or maybe we should leave that to someone who actually has a working brain. :)

    November 13, 2013 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  25. And the beat goes on...

    is there anyone out there who doesn't know that Quinnipiac skews way to the right??? Hill would beat Christie like dirty rug....

    November 13, 2013 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
1 2