NY Polls: Cuomo in strong 2014 position but trails Clinton in 2016 race
November 26th, 2013
09:55 AM ET
5 months ago

NY Polls: Cuomo in strong 2014 position but trails Clinton in 2016 race

(CNN) - New York State Gov. Andrew Cuomo's in a strong position to win re-election next year, two new polls suggest.

But one of the surveys also indicates that among New York state Democrats, Cuomo's a distant second to former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, who represented the Empire State for eight years in the U.S. Senate, when it comes to their pick for their party's presidential nominee in 2016.


According to a Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday morning, 62% of New York state voters say they approve of the job Cuomo's doing as Governor, with just one in four giving him a thumbs-down.

Cuomo's approval rating is up nine percentage points from a Quinnipiac survey in June. The Governor's approval rating is even up to 50%-37% among Republicans. Support of GOP voters was crucial to Cuomo's sky-high approval ratings in Quinnipiac surveys during his first two years in office, in 2011 and 2012.

And the poll also indicates that nearly six in 10 Empire State voters say Cuomo deserves a second term in Albany, and he has a more than two-to-one lead over a possible Republican challenger in a hypothetical 2014 gubernatorial showdown.

"At mid-year, Cuomo was coming off a generally unsatisfying legislative session.  His news-making plan to make Roe v Wade part of state law and his anti-corruption efforts didn't go anywhere," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Now his job approval as he heads into the election year is healthy and a big majority of New Yorkers think he deserves a second term."

According to the survey, Cuomo tops Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino, a possible Republican challenger, 56%-25% in a possible 2014 general election showdown.

Cuomo's approval/disapproval rating stands at 52%-44% in a new NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist College poll also released Tuesday. Cuomo's approval rating edged down two points from April.

According to that survey, Cuomo leads Astorino and two other potential GOP challengers by at least 40 points each in possible matchups. The survey also puts Cuomo at 70% and Donald Trump at 24% in a hypothetical general election showdown.

"Right now, Governor Cuomo is in good shape to win a second term. None of Governor Cuomo's likely challengers are in striking distance," said Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion.

Cuomo is also considered a possible 2016 contender for the Democratic presidential nomination, as is Clinton, who, if she decides to make another bid for the White House, would instantly become the overwhelming frontrunner for the Democratic nomination.

According to the Marist survey, 64% of New York state Democrats say they support Clinton as their party's nominee, with Cuomo at 14%, Vice President Joe Biden at 8%, freshman Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts at 6%, and Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley with 3%.

Among New York state Republicans, Gov. Chris Christie of neighboring New Jersey, at 40%, tops a crowded GOP field. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, each at 10%, are the only other possible White House contenders cracking double digits.
In general election showdowns, Clinton leads Christie 57%-39% among registered voters, with Cuomo ahead of Christie 51%-44%. A Siena College survey released earlier this month indicated Christie leading Cuomo but trailing Clinton in hypothetical presidential matchups for New York's 29 electoral votes.

New York is reliably blue in presidential elections. The last Republican to capture the state in a presidential contest was President Ronald Reagan in his 1984 re-election landslide.

Last week, as he has in the past, Cuomo downplayed talk of any 2016 run.

"Hillary Clinton is 'apparently' running for president of the United States, and I should also say Chris Christie is 'apparently' running for president of the United States," Cuomo told reporters, adding that  "I, very apparently, am not."

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted November 20-24, with 1,337 New York State voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.

The NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist College poll was conducted November 18-20, with 675 registered voters in the Empire State questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error for registered voters is plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.


Filed under: 2014 • 2016 • Andrew Cuomo • Chris Christie • Hillary Clinton • New York
soundoff (10 Responses)
  1. Rudy NYC

    I think Democrats are just a little bit too in love with Hillary. I think she missed her best opportunity in 2008. She's likely to be an unelectable candidate in 2014. I hate to say it, but it will turn out to be the case. Just wait and see. Hopefully, Clinton has learned from her failed 2008 campaing, which was actually very poorly run. Her campaign had lacked a Plan B. It was as if the entire process was a coronation in the making, and the process is looking to repeat itself.

