Ohio poll: Clinton, Christie tied; Obama approval rating at lowest point
November 27th, 2013
08:28 AM ET
8 months ago

Ohio poll: Clinton, Christie tied; Obama approval rating at lowest point

(CNN) - In the crucial swing state of Ohio, voters are practically split between Hillary Clinton and Chris Christie in a hypothetical 2016 presidential matchup, according to a new survey.

And in a potentially bad sign for 2014 Democrats, the new Quinnipiac University poll indicates the President's approval rating is at its lowest point in Quinnipiac polling history–nationally or in any state–at 34%.

Clinton v. Christie

The survey, which was released Wednesday, shows 42% of registered voters back the former Secretary of State while 41% support the recently re-elected Republican governor from New Jersey.

"Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie are the 2016 leaders to Ohio voters, locked in a statistical tie," Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling institute, said in a release.

The Ohio poll is the latest survey to show Christie gaining ground against Clinton in a swing state. A Quinnipiac poll in Colorado last week indicated Christie ahead of Clinton by eight percentage points.

Three recent surveys in the reliably blue state of New York, however, show Christie trailing behind Clinton, who served eight years as Senator from the Empire State.

In the new Quinnipiac poll, Clinton topples Republican Gov. John Kasich of Ohio, 49%-38%. The governor, who's considered a possible 2016 White House contender, faces re-election next year, and a Quinnipiac survey released Tuesday showed him ahead of his likely Democratic opponent by only seven percentage points.

Ohio voters also support Clinton over other potential Republican contenders, including former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas.

None of the mentioned potential candidates have announced bids for the White House, but many of them have made high-profile trips to swing states or have said they're considering a run.

"Ms. Clinton easily defeats a bevy of other potential GOP aspirants," Brown said. "Interestingly, when voters are asked whether she would make a good president, more say yes, than say they would vote for her."

Also of note, voters are divided, 44%-45%, on whether Washington experience or experience outside the nation's capital would help someone be a good President, Brown added.

Another potential candidate, Republican Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin, sparked a debate when he argued last week in an interview that the next presidential and vice presidential nominees should be a current or former governor–though he noted his friend from Wisconsin, Rep. Paul Ryan, would be an exception.

Bad news for Democrats

With the President's approval rating dropping in recent polls–including the new Quinnipiac survey–Democrats on the ballot next year are concerned about a trickle-down effect.

At 34%, Obama's approval rating in Ohio is six percentage points lower than his previous low point in the Buckeye State, when it was at 40% this past June.

A majority–57%–say the President is not honest or trustworthy, while 39% say the opposite, according to the new survey.

"Clearly much of the reason for the president's decline in Ohio is 'Obamacare'," Brown said. "Ohio voters oppose the Affordable Care Act 59 – 35 percent. Perhaps more significantly, voters say 45 – 16 percent they expect their own health care to be worse rather than better a year from now."

"If voters still feel that way about their own situation come November 2014, that is likely to create a political playing field beneficial for Republicans," Brown added.

Apologizing for the broken promise that Obama and his fellow Democrats made in order to sell his signature health care plan–"If you like your plan, you can keep it"–the President acknowledged how the program's troubled kick-off could hurt Democrats in the voting booth.

"There is no doubt that our failure to rollout the ACA smoothly has put a burden on Democrats, whether they are running or not because they stood up and supported this effort through thick and thin," Obama said earlier this month.

In fact, a CNN/ORC International poll released Tuesday showed a dramatic turnaround in the battle for control of Congress in next year's midterm elections.

While Democrats had a lead a month ago, the new poll indicates the GOP now holds a narrow 49%-47% advantage over Democrats when respondents are asked to choose between a Republican and a Democrat in their congressional district, without the candidates being identified.

Despite the flawed launch of HealthCare.gov, a majority of Americans still seem to have an open mind about whether Obamacare will work, and more than half of those surveyed in another CNN/ORC poll believe the current problems can be solved.

Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,361 registered voters by telephone from November 19 – 24, with an overall sampling error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.

– CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2014 • Chris Christie • Hillary Clinton • Ohio • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (213 Responses)
  1. Data Driven

    Happy Thanksgiving, Tom L.!

    Just remember, bro, that turkey you're eating tomorrow was likely subsidized in part by a federal handout to a Big Ag combine! What would Ayn say?

    (Data takes his shot and dances around the ring! Smooth like a butterfly, stinging like a bee!)

    November 27, 2013 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  2. Lynda/Minnesota

    @ Rudy: "But, the building false equivalence between the law and the web site is being ignored."

    Indeed it is, Rudy. And like all things Republican, it will be the narrative going forward. Especially at CNN. I fault myself for not taking the time to research every false narrative ... but to be honest, I haven't had the interest to do so.

    Which leads me to suggest that I am giving you credit for "firing me up" to do so. That is not to say that I am not still dismayed that we can't trust the media to counter balance truth in reporting. In past years, it was the job of the media to research truth and not simply parrot one political party's talking points without conscience. Then again, in years past media outlets were not owned and operated by corporate lobbyists.

