Poll: Ohio governor ahead in hypothetical matchup against Dem
November 26th, 2013
09:55 AM ET
8 months ago

Poll: Ohio governor ahead in hypothetical matchup against Dem

(CNN) - Republican Gov. John Kasich of Ohio has an advantage over a Democratic challenger in next year's gubernatorial election, but that margin is narrowing and less than half of voters believe Kasich deserves re-election, according to a new poll.

A Quinnipiac University survey released Tuesday shows the incumbent governor has a 44%-37% lead over Democratic candidate and Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald.

Kasich's lead over FitzGerald however, was twice as big in a June 25 survey by Quinnipiac, before FitzGerald announced his bid for governor.

While the Democrat has gained ground in the polls, he still has a long way to go in terms of name recognition; 71% of voters don't know enough about him to say whether they have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him.

"It will take a lot of money and time for the Cuyahoga County Executive to reach those voters, but introducing himself to them is his job one," Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, said in a release. "While FitzGerald is trying to define himself, Kasich can be expected to spend a pretty penny trying to negatively define the Democrat."

For Kasich, who some consider a potential presidential contender, his approval ratings have drastically increased since he took office in 2011 and received sharp criticism for signing into law restrictions on collective bargaining rights.

A majority of voters–52%–now approve of the job Kasich is doing as Governor.

"His approval ratings mark a huge turnaround from his first two years, when his job approval was in the 30s and Democrats were licking their chops at the prospect of making him a one-termer," Brown said. "But he's below the 50 percent mark in the matchup and on whether he deserves reelection."

Forty-eight percent of Ohio voters say he should serve another term, while 39% say he doesn't deserve another four years in office.

The GOP Governor made headlines with his decision to accept federal subsidies to expand the number of people eligible for Medicaid, a major piece of the Affordable Care Act that governors can opt out of. About half of states have accepted the expansion. Many Republican governors have rejected it.

In Ohio, 51% of voters support expanding Medicaid, while 40% say it's a bad idea, according to the poll. Nearly a quarter of registered voters–23%–say they are less likely to vote for Kasich because of his decision, while 19% say it makes them more likely to vote for him. But more than half–54%–say it won't affect their vote.

"Because of Kasich's Medicaid expansion, 24 percent of Republicans say they are less likely to vote for him. History tells us, however, that many of those alienated party members come home on Election Day because they find the other candidates less palatable," Brown said.

Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,361 registered voters by telephone from November 19 – 24, with an overall sampling error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.


Filed under: 2014 • John Kasich • Ohio • Polls
soundoff (27 Responses)
  1. Malory Archer

    Meanwhile, Ohio's economy continues circling the bowl as more and more citizens find themselves cast from the middle class. Can someone remind me again the definition of insanity?

    November 26, 2013 10:03 am at 10:03 am |
  2. Tampa Tim

    At least Kasick will get as much money from the Kochs as Scott in FL got to run negative ads. Since neither has a record to run on, negative ads it is.

    November 26, 2013 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  3. Erick Holmes

    The Tea Party movement, maybe.

    November 26, 2013 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  4. Tampa Tim

    I would hope that the baggers find out that Kasich took money from the ACA to expand Medicaid. That should get him primaried.

    November 26, 2013 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  5. Rudy NYC

    Ohio voters, don't be fools. Remember, this is the same guy who launched a war against unions and collective bargaining. The voters will able to win in a referendum. But, do Ohio voters remember what Kasich said in defeat? He said that it was "TOO SOON" for those policies to be implemented. In other words, he will take a victory as a mandate to revive the right wing against unions in the State of Ohio.

    November 26, 2013 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  6. sonnie3

    I would not vote for either one of them. We need fresh faces with no government ties to get this country on a path to keep our liberties and freedoms.

    November 26, 2013 10:22 am at 10:22 am |
  7. Fair is Fair

    Malory Archer

    Can someone remind me again the definition of insanity?
    -------
    Sure. It's clearly defind as electing an inexperienced poser community organizer twice, expecting a different result.

