Ohio poll: Clinton, Christie tied; Obama approval rating at lowest point
November 27th, 2013
08:28 AM ET
8 months ago

Ohio poll: Clinton, Christie tied; Obama approval rating at lowest point

(CNN) - In the crucial swing state of Ohio, voters are practically split between Hillary Clinton and Chris Christie in a hypothetical 2016 presidential matchup, according to a new survey.

And in a potentially bad sign for 2014 Democrats, the new Quinnipiac University poll indicates the President's approval rating is at its lowest point in Quinnipiac polling history–nationally or in any state–at 34%.

Clinton v. Christie

The survey, which was released Wednesday, shows 42% of registered voters back the former Secretary of State while 41% support the recently re-elected Republican governor from New Jersey.

"Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie are the 2016 leaders to Ohio voters, locked in a statistical tie," Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling institute, said in a release.

The Ohio poll is the latest survey to show Christie gaining ground against Clinton in a swing state. A Quinnipiac poll in Colorado last week indicated Christie ahead of Clinton by eight percentage points.

Three recent surveys in the reliably blue state of New York, however, show Christie trailing behind Clinton, who served eight years as Senator from the Empire State.

In the new Quinnipiac poll, Clinton topples Republican Gov. John Kasich of Ohio, 49%-38%. The governor, who's considered a possible 2016 White House contender, faces re-election next year, and a Quinnipiac survey released Tuesday showed him ahead of his likely Democratic opponent by only seven percentage points.

Ohio voters also support Clinton over other potential Republican contenders, including former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas.

None of the mentioned potential candidates have announced bids for the White House, but many of them have made high-profile trips to swing states or have said they're considering a run.

"Ms. Clinton easily defeats a bevy of other potential GOP aspirants," Brown said. "Interestingly, when voters are asked whether she would make a good president, more say yes, than say they would vote for her."

Also of note, voters are divided, 44%-45%, on whether Washington experience or experience outside the nation's capital would help someone be a good President, Brown added.

Another potential candidate, Republican Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin, sparked a debate when he argued last week in an interview that the next presidential and vice presidential nominees should be a current or former governor–though he noted his friend from Wisconsin, Rep. Paul Ryan, would be an exception.

Bad news for Democrats

With the President's approval rating dropping in recent polls–including the new Quinnipiac survey–Democrats on the ballot next year are concerned about a trickle-down effect.

At 34%, Obama's approval rating in Ohio is six percentage points lower than his previous low point in the Buckeye State, when it was at 40% this past June.

A majority–57%–say the President is not honest or trustworthy, while 39% say the opposite, according to the new survey.

"Clearly much of the reason for the president's decline in Ohio is 'Obamacare'," Brown said. "Ohio voters oppose the Affordable Care Act 59 – 35 percent. Perhaps more significantly, voters say 45 – 16 percent they expect their own health care to be worse rather than better a year from now."

"If voters still feel that way about their own situation come November 2014, that is likely to create a political playing field beneficial for Republicans," Brown added.

Apologizing for the broken promise that Obama and his fellow Democrats made in order to sell his signature health care plan–"If you like your plan, you can keep it"–the President acknowledged how the program's troubled kick-off could hurt Democrats in the voting booth.

"There is no doubt that our failure to rollout the ACA smoothly has put a burden on Democrats, whether they are running or not because they stood up and supported this effort through thick and thin," Obama said earlier this month.

In fact, a CNN/ORC International poll released Tuesday showed a dramatic turnaround in the battle for control of Congress in next year's midterm elections.

While Democrats had a lead a month ago, the new poll indicates the GOP now holds a narrow 49%-47% advantage over Democrats when respondents are asked to choose between a Republican and a Democrat in their congressional district, without the candidates being identified.

Despite the flawed launch of HealthCare.gov, a majority of Americans still seem to have an open mind about whether Obamacare will work, and more than half of those surveyed in another CNN/ORC poll believe the current problems can be solved.

Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,361 registered voters by telephone from November 19 – 24, with an overall sampling error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.

– CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2014 • Chris Christie • Hillary Clinton • Ohio • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (213 Responses)
  1. tony

    I think we'd be better off selecting our politiicains and leader by random selection – like we do jurors now. Then making them reluctantly serve for 5 years with a national average salary. But it might be even better if "the pool" consisted of only people with at least a science degree.

    November 27, 2013 12:27 pm at 12:27 pm |
  2. Ol' Yeller

    @jr-
    "Seems to be able to work with and bring together people on both sides of the isle. Something this administration has difficulty doing."

    Let's examine this idea you have put forth here... First, I'm not sure how you have determined Christie is able to do this, I'm pretty sure Rand Paul would disagree with you.
    However, I take real issue with this idea that Obama is somehow devisive or can't work with the opposition. It is not necassarily reflective of Obama's skills and the problem does appear to reside firmly in the republicant's lap based on all the data. They have openly treated the President with disdain, hostility, and disrespect. This their record...
    Democrats have historically worked with the opposition much more so than the reverse. For instance- Scalia, who is in no way, shape, or form anything but a pariah to most of those on the left, won confirmation easily (I believes it was 98-0). On the reverse, Obama couldn't put get the thermostat set to heat in the winter if republicants thought it was HIS idea.
    To blame the President for the gridlock in congress is ridiculous when it is obvious to even a 5 y/o that the opposition has done absolutely nothing to meet in the middle; rather they have done everything in their pickin' power to block, thwart, and logjam the process.
    This is NOT a theory, this is their record (I'm not sure some of them understand the concept of videorecording as of yet., perhaps they gave up when they could not set the clock on their VCR's).

    November 27, 2013 12:28 pm at 12:28 pm |
  3. Avi the Great

    These early polls are useless. Here is a quote from a March 14, 2007 article on CNN: "Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani is the clear front-runner in the crowded GOP presidential field and has a substantial lead on the closest competition, according to a CNN poll released Monday."

    November 27, 2013 12:30 pm at 12:30 pm |
  4. Joe

    Nobody wants either of these YANKEES as president. If both of them get nominated we should secede.

    November 27, 2013 12:30 pm at 12:30 pm |
  5. Hippie

    If the GOP can't find anyone better than the walking cartoon character fat joke Judas that is Chris Christie, they're screwed.

    November 27, 2013 12:31 pm at 12:31 pm |
  6. edmundburkeson

    Hillary got a free ride on the Benghazi investigation because she feined ill health. If I remember correctly her husband used that when he was President. She still has bookoo skeletons in her closet. How will she pull this off with so much to hide.

    November 27, 2013 12:34 pm at 12:34 pm |
  7. Lynda/Minnesota

    @ Woman in California

    Thank you for your thoughtful words. Having been brought up in a family of all males (my mother, my grandmother, and I being the exceptions), it was stressed upon me by my grandmother to always be civil. And here I am, 60+ years of age and still trying to live up to her wonderful example.

    Well, that and the fact that in my 60+ years there isn't anything that can be said to me that I haven't already heard from my loving (and oft-times overbearing) brothers.

    Who would have ever thought that civility would become a lost art in America?

    November 27, 2013 12:35 pm at 12:35 pm |
  8. Bill

    I like Christie a lot,
    but I think in this volatile world, Hillary has the chops and experience.
    No time to learn on the job.

    November 27, 2013 12:36 pm at 12:36 pm |
  9. SNLWriter

    Clinton as president? She'd be hiding half the time.

    November 27, 2013 12:36 pm at 12:36 pm |
  10. Ol' Yeller

    I am blessed that just because some person named Bill the Cat believes my heartfelt posts are...'Utter and complete nonsense. Every bit of it.' that I'm not so sensitive that I would let that bother me.
    Happy Thanksgiving Bill the Cat. Not sure what your ideas about America and Thanksgiving are, but obviously caring about others and trying to help those less blessed than yourself is not on the agenda.
    May your wishbone go down sideways.

