Florida ’16  poll: Christie falls farther behind Clinton while Jeb Bush gains ground
January 31st, 2014
09:51 AM ET
3 months ago

Florida ’16 poll: Christie falls farther behind Clinton while Jeb Bush gains ground

(CNN) – Another new poll from a crucial state in presidential election years indicates Gov. Chris Christie has lost support in Florida and would trail potential Democratic contender Hillary Clinton by 16 percentage points in the Sunshine State.

According to the Quinnipiac University survey, Christie has the backing of 9% of registered Republicans in the state, down from 14% in November.

Christie also got 9% in a New Hampshire survey released Wednesday. The Granite State holds the first-in-the nation presidential primary during election years.

" 'Bridgegate' is having a negative effect on his presidential fortunes in Florida," Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, said in a news release. "Since Florida is the nation's largest swing state, and one of the early primary states, the numbers are not good news for the New Jersey governor as he tries to weather the storm from the controversy."

The poll was conducted after Christie traveled to Florida earlier this month to campaign for incumbent Gov. Rick Scott and the Republican Governors Association, which Christie chairs.

If the election were held today and Christie and Clinton were the two nominees, the Republican governor would lose by a margin of 35%-51%, according to the new poll. In a November Quinnipiac survey, Christie was only behind Clinton by four percentage points,  41%-45%.

Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, meanwhile, remains at the top of the potential GOP list and picked up a few points in recent months, going to 25% from 22% in November.

Jeb Bush on 2016 decision: 'Can I do it joyfully?'

The race would be much tighter in a matchup between Clinton and Bush, with the former secretary of state ahead of Bush by only six percentage points, 49%-43%.

As most other polls indicate, Clinton would dominate in the Democratic primary in Florida. She comes in at 64% among registered Democrats, with Vice President Joe Biden at 9% and Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 5%. Warren has said she will not run in 2016.

Besides Bush, who tops the potential GOP primary field at 25%, Sen. Marco Rubio is another GOP favorite in Florida and comes in at 16%.

Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky also gets in the double digits with 11%. All other potential GOP candidates fall under 10%.

Quinnipiac interviewed 1,565 registered voters in Florida, including 586 Republicans and 529 Democrats, for the survey from January 21-27. The overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points.


Filed under: Chris Christie • Florida • Hillary Clinton • Jeb Bush • Polls
soundoff (41 Responses)
  1. Dutch/Bad Newz, VA -aka- Where's Our $24 Billion?

    Christie can cancel any 2016 ambitions. Regardless of what these investigations uncover, his image is severely tarnished. As far as Jeb goes, he should follow his mother's advice.

    January 31, 2014 09:59 am at 9:59 am |
  2. Wake up People!

    Oh yeah another Bush in the WH, just what this country needs.....

    January 31, 2014 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  3. yolanda

    Agree w/ @Dutch on Christie. He's toast.

    January 31, 2014 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  4. Rudy NYC

    The local newspapers around NYC and Trenton are filled with stories about the Christie's administration's past deeds. When it rains, it pours. More and more people are coming forward with tales to tell now that the likelihood of political retribution from the Christie administration seems to be a thing of the past, at least for new.

    It's so bad that even Guiliani has backpedaled away from his unabashed confidence in the Governor. LIke The Donald said a week ago or so, Christie is one document away from freefall. Christie painted himself into a corner during his early December news conference, and again in January, by denying any knowledge about anything. The stories that are emerging are painting a picture of a man who wants to control all aruond him by micro-managing the fringes of his reach.

    January 31, 2014 10:06 am at 10:06 am |
  5. A True Conservative

    We are nearly two years out from the election.....Way too soon to announce the coronation of Hillary.....too many polls being covered as "news" by CNN....try doing some actual reporting.

    January 31, 2014 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  6. Marie MD

    They can all cancel their aspirations to the WH if Hillary runs.
    A long as teaklans/repugs think of women, gays, the poor, children, seniors and even our veterans as lower class and unworthy unless they need a vote they are going nowhere.
    Not everyone, of course, but people are finally opening their eyes to the lies and craziness chaos of the right. There are plenty of videos and I hope the Democrats use them against them.

    January 31, 2014 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  7. Rudy NYC

    A True Conservative wrote:

    We are nearly two years out from the election.....Way too soon to announce the coronation of Hillary.....too many polls being covered as "news" by CNN....try doing some actual reporting.
    --------------------------------–
    Yeah, it's way too early to crown anyone champion. Make sure you feel the same way when you start singing "Hail to the Bush" in the coming months. Okay?

    January 31, 2014 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  8. The Real Tom Paine

    -A True Conservative

    We are nearly two years out from the election.....Way too soon to announce the coronation of Hillary.....too many polls being covered as "news" by CNN....try doing some actual reporting.
    ***************
    For once, we are in agreement.

    January 31, 2014 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  9. Harold Read

    Dynasties, the worse thing you can do to a "democracy". No more dynasties!
    No more Bushes!
    No more Clintons!

    January 31, 2014 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  10. Wake up People!

    I agree, it's definitely too soon, however when people attempt to undermine the current POTUS, they could care less. Wasn't the GOP on TV talking about 2016 a day or two after President Obama was reelected? Just like they were talking about 2012 within a few days of the 2008 election?

    None of these potential candidates have even announced they're running yet have they??

    January 31, 2014 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  11. Hooper

    We do not need another Bush, to ruin the country again. As far as statistics show we're in a recovery mode, and there's no need whatsoever to spoil it.