    November 26, 2013 10:22 am at 10:22 am |
  2. dan

    Hillary isn't liberal enough for this democrat party. Fauxahontas or Cory Booker or God forbid one of the awful dem mayors who head all 25 of America's poorest cities will take her down. Deveal Patrick would also take her out. It's just a matter of time. 2008 was her time. She is worried that is why she is campaigning so early.

    November 26, 2013 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  3. Abbey

    Just like Obama. Let's not forget Hillary was the can't miss candidate in 2008. lol

    November 26, 2013 10:39 am at 10:39 am |
  4. Data Driven

    Cuomo & Clinton = no material difference.

    And man, Rudy, are you ever right about Dems being a little too in love with Clinton. Just the other day she was commanding everyone to vote only for politicians who compromise. So what does that tell liberals? - I'm gonna compromise with the party who have used the threat of a filibuster more times in 5 years than almost the entirety of all other Presidential terms combined? Thanks, but no. I continue to await an actual liberal to step forth. Failing that, I'll hold my nose and vote for Clinton, but that's where it ends for me: no phonebanking, no donations, no extra effort. I will not be alone in my disappointment and apathy, either.

    As for Cuomo: this corporatist Blue Dog ain't the answer, and won't beat Clinton in the primaries, in any case.

    November 26, 2013 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  5. Larry in Houston

    """Her campaign had lacked a Plan B"""
    Answer : If she had the $$$$$ – she could have done like Romney done in Florida......It was like spraying the whole state with DDT- – - except with ads / newspapers / billboards / TV / Radio / flyers / and etc .... he had such a ground game, that it drounded out the Newtster...
    IF she had enough money to do that in the 6 battleground states, she would have made it....(Just Saying)

    November 26, 2013 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  6. The Real Tom Paine

    Governing is not about an ideological agenda, but tackling problems. Cuomo is interested in solving problems.

    November 26, 2013 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  7. Gurgyl

    Hillary wins with thumping majority just like Obama.

    November 26, 2013 10:58 am at 10:58 am |
  8. Rudy NYC

    """Her campaign had lacked a Plan B"""
    Answer : If she had the $$$$$ – she could have done like Romney done in Florida......It was like spraying the whole state with DDT- – – except with ads / newspapers / billboards / TV / Radio / flyers / and etc .... he had such a ground game, that it drounded out the Newtster...
    IF she had enough money to do that in the 6 battleground states, she would have made it....(Just Saying)
    ---------------
    You're clueless. The Plan B that her 2008 campaign lacked was a strategy that extended beyond Super Tuesday. They ran out of money because they had spent it all, assuming that Hillary would have had it wrapped up early. They were totally unprepared for an extended campaign that ran until mid-June.

    They had figured Hillary would primaries by landslides. She didn't. Why do you think she cried after the New Hampshire(?) primary loss? She realized then that they had gotten it all worng.

    November 26, 2013 11:11 am at 11:11 am |
  9. Lynda/Minnesota

    @ Data: "Failing that, I'll hold my nose and vote for Clinton, but that's where it ends for me: no phonebanking, no donations, no extra effort. I will not be alone in my disappointment and apathy, either."

    I have to tell you Data, I'll be right there with you. That being said, my husband for whatever reason is on record as stating he looks forward to voting for her.

    Go figure.

    November 26, 2013 11:22 am at 11:22 am |
  10. Data Driven

    Lynda, I'm just glad you and your husband are voting. We all know the consequences if we don't.

    Unfortunately, this may not sink in with liberal voters who will be disappointed with a corporatist Democratic nominee. Liberals have lousy commitment when it comes to voting: I submit the differential between the AG and Governor race in Virginia as Exhibit A.

    November 26, 2013 11:45 am at 11:45 am |