Ohio poll: Clinton, Christie tied; Obama approval rating at lowest point
November 27th, 2013
08:28 AM ET
5 months ago

Ohio poll: Clinton, Christie tied; Obama approval rating at lowest point

(CNN) - In the crucial swing state of Ohio, voters are practically split between Hillary Clinton and Chris Christie in a hypothetical 2016 presidential matchup, according to a new survey.

And in a potentially bad sign for 2014 Democrats, the new Quinnipiac University poll indicates the President's approval rating is at its lowest point in Quinnipiac polling history–nationally or in any state–at 34%.

Clinton v. Christie

The survey, which was released Wednesday, shows 42% of registered voters back the former Secretary of State while 41% support the recently re-elected Republican governor from New Jersey.

"Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie are the 2016 leaders to Ohio voters, locked in a statistical tie," Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling institute, said in a release.

The Ohio poll is the latest survey to show Christie gaining ground against Clinton in a swing state. A Quinnipiac poll in Colorado last week indicated Christie ahead of Clinton by eight percentage points.

Three recent surveys in the reliably blue state of New York, however, show Christie trailing behind Clinton, who served eight years as Senator from the Empire State.

In the new Quinnipiac poll, Clinton topples Republican Gov. John Kasich of Ohio, 49%-38%. The governor, who's considered a possible 2016 White House contender, faces re-election next year, and a Quinnipiac survey released Tuesday showed him ahead of his likely Democratic opponent by only seven percentage points.

Ohio voters also support Clinton over other potential Republican contenders, including former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas.

None of the mentioned potential candidates have announced bids for the White House, but many of them have made high-profile trips to swing states or have said they're considering a run.

"Ms. Clinton easily defeats a bevy of other potential GOP aspirants," Brown said. "Interestingly, when voters are asked whether she would make a good president, more say yes, than say they would vote for her."

Also of note, voters are divided, 44%-45%, on whether Washington experience or experience outside the nation's capital would help someone be a good President, Brown added.

Another potential candidate, Republican Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin, sparked a debate when he argued last week in an interview that the next presidential and vice presidential nominees should be a current or former governor–though he noted his friend from Wisconsin, Rep. Paul Ryan, would be an exception.

Bad news for Democrats

With the President's approval rating dropping in recent polls–including the new Quinnipiac survey–Democrats on the ballot next year are concerned about a trickle-down effect.

At 34%, Obama's approval rating in Ohio is six percentage points lower than his previous low point in the Buckeye State, when it was at 40% this past June.

A majority–57%–say the President is not honest or trustworthy, while 39% say the opposite, according to the new survey.

"Clearly much of the reason for the president's decline in Ohio is 'Obamacare'," Brown said. "Ohio voters oppose the Affordable Care Act 59 – 35 percent. Perhaps more significantly, voters say 45 – 16 percent they expect their own health care to be worse rather than better a year from now."

"If voters still feel that way about their own situation come November 2014, that is likely to create a political playing field beneficial for Republicans," Brown added.

Apologizing for the broken promise that Obama and his fellow Democrats made in order to sell his signature health care plan–"If you like your plan, you can keep it"–the President acknowledged how the program's troubled kick-off could hurt Democrats in the voting booth.

"There is no doubt that our failure to rollout the ACA smoothly has put a burden on Democrats, whether they are running or not because they stood up and supported this effort through thick and thin," Obama said earlier this month.

In fact, a CNN/ORC International poll released Tuesday showed a dramatic turnaround in the battle for control of Congress in next year's midterm elections.

While Democrats had a lead a month ago, the new poll indicates the GOP now holds a narrow 49%-47% advantage over Democrats when respondents are asked to choose between a Republican and a Democrat in their congressional district, without the candidates being identified.

Despite the flawed launch of HealthCare.gov, a majority of Americans still seem to have an open mind about whether Obamacare will work, and more than half of those surveyed in another CNN/ORC poll believe the current problems can be solved.

Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,361 registered voters by telephone from November 19 – 24, with an overall sampling error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.

– CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2014 • Chris Christie • Hillary Clinton • Ohio • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (213 Responses)
  1. VJ

    Why we have to cover this today???? We have so many issues to be fixed... It is tooooooooooooooo early about 2016.

    November 27, 2013 12:01 pm at 12:01 pm |
  2. jorge washinsen

    We have run out of freebees ,can't win an election, especially a national one, without promising something for nothing.The main problem is, Congress who follows Presidents in on their coattails. Should be the other way around. Congress either makes a country or ruins it.

    November 27, 2013 12:02 pm at 12:02 pm |
  3. jorge washinsen

    know I am addressing a doorknob but it has been said.

    November 27, 2013 12:03 pm at 12:03 pm |
  4. jr

    I think Cristie would likely be a good president....not sure if he can get enough votes in the primary because he is not popular with the far right. Seems to be able to work with and bring together people on both sides of the isle. Something this administration has difficulty doing.

    November 27, 2013 12:04 pm at 12:04 pm |
  5. Robert N. constant

    Chris Christie does not just have skeletons in his closet, he has graveyards.. One example? As a ;lobbyist it was Chris Christie who lobbied successfully so the Securities and Exchange Commission would not regulate Bernie Madoff to prevent him from defrauding hundreds of people of millions and millions of dollars.
    Chris Christie thinks it is a good idea if the foxes police the chicken coops.

    November 27, 2013 12:05 pm at 12:05 pm |
  6. Ol' Yeller

    @anonymous:
    "Interesting.... I view it very differently. A President relying on intelligence estimates, which turn out to be incorrect, to make a decision is vastly different..."
    What a lovely way to try and make cover for bushy boy. So please, enlighten us... how many of the 'intelligence estimates' were that that resulted in a 'mushroom cloud? A 3 or 4 or 6 month war? A war thta would 'pay for itself'? The the mission was complete? That these talking points leading us to war were never 'debated' within the bush adminstration is just laughable. And to equate this bill to the dabacle of the Iraq War is disengenuous and just plain silly.

    November 27, 2013 12:06 pm at 12:06 pm |
  7. Tampa Tim

    Christie is another Guiliani, won't get past the primaries.

    November 27, 2013 12:07 pm at 12:07 pm |
  8. harleydavidson

    I am a moderate conservative. If it comes down to hillary vs. christie, i am voting for hillary. at least i know where hillary stands.

    November 27, 2013 12:09 pm at 12:09 pm |
  9. robd

    hmmmm, this is headline news how?

    November 27, 2013 12:09 pm at 12:09 pm |
  10. Bill the Cat

    "I am blessed by having a Leader who cares about others, who makes tough and not always popular decisions for the best of the country and ALL the people within our boders; not just the rich and powerful (who frankly do not need help).
    I am blessed by the soldiers who keep our country safe and pray they do not ever get sent back to the Middle East to fight some idealogue or religious fanatic's 'war' for freedom or peace or whatever silly idea they come up with.
    I am blessed by having the CNN political ticker, where I can go and try to educate my unfortunate, disadvanteged brethren, who forget (or just don't care) to count their many blessings, and who know not how Democracy works, nor how the American system is designed to help the poor, and broken and disadvantaged live better more productive lives for the betterment of the WHOLE country and not just the chosen few."

    Utter and complete nonsense. Every bit of it.

    November 27, 2013 12:09 pm at 12:09 pm |
  11. Matt

    We'll have 8 years of Hillary regardless of current polls. That has already been decided by the mainstream news media.

    November 27, 2013 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  12. loverpoint

    What do you expect right before Thanksgiving. People see Christie they think Turkey.

    November 27, 2013 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  13. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    @ Lynda Minnesota
    In past years, it was the job of the media to research truth and not simply parrot one political party's talking points without conscience
    -------------------------------------------------
    THAT, Lynda, has been my biggest point of contention, and what has taken most of the fun away from coming to this site.
    It bothers and baffles me to no end that the media is no longer making it their business to disseminate truth.
    So-called used to be trusted news sources – which at one point were most news publications and news channels- are routinely parroting talking points.
    News sources have chosen to disregard the public trust that has been instilled in us towards them from years of delivering what could be considered responsible journalism; where the truth was seeked, addressed and discussed. Intelligently.
    What ever happened to Who, What, When, Where, Why and How?