    November 27, 2013 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  3. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    Lynda Minnesota
    Starting with giving ourselves 5 different names to bolster our "viewpoints"? Read the right-wing comments. It seems to be a recurring epidemic in GOPerville today
    -------------------------------------------------
    No. That's not for us. There are plenty of us out there that support the efforts of this administration, however poorly implemented.
    What's happenning with the Republican Sybils Lynda is that just like their Party memebership is shrinking at warp speed across the nation, the same phenomenom is taking place on this thread.
    Thus the need for the usual suspects to have to pick up the slack of their deserting comrades by having to post under various names.
    Quite funny....and pitiful really.
    Poor "Sybils"!!
    We don't have that problem babe.
    Tons of moderates, independents and liberals to keep the Party going!!!

    November 27, 2013 10:58 am at 10:58 am |
  4. tom l

    @Data
    So, basically, they're all liars. Like I have always said. Come to the libertarian party! The water's warm and you don't have to justify why your guy lied but it's ok. :)

    Happy Thanksgiving, dude.

    November 27, 2013 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  5. David Moss

    Absolutely hilarious reading the posts that liberals are writing to each.other You people are in denial. The SS Obama has hit an iceberg and is sinking.

    November 27, 2013 11:06 am at 11:06 am |
  6. Frediano

    Libertarians aren't going to take votes from Christie; Cristie is going to take votes from Libertarians. If it is so important to defeat Clinon, then vote Libertarian. If not, then 8 yrs of Hillary.

    November 27, 2013 11:10 am at 11:10 am |
  7. Thomas

    Nobody has yet died , been blown up or become a refugee do to the Affordable Healthcare Act .

    All you paid Jim DeMint zombie posters make me laugh .

    As for New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie , he should focus on the eroding infrastructure , " Bridges / Roads / Sewage ", in his home state . Maybe the side effects from having weight reduction surgery has gone to his head .

    November 27, 2013 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  8. anonymous

    Data Driven
    Actually, no I don't, but thank you anyway. The issue, remember, was Obama being a liar. I'm just pointing out that there are lies, and then there are LIES. Obama told lowercase lies; Bush told all-caps lies. Conservatives were silent about Bush's lies, and want us to forget them today, though we're still living with the profound effect of those lies.
    -–

    Interesting.... I view it very differently. A President relying on intelligence estimates, which turn out to be incorrect, to make a decision is vastly different that stating a lie that adversely affects every American citizen and the healthcare insurance of their family. Those very same intelligence estimates were there in the Clinton administration and even the same as other countries. Calling them lies is just dead wrong. What Obama stated were blatant lies and they knew it because they debated internally in the Obama administration if he should be making such blanket, absolute promises.

    November 27, 2013 11:22 am at 11:22 am |
  9. Tampa Tim

    When you say Christie know how to run a state, you must mean into the ground.

    November 27, 2013 11:28 am at 11:28 am |
  10. rs

    TONE

    @ anonymous

    So it is ok for only the Gop to be liars, because for the past five years every word that drop out of their mouths were lies, there is no Gop congressman or senators that speak the truth anymore, even when they are telling the truth they lie so much.
    _____________________________________
    I used to think in regards to the GOP the rather overt lying (from pretty much everyone about pretty much everything) was the old propaganda ruse "repeate the lie often enough and it becomes truth", but it is soooo ingrained in them that I have conclude that as a party the GOP is either just living in an alternative Romeny-esque universe where things are very different for them, or they are just delusional or perhaps insane – which certainly calls into question their very fitness to serve in elective office.

    From "a woman's body can shut thet down" to Jeep is moving to China to the ACA is socialism, to every single Birther (or Palin ) quote- they've lost it.

    November 27, 2013 11:31 am at 11:31 am |
  11. Rick McDaniel

    Ohio is all about the dictatorial unions, vs. the non-unions.

    It is about the Democratic machine seeking to control everyone.

    November 27, 2013 11:33 am at 11:33 am |
  12. freedom

    It's a talking point "failure to roll out ACA (Obamacare) smoothly." It's the law itself that is catastrophic – this is just the tip of the iceberg – and we're all on the Titanic – thanks to this president.

    November 27, 2013 11:34 am at 11:34 am |
  13. rs

    Interesting.... I view it very differently. A President relying on intelligence estimates, which turn out to be incorrect,
    _________________________
    Yeah, funny- the United Nations' Weapons Inspectors said no soap on the WMD- that's about as authoritative as it could have been. But hey, overlook that Cheney wouldn't divest himself of his Halliburton stock, and just how much freakin' money Halliburton made in Iraq. Don't fret about those 125,000 innocent DEAD Iraqi civilians (you're the "pro-life" party afterall). The Right has no moral compass at all. That is why your side easyily drifts from one faux "controversy" to the next- devoid of facts.

    November 27, 2013 11:36 am at 11:36 am |
  14. Ol' Yeller

    Ahhhh.... Thanksgiving. The time for Americans to sit back and remember in all the ways they are blessed....
    I am blessed by having a warm place to hang my hat.
    I am blessed by having a job with good benefits.
    I am blessed by the freedoms so many around the world do not enjoy.
    I am blessed by living in the greatest country in the world (despite her flaws and mistakes, I am proud of her).
    I am blessed by all my family and friends.
    I am blessed by having a Leader who cares about others, who makes tough and not always popular decisions for the best of the country and ALL the people within our boders; not just the rich and powerful (who frankly do not need help).
    I am blessed by the soldiers who keep our country safe and pray they do not ever get sent back to the Middle East to fight some idealogue or religious fanatic's 'war' for freedom or peace or whatever silly idea they come up with.
    I am blessed by having the CNN political ticker, where I can go and try to educate my unfortunate, disadvanteged brethren, who forget (or just don't care) to count their many blessings, and who know not how Democracy works, nor how the American system is designed to help the poor, and broken and disadvantaged live better more productive lives for the betterment of the WHOLE country and not just the chosen few.
    Happy Thanksgiving ALL.

    November 27, 2013 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  15. m123

    Here they go, starting 2016 elections three years early
    Polls this early are worthless

    November 27, 2013 11:41 am at 11:41 am |
  16. G_Edwards

    Yawn. And in Nov 2007, then-Sen Obama was included in the "Others," totaling 5% support for the Dem primary.

    .

    November 27, 2013 11:43 am at 11:43 am |
  17. Tampa Tim

    I remember when the ACA rollout website sputtered, and President Obama said that was his fault. I remember when Bush refused to admit that the war was wrong, and did not admit that it was his mistake.

    November 27, 2013 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  18. Tampa Tim

    This morning I watched Fox and fools for their out rage of the day. They reported that Obama was closing our embassy to the Vatican, and Catholics all over the world are upset. Someone tell Fox they are moving the embassy, not closing it. Damn, stupid.

    November 27, 2013 11:50 am at 11:50 am |
  19. Woman In California

    @ Lynda/Minnesota

    Have a Happy Thanksgiving yourself and I completely agree with you about the website articles boring me to death. Just like you, I chose to stay away from these Tickers for two weeks just so I could remember there is more to life than fixing a website. Now as to the fake posters on here, that's a story for another day.
    Keep writing your intelligent posts because I really enjoy the fact that whether or not you agree or disagree with people in your own party – you keep it civil. It sure would be nice if others would follow your example.
    Take care.

    November 27, 2013 11:51 am at 11:51 am |
  20. Lynda/Minnesota

    Happy Thanksgiving to you as well, Ol' Yeller.

    Loved your post. Then again, your posts are ALWAYS appreciated.

    November 27, 2013 11:54 am at 11:54 am |
  21. Ted

    Hillary can beat Christie. Yes. However, if some cracker jack dem comes along and shoves her out in the primary, who knows what will happen to our economy.

    November 27, 2013 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  22. Logician

    What about electoral votes don't the Repubs not get? Their veep should bring large numbers of electoral votes they wouldn't otherwise get. Put Rubio or Bush on as a veep and you lessen the gap by 52 electoral votes as they will deliver FLA. Run either as Pres plus Kasich as veep and you lessen the gap by the total of FLA OH10 x 2. Now you gots a contest.

    November 27, 2013 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  23. Woman In California

    @ Dominican mama 4 Obama

    Greetings.
    You wrote a response to me regarding an article on Hillary Clinton running for president but I didn't get a chance to get back to you. I have read many of your comments over the years and I noticed you changed your opinion and your tone about Hillary. For that, I say good for you and the party (it means you are very loyal) but mine remains pretty solid.
    Have a Happy Thanksgiving and keep up the good work.

    November 27, 2013 11:57 am at 11:57 am |
  24. Tony

    Anonymous, I remember that Susan Rice relied on talking points provided by the CIA when she went on the talk shows, and Republicans were not at all forgiving that she was relying on CIA.

    What Obama said is true for most Americans. Most Americans get to keep the insurance plans they like. No one promised that the price of your plan won't rise. You can keep your plan if you pay more. Insurance companies can always raise the premiums, before or after the ACA. And insurance companies did raise the premiums, on the replacement plans they are offering.

    Obama's statement is not 100% true. Neither are many statements from conservatives. Example: the government is taking over health care. Sorry, the government can't even stop insurance companies from canceling plans or raising premiums.

    November 27, 2013 11:58 am at 11:58 am |
  25. Dutch/Bad Newz, VA -aka- Take Back The House -aka- No Redemption Votes

    Out of curiosity CNN, how much of this polling was done in Cuyahoga County? You know, the county with most of the minorities and middle class folks.

    November 27, 2013 12:01 pm at 12:01 pm |
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