    November 26, 2013 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  8. Norma Vessels

    To the people of Ohio .. do like we did in Kentucky. Get a Democratic Governor. Life is better with a Governor who is looking out for his/her people, not taking away from colleges and schools, and our right to good insurance. Why isn't your Governor getting the Medicare help for you? Why isn't he helping the schools instead of taking away from them? Why is he being such a ..... Republican!?

    November 26, 2013 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  9. Malory Archer

    Fair is Fair

    Malory Archer

    Can someone remind me again the definition of insanity?
    ---
    Sure. It's clearly defind as electing national guard deserting coke head war monger twice, expecting a different result.

    ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    FIFY. You're welcome.

    November 26, 2013 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  10. Larry in Houston

    I don't keep up much now days with Kasich, but when I used to live in that area, the best Governors of Ohio were : Gilligan / Rhodes / Voinovich / and maybe Strickland......... Those were the ones that made O H I O – Ohio....money flowing / Jobs everywhere / you could apply anywhere / everywhere / ...not now days......sorry to say it, but it's the opposite....

    November 26, 2013 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  11. anotherGDlefty

    In another hypothetical election poll, Tony the Tiger is leading Bugs Bunny ......
    How about worrying about 2013 and 2014 problems instead of running already?
    Can't handle today so lets plan for the next one, brilliant strategy.
    Just keep right on primping for the 2016 elections...in 3 GD years...

    November 26, 2013 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  12. Fair is Fair

    Malory Archer

    Fair is Fair

    Malory Archer

    Can someone remind me again the definition of insanity?
    -
    Sure. It's clearly defind as electing national guard deserting coke head war monger twice, expecting a different result.

    ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    FIFY. You're welcome.
    ------
    Bush derangement syndrome is sooooo 2008. FAIL.

    November 26, 2013 10:38 am at 10:38 am |
  13. rs

    Fair is Fair

    Malory Archer

    Can someone remind me again the definition of insanity?
    ---
    Sure. It's clearly defind as electing an inexperienced poser community organizer twice, expecting a different result.
    __________
    You conveniently forget: U.S. Senator; Lawyer; University Professor; editor of a Law Review and: someone who kicked both John McCain's and Mitt Romney's butt!

    November 26, 2013 10:40 am at 10:40 am |
  14. The Real Tom Paine

    Well, Kasich would have Obama to thank for that, since the auto bailout boosted employment in the state enough to win Obama re-election last year. The question for Ohio is, do you re-elect a former hedge-fund manager who wanted to gut spending for police and firefighters while boosting pay for himself and his staff? What kind of message does that send to the average person trying to make it?

    November 26, 2013 10:49 am at 10:49 am |
  15. Fair is Fair

    rs

    Fair is Fair

    Malory Archer

    Can someone remind me again the definition of insanity?
    -
    Sure. It's clearly defind as electing an inexperienced poser community organizer twice, expecting a different result.
    __________
    You conveniently forget: U.S. Senator; Lawyer; University Professor; editor of a Law Review and: someone who kicked both John McCain's and Mitt Romney's butt!
    ---------
    I'll take an experienced Senator and war hero and a successful governor and businessman over the divider-in-chief ANY day... unfortunately the hopium is taking way too long to wear off for the low-info takers.

    November 26, 2013 10:49 am at 10:49 am |
  16. Malory Archer

    Fair is Fair

    Bush derangement syndrome is sooooo 2008. FAIL.

    ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    Sorry babe, your ilk isn't getting off the hook for the damage wrought by that eight year reign or error, nor will you be allowed to rewrite history in your favor because the facts are there for anyone with more than two active braincells to research.

    BTW, ya wanna talk derangement syndromes – howsabout your ilk blaming Carter and the CRA for the 2007 rethug housing bust? Now THAT'S some SERIOUS derangement!

    November 26, 2013 10:59 am at 10:59 am |
  17. Malory Archer

    Fair is Fair, the only people dividing this nation are your hate-filled ilk who just can't get over the fact that they lost – and will continue to do so.

