Who do you want to run in 2016
February 26th, 2014
09:15 AM ET
6 years ago

Who do you want to run in 2016

(CNN) - More Republicans say they wouldn't like Chris Christie to run for president in 2016 than those who say want the GOP governor from New Jersey to launch a White House bid, according to a new national poll.

And the survey, from CBS News and the New York Times, also indicates that while Democrats overwhelming say they want former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to run again, they are divided on whether they'd like to see Vice President Joe Biden launch another presidential campaign.


Eighty-two percent of Democrats questioned in the poll,  which was released Wednesday, say they'd like Clinton to run, with 13% disagreeing. By a 42%-39% margin they say they want Biden to launch what would be his third bid for the Democratic nomination. Both Clinton and Biden are mulling bids. If Clinton does run, the general consensus is that she would instantly become the overwhelming frontrunner for the party's nomination.

More than half say they didn't know enough about freshman Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo to answer the question. Warren has said she won't run, and Cuomo has also downplayed any notions of running for the White House in 2016. Martin O'Malley appears to be seriously considering a bid, but according to the poll more than eight in ten Democrats don't know enough about the two-term Maryland governor to answer whether they'd like him to run for president.

Should Christie run?

The New Jersey governor should not run for the GOP nomination in 2016, say 41% of Republicans questioned in the poll, with 31% saying Christie should launch a bid. Federal and state investigators are looking into the role members of Christie's administration allegedly played in the lane closures that caused massive traffic jams at the Fort Lee, New Jersey entrance to the George Washington Bridge last September.

Christie has denied knowing anything about the gridlock until after it occurred, and has said he knew nothing about any political mischief by members of his administration. But the controversy, which made national headlines last month, has shaken the two-term governor's political future, and his approval ratings have taken a hit in national and Garden State surveys.

Christie appeared to react to the new poll at a town hall during a snowy Wednesday morning  in Long Hill, New Jersey, saying  "the only two professions in America where you keep getting paid even when you are always wrong affect my life everyday – pollsters and weathermen."

Just over four in ten Republicans say they'd like to see former two-term Florida Gov. Jeb Bush run for the GOP nomination, with 27% disagreeing. By a 39%-21% margin, they say they'd like to see Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky run, and by a 32%-15% margin they say the same thing about Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida. Nearly six in ten Republicans say they don't know enough about Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas to answer the question.

What Independents say

Half of independents questioned in the survey say they'd like to see Clinton throw her hat into the presidential ring, "the highest percentage among both the Democratic and Republican figures asked about in the poll," says a release from CBS News. But 42% of independents don't want her to run. By a two-to-one margin they don't want the Vice President to launch another White House bid.

Independents are divided on whether Paul or Christie should run, with a plurality saying Bush should not launch a campaign. Independent voters, who are not aligned with either the Democratic or Republican parties, can vote in party primaries in some states.

The next race for the White House officially doesn't get underway until after November's midterm elections. It's fair to say that at this early period in a presidential election cycle, such surveys are often heavily influenced by name recognition.

The CBS News/New York Times poll was conducted Feb. 19-23, with 1,644 adults nationwide (including 519 Republicans, 515 Democrats and 610 independents) questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points, with a sampling error of plus or minus six percentage points for questions of only Democrats, Republicans, or independent voters.

CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser and CNN's Ashley Killough contributed to this report


Filed under: 2016 • Chris Christie • Hillary Clinton • Polls
soundoff (26 Responses)
  1. Tampa Tim

    I think Ted Nugent would be the ideal candidate for the GOP, as he has all the republican values rolled up into his tiny brain.

    February 26, 2014 09:17 am at 9:17 am |
  2. Gurgyl

    Republican garbage, rants on silly stuff like ACA Law, Monika, Benghazi is out now. We heard this rant. GOP is the most horrible I knew of. Yes, on Hillary16.

    February 26, 2014 09:26 am at 9:26 am |
  3. Wake up People!

    What I want is to at least get halfway through President Obama's 2nd term before we start worrying about 2016. Fat chance of that happening right? No you want to de-legitimize his Presidency any way you can.

    I wonder if the next GOP POTUS will be treated with such disdain? I'm sure he won't. Probably not the next Democratic POTUS either. And everyone knows why. Thank you Ted!

    February 26, 2014 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  4. jpmichigan

    Interesting run would be Hillary VS Jeb. Bide needs to retire from politics.

    February 26, 2014 09:35 am at 9:35 am |
  5. rs

    Ask in late 2015 or early 2016 there are simply too many variables and possibilities at this point. And, let's be honest- who wants a 3-year long Presidential cycle?

    February 26, 2014 09:41 am at 9:41 am |
  6. Rick McDaniel

    The best prospect for President, is currently Mitch Daniels, but his wife doesn't want him to run.

    He has the fiscal ability, needed to get this country turned around. Not any other candidate, currently being talked about, does.

    February 26, 2014 09:42 am at 9:42 am |
  7. Lynda/Minnesota

    Who would I want to run? Let's see. I'll start with this:

    "Just over four in ten Republicans say they'd like to see former two-term Florida Gov. Jeb Bush run for the GOP nomination, with 27% disagreeing. By a 39%-21% margin, they say they'd like to see Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky run, and by a 32%-15% margin they say the same thing about Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida. Nearly six in ten Republicans say they don't know enough about Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas to answer the question."

    None of the above works for me. Not one of these men will have my vote; not today, not tomorrow, not in 2016.

    "It's fair to say that at this early period in a presidential election cycle, such surveys are often heavily influenced by name recognition."

