Ohio poll: Clinton, Christie tied; Obama approval rating at lowest point
November 27th, 2013
08:28 AM ET
10 months ago

Ohio poll: Clinton, Christie tied; Obama approval rating at lowest point

(CNN) - In the crucial swing state of Ohio, voters are practically split between Hillary Clinton and Chris Christie in a hypothetical 2016 presidential matchup, according to a new survey.

And in a potentially bad sign for 2014 Democrats, the new Quinnipiac University poll indicates the President's approval rating is at its lowest point in Quinnipiac polling history–nationally or in any state–at 34%.

Clinton v. Christie

The survey, which was released Wednesday, shows 42% of registered voters back the former Secretary of State while 41% support the recently re-elected Republican governor from New Jersey.

"Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie are the 2016 leaders to Ohio voters, locked in a statistical tie," Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling institute, said in a release.

The Ohio poll is the latest survey to show Christie gaining ground against Clinton in a swing state. A Quinnipiac poll in Colorado last week indicated Christie ahead of Clinton by eight percentage points.

Three recent surveys in the reliably blue state of New York, however, show Christie trailing behind Clinton, who served eight years as Senator from the Empire State.

In the new Quinnipiac poll, Clinton topples Republican Gov. John Kasich of Ohio, 49%-38%. The governor, who's considered a possible 2016 White House contender, faces re-election next year, and a Quinnipiac survey released Tuesday showed him ahead of his likely Democratic opponent by only seven percentage points.

Ohio voters also support Clinton over other potential Republican contenders, including former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas.

None of the mentioned potential candidates have announced bids for the White House, but many of them have made high-profile trips to swing states or have said they're considering a run.

"Ms. Clinton easily defeats a bevy of other potential GOP aspirants," Brown said. "Interestingly, when voters are asked whether she would make a good president, more say yes, than say they would vote for her."

Also of note, voters are divided, 44%-45%, on whether Washington experience or experience outside the nation's capital would help someone be a good President, Brown added.

Another potential candidate, Republican Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin, sparked a debate when he argued last week in an interview that the next presidential and vice presidential nominees should be a current or former governor–though he noted his friend from Wisconsin, Rep. Paul Ryan, would be an exception.

Bad news for Democrats

With the President's approval rating dropping in recent polls–including the new Quinnipiac survey–Democrats on the ballot next year are concerned about a trickle-down effect.

At 34%, Obama's approval rating in Ohio is six percentage points lower than his previous low point in the Buckeye State, when it was at 40% this past June.

A majority–57%–say the President is not honest or trustworthy, while 39% say the opposite, according to the new survey.

"Clearly much of the reason for the president's decline in Ohio is 'Obamacare'," Brown said. "Ohio voters oppose the Affordable Care Act 59 – 35 percent. Perhaps more significantly, voters say 45 – 16 percent they expect their own health care to be worse rather than better a year from now."

"If voters still feel that way about their own situation come November 2014, that is likely to create a political playing field beneficial for Republicans," Brown added.

Apologizing for the broken promise that Obama and his fellow Democrats made in order to sell his signature health care plan–"If you like your plan, you can keep it"–the President acknowledged how the program's troubled kick-off could hurt Democrats in the voting booth.

"There is no doubt that our failure to rollout the ACA smoothly has put a burden on Democrats, whether they are running or not because they stood up and supported this effort through thick and thin," Obama said earlier this month.

In fact, a CNN/ORC International poll released Tuesday showed a dramatic turnaround in the battle for control of Congress in next year's midterm elections.

While Democrats had a lead a month ago, the new poll indicates the GOP now holds a narrow 49%-47% advantage over Democrats when respondents are asked to choose between a Republican and a Democrat in their congressional district, without the candidates being identified.

Despite the flawed launch of HealthCare.gov, a majority of Americans still seem to have an open mind about whether Obamacare will work, and more than half of those surveyed in another CNN/ORC poll believe the current problems can be solved.

Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,361 registered voters by telephone from November 19 – 24, with an overall sampling error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.

– CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2014 • Chris Christie • Hillary Clinton • Ohio • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (213 Responses)
  1. davecu

    Let Hillary run!
    That's the only way we will get some answers to 'just did she accomplish' while being SOS?
    What DID she know about Benghazi and when.

    She wants to be president soo badly she might answer those questions.

    November 27, 2013 01:07 pm at 1:07 pm |
  2. The Dead Critic

    With Benghazi's blood still fresh on her hands......why would any person in their RIGHT MINDSET vote for this witch/narcissist/liar?!

    November 27, 2013 01:08 pm at 1:08 pm |
  3. NameCraig

    Lynda my thoughts almost to the letter except I'm a republican and feel that way about Obama, Besides Bush and his H L S intrusions into our life Obama is the most freedom oppressive president we ever had I am still ashamed of his America he Dictates

    November 27, 2013 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  4. Imagine that

    Two truths: 1) 2016 Presidential polls at this point in time are 100% meaningless. Remember, Michele Bachmann led in the polls once. 2) Benghazi conspiracy theorists seriously need to get a life...

    November 27, 2013 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  5. Organic1

    Straight from the land of Boehner – who cares? Their creditability is in the tank.

    November 27, 2013 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  6. Jeb

    Christie is behind Clinton in his own state of New Jersey!

    If the people who know him best don't think he'd be a good President, why should anyone else?

    November 27, 2013 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  7. Jean Sartre

    Has ANYONE at CNN noticed that the 2016 election 3-years away... Holy Unicorn, you folks are desperate for NEWS!

    November 27, 2013 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  8. Pollux

    Maybe because 4 people in Benghazi < 5,000 plus soldiers in Iraq and Afghanistan not counting all those wounded and the 100,000+ Iraqi civilians who died in the cross fire. Oh and lets not forget the $3 trillion in debt from that war we're still paying interest on. You forget about that?

    November 27, 2013 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  9. The GOP need to pack up and leave

    Everyone knows that Hillary Clinton is intelligent, capable, successful and knows Washington both as an insider and an outsider. She's savvy about what's going on in the world and the US' place in events. She understands that 99% of the population are the working poor and doesn't think that the world is made up of all 1%ers like the GOP does. Would she make a good president? I think she'd make one of the finest presidents this country has ever had.

    Christie? Well, he has shown signs from time to time of having something higher than a double-digit IQ like his cohorts. Would he make a good president? No. There's been nothing that he's done that indicates to me that he's even a good governor.

    November 27, 2013 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  10. oreo

    It's a lose, lose -both are Statists with a penchant for fascism.

    November 27, 2013 01:32 pm at 1:32 pm |
  11. ProtectAmericanJobs

    Wouldn't we all be better off if Our Elected Leaders Started Working Together as AMERICANS for AMERICANS and AMERICA, instead of just bickering, stalling and posturing for the next election as democrats and republicans/tea-whatevers! The American People have had it with this unproductive BS! The way that both parties having been operating for years just stinks! Neither party has really been looking out for the best interests of the US Citizens who elect them and who they're supposed to represent.

    Hillary is certainly not what we need.

    November 27, 2013 01:33 pm at 1:33 pm |
  12. Cindy

    I wish both Clintons would just stay the heck out of politics. Given a choice between the two however, I'd take Bill over his wife again any day. She is far more corrupt than he is.

    November 27, 2013 01:36 pm at 1:36 pm |
  13. cfd

    He looks better than she does

    November 27, 2013 01:37 pm at 1:37 pm |
  14. Brian in DC

    Still trying to figure out what Hillary has ever accomplished.

    November 27, 2013 01:37 pm at 1:37 pm |
  15. Neurotoxin

    All these pollsters do realize that Clinton has to win her own primary first, right? Because I remember another election year where she was edged out by a political unknown, and that was BEFORE she loaded up her closet with skeletons as Sec. of State and BEFORE her party was wearing the divisive mantle of Obamacare. Polls this early on are based on name recognition and the media is already trying to desperately to paint her as the only choice, but there are at least half a dozen other Democrat potentials and plenty to run against the Dem establishment on. Mark my words, she's not even making it past Florida.

