Ohio poll: Clinton, Christie tied; Obama approval rating at lowest point
November 27th, 2013
08:28 AM ET
1 year ago

Ohio poll: Clinton, Christie tied; Obama approval rating at lowest point

(CNN) - In the crucial swing state of Ohio, voters are practically split between Hillary Clinton and Chris Christie in a hypothetical 2016 presidential matchup, according to a new survey.

And in a potentially bad sign for 2014 Democrats, the new Quinnipiac University poll indicates the President's approval rating is at its lowest point in Quinnipiac polling history–nationally or in any state–at 34%.

Clinton v. Christie

The survey, which was released Wednesday, shows 42% of registered voters back the former Secretary of State while 41% support the recently re-elected Republican governor from New Jersey.

"Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie are the 2016 leaders to Ohio voters, locked in a statistical tie," Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling institute, said in a release.

The Ohio poll is the latest survey to show Christie gaining ground against Clinton in a swing state. A Quinnipiac poll in Colorado last week indicated Christie ahead of Clinton by eight percentage points.

Three recent surveys in the reliably blue state of New York, however, show Christie trailing behind Clinton, who served eight years as Senator from the Empire State.

In the new Quinnipiac poll, Clinton topples Republican Gov. John Kasich of Ohio, 49%-38%. The governor, who's considered a possible 2016 White House contender, faces re-election next year, and a Quinnipiac survey released Tuesday showed him ahead of his likely Democratic opponent by only seven percentage points.

Ohio voters also support Clinton over other potential Republican contenders, including former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas.

None of the mentioned potential candidates have announced bids for the White House, but many of them have made high-profile trips to swing states or have said they're considering a run.

"Ms. Clinton easily defeats a bevy of other potential GOP aspirants," Brown said. "Interestingly, when voters are asked whether she would make a good president, more say yes, than say they would vote for her."

Also of note, voters are divided, 44%-45%, on whether Washington experience or experience outside the nation's capital would help someone be a good President, Brown added.

Another potential candidate, Republican Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin, sparked a debate when he argued last week in an interview that the next presidential and vice presidential nominees should be a current or former governor–though he noted his friend from Wisconsin, Rep. Paul Ryan, would be an exception.

Bad news for Democrats

With the President's approval rating dropping in recent polls–including the new Quinnipiac survey–Democrats on the ballot next year are concerned about a trickle-down effect.

At 34%, Obama's approval rating in Ohio is six percentage points lower than his previous low point in the Buckeye State, when it was at 40% this past June.

A majority–57%–say the President is not honest or trustworthy, while 39% say the opposite, according to the new survey.

"Clearly much of the reason for the president's decline in Ohio is 'Obamacare'," Brown said. "Ohio voters oppose the Affordable Care Act 59 – 35 percent. Perhaps more significantly, voters say 45 – 16 percent they expect their own health care to be worse rather than better a year from now."

"If voters still feel that way about their own situation come November 2014, that is likely to create a political playing field beneficial for Republicans," Brown added.

Apologizing for the broken promise that Obama and his fellow Democrats made in order to sell his signature health care plan–"If you like your plan, you can keep it"–the President acknowledged how the program's troubled kick-off could hurt Democrats in the voting booth.

"There is no doubt that our failure to rollout the ACA smoothly has put a burden on Democrats, whether they are running or not because they stood up and supported this effort through thick and thin," Obama said earlier this month.

In fact, a CNN/ORC International poll released Tuesday showed a dramatic turnaround in the battle for control of Congress in next year's midterm elections.

While Democrats had a lead a month ago, the new poll indicates the GOP now holds a narrow 49%-47% advantage over Democrats when respondents are asked to choose between a Republican and a Democrat in their congressional district, without the candidates being identified.

Despite the flawed launch of HealthCare.gov, a majority of Americans still seem to have an open mind about whether Obamacare will work, and more than half of those surveyed in another CNN/ORC poll believe the current problems can be solved.

Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,361 registered voters by telephone from November 19 – 24, with an overall sampling error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.

– CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2014 • Chris Christie • Hillary Clinton • Ohio • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (213 Responses)
  1. anonymous

    Data Driven
    America likes winners – someone tell the Democrats, please
    --

    American also HATES LIARS – someone tell the Democrats, please

    November 27, 2013 09:40 am at 9:40 am |
  2. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    Lynda/Minnesota

    @ Dominican mama

    I know. Hanging on polls that have absolutely no standing is all GOPerville has left to gin up their base.