    Which will be the talking point meme from now until election day 2016. Yep. When Hillary wins, GOPerville already have their "losing" talking points down pat. She won on the name Clinton.

    At my age, I'm ready for a woman president. Hillary will have my vote.

    February 26, 2014 09:48 am at 9:48 am |
  8. smith

    The choices aren`t very good for either side. Dark days for the good ol` US of A.

    February 26, 2014 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
  9. Sniffit

    Yawn.

    February 26, 2014 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  10. tom l

    "This terrible, an estimate is being scaled back. I remember Bush and Cheney estimating our war in Iraq would be one month long. They missed their estimate by 9 years 11 months, but this is the ACA."

    ====
    Another utter and total fabrication by Tampa Tim. I was never for the war but there is no doubt that Bush said that it would a long a protracted war that could last past his presidency. He said that a lot. But Tim likes to just say things and deem them to be true.

    February 26, 2014 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  11. Sniffit

    "Chris Christie will take his message of fiscal conservatism and government reform to his second town hall event in the past week on Wednesday."

    Chris Christie will take his message of gutting middle-class programs and tax cuts for the wealthy to his second town hall event in the past week on Wednesday.

    FIFY

    February 26, 2014 09:55 am at 9:55 am |
  12. Dutch/Bad Newz, VA -aka- Where's Our $24 Billion?

    Chris Matthews mentioned a good ticket the other night on Hardball: Clinton/Brown(Sen. Brown of Ohio). I preferably want Biden to run, but whoever get's the nomination I'm fine with.

    February 26, 2014 09:55 am at 9:55 am |
  13. Fair is Fair

    I want Joe "White Boy Can Jump" Biden... all the way, Joe... ALL THE WAY!

    February 26, 2014 10:01 am at 10:01 am |
  14. Peace

    In order to prepare Hillary for the General Election and that she can't repeat the same mistake of 2008, she needs a real challenger during the primaries. The person who can really challenge her is Vice President Joe Biden. He must run.

    February 26, 2014 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  15. Mightyduk

    Hillary against a Ted of their choosing would be entertaining.

    February 26, 2014 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  16. king

    when bush and his all repub congress suck out the money out of the spenders hands and gave it to the rich, it left the rich no choice but to go abroad to get new spenders, and leave our nations without money, which brought on the financial crash. i know alot of folks going to say that there was a dem congress in place n 2008, but they had just taken over from the repubs trikle down fiasco. the repubs wanted to solved the country falling off the cliff with more money sucking from the economy. Obama came in and pushed money back into the economy, and save a lot of these states, bringing back companies that have left for piece of that trillion dollars. when i hear some of these governors brag about their individuals states and how they brought it back, what did they do with all that so called trillion dollars Obama pushed down their throats, did they threw it through their car windows or did they help balanced their budgets, maybe they even had enough money to give small businesses a tax exemptions. i dont understand when things go bad in the economy they pile upon this president, yet when things go good they hog the benefits and dont give this president no credit. i am trying to remember our economy going 12 quarters without a negative, nor 40 plus month without one negative, and all the repubs can say month after month is that we can do better. why not join in and get your butts off the sidelines and help do better then. how stupid do they think the american people are to put another trickle down repub in office in a global economy. i wonder how much jobs will flee the country this time when they find out Americans are just not bringing them the profits they wants.

    February 26, 2014 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  17. DRAKE MALLARD

    “Gone are the days when the Republican Party used to put forward big bold visionary stuff…We’re gonna have problems politically until we get some sort of third party movement or some alternate voice out there that can put forward new ideas.”
    ~Jon Huntsman,

    The same Marco Rubio? That Talks Big but Fails to Deliver?

    The fat cats in DC need to cut their salaries, benefits and pensions while they are at it. I know, I won’t be holding my breath for that one!!. (They vote on their own raises, healthcare, and pension plans, and we are left with the bill)

    Is Canadian-Born Ted Cruz Eligible to Run for President?

    Will the Birthers Scrutinize Ted Cruz U.S. Citizenship?One has to wonder if the birthers will raise an outcry again

    People are sick of the Bush family brand and the world is moving away from them.

    February 26, 2014 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  18. emskadittle

    Clinton/Booker 2016

    February 26, 2014 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  19. Rudy NYC

    Personally, I think both Clinton and Biden would be losers in 2016 against a younger charismatic Republicans provided, of course, that the conservative wasn't viewed as extreme. But, since we know there is little possibility of Republicans not nominating an extremists, then Democrats will retain the White House in 2016.

    I also think that both Clinton and Biden missed their best window of opportunity back in 2008. Hate to say it, but age will play a role against both of them. I'd much rather see Democrats nominate candidate who will not be in their middle 70s, or beyond, in 2016. Republicans running everything spelled econmic disaster a decade ago. Deficits don't matter, especially when a massive tax cut creates the shortfall.

    February 26, 2014 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  20. wendel

    anyone but a republican clown

    February 26, 2014 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  21. Dean

    Joe Biden...pleeeese!

    February 26, 2014 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  22. jboh

    I don't know if I like Hilary, but I know I don't like any of the TEA/GOP clown show we are being offered.

    February 26, 2014 10:13 am at 10:13 am |
  23. Harold Read

    No more Bushes!
    No more Clintons!
    No more Dynasties!!!

    February 26, 2014 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  24. Phyllis Gwendoline Williams

    "The Most High...giveth it to Whomsoever He Will" (Daniel 4: 17,25,32)

    February 26, 2014 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  25. much thunder...little rain

    hillary will win primary ..but she looks old as dirt and most of tired of clintons...biden a joke...

    February 26, 2014 10:49 am at 10:49 am |
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