    November 27, 2013 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  16. BD

    A poster said Christie was behind Clinton in NJ; being from NJ that does not surprise me at all because NJ is a mostly democratic state with a large population being in North NJ, which is basically NYC. What is surprising to me is the fact that Christie has now won 2 X for Governor as a republican and won by a landslide for his 2nd term. That alone speaks worlds to where NJ is right now. The democratic candidate was a relatively unknown but at the same time if the voters were that unhappy with Christie, he wouldn't have won by that much. Just sayin

    November 27, 2013 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  17. mike

    Talk to me in 2 years

    November 27, 2013 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  18. longtooth

    A Clinton-Christie matchup would be a great race to watch. Clinton has the experience and the credentials. She'd be one of the best qualified candidates in history. (The folks who live and breathe Benghazi won't vote for her anyway).
    I've voted almost entirely democrat my whole life, which is longer than most of you, I'm sure. Christie fascinates me because he seems legitimate and politically fearless. Sadly, that disqualifies him from the republican field.

    November 27, 2013 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  19. johnk

    Oh gee wonderful a couple of career politicians running for this office. Both are a joke and stupid as good choices to this position as President. Both are only interested in themselves and could care less about the state of the country to improve it today (no vision, no goals and realistic plan. I do have a much better person who is far more smarter, far more educated, better spoken, and very business savvy. He has written over 35 books, spoken to well over one million people world wide, has made his mark on his own without the help of parents and has real values he lives by and follows. I have followed and read his books for now over 12 years and honestly if he choose so, would be the very best choice for this country's future as President. Who, Brian Tracy, look him up find out if you have the desire and interest to do so. If not, then do as your party tells you to do and act like a dumb sheep.

    November 27, 2013 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  20. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    Rudy NYC wrote
    Democrats have been embarrasingly complacent when it comes to countering the false and misleading messaging coming out of the right wing. They miss it because of the subtlety of it all.
    -------------------------------------------------
    How right you are Rudy. And I must say that I don't think that it is because they "miss it"
    Republicans have been everything but subtle in their dogged attempts to mislead, and misinform the voters, indeed, anyone that would listen. The media has been quite complicit in this endeavor.
    These past 5 years alone we have all been witness to Republicans at first subtly, but then quite blatantly demeaning, disrespecting, and obstructing anything and everything to do with this President.
    Some have referred to this phenomenon as "the sheets and hood coming off". I can't say that it was all race related, but I can attest to the fact that they have been emboldened to not even put up a PUBLIC pretense that they are willing to work with this President.
    That has quickly translated into Republicans doing away with all public pretense that they are willing to work FOR us, average middle-class Americans.
    Their lies Rudy have become brazen. The media is their echo chamber.
    It is beyond my comprehension why Democrats don't call them out on it Rudy, as all their silence does is embolden the Republicans and it makes the Democrats appear weak and scared.

    November 27, 2013 01:46 pm at 1:46 pm |
  21. Bubba Ray

    But will Christie sell his soul to the Koch Brothers for the nomination? Maybe he can borrow that Etch-A-Sketch from Rmoney?

    November 27, 2013 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  22. J Robinson

    John Kerry has already accomplished more and demonstrated more diplomatic skills as SOS than Clinton did in her whole term. Hillary Clinton is a successful politician's wife who works hard but has repeatedly shown poor judgment in critical situations, just like her husband. They both need to be permanently retired.

    November 27, 2013 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  23. radium

    If we have to choose between Christy and Hillary then we're all in trouble. My other thought is how in the world do 34% of the people still approve of Obama?

    November 27, 2013 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  24. The GOP need to pack up and leave

    I have to laugh when I read questions like 'What has Hillary accomplished." Seriously?

    November 27, 2013 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  25. SHEILA

    she's still as good looking as she always looked, more refined & classy now....she's got my vote in a heartbeat

    November 27, 2013 01:54 pm at 1:54 pm |
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