Polls: Clinton, Christie deadlocked in hypothetical 2016 matchup
December 11th, 2013
12:43 PM ET
11 months ago

Polls: Clinton, Christie deadlocked in hypothetical 2016 matchup

Update: An earlier version of this article, in the third graph,  had the McClatchy-Marist poll numbers of the Clinton-Christie hypothetical matchup reversed.

(CNN) - In a possible preview of the next presidential election, two new national polls on Wednesday suggest Hillary Clinton and Chris Christie would be neck and neck if the 2016 contest were held today.

A Quinnipiac University survey indicates that 42% of registered voters nationwide say they would support Christie, the Republican Governor of New Jersey, if he were the GOP nominee, with 41% saying they would back Clinton, the former Secretary of State, if she captured the Democratic nod.

According to a McClatchy-Marist poll, 48% of registered voters say they would support Clinton, with 45% backing Christie.

The new numbers are a switch from this summer, when both surveys indicated Clinton with an advantage over Christie. He grabbed national headlines last month for his landslide re-election victory.

While Clinton and Christie are deadlocked, the McClatchy-Marist survey indicates the former Senator, 2008 Democratic presidential candidate and First Lady, holding double-digit leads in hypothetical general election matchups against seven other potential Republican contenders.

They include: Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida; former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush; Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky; Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, the 2012 GOP vice presidential nominee; Texas Gov. Rick Perry; Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas; and former Alaska Gov. and 2008 Republican running mate Sarah Palin.

The Quinnipiac poll puts Clinton 13 points ahead of Cruz, 9 points in front of Bush, and on top of Paul by 7 points.

The McClatchy-Marist poll indicates what a CNN/ORC International survey first highlighted last month, that Christie's emerged as a potential frontrunner among the possible GOP contenders.

Christie held an 11-point lead over the rest of the field in the CNN/ORC poll. In the new survey, He is at 18% in the race for the Republican nomination, with Paul, in second place, 6 points back.

The Quinnipiac survey suggests a tighter contest for the GOP nomination, with Christie just 3 points ahead of the rest of the field.

Both new polls also indicate what just about every other survey this year has pointed out: That Clinton would be the overwhelming frontrunner for the Democratic nomination. And the McClatchy-Marist poll, like the CNN survey from last month, it suggests Vice President Joe Biden would be the early favorite for his party's nomination, if Clinton doesn't run.

"It's still two years before they're shivering in the snow in Iowa and New Hampshire, but today, New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie and Secretary Hillary Clinton are the hottest prospects for 2016," Malloy said.

As with all polls conducted so early in a presidential cycle, this survey was most likely heavily influenced by name recognition.

The McClatchy-Marist poll was conducted December 3-5, with 1,173 adults nationwide questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted December 3-9, with 2,692 registered voters nationwide questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.


Filed under: 2016 • Chris Christie • Hillary Clinton
soundoff (22 Responses)
  1. Dutch/Bad Newz, VA -aka- Take Back The House -aka- No Redemption Votes

    Christie's poll numbers will drop after word gets out about his GWB lane closure scandal.

    December 11, 2013 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  2. Zolicon

    I am so looking forward to 2016 when I once again am proven right about what I have predicted.
    Which by the way was no Presidential election.

    December 11, 2013 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  3. anotherGDlefty

    Meanwhile in 2013 no one cares because....it's 2013.

    December 11, 2013 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  4. Woman In California

    Both new polls also indicate what just about every other survey this year has pointed out: That Clinton would be the overwhelming frontrunner for the Democratic nomination.
    -
    The same was said in 2008. Things change and we might even have newcomers enter the race but in any event, it won't be an easy victory for either side.

    December 11, 2013 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  5. Gurgyl

    Hillary wins just like Obama with thumping majority. I bet GOP is gone to dogs for another fifty years or so. Hillary16.

    December 11, 2013 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  6. Dutch/Bad Newz, VA -aka- Take Back The House -aka- No Redemption Votes

    When all the juicy details about Christie's connection to Bernie Madoff, his lavish lifestyle & expensive trips while he was a U.S. attorney(ket's not forget his misuse of the NJ helicopter to go to son's baseball game) & the government contracts he gave to political allies like John Ashcroft come out, he's toast!

    December 11, 2013 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  7. dave

    Can't get enough news about the future! Facts about the recent past are so boring. CNN is so cutting edge!