    November 26, 2013 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  18. sonny chapman

    I salute the Gov. for bucking the Repub. Party Line & taking the Fed $ under Obamacare to help out his constituents; kinda like Christie did in N.J. after their Storm. Kasich cited his Faith as found in the Four Gospels as a factor in his decision.Surprise, surprise; Jesus was a LIBERAL. P.S. -That will come as a shock to Sarah Palin & her Disciples.

    November 26, 2013 11:08 am at 11:08 am |
  19. Lynda/Minnesota

    "Kasich's lead over FitzGerald however, was twice as big in a June 25 survey by Quinnipiac, before FitzGerald announced his bid for governor."

    John Kasich, huh? Not a candidate I'd ever vote for. Too wishy-washy for my taste. I see in the article that CNN is also suggesting Kasich is being considered a maybe contender for President of the United States.

    Not going to happen, but I wish him good will trying.

    November 26, 2013 11:10 am at 11:10 am |
  20. ghostwriter

    Kasic will probably win because Fitzy sucks. Then again, Kasic will probably get Cruz and Palin to campaign for him, thus making this a pretty close election.

    November 26, 2013 11:11 am at 11:11 am |
  21. Fair is Fair

    Malory Archer

    Fair is Fair, the only people dividing this nation are your hate-filled ilk who just can't get over the fact that they lost – and will continue to do so.
    -------
    Hahahahaha... oh, Malory... your "I know you are but what am I" cute retorts would make P.W. Herman so very proud. Your only audience, dwindling as it is, can only be described as ideaologues convinced. Rotsa ruck with that.

    November 26, 2013 11:21 am at 11:21 am |
  22. Data Driven

    @Fair,

    "I'll take an experienced Senator and war hero and a successful governor and businessman over the divider-in-chief ANY day... unfortunately the hopium is taking way too long to wear off for the low-info takers."

    I'm taking my partisan hat entirely for this rebuttal; I would say the following if the men were in the Democratic Party. In fact, I'll start with a Dem, Hillary:

    She assumed an impending coronation and got out-hustled by a man she underestimated.

    McCain demonstrated his unfitness for the Presidency when he ran around like a chicken with its head cut off when the economy collapsed in September 08. Obama, in contrast, was calm and measured. Before then, the race was close; McCain even led in some polls. And let's not forget his pick for VP, a woman who apparently chosen for her good looks. McCain made his judgments; voters made theirs.

    Romney demonstrated a contempt for working people not seen since Robert Moses ran for Governor of New York in the 30s. The 47% comment, along with vast personal wealth and overall demeanor of a car salesman, left voters cold.

    And isn't it time conservatives let go of the " inexperienced" meme? Only 2 living men have more experience as President: Bill Clinton and George W. Bush.

    November 26, 2013 11:22 am at 11:22 am |
  23. tom l

    @Mallory
    "BTW, ya wanna talk derangement syndromes – howsabout your ilk blaming Carter and the CRA for the 2007 rethug housing bust? Now THAT'S some SERIOUS derangement!"

    Would you really like to understand why your statement is wrong and actually learn something about economics or do you want to remain in your partisan echo chamber? It's your call. There is blame to laid on both sides, by the way.

    November 26, 2013 11:26 am at 11:26 am |
  24. Malory Archer

    Fair is Fair

    Hahahahaha... oh, Malory... your "I know you are but what am I" cute retorts would make P.W. Herman so very proud. Your only audience, dwindling as it is, can only be described as ideaologues convinced. Rotsa ruck with that.

    +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    I know, the truth is really painful, but the sooner you accept it and stop projecting, the sooner you can begin to heal.

    November 26, 2013 11:32 am at 11:32 am |
  25. Malory Archer

    tom l

    Would you really like to understand why your statement is wrong and actually learn something about economics or do you want to remain in your partisan echo chamber? It's your call. There is blame to laid on both sides, by the way

    ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    Well tom, since you know soooooooo much about it how about you explain IN DETAIL instead of engaging in ad hominem attacks, they crying and accusing me of being mean to you when I call you on it? Can ya do that? No? Didn't think so, but thanks for playing!

    November 26, 2013 11:36 am at 11:36 am |
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