Florida ’16  poll: Christie falls farther behind Clinton while Jeb Bush gains ground
January 31st, 2014
09:51 AM ET
8 months ago

Florida ’16 poll: Christie falls farther behind Clinton while Jeb Bush gains ground

(CNN) – Another new poll from a crucial state in presidential election years indicates Gov. Chris Christie has lost support in Florida and would trail potential Democratic contender Hillary Clinton by 16 percentage points in the Sunshine State.

According to the Quinnipiac University survey, Christie has the backing of 9% of registered Republicans in the state, down from 14% in November.

Christie also got 9% in a New Hampshire survey released Wednesday. The Granite State holds the first-in-the nation presidential primary during election years.

" 'Bridgegate' is having a negative effect on his presidential fortunes in Florida," Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, said in a news release. "Since Florida is the nation's largest swing state, and one of the early primary states, the numbers are not good news for the New Jersey governor as he tries to weather the storm from the controversy."

The poll was conducted after Christie traveled to Florida earlier this month to campaign for incumbent Gov. Rick Scott and the Republican Governors Association, which Christie chairs.

If the election were held today and Christie and Clinton were the two nominees, the Republican governor would lose by a margin of 35%-51%, according to the new poll. In a November Quinnipiac survey, Christie was only behind Clinton by four percentage points,  41%-45%.

Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, meanwhile, remains at the top of the potential GOP list and picked up a few points in recent months, going to 25% from 22% in November.

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The race would be much tighter in a matchup between Clinton and Bush, with the former secretary of state ahead of Bush by only six percentage points, 49%-43%.

As most other polls indicate, Clinton would dominate in the Democratic primary in Florida. She comes in at 64% among registered Democrats, with Vice President Joe Biden at 9% and Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 5%. Warren has said she will not run in 2016.

Besides Bush, who tops the potential GOP primary field at 25%, Sen. Marco Rubio is another GOP favorite in Florida and comes in at 16%.

Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky also gets in the double digits with 11%. All other potential GOP candidates fall under 10%.

Quinnipiac interviewed 1,565 registered voters in Florida, including 586 Republicans and 529 Democrats, for the survey from January 21-27. The overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points.


Filed under: Chris Christie • Florida • Hillary Clinton • Jeb Bush • Polls
soundoff (41 Responses)
  1. Winning

    Ron L.

    Polls aren't meant to predict the future, they are meant to gauge public opinion. All of those things you said are true, and the point is that despite overwhelming public opinion, they did not happen due to a minority of extremist radicals in congress.

    January 31, 2014 12:32 pm at 12:32 pm |
  2. TONE

    @Rudy NYC
    I agree with you one hundred percent.

    January 31, 2014 12:33 pm at 12:33 pm |
  3. current state of the union

    based on all reliable factors, your oh so screwed this November, can hardly wait. You have nothing to say other than benghazi, that sounds like the boy who cried wolf now. Do you seriously expect benghazi to hurt her, people are tired of hearing it now, let alone another 3 years. Yup, you simply can't handle you've got zero chance against her. Your simple mind ( the best gop always are) having trouble accepting that its just gonna happen. I know I must be frustrating what your party has come to, and even more so that people are waking up, you are most definitely screwed.

    January 31, 2014 12:43 pm at 12:43 pm |
  4. current state of the union

    Just practice saying it just, madam president, got a nice ring to it, dont you tjink

    January 31, 2014 12:45 pm at 12:45 pm |
  5. Sniffit

    Haha...cue up that Cee Lo song....

    January 31, 2014 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  6. just saying

    current state of the union
    Just practice saying it just, madam president, got a nice ring to it, dont you tjink
    -–

    i seem to recall that being said about hillary clinton back in 2007-2008.... just before she got her clock cleaned by the dog catcher from chicago! hahahaha.... we've heard this 'it is inevitable' bs before.

    January 31, 2014 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  7. Rudy NYC

    TONE

    @Rudy NYC
    I agree with you one hundred percent.
    -----------------------–
    If you mean the post about Republicans fighting the old fight, then CHEERS. Here's hoping that they continue to do so.

    January 31, 2014 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  8. current state of the union

    The people will show up, and that means you lose, again! You can't honestly think people want another bush do you, the ideology is the same regardless of candidate. Hillary is unstoppable, she is sitting on the sidelines waiting for the call, your candidates can't keep their mouths shut long enough for people to forget how ridiculous they are. Hillary just keeps speaking for worthy causes, like women's rights, and rakes in the dough, and is showered with affection. Speaking of which, why does everyone hate all the gop candidates?

    January 31, 2014 01:06 pm at 1:06 pm |
  9. Me

    Dutch/Bad Newz, VA -aka- Where's Our $24 Billion?

    As far as Jeb goes, he should follow his mother's advice.
    _________________________________________
    As should Clinton!!!

    January 31, 2014 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  10. Jojola

    just asking............

    I think you've got your prezs mixed up. Obama is just into his 5th year. So, the eight year nightmare you've referenced is Bush. I can see how eight years of the worst administration, ever, could reek havoc on a person's psyche and make him completely oblivious to the huge messes President Obama has cleaned up. After all, wasn't the "deficit" priority number one of the right? Last time I checked, it has gone down tremendously, so much so, the right never seems to mention it anymore. How about that? Stock market was at its lowest of six thousands under Bush's reign and it's now back up to high fifteens . So what it took Bush eight years to destroy, Obama has built in five. I say, that's progress. Just imagine what he could accomplish if he didn't have to deal with a lousy Congress.

    January 31, 2014 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  11. IA

    "What difference, at this point, does it make?"

    January 31, 2014 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  12. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    I'm ahead of Christie in the polls...

    January 31, 2014 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  13. FrankinSD

    So Hillary would beat Jeb by 6 in his own home state? I guess Republicans need to keep shopping.

    January 31, 2014 02:30 pm at 2:30 pm |
  14. Thomas

    Sorry Spike . I ment Mike Lee .

    January 31, 2014 02:38 pm at 2:38 pm |
  15. Are you kidding me?

    I am a Republican would vote for Clinton hands down. She has what it takes in comparison to anyone they would put up against her – end of story!

    January 31, 2014 02:40 pm at 2:40 pm |
  16. Are you kidding me?

    Please run Hillary PLEASE!!!!!! It would be the ultimate lesson for the GOP to learn from. We have to leave ideology, divisiveness, and special interests out of voting .... Time to start representing the people.

    January 31, 2014 02:43 pm at 2:43 pm |
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