    December 11, 2013 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  8. Thomas

    The same poll that said Mitt Romney was leading in the last election ..

    December 11, 2013 01:07 pm at 1:07 pm |
  9. Rudy NYC

    What about that "Too Crazy Even For Texas" guy that's mounting a prmary challenge against Sen. Cornyn.. R-TX?

    December 11, 2013 01:11 pm at 1:11 pm |
  10. O'drama ya Mama

    Until Christie makes an etch a sketch attempt after pandering to the Tea Party just for the nomination. Christie has a better chance in national politics as a Democrat then he ever will as a Republican.

    December 11, 2013 01:11 pm at 1:11 pm |
  11. just saying

    christie is a real leader, inlike hillary clinton. he's actually accomplished things. and one thing is for sure, he would never desert americans under attack, get them killed and then scream 'what difference does it make".

    hillary clinton would be just as big a disaster for this country as obama has been. if she gets elected, we might as well turn off the lights in this country. unless of course there is a republican house and senate to keep her from detroying the country like obama did when he had a demorcat house and senate.

    December 11, 2013 01:12 pm at 1:12 pm |
  12. smith

    Christie scares liberals because they he know he can win the next election. Personally, I think with the ACA debacle Christie will win easily.

    December 11, 2013 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  13. The Republican Party Is Dead To Me

    Dream on. When the race is over and the votes are added up Christie, is going to still be where he is now. Think different, bet on it and lose your shirt.

    December 11, 2013 01:31 pm at 1:31 pm |
  14. CryBabies

    No good, just bad and ugly.

    December 11, 2013 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  15. Fair is Fair

    Hill-dog better distance herself from Obamacare – and PRONTO.

    December 11, 2013 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  16. bill

    what difference does it make. billary's down fall.

    December 11, 2013 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  17. Jeff Brown in Jersey

    The job is hers if she wants it.

    December 11, 2013 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  18. The Real Tom Paine

    -just saying

    christie is a real leader, inlike hillary clinton. he's actually accomplished things. and one thing is for sure, he would never desert americans under attack, get them killed and then scream 'what difference does it make".

    hillary clinton would be just as big a disaster for this country as obama has been. if she gets elected, we might as well turn off the lights in this country. unless of course there is a republican house and senate to keep her from detroying the country like obama did when he had a demorcat house and senate.
    ******************
    Where does NJ stand in terms of job creation at this point in time? I think they are in that bottom 10% of states with WI to keep them company. Truth be told, he has not done much at all, except to deftly use the federal government after Sandy and to go back on agreements he negotiated with Democrats in the legislature using a tool not available to the President, namely a line item veto. I would love to see how Christie would deal with a Benghazi-type scenario, since no one could have got to the consulate in time unless they had a Star Trek transporter: so, to answer your question, what difference would it have made if Christie were in charge: none at all. You don't get do-overs in real life. I also seem to remember you stating flatly that Christie would be a disaster, so your statements ring hollow to those of us who actually remember the reams of BS you've flung out on a daily basis.

    December 11, 2013 01:56 pm at 1:56 pm |
  19. oreo

    They are both statists, unworthy to shine my shoes.

    December 11, 2013 01:57 pm at 1:57 pm |
  20. Barry

    Other than gallivanting around the globe as SOS, what makes Hillary qualified to be POTUS?

    December 11, 2013 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |
  21. Bill

    I just want to respond to all those that say the Republican Party is dead. How is it dead, when it is expected that they will gain more house seats and take over the Senate in the mid-term elections? I don't see any scenario where a Democrat is elected to President in 2016. It's just not gone happen without any sizable economic recovery around the corner. It is extremely unlikely to turn the corner on the economy before the 2016 election. The best one can hope for is continued stagnant growth. I will be amazed if the American people elect a Democrat after Obama's abysmal economic numbers.

    December 11, 2013 02:15 pm at 2:15 pm |
  22. Silence DoGood

    Real Tom Paine "desert americans under attack"
    Just to recap – GOP de-funded embassy security repeatedly.
    But thanks for keeping the conspiracy alive! Seriously, the more crazy conspiracies out there, the better for Ms.Clinton. Remember what a big impact the birth certificate nonsense had on Obama? It just reminds the smart voters how total loony tunes the Far Right is.

    December 11, 2013 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |