Ohio poll: Clinton, Christie tied; Obama approval rating at lowest point
November 27th, 2013
08:28 AM ET
5 months ago

Ohio poll: Clinton, Christie tied; Obama approval rating at lowest point

(CNN) - In the crucial swing state of Ohio, voters are practically split between Hillary Clinton and Chris Christie in a hypothetical 2016 presidential matchup, according to a new survey.

And in a potentially bad sign for 2014 Democrats, the new Quinnipiac University poll indicates the President's approval rating is at its lowest point in Quinnipiac polling history–nationally or in any state–at 34%.

Clinton v. Christie

The survey, which was released Wednesday, shows 42% of registered voters back the former Secretary of State while 41% support the recently re-elected Republican governor from New Jersey.

"Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie are the 2016 leaders to Ohio voters, locked in a statistical tie," Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling institute, said in a release.

The Ohio poll is the latest survey to show Christie gaining ground against Clinton in a swing state. A Quinnipiac poll in Colorado last week indicated Christie ahead of Clinton by eight percentage points.

Three recent surveys in the reliably blue state of New York, however, show Christie trailing behind Clinton, who served eight years as Senator from the Empire State.

In the new Quinnipiac poll, Clinton topples Republican Gov. John Kasich of Ohio, 49%-38%. The governor, who's considered a possible 2016 White House contender, faces re-election next year, and a Quinnipiac survey released Tuesday showed him ahead of his likely Democratic opponent by only seven percentage points.

Ohio voters also support Clinton over other potential Republican contenders, including former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas.

None of the mentioned potential candidates have announced bids for the White House, but many of them have made high-profile trips to swing states or have said they're considering a run.

"Ms. Clinton easily defeats a bevy of other potential GOP aspirants," Brown said. "Interestingly, when voters are asked whether she would make a good president, more say yes, than say they would vote for her."

Also of note, voters are divided, 44%-45%, on whether Washington experience or experience outside the nation's capital would help someone be a good President, Brown added.

Another potential candidate, Republican Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin, sparked a debate when he argued last week in an interview that the next presidential and vice presidential nominees should be a current or former governor–though he noted his friend from Wisconsin, Rep. Paul Ryan, would be an exception.

Bad news for Democrats

With the President's approval rating dropping in recent polls–including the new Quinnipiac survey–Democrats on the ballot next year are concerned about a trickle-down effect.

At 34%, Obama's approval rating in Ohio is six percentage points lower than his previous low point in the Buckeye State, when it was at 40% this past June.

A majority–57%–say the President is not honest or trustworthy, while 39% say the opposite, according to the new survey.

"Clearly much of the reason for the president's decline in Ohio is 'Obamacare'," Brown said. "Ohio voters oppose the Affordable Care Act 59 – 35 percent. Perhaps more significantly, voters say 45 – 16 percent they expect their own health care to be worse rather than better a year from now."

"If voters still feel that way about their own situation come November 2014, that is likely to create a political playing field beneficial for Republicans," Brown added.

Apologizing for the broken promise that Obama and his fellow Democrats made in order to sell his signature health care plan–"If you like your plan, you can keep it"–the President acknowledged how the program's troubled kick-off could hurt Democrats in the voting booth.

"There is no doubt that our failure to rollout the ACA smoothly has put a burden on Democrats, whether they are running or not because they stood up and supported this effort through thick and thin," Obama said earlier this month.

In fact, a CNN/ORC International poll released Tuesday showed a dramatic turnaround in the battle for control of Congress in next year's midterm elections.

While Democrats had a lead a month ago, the new poll indicates the GOP now holds a narrow 49%-47% advantage over Democrats when respondents are asked to choose between a Republican and a Democrat in their congressional district, without the candidates being identified.

Despite the flawed launch of HealthCare.gov, a majority of Americans still seem to have an open mind about whether Obamacare will work, and more than half of those surveyed in another CNN/ORC poll believe the current problems can be solved.

Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,361 registered voters by telephone from November 19 – 24, with an overall sampling error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.

– CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2014 • Chris Christie • Hillary Clinton • Ohio • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (213 Responses)
  1. Anonymous

    and Obama will blame someone else for that instead of looking at a mirror. He better wise up fast if he wants a decent legacy.

    November 27, 2013 08:32 am at 8:32 am |
  2. truth hurts but reality bites

    And in a potentially bad sign for 2014 Democrats, the new Quinnipiac University poll indicates the President's approval rating is at its lowest point in Quinnipiac polling history–nationally or in any state–at 34%.
    --

    The more Obama and the Democrats double down on their lies about Obamacare, the lower they go. Sooner or later they must make a choice, repeal Obamacare or face extinction in 2014 & 2016. Your choice Democrats. Ride the Obamacare anchor to the bottom or let it go and survive. We all know you'll choose the wrong one. That's how we got Obamacare in the first place.