    @ 'Ol Yeller
    I concur with Lynda. Your posts are outstanding. I love the way you think and express yourself.
    A Happy Thanksgiving to you as well.
    Indeed, a Happy and safe holiday season to ALL.

    November 27, 2013 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  14. tom l

    @Data:
    Repub ideas for healthcare reform and the list doesn't include allowing insurance companies to sell across state lines which would absolutely bring down costs due to true competition:

    I find the "He lied" tag line just so disingenuous. We can't choose car insurance coverage that doesn't meet some bare minimum requirement, so that any grown up would not understand that the plans that could be met would have to at least follow the law. Please. Then you're admitting you're soft as a grape if you claim you didn't realize that, especially if you own a car and have been very well versed with the term "compulsory insurance" since you were 16. Just another drama fest from the teaparty to freak out about anything Obama.

    November 27, 2013 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  15. Libdumb

    Why yes she watched as four Americans died while she protected her political career. What difference does it make. Image this slim as Commander In Chief. Desertion time.

    November 27, 2013 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  16. Data Driven

    @anonymous,

    I see that RS, Tony, and Ol' Yeller are ably addressing your comment to me, so I won't pile on. I've enjoyed jousting with you this morning. We disagree politically, but I appreciate your willingness to have a sharp debate without name-calling. Enjoy your holiday tomorrow.

    November 27, 2013 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  17. Quixote

    Really? Talk about irrelevant polls. krispy will never get the nomination anyway, and if he does, people will start to look at his RECORD and not just his television persona. Thee is a reason New Jersey is so far behind the rest of the nation digging out of the 2008 recession.......he resides in Drumthwacket.

    November 27, 2013 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  18. JJ

    If you can’t say anything good about someone, you must be talking about Hillary Clinton. Hillary Clinton will never be President. She is one of the most hated and despised women in the country. Her hate factor is one rung below that of Nancy Pelosi. She is incompetent, has blood on her hands from the Benghazi murders of four Americans, committed perjury during the Benghazi hearings, as SOS fostered the expansion of Al Qaeda in Egypt, Libya and No. Africa and supported Morsi, the deposed head and terrorist of Egypt. She is still married to scumbag and sleazeball Bill Clinton who was guilty of adultery, perjury, impeachment and disbarment. If she is so popular, she would have won the Democratic nomination in 2008 against Obama.

    November 27, 2013 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  19. Matt

    What's the point of this article. Christie will never get the GOP nomination. Oh! I see! CNN is trying to make the case for Christie to be the nominee. He's a RINO and should be kicked out of the party.

    November 27, 2013 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  20. Lamanzo

    Yay, a poll about a theoretical race between 2 people who haven't even said they are running for a position in 3 years.

    November 27, 2013 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  21. Jolat

    The arguments that work for Obama won't work for Hillary. Just like the arguments that worked for Clinton didn't work for gore. And if we let the media choose our republican candidate and it's another mediocre RINO from the northeast, we will lose again. Just sayin.......

    November 27, 2013 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |
  22. Bigd9749

    Clinton could not run for prez and the Dems would still win no matter who they picked.America is not going to let another Republican back in the White House for a very long time.

    November 27, 2013 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  23. RachaelA

    Who decided that those two will be our nominees? Low info voters? Because I know a lot of people who don't want either of those morons anywhere near the white house.

    November 27, 2013 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  24. edmundburkeson

    Wait until 2014 when 80 million angry voters who lost their employer health insurance take to the polls. It will come. It is the Obamacare way.

    November 27, 2013 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  25. Rudy NYC

    "Interesting.... I view it very differently. A President relying on intelligence estimates, which turn out to be incorrect, to make a decision is vastly different that stating a lie that adversely affects every American citizen and the healthcare insurance of their family. ...."
    --------------------------
    The Congress didn't rely on intelligence estimates. They relied on word of mouth from the Bush administration. The administration had openly stated that they would not reveal their sources of information for WMDs in Iraq because it could compromise intelligence operations at such a critical point in time.

    Besides, we know it was a lie because there had been U.N. weapons inspectors on the ground in Iraq for years, and they had yet to find anything. In fact, the inspectors had barely made it out of Baghdad airspace before the U.S. bombs began falling and destroyed the city's airport.

    November 27, 2013 12:26 pm at 12:26 pm |
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