    Thanks Ladies... I love and appreciate you all, too (but then again, I love ALL the ladies... with the exception of maybe Donna, but I'm not sure she is what I would refer to as 'a lady')

    November 27, 2013 12:38 pm at 12:38 pm |
  11. islandivan

    apparently stupidity like history likes to repeat itself, after the dismal Obama record and performance, voters are foolishly interested in Hilary Clinton who has not yet explained her failed responsibility over 4 Americans being killed in Benghazi amongst other questionable behaviors,,

    November 27, 2013 12:38 pm at 12:38 pm |
  12. Silence DoGood

    @Joe "Nobody wants either of these YANKEES as president. If both of them get nominated we should secede."

    Is there any better example of the direction in time that Tea-Heads want to go? Can you imagine what the Founders in 1776 would say if their great American experiment designed to embrace the future was being undermined by those wanting to actually stop and go backwards?

    November 27, 2013 12:45 pm at 12:45 pm |
  13. Gunderson

    2016 Presidential Election?,
    By the time the Liberal's will screw the country up so bad who will want to jump into the fire? You had a chance to elect the much better canidiate in Romney but you fowled your nest. With Obama Care hanging over the nation's head who will want to elect another loser?

    November 27, 2013 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  14. CB FL

    These polls are worthless Christie will never make it to the general elections unless he run as an independent.

    November 27, 2013 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  15. chas

    Christie leading ? I bet he is not even the nominee,

    November 27, 2013 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  16. Chukch

    Those polls are worthless .....I find it amusing that none of the minority candidates are being pushed and we are given the old stale reminders of the past . We want candidates that represent the demographics of the nation. Hillary Clinton and Christie don't fit the bill .

    November 27, 2013 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  17. dnokc

    Christie is fairly liberal but will never be able to match Hillary's freebees!

    November 27, 2013 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  18. critical thinking

    Hillary should be prepared for the next round of women coming out of the closet should she run. Does anyone think that Bill has become some type of Alter Boy during his time away from the White House? Anyone? He will end up embarrassing her. AGAIN !

    November 27, 2013 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  19. magicpanties

    Time for some new blood. Neither of these is right for the job; too old and/or too fat.

    November 27, 2013 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  20. kris

    this is useless, you know that, CNN, don't you

    November 27, 2013 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  21. Rudy NYC

    Lynda/Minnesota

    @ Rudy: "But, the building false equivalence between the law and the web site is being ignored."

    Indeed it is, Rudy. And like all things Republican, it will be the narrative going forward. Especially at CNN. I fault myself for not taking the time to research every false narrative ... but to be honest, I haven't had the interest to do so.

    Which leads me to suggest that I am giving you credit for "firing me up" to do so.
    -----------------------–
    Proud to be of service. Democrats have been embarrasingly complacent when it comes to countering the false and misleading messaging coming out of the right wing. They miss it because of the subtlety of it all. The right wing likes to play on people's emotions and human instincts, while the left seems to have a more practical and logical approach.

    November 27, 2013 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  22. sly

    I hope it is Christie running for the GOP. First they all hate him. Second, he will most likely die from a massive heart attack before the election.

    No one's wishing it, but the fat man doesn't have much time left with all that bacon juice clogging his arteries.

    American's don't want an obese man with Elephantitis as President.

    November 27, 2013 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  23. James

    part of America's political problem: we can't deal with today's issues and concerns, always looking to the future for a messiah/savior/genius to fix everything. Sad, but something we need to address if anything is going to get better, or at least change.

    November 27, 2013 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  24. MIKLE

    Hillary= Obama. No deference.

    November 27, 2013 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  25. esaggese

    It's NOT the economy, stupid!

    November 27, 2013 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
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