    November 27, 2013 08:36 am at 8:36 am |
  3. Fair is Fair

    34% approval, eh? Rut-roh...

    Hillary is going to have to distance herself from this failure post haste.

    November 27, 2013 08:37 am at 8:37 am |
  4. Dutch/Bad Newz, VA -aka- Take Back The House -aka- No Redemption Votes

    Republicans still have to answer how come they shutdown the government and wasted $24 BILLION of taxpayers money. There's no getting around that FACT!!! I guess they think people will catch a case of amnesia. One word for you GOP: VIRGINIA

    November 27, 2013 08:39 am at 8:39 am |
  5. Phyllis Gwendoline Williams

    He must be low as he is at the highest point in the nation (smile)

    November 27, 2013 08:41 am at 8:41 am |
  6. just saying

    no doubt hillary has already paid obama to endorse joe biden. but she already has the stink of 4 years of the obama administration on her. her only major accomplishment was getting 4 people killed in benghazi.

    November 27, 2013 08:41 am at 8:41 am |
  7. Gurgyl

    I don't trust this fabricated poll. Yes, Hillary16.
    PS: this NJ dude is not even qualified to be a cook in WH.

    November 27, 2013 08:46 am at 8:46 am |
  8. just asking

    Gurgyl - I don't trust this fabricated poll.
    -–

    did you see the poll that said 100% of the american people really enjoy having their healthcare insurance cancelled and then paying twice as much for less when they go to replace it? of course not. because that is the reality of what is happening, burrow that head even further in the sand!

    November 27, 2013 08:51 am at 8:51 am |
  9. jinx9to88

    @ truth hurts but reality bites
    The more Obama and the Democrats double down on their lies about Obamacare, the lower they go.

    ------–

    Funny but yet the Dems seem to win VA in the most recent election. I may have to try the Fox bubble once to see want kind of fantasy world they are in. Once Christie has to go through his GOP primary he will have to go so far to the right he will turn off Independents. He didn't have to go to far to the right in the last election he was in, but in the GOP primary he will. That is what lost Mittens.

    November 27, 2013 08:53 am at 8:53 am |
  10. Rudy NYC

    Man, the media has just been blistering Pres. Obama ever since that NSA/AP story broke out. How come they didn't poll Christie against Kasich, or did I miss it?

    November 27, 2013 08:54 am at 8:54 am |
  11. Deomcorats,Obama bad for America.

    jinx9to88

    @ truth hurts but reality bites
    The more Obama and the Democrats double down on their lies about Obamacare, the lower they go.

    --–

    Funny but yet the Dems seem to win VA in the most recent election. I may have to try the Fox bubble once to see want kind of fantasy world they are in. Once Christie has to go through his GOP primary he will have to go so far to the right he will turn off Independents. He didn't have to go to far to the right in the last election he was in, but in the GOP primary he will. That is what lost Mittens.
    ____________________________
    One thing you did not mention, McAffuie has a 7-10 point lead going into October, after Obama Care came out he almost lost the race, he won by narrow margin. Come November of next year you will see Republicans controling both House and Senate. I see impeachment proceedings against Obama next year =)

    November 27, 2013 09:01 am at 9:01 am |
  12. Name jk. Sfl. GOP CRUZ lee&rubio 24billion dallar LOSS of your tax money conservatives,the garbage of America.

    I would have to vote for Clinton just because of the GOP party incompetents that the GOP represents. You can't reward the GOP incompetents and obstruction for the last five years !!!!!!

    November 27, 2013 09:01 am at 9:01 am |
  13. TONE

    Cnn is at it again can't stop your negative reporting of the President it's one poll yesterday, another today, i am getting the feeling that Cnn and fox have secretly merged.

    November 27, 2013 09:08 am at 9:08 am |
  14. Deomcorats,Obama bad for America.

    Name jk. Sfl. GOP CRUZ lee&rubio 24billion dallar LOSS of your tax money conservatives,the garbage of America.

    I would have to vote for Clinton just because of the GOP party incompetents that the GOP represents. You can't reward the GOP incompetents and obstruction for the last five years !!!!!!
    _____________________________________________
    Vote for Clinton for another 5 years of destroying this country, that is all Obama and the Democrats are good at. Thank God Republicans are trying to save this country.

    November 27, 2013 09:09 am at 9:09 am |
  15. MaryM

    Yes, President Obama ratings are low, But take a good guess at whose ratings are even LOWER. That's right, you wonderful republicans. You think because of the ACA the Majority of Americans will forget what you have done and not done over the last five years. Think again, repubs. You think you are winning the battle, but you have already lost the war

    November 27, 2013 09:10 am at 9:10 am |
  16. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    Why is the usual suspects so enamored with polling the President?
    Is he running for a third term? No.
    Do they have a viable candidate to run in 2016? No.
    So I guess, so waxing philosophical about the President's so-called ratings must be their way of deflecting from the fact that they've got no one to run in 2016 that would poll as high NATIONALLY as the President's lowest polls.
    No one.
    Here comes another clown car full of GOPers.

    November 27, 2013 09:11 am at 9:11 am |
  17. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    Gurgyl
    PS: this NJ dude is not even qualified to be a cook in WH.
    -------------------------------------------------
    But he's ALL they've got to throw in the ring Gurgyl, so they have to build him up and blow him up just like they did with Mittens.
    It won't work.
    Again.

    November 27, 2013 09:18 am at 9:18 am |
  18. Lynda/Minnesota

    @ Dominican mama

    I know. Hanging on polls that have absolutely no standing is all GOPerville has left to gin up their base.

    Reminds me of Karl Rove's whiteboard. He was schooling the folks about Ohio voting election night 2012. Of course, Mitt Romney was going to turn Minnesota red ... a Quinnipiac poll as well, wasn't it?

    November 27, 2013 09:20 am at 9:20 am |
  19. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    Correction, that should've been: "Why ARE the usual suspects..."
    Pardon.

    November 27, 2013 09:22 am at 9:22 am |
  20. Just

    Seriously, how can the community organizer get any approvals?

    November 27, 2013 09:23 am at 9:23 am |
  21. William1444

    For 5 years, obama has had a negative opinion from republicans who constitute about half of Americans.
    It does not matter what he does or what he tries to accomplish for the good of America.
    The ankle biting, yap dog, racist, phony christian republicans are going to hate obama and
    Democrats who work for the average working American while republicans represent only the
    rich and the upper middle income country club set who think they are better than others.

    November 27, 2013 09:25 am at 9:25 am |
  22. anonymous

    MaryM
    Yes, President Obama ratings are low, But take a good guess at whose ratings are even LOWER. That's right, you wonderful republicans. You think because of the ACA the Majority of Americans will forget what you have done and not done over the last five years. Think again, repubs. You think you are winning the battle, but you have already lost the war
    --

    Ignoring the latest poll that has Americans picking Republicans over Democrats 49% to 47% huh? Yeah, I would too if I lived in Denial World like most Democrats right now.

    November 27, 2013 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  23. Marie MD

    I don't believe this poll.
    Crisco has already moved to the far right. Actually he was always there just in bigger terms and blocking the view.
    The only thing the teaklans have against Hillary is their mind fabricated what happened in Benghazi.
    She has shown, like the Kennedy's did, that they will do whatever is best for the country and put their petty little differences aside. She served her country at the State Department with honor. She never, at least publicly, cried and witched that she didn't win the election nor did she blame the 47+% for her loss. She stepped aside and when the time came she did what she had to do with dignity and very well, I might add.
    How many of these right wing teaklans, including their never go away screecher queen, can claim an honorable defeat?
    This guy can lose all the pounds and have his skin tighten to the hilt but he will NEVER be president. He has done very little for most people in NJ before, during and after Sandy. When the twit's campaign doesn't want you because of the skeletons and your involvement with Maddoff and company, among other things, you know you are not worthy and everything will come out at the end.

    November 27, 2013 09:29 am at 9:29 am |
  24. Democrats,Obama bad for America.

    MaryM

    Yes, President Obama ratings are low, But take a good guess at whose ratings are even LOWER. That's right, you wonderful republicans. You think because of the ACA the Majority of Americans will forget what you have done and not done over the last five years. Think again, repubs. You think you are winning the battle, but you have already lost the war
    ___________________________
    Its not surprising that you see everything thru rose color glasses. If you would take time to open your eyes and see what is going on around you, instead of living in a Democrat fantasy world. You would find that the ACA is not working, and people are starting to see Obama and the Democrats are runing this country.

    November 27, 2013 09:29 am at 9:29 am |
  25. Data Driven

    1) I deeply, deeply hope that whomever the candidates for each party are for the 2016 Presidential race are anyone other than Clinton and Christie, because it's always so much fun when the media is wrong - a rather common occurrence.

    2) If Democrats act like scared losers, and are throwing in the towel even before the Marketplace has time to properly work and before we can analyze its effect on health care costs and coverage for policy holders, then sure, the Dems will lose in 2014. Act like a loser, become a loser. America likes winners - someone tell the Democrats, please

    November 27, 2013 09:31 am at 9:31 am |
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