Ohio poll: Clinton, Christie tied; Obama approval rating at lowest point
November 27th, 2013
08:28 AM ET
11 months ago

Ohio poll: Clinton, Christie tied; Obama approval rating at lowest point

(CNN) - In the crucial swing state of Ohio, voters are practically split between Hillary Clinton and Chris Christie in a hypothetical 2016 presidential matchup, according to a new survey.

And in a potentially bad sign for 2014 Democrats, the new Quinnipiac University poll indicates the President's approval rating is at its lowest point in Quinnipiac polling history–nationally or in any state–at 34%.

Clinton v. Christie

The survey, which was released Wednesday, shows 42% of registered voters back the former Secretary of State while 41% support the recently re-elected Republican governor from New Jersey.

"Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie are the 2016 leaders to Ohio voters, locked in a statistical tie," Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling institute, said in a release.

The Ohio poll is the latest survey to show Christie gaining ground against Clinton in a swing state. A Quinnipiac poll in Colorado last week indicated Christie ahead of Clinton by eight percentage points.

Three recent surveys in the reliably blue state of New York, however, show Christie trailing behind Clinton, who served eight years as Senator from the Empire State.

In the new Quinnipiac poll, Clinton topples Republican Gov. John Kasich of Ohio, 49%-38%. The governor, who's considered a possible 2016 White House contender, faces re-election next year, and a Quinnipiac survey released Tuesday showed him ahead of his likely Democratic opponent by only seven percentage points.

Ohio voters also support Clinton over other potential Republican contenders, including former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas.

None of the mentioned potential candidates have announced bids for the White House, but many of them have made high-profile trips to swing states or have said they're considering a run.

"Ms. Clinton easily defeats a bevy of other potential GOP aspirants," Brown said. "Interestingly, when voters are asked whether she would make a good president, more say yes, than say they would vote for her."

Also of note, voters are divided, 44%-45%, on whether Washington experience or experience outside the nation's capital would help someone be a good President, Brown added.

Another potential candidate, Republican Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin, sparked a debate when he argued last week in an interview that the next presidential and vice presidential nominees should be a current or former governor–though he noted his friend from Wisconsin, Rep. Paul Ryan, would be an exception.

Bad news for Democrats

With the President's approval rating dropping in recent polls–including the new Quinnipiac survey–Democrats on the ballot next year are concerned about a trickle-down effect.

At 34%, Obama's approval rating in Ohio is six percentage points lower than his previous low point in the Buckeye State, when it was at 40% this past June.

A majority–57%–say the President is not honest or trustworthy, while 39% say the opposite, according to the new survey.

"Clearly much of the reason for the president's decline in Ohio is 'Obamacare'," Brown said. "Ohio voters oppose the Affordable Care Act 59 – 35 percent. Perhaps more significantly, voters say 45 – 16 percent they expect their own health care to be worse rather than better a year from now."

"If voters still feel that way about their own situation come November 2014, that is likely to create a political playing field beneficial for Republicans," Brown added.

Apologizing for the broken promise that Obama and his fellow Democrats made in order to sell his signature health care plan–"If you like your plan, you can keep it"–the President acknowledged how the program's troubled kick-off could hurt Democrats in the voting booth.

"There is no doubt that our failure to rollout the ACA smoothly has put a burden on Democrats, whether they are running or not because they stood up and supported this effort through thick and thin," Obama said earlier this month.

In fact, a CNN/ORC International poll released Tuesday showed a dramatic turnaround in the battle for control of Congress in next year's midterm elections.

While Democrats had a lead a month ago, the new poll indicates the GOP now holds a narrow 49%-47% advantage over Democrats when respondents are asked to choose between a Republican and a Democrat in their congressional district, without the candidates being identified.

Despite the flawed launch of HealthCare.gov, a majority of Americans still seem to have an open mind about whether Obamacare will work, and more than half of those surveyed in another CNN/ORC poll believe the current problems can be solved.

Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,361 registered voters by telephone from November 19 – 24, with an overall sampling error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.

– CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2014 • Chris Christie • Hillary Clinton • Ohio • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (213 Responses)
  1. critical thinking

    Presidential politics has turned into nothing more than a beauty contest. That is most unfortunate for Hillary.

    November 27, 2013 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
  2. Maria Delaluz

    Hilary and Christie? That's all we've got??? Lord have mercy on this nation for it is an evil nation. Actually your wrath is being felt even now, juding from the last few presidents we've had especially, ESPECIALLY with the current one!

    November 27, 2013 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
  3. J Robinson

    The Democratic party needs somebody like Pope Francis to shake it up!

    November 27, 2013 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
  4. ex-sarge

    Take the money out of politics, make them work for a living (40 hours a week), and see how many current politicans would "retire" to spend more time with their families.

    November 27, 2013 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  5. Rudy NYC

    DM4O wrote:

    How right you are Rudy. And I must say that I don't think that it is because they "miss it"
    Republicans have been everything but subtle in their dogged attempts to mislead, and misinform the voters, indeed, anyone that would listen. The media has been quite complicit in this endeavor.
    --------------------–
    Aaah, they're actually pretty slick about it. As they talk about one contentious topic that is the center of conversation, they will sprinkle in tidbits of false narratives here and there that will get ignored. You're sharper than the average voter, way sharper. The average voter doesn't pick up on the subliminal messaging that they do.

    For example, the right wing is raging furious about X millions of people being dropped from their policies, while complaining about sticker shock and a bad web site. The subliminal message behind it is buildilng the false narrative that the web site failure means that the health care law is a failure. "This disastrous web site shows how bad Obamacare is for the nation."

    November 27, 2013 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  6. Jonjo

    Two Progressives. They are technically both Democrats. Christie should not even be in that party.