    January 31, 2014 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  12. current state of the union

    Well, anyone who can look at this unbiased can easily see its very unlikely he had no knowledge, that's what your seeing here.

    January 31, 2014 11:01 am at 11:01 am |
  13. current state of the union

    Don't get me started on the bush, crazy that he even gets consideration.

    January 31, 2014 11:03 am at 11:03 am |
  14. current state of the union

    When I think of another bush reign, third times the charm comes to mind regarding killing our economy. Has it been that long, he damaged our economy in a way that it will never be the same again. Google the family, one paragraph us all it takes, after that you will only get frustrated.

    January 31, 2014 11:15 am at 11:15 am |
  15. TONE

    My wish is to see no republicans in the white house or nowhere near it ever. Hillary 2016, it's time for a woman's perspective on how a country must be run, too many men mostly republicans have failed.

    January 31, 2014 11:23 am at 11:23 am |
  16. Thomas

    Chris Christie is Toast , Jeb Bush is Jam .

    I'm wishing for a Ted Cruz , Spike Lee landslide .

    January 31, 2014 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  17. Sniffit

    And today on "fun facts that make the conservatives cry and the MSM yell at the moderators who let me post them":

    "Researchers from Harvard University and City University of New York have estimated that between 7,115 and 17,104 deaths will be "attributable to the lack of Medicaid expansion in opt-out states" in a study published in Health Affairs."

    "423,000 fewer diabetics would receive medication to treat their disease"

    "If opt-out states had expanded Medicaid, 659,000 women who are in need of mammograms and 3.1 million women who should receive regular pap smears would have become insured, the study found."

    "expanding states will experience a 48.9 percent decrease in their uninsured population compared to a 18.1 percent decrease in non-expanding states."

    "Eight million people will remain uninsured because their states didn't expand Medicaid,"

    And yet, CNN doesn't want to talk about any of this. How many brooms do you go through a year sweeping all of the GOP/Teatrolls' nonsense under the rug for them, CNN?

    January 31, 2014 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  18. yolanda

    CNN doesn't need to sweep anything away as long as we have the services of the totally unbiased and constructive reporting of our ace sleuth Sniffit on the job.

    January 31, 2014 11:43 am at 11:43 am |
  19. Rudy NYC

    TONE wrote:

    My wish is to see no republicans in the white house or nowhere near it ever.
    ---------------------------------
    No wishing is required. They've set a course in their auto-pilot to ensure that exact outcome. They're to busy fighting the old fight that they had fought in 2010 when moving to the hard right wrought victory. It seems no Repubilcans want to pubilcly acknowledge that what worked in 2010 has been perceived by a plurality of the public as being a complete fraud. I guess elections only count when Republicans win them.

    January 31, 2014 11:47 am at 11:47 am |
  20. Ron L.

    I don't understand this recent obsession with polling. To me most of it is a waste of time. My examples:
    1) Polls said 70% of Americans wanted tighter background checks....didn't matter to Congress.
    2) Polls say today 67 % of Americans want a raise in the minimum wage...doubt it will happen.
    3) Polls in 2007 said Hillary Clinton would be the Democratic Presidential candidate...didn't happen.
    4) Polls say more than half of Americans believe unemployment extensions should be continued...did not happen.
    Polls are not very helpful in predicting the future, so I really don't see the point.

    January 31, 2014 11:50 am at 11:50 am |
  21. just asking

    geez.... all this talk about 2016 right after obama is re-elected? sure looks like the democrats are trying to distract people from the current democrat nightmare we have in the white house. after 8 years of the democrat obama nightmare and with a republican controlled senate and house, the country will not put another inexperienced clueless clown like hillary clinton in the white house. she has proven she was not up to the task with the death of 4 americans in benghazi. we don't need a recycled 90's candidate that the democrats rejected in 2008.

    do the democrats have any qualified and experienced people to put up? apparently not.

    January 31, 2014 12:15 pm at 12:15 pm |
  22. Sniffit

    "I don't understand this recent obsession with polling. "

    Polling is a way of manufacturing pseudo-facts so you don't have to go out and do real journalism. It saves the MSM millions upon millions in fact-checking or trying to come up with good stories based in reality, which require more people and manhours for research and would cut into the advertising profits. It also has the sweet advantage of being super easy to manipulate, whereas pesky things like the historical record and scientific research are immutable. It's just far more simple and profitable to use polling data to kick everyone in the confirmation bias and keep everyone distracted from any factual reporting on the issues, which could lead to a disasterous epidemic of people understanding that both sides of the argument are decidedly NOT equal.

    January 31, 2014 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |
  23. current state of the union

    The polls are good at showing how much the gop is working for you, their not. This is telling, everything just mentioned the dems have tried to pass, and the gop has blocked them because America wants them too. Shining example of why they need to go, its your power to take, want them to work for you, replace them.

    January 31, 2014 12:24 pm at 12:24 pm |
  24. Sniffit

    "the country will not put another inexperienced clueless clown like hillary clinton in the white house."

    Look dude, I know it's the GOP/Teatrolls' favorite game to keep moving the goal posts, but you're actually doing it to yourself here. You made that exact same argument about 2012, etc. President Romney is worried about what might happen to your sanity if you keep up this pattern of predicting the Dems' utter destruction, watching your prediction fall flat and then saying it will happen next time.

    January 31, 2014 12:28 pm at 12:28 pm |
  25. current state of the union

    You sure do keep a limited script, you don't have much to work with, take that both ways please.

    January 31, 2014 12:31 pm at 12:31 pm |
1 2