    Reminds me of Karl Rove's whiteboard. He was schooling the folks about Ohio voting election night 2012. Of course, Mitt Romney was going to turn Minnesota red ... a Quinnipiac poll as well, wasn't it?
    -------------------------------------------------
    Probably was Lynda!
    A lot GOPers, as you call them, got "schooled" that night, and not by Karl Rove but by the groundswell of voters who summarily rejected anything the GOP was trying to sell.
    This insistence on putting stock on these polls – Quinnipac's, CNN's or whomevers- is what put them behind the eight-ball in 2012.
    They only view the polls that play to their narrative; and their media cohorts have no compunction in skewing the polls to bend to that narrative.
    Yet the physical, palpable, verifiable OUTRIGHT rejection from the voters at the voting booth means nothing to them.
    Women, Blacks, Latinos, Whites of a certain segment, Asians, Gays...they ALL rejected the GOP last year.
    And yet that's not real enough for them. It is best to focus on the numbers of a man who is not running against anybody in 2016 than to address the fact that the Party of LIncoln is no longer viable.
    But hey, whatever helps them fall asleep at night I guess my friend.

    November 27, 2013 09:43 am at 9:43 am |
  3. Data Driven

    @Marie MD,

    "The only thing the teaklans have against Hillary is their mind fabricated what happened in Benghazi."

    But, but, Marie! - the TIMELINE! The TIMELINE! Rice! Talking points! YouTube video! The conservatives are right! We should've invaded that miserable country of Benghazi and blown it back to the Stone Age!

    November 27, 2013 09:44 am at 9:44 am |
  4. SHEILA

    wow, I'm glad of this, maybe we will get a republican congress next year. I'm ashamed that I voted for a worthless president, which has done nothing, and is so weak and incompetent. It wouldn't hurt my feelings one bit, if his poll numbers stays that way for the next 3 years. With his healthcare failure + the Iran bad decision – making, no wonder his poll numbers is declining.

    November 27, 2013 09:45 am at 9:45 am |
  5. Keith ..... in Oregon

    If these are the two candidates I will write in the name of my neighbor's cat.

    November 27, 2013 09:45 am at 9:45 am |
  6. current state of the union

    Right, a few more days the cooch would have won, I see Obama getting impeached, yup,,something strange in that tea.,ignore the latest election, because ur didn't go your way, so now its meaningless, you just can't see it can you, the absolute hypocracy from your side, oh ans your polls, one phrase, Romney in a landslide, you never mention that sayin, and explain why you obsess over four deaths while simultaneously ignoring the 60 who were killed under Republican administration, you see real people don't buy that garbage, only immature minds who cant accept the truth as it is, and refuse that reality and substitute it with their own, nice, your a loser of the highest caliber, carry on.

    November 27, 2013 09:50 am at 9:50 am |
  7. SHEILA

    "The more Obama and the Democrats double down on their lies about Obamacare, the lower they go. Sooner or later they must make a choice, repeal Obamacare or face extinction in 2014 & 2016. Your choice Democrats. Ride the Obamacare anchor to the bottom or let it go and survive. We all know you'll choose the wrong one. That's how we got Obamacare in the first place"

    I couldn't agree more. They will be a bunch of losers in 2014 & 2016. The Demorats ratings will go downhill, from here on.

    November 27, 2013 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  8. Data Driven

    @anonymous,

    "American also HATES LIARS"

    Fair enough, I suppose. Obama did lie when he assumed that Joe Shmo Insurance would drop their policy holders like hot potatoes.

    I'm just curious, though - why do the insurers never come in for calumny by conservatives or by the media? After all, they're the ones who refuse to abide by the law with their customers, instead just dropping them flat. Obama, like all politicians and lawyers, makes his case by exaggeration, and he's vilified. And yet the Holy and Good Health Insurers, the Sweet Sweet Health Insurers, are never taken to task. Why is that?

    Finally, I just can't take conservative criticism of any of this very seriously. Until sustained mea culpas are issued from conservatives about the lies that led up to a fraudulent war, and the directives from the highest levels in the Bush Administration greenlighting torture as an interrogation tool - which has permanently soiled our country - I'll feel free to not get all that agitated about THIS President using hyperbole to make his case about folks' health insurance.

    November 27, 2013 09:55 am at 9:55 am |
  9. Lynda/Minnesota

    @ Dominican mama

    Great post, Dominican mama. Great post. I've tried, really tired, to stay focused, but lately I've lost the umph to go one on one with the usual suspects. It isn't worth the bother. But, I'll be back in "Fired Up – Ready To Go" form come the new year. Until then, keep up the great work. Rudy, Malory, Marie, Data, Wire, Tom Paine, TONE, Women in California, Gurgyl, and the rest of the gang.

    I still read all of your comments when I have the time and you are ALL doing a great job trying to inform the willfully uninformed.

    Have a safe and Happy Thanksgiving, my very dear friend!