    November 27, 2013 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  7. Rudy NYC

    Robinson

    The Democratic party needs somebody like Pope Francis to shake it up!
    ---------------------------
    Should I assume that this means that you've heard the Pope's remarks blasting "trickle down economics" and all? Or not?

    November 27, 2013 02:21 pm at 2:21 pm |
  8. ladies first

    Change is welcomed i don't care what color or religion or sex as long as as their focussed on getting this country back on the right track jobs healthcare (safety_ knock out game, NY) military workers and families need respect and compensated also lets get back on track with space shuttle UFO disclosure, Bring it and America will build it!

    November 27, 2013 02:25 pm at 2:25 pm |
  9. ladies first

    seriously doubt either one will win

    November 27, 2013 02:32 pm at 2:32 pm |
  10. Malory Archer

    J Robinson
    The Democratic party needs somebody like Pope Francis to shake it up!

    +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    Pope Francis identifies much more closely with the Dems than he does with the rethugs. In fact, he denouces EVERYTHING rethugs are/strive to be.

    November 27, 2013 02:36 pm at 2:36 pm |
  11. Silence DoGood

    @Brian in DC "Still trying to figure out what Hillary has ever accomplished."
    Google and 10 seconds. Is the Radical Right abandoning Computers along with Evolution in school?

    November 27, 2013 02:37 pm at 2:37 pm |
  12. christina knight

    The ultra-right wing of the Republican party will never let Christie be the nominee, therefore this poll is completely meaningless.

    November 27, 2013 02:49 pm at 2:49 pm |
  13. The Real Tom Paine

    -tom l

    @Data
    So, basically, they're all liars. Like I have always said. Come to the libertarian party! The water's warm and you don't have to justify why your guy lied but it's ok.

    Happy Thanksgiving, dude.
    ******************
    Oh sure, come to the Libertarian Party and embrace the un-American ideals of Ayn Rand. The only way a person can do that is if they lack a conscience and feel that greed and selfishness are virtues.

    November 27, 2013 03:10 pm at 3:10 pm |
  14. Say it ain't so

    Chris christie for prez.

    November 27, 2013 03:11 pm at 3:11 pm |
  15. kabelme

    If Ohio hates Obama so much, why on earth would they want to vote for Hillary?

    November 27, 2013 03:20 pm at 3:20 pm |
  16. Roderick

    How stupid is this, who knows we're these two will be at in 2016, Christy better lose some weight and Hillary will be how old? CNN, can't find anything to report on?

    November 27, 2013 03:21 pm at 3:21 pm |
  17. Roderick

    Moderate my comments when critical of this joke called CNN. Funny how you don't like censorship.

    November 27, 2013 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
  18. VoteForPedro

    Christie would make a good Dem VP choice for Hillary. :)

    November 27, 2013 03:25 pm at 3:25 pm |
  19. Jake

    Why would ANYONE trust either one of these men?

    November 27, 2013 03:28 pm at 3:28 pm |
  20. JT

    It's way to early for this crap.

    November 27, 2013 03:31 pm at 3:31 pm |
  21. areyouforseriousmyboy

    Yes because either of them are going to be president.

    November 27, 2013 03:31 pm at 3:31 pm |
  22. Reality

    Either way, there is not enough welfare (other peoples' money) to cover their spending desires. Neither one will have the courage to seek a balanced budget, whether that is tax increases, spending cuts, or both. We will have four or eight more years of economic decline.

    November 27, 2013 03:45 pm at 3:45 pm |
  23. Worth Repeating

    Wake up people! What you are seeing is the implementation of SOCIAL JUSTICE by Obama and the Democrats.

    It was not fair that 280 million people had healthcare they liked and wanted to keep while 50 million did not. Therefore all of the healthcare of the 280 million had to be taken down several notches to give that 50 million free of heavily taxpayer funded healthcare.

    Don't we all feel great now that justice has been rendered by Obama and the Democrats?!! Our families really didn't need that healthcare, that doctor, that hospital. It just wasn't fair for us to have it so it had to go.

    November 27, 2013 03:52 pm at 3:52 pm |
  24. Lynda/Minnesota

    I've heard all the Fox noise I can take for the day. Well, week actually.

    Have a wonderful and safe Thanksgiving to all (on both sides of the political aisle).

    November 27, 2013 04:03 pm at 4:03 pm |
  25. The Real Tom Paine

    -Worth Repeating

    Wake up people! What you are seeing is the implementation of SOCIAL JUSTICE by Obama and the Democrats.

    It was not fair that 280 million people had healthcare they liked and wanted to keep while 50 million did not. Therefore all of the healthcare of the 280 million had to be taken down several notches to give that 50 million free of heavily taxpayer funded healthcare.

    Don't we all feel great now that justice has been rendered by Obama and the Democrats?!! Our families really didn't need that healthcare, that doctor, that hospital. It just wasn't fair for us to have it so it had to go.
    *****************
    There is a concept in Christianity called bearing witness. In the Quaker tradition of bearing witness, you have a moral duty to use whatever means you can ( excluding violance) to draw attention to that injustice and stop it from happening. If there are 50 million people without health insurance, as you claim, don't you think some sacrifice is in order to help them? Apparently, in the greed/selfishness-driven morality of the new GOP, no sacrifice is ever in order, especially if its means you lose some money in the short term. After all the debt the GOP has driven us into, certainly debt should not bother a conservative ( deficits don't matter, remember?). Do you only bear witness to a perceived injustice to yourself, or one you know to be an injustice to others? Think about that as you eat your Thanksgiving turkey and ask if you are really worthy to give thanks or not.

    November 27, 2013 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
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