Ohio poll: Clinton, Christie tied; Obama approval rating at lowest point
November 27th, 2013
08:28 AM ET
1 year ago

Ohio poll: Clinton, Christie tied; Obama approval rating at lowest point

(CNN) - In the crucial swing state of Ohio, voters are practically split between Hillary Clinton and Chris Christie in a hypothetical 2016 presidential matchup, according to a new survey.

And in a potentially bad sign for 2014 Democrats, the new Quinnipiac University poll indicates the President's approval rating is at its lowest point in Quinnipiac polling history–nationally or in any state–at 34%.

Clinton v. Christie

The survey, which was released Wednesday, shows 42% of registered voters back the former Secretary of State while 41% support the recently re-elected Republican governor from New Jersey.

"Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie are the 2016 leaders to Ohio voters, locked in a statistical tie," Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling institute, said in a release.

The Ohio poll is the latest survey to show Christie gaining ground against Clinton in a swing state. A Quinnipiac poll in Colorado last week indicated Christie ahead of Clinton by eight percentage points.

Three recent surveys in the reliably blue state of New York, however, show Christie trailing behind Clinton, who served eight years as Senator from the Empire State.

In the new Quinnipiac poll, Clinton topples Republican Gov. John Kasich of Ohio, 49%-38%. The governor, who's considered a possible 2016 White House contender, faces re-election next year, and a Quinnipiac survey released Tuesday showed him ahead of his likely Democratic opponent by only seven percentage points.

Ohio voters also support Clinton over other potential Republican contenders, including former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas.

None of the mentioned potential candidates have announced bids for the White House, but many of them have made high-profile trips to swing states or have said they're considering a run.

"Ms. Clinton easily defeats a bevy of other potential GOP aspirants," Brown said. "Interestingly, when voters are asked whether she would make a good president, more say yes, than say they would vote for her."

Also of note, voters are divided, 44%-45%, on whether Washington experience or experience outside the nation's capital would help someone be a good President, Brown added.

Another potential candidate, Republican Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin, sparked a debate when he argued last week in an interview that the next presidential and vice presidential nominees should be a current or former governor–though he noted his friend from Wisconsin, Rep. Paul Ryan, would be an exception.

Bad news for Democrats

With the President's approval rating dropping in recent polls–including the new Quinnipiac survey–Democrats on the ballot next year are concerned about a trickle-down effect.

At 34%, Obama's approval rating in Ohio is six percentage points lower than his previous low point in the Buckeye State, when it was at 40% this past June.

A majority–57%–say the President is not honest or trustworthy, while 39% say the opposite, according to the new survey.

"Clearly much of the reason for the president's decline in Ohio is 'Obamacare'," Brown said. "Ohio voters oppose the Affordable Care Act 59 – 35 percent. Perhaps more significantly, voters say 45 – 16 percent they expect their own health care to be worse rather than better a year from now."

"If voters still feel that way about their own situation come November 2014, that is likely to create a political playing field beneficial for Republicans," Brown added.

Apologizing for the broken promise that Obama and his fellow Democrats made in order to sell his signature health care plan–"If you like your plan, you can keep it"–the President acknowledged how the program's troubled kick-off could hurt Democrats in the voting booth.

"There is no doubt that our failure to rollout the ACA smoothly has put a burden on Democrats, whether they are running or not because they stood up and supported this effort through thick and thin," Obama said earlier this month.

In fact, a CNN/ORC International poll released Tuesday showed a dramatic turnaround in the battle for control of Congress in next year's midterm elections.

While Democrats had a lead a month ago, the new poll indicates the GOP now holds a narrow 49%-47% advantage over Democrats when respondents are asked to choose between a Republican and a Democrat in their congressional district, without the candidates being identified.

Despite the flawed launch of HealthCare.gov, a majority of Americans still seem to have an open mind about whether Obamacare will work, and more than half of those surveyed in another CNN/ORC poll believe the current problems can be solved.

Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,361 registered voters by telephone from November 19 – 24, with an overall sampling error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.

– CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2014 • Chris Christie • Hillary Clinton • Ohio • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (213 Responses)
  1. Greg Campbell

    Independents love Christie. Heck, even the democrats in NJ really like him. He is not like the other GOP candidates. He can draw from the center better than any other GOP

    November 27, 2013 09:19 pm at 9:19 pm |
  2. whitep

    We don't like the people we just elected so why bother to tell us about the next group. Besides the GOP states don't want people to vote. The rich want to just pick politicians in back rooms and print happy, colorful flyers telling to l us who to vote for.

    November 27, 2013 09:54 pm at 9:54 pm |
  3. loops808

    Apologized? Obama yes, but Nancy Pelosi and company adamantly stood in front of cameras and said she and other Democrats did not lie. This will only get worse for Dems.

    November 27, 2013 11:45 pm at 11:45 pm |
  4. jowl

    Chris Christie would be a mistake. He is like the Howard Dean of the Republican party. He will make one huge slip up and it will be over for him.

    November 28, 2013 12:17 am at 12:17 am |
  5. bernard

    christies problem is that he is a librel republican whom the right wing gop will never back on mass.

    November 28, 2013 12:28 am at 12:28 am |
  6. Edwin

    Oh noes! I am sure Clinton is in a panic that Christie is doing well against her... THREE YEARS before the election! They say that in politics a week is a long time. Maybe so, maybe not, but a year is a very long time, and three years is an eternity. This poll is almost utterly meaningless – its sole value is to show that both of these possible contenders have sufficient name recognition and enough loyal fans to seriously consider making an actual run for the White House.

    As for Obama, it is also a shock (not) that he is very unpopular. The rollout of ACA was mangled both from a computing standpoint and PR standpoint, and his bad marks are reflective of that. Add to this the fact that many millions of dollars were spent in propaganda attacking him and attacking his legislation... so yeah, he is not popular now.

    But he is President and will be for three more years. And the ACA glitches are likely to be fixed within a few months, perhaps a year. Lots of people ARE signing up, just not on the federal website. In a few months, it will probably be running *mostly* smoothly (so no worse than most of the rest of the government) and opinions about Obama will improve again. He will never fully recover from this popularity hit, but then again he doesn't need to.

    November 28, 2013 12:53 am at 12:53 am |
  7. Winkaz

    I don't know why the media is really thinking about these two running head to head.Maybe this is their dream?But in reality Americans like most of us wouldn't even node our head towards a vote for either one.In the true world America is looking at Ted Cruz and a Senator from New York for the Democratic party.These two area you're more likely one's to go head to head.America is fed up with the media push.It's time for Americans to push their choice and push the media out of the way.After all Obama is their poster child not ours.

    November 28, 2013 01:41 am at 1:41 am |
  8. Iamnotfooled

    America is hungry for its FIRST WOMAN president. Most of the voters are women. Enough said.

    November 28, 2013 03:05 am at 3:05 am |
  9. NATHAN WIMBERLY

    Yawn. Can't wait to see the GOBP stuff Jeb Bush down the tea potty's throats 2012 Mitt the twit style.

    November 28, 2013 07:56 am at 7:56 am |
  10. jim

    I get a kick out out all you upset about Benghazi. Where was your anger when W fabricated a need to invade Iraq causing senseless deaths and injuries to thousands of US military?

    November 28, 2013 08:03 am at 8:03 am |
  11. dredog

    jesse ventura 2016

    November 28, 2013 08:51 am at 8:51 am |
  12. Name jo

    And with our government secretly spying and absorbing information about all its citizens is unacceptable – since when is it their business what we as free individuals do with our personal time.. Thanks for letting us know , congress needs to step up to the plate , n support our democrocy and reign in checks and balances of our entire executive branch.

    November 28, 2013 09:15 am at 9:15 am |
  13. richie

    Guess the Tea Party can stay home for the 2016 election.

    November 28, 2013 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
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