    November 27, 2013 10:03 am at 10:03 am |
  10. Tony

    Republicans will not vote for Christie. To do so is to admit that their party has moved too far to the right, which the current Republican Party is incapable of doing. Besides, the image of Christie hugging Obama after Hurricane Sandy is too fresh in their mind. Republicans may try to pretend that it never happened. They chose not to remember that Republicans came up with the idea of individual mandate in the late 1980s/early 1990s, and Romney touted the Massachusetts health care program, incorporating the individual mandate, as a model for the nation in a 2009 USA Today op-ed. (Romney claimed in 2012 that his health care law is a state solution. Yeah, right.) But even Republicans cannot erase their mental image of Christie hugging Obama after Hurricane Sandy.

    November 27, 2013 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  11. Randy, San Francisco

    Gov Christie is the best chance for the GOP to take back the White House, but Republican Tea Partiers and conservative purists can't help themselves. They would never choose a RINO like Gov Christie.

    November 27, 2013 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  12. Dead Bear

    So Clinton and Christie are tied amongst old, white voters who still own a land line and are home long enough to answer the phone in Ohio. Fascinating!... And to the Democrats worried the the President's low approval ratings will "trickle-down", Reaganomics already proved that theory untrue.

    November 27, 2013 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  13. anonymous

    Data Driven
    @anonymous,
    "American also HATES LIARS"
    Fair enough, I suppose. Obama did lie when he assumed that Joe Shmo Insurance would drop their policy holders like hot potatoes.
    I'm just curious, though – why do the insurers never come in for calumny by conservatives or by the media? After all, they're the ones who refuse to abide by the law with their customers, instead just dropping them flat. Obama, like all politicians and lawyers, makes his case by exaggeration, and he's vilified. And yet the Holy and Good Health Insurers, the Sweet Sweet Health Insurers, are never taken to task. Why is that?
    -–

    Why should the American people fault the insurance companies (who have been in bed with the Obama adminstration all along on this train wreck) for doing what they are required to do by the law? Democrats have repeated over and over, it is the law of the land and yet now you want to ignore it? People losing their current healthcare policies was an INTEGRAL PART of Obamacare. It is how the money is gotten to pay for free or subsidized healthcare.

    ---
    Finally, I just can't take conservative criticism of any of this very seriously. Until sustained mea culpas are issued from conservatives about the lies that led up to a fraudulent war, and the directives from the highest levels in the Bush Administration greenlighting torture as an interrogation tool – which has permanently soiled our country – I'll feel free to not get all that agitated about THIS President using hyperbole to make his case about folks' health insurance.
    ---

    It too bad you let your ideology interfere with your judgement and logic. These two issues have absolutely nothing to do with one another. You need to judge Obamacare alone. What happened ten years ago has absolutely nothing to do with what is happening to all of us today thanks to the Democrats and Obamacare. The left only looks like idiots when they start throwing that 10 year old irrelevant nonsense out. Once you say stuff like that nobody takes you seriously.

    November 27, 2013 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  14. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    Lynda Minnesota
    I've tried, really tired, to stay focused, but lately I've lost the umph to go one on one with the usual suspects. It isn't worth the bother
    -------------------------------------------------
    Lynda it never ceases to amaze me how in tune we are with our moods and perspectives vis-a-vis this thread and the effort it take sometimes to pipe in and participate! Needless it is to say I share your exact sentiments!
    I haven't been able to get myself "fired up" to argue about the ACA website brouhaha, and the cray-crays' claims that the entire law needs to be scrapped.
    Their claims are so lame that they leave me flat.
    I think we need something to really sink our teeth into like the 2014 elections and trying to give this President a House he can work with.
    Maybe then our blood will flow through our veins again with verve and vigor!
    Until then my friend we'll do what we can, when we can.
    The very happiest of Thanksgiving to you as well!!!

    November 27, 2013 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  15. Tampa Tim

    It looks like people are just itching for another republican disaster of global proportions. Maybe they can finally finish the job that W started, destroying America.

    November 27, 2013 10:30 am at 10:30 am |
  16. TONE

    @ anonymous

    So it is ok for only the Gop to be liars, because for the past five years every word that drop out of their mouths were lies, there is no Gop congressman or senators that speak the truth anymore, even when they are telling the truth they lie so much.

    November 27, 2013 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  17. Lynda/Minnesota

    @ Dominican mama: "Until then my friend we'll do what we can, when we can."

    Yeah. Starting with giving ourselves 5 different names to bolster our "viewpoints"? Read the right-wing comments. It seems to be a recurring epidemic in GOPerville today.

    Here's hoping they stay healthy enough to enjoy tomorrow's festivities.

    November 27, 2013 10:38 am at 10:38 am |
  18. Rudy NYC

    DM4O wrote:

    Lynda it never ceases to amaze me how in tune we are with our moods and perspectives vis-a-vis this thread and the effort it take sometimes to pipe in and participate! Needless it is to say I share your exact sentiments!
    I haven't been able to get myself "fired up" to argue about the ACA website brouhaha, and the cray-crays' claims that the entire law needs to be scrapped.
    Their claims are so lame that they leave me flat.
    ---------------------------
    There is really nothing to argue about. But, the building false equivalence between the law and the web site is being ignored. It reminds me of Sen. Kerry in 2004 saying to himself that people knew better than to believe those misleading ads, that arguing against it will only lend it credence. He was dead wrong. People had viewed his silence as an acknowledgement of truth.

    November 27, 2013 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  19. Clay

    America... please wake up from the slumber you are in. Respectfully one who loves what this nation once stood for.

    November 27, 2013 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  20. Bubba

    I feel no pity for Ohio, who keeps supporting Republicans who send Ohio's manufacturing jobs out of the state. This is the one state in America who should be 100% in the Democrat column, but are so full of themselves the GOP repeatedly gets them to vote against their own best interests.
    As a manufacturing manager I avoid Ohio, just because it is not wise to avoid dealing with morons, and anything Ohio can do can be found in Indiana, Illinois, Michigan, etc. Ohio is only special in how amazingly replaceable it is.

    November 27, 2013 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  21. tom l

    Data Driven
    @anonymous,
    "American also HATES LIARS"
    Fair enough, I suppose. Obama did lie when he assumed that Joe Shmo Insurance would drop their policy holders like hot potatoes.
    I'm just curious, though – why do the insurers never come in for calumny by conservatives or by the media? After all, they're the ones who refuse to abide by the law with their customers, instead just dropping them flat. Obama, like all politicians and lawyers, makes his case by exaggeration, and he's vilified. And yet the Holy and Good Health Insurers, the Sweet Sweet Health Insurers, are never taken to task. Why is that?
    -–

    Why should the American people fault the insurance companies (who have been in bed with the Obama adminstration all along on this train wreck) for doing what they are required to do by the law? Democrats have repeated over and over, it is the law of the land and yet now you want to ignore it? People losing their current healthcare policies was an INTEGRAL PART of Obamacare. It is how the money is gotten to pay for free or subsidized healthcare.

    -
    Finally, I just can't take conservative criticism of any of this very seriously. Until sustained mea culpas are issued from conservatives about the lies that led up to a fraudulent war, and the directives from the highest levels in the Bush Administration greenlighting torture as an interrogation tool – which has permanently soiled our country – I'll feel free to not get all that agitated about THIS President using hyperbole to make his case about folks' health insurance.
    -

    It too bad you let your ideology interfere with your judgement and logic. These two issues have absolutely nothing to do with one another. You need to judge Obamacare alone. What happened ten years ago has absolutely nothing to do with what is happening to all of us today thanks to the Democrats and Obamacare. The left only looks like idiots when they start throwing that 10 year old irrelevant nonsense out. Once you say stuff like that nobody takes you seriously.

    Man, was that well said by Anonymous. Really well said.

    November 27, 2013 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  22. Data Driven

    @anonymous,

    " losing their current healthcare policies was an INTEGRAL PART of Obamacare. It is how the money is gotten to pay for free or subsidized healthcare."

    Except that most of these folks don't qualify for full government assistance. Subsidies =/= full coverage. People will still have to enroll in private plans. Those earning below a certain amount will qualify for subsidies that won't pay the full cost of whatever plan they choose. However much this costs will still be less than having tens of millions uninsured, which is what we've had till now.

    " two issues have absolutely nothing to do with one another. You need to judge Obamacare alone."

    Actually, no I don't, but thank you anyway. The issue, remember, was Obama being a liar. I'm just pointing out that there are lies, and then there are LIES. Obama told lowercase lies; Bush told all-caps lies. Conservatives were silent about Bush's lies, and want us to forget them today, though we're still living with the profound effect of those lies.

    November 27, 2013 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  23. Tampa Tim

    I guess saving the auto industry in Ohio was not enough for those polled. Their economy did well, thanks to our presidents efforts.

    November 27, 2013 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  24. Tampa Tim

    Republicans still support those ideas that drove us to the verge of an economic collapse. Republicans haven't changed or even learned from their mistakes.

    November 27, 2013 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  25. Anon

    Pretty sad when our top choices are... 1) An incompetent Clinton who won the NY Senate seat based on the legacy of her husband and ran the state into the ground and 2) A lazy slob like Christie who has no spine and bad mouths politicians then scratches their back when it benefits him.

    But I will say at least Christie knows what it is like to run all aspects of a state as opposed to grassroots lobbying on choppy legislation.

    November 27, 2013 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
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