2016 polls: Clinton tops Christie in three major states
March 4th, 2014
08:51 AM ET
8 months ago

2016 polls: Clinton tops Christie in three major states

(CNN) - Hillary Clinton tops Chris Christie, Rand Paul and Paul Ryan in hypothetical showdowns in three states, according to new multi-state survey.

And a majority of voters questioned the polls by Roanoke College in Virginia, Rutgers-Eagleton in New Jersey and Siena College in New York state, say they have a favorable view of the former secretary of state and name her most often as the one eligible person that they'd most like to see as the next president.

The surveys indicate Clinton topping Christie, the two-term New Jersey governor, by 36 percentage points in New York, where she served eight years as a U.S. senator, by 8 points in Virginia, and by 10 points in Christie's home state, in possible 2016 presidential election matchups.

According to the polls, which were released Tuesday, Clinton leads Paul, the first-term senator from Kentucky by 43 points in New York, 14 points in Virginia and 29 points in New Jersey. And she's ahead of Ryan, the House Budget Chairman and 2012 GOP vice presidential nominee, by 37 points in the Empire State, 11 points in the Old Dominion, and 25 points in the Garden State.

New York and New Jersey are reliable states for Democrats in presidential elections, with Virginia a crucial battleground.
The survey indicates Clinton with a 64% favorable rating in New York, 59% in neighboring New Jersey, and 56% in Virginia.

"It's early, very early, but in these three states worth 56 of 270 electoral votes needed to win, Hillary Clinton is well-liked, the top choice by margins of four or five to one in New York and Virginia and named more than twice as often in Governor Christie's home state," said Don Levy, Director of the Siena College Research Institute.

"Head to head, she is untouchable in New York, has majorities in New Jersey and a lead in the potential battleground state of Virginia over not only two lesser known Republican hopefuls, Paul and Ryan, but over Christie who can no longer muster 50 percent favorable in any of the three states."

Clinton and Christie were basically all tied up in Virginia in a separate survey from Christopher Newport University that was released Monday.

Clinton's said she'll decide by the end of this year whether she makes a second bid for the White House. Virtually every poll indicates she'd become the overwhelming frontrunner for the Democratic nomination if she runs. Christie, Paul and Ryan are among a large group of Republicans who are considering 2016 campaigns for president.

Polling indicates no real frontrunner among the potential GOP contenders. Christie's poll numbers both nationally and in his home state have taken a hit because of the George Washington Bridge controversy that's ensnared his administration.

The next race for the White House officially doesn't get under way until after November's midterm elections. It's fair to say that at this point, such surveys are often heavily influenced by name recognition.

The Roanoke/Rutgers-Eagleton/Siena College Study was conducted jointly by the Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College, the Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling at Rutgers, and the Siena College Research Institute and were conducted February 22-28, 2014. A total of 707 Virginia registered voters were questioned by telephone, with a sampling error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points. Seven-hundred and twenty-nine New Jersey registered voters were questioned by telephone, with a sampling error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points. And 814 New York residents were questioned by telephone, with a sampling error of 3.7 percentage points.

CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this story


Filed under: 2016 • Chris Christie • Hillary Clinton • New Jersey • New York • Paul Ryan • Polls • Rand Paul • Virginia
soundoff (149 Responses)
  1. jpm

    Now this is data that we should bank on. After all the election is almost 3 years away.

    March 4, 2014 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  2. betterdays

    Christie isn't going to be the nominee, so this poll is useless.

    March 4, 2014 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  3. rob

    WHO CARES ????

    Christie would probably not win a single Republican primary and even if he did the liberal Media has quite a number of surprises waiting for him if he ever goes up against their next anointed leader and super woman Mrs. Bill Clinton.

    March 4, 2014 01:52 pm at 1:52 pm |
  4. TomGI

    Christie can't win a national election for president. Too fat and weird looking. Down play it however you want but many people won't vote for him based on his anti-GQ look. That AND the anti Republican sentiment right now would make him an extreme long shot to get 30% of the national vote.

    March 4, 2014 01:54 pm at 1:54 pm |
  5. Yakobi

    Where's the "vast right win conspiracy" when you need them to do a number on Hillary like MSNBC, CNN and the other left-leaning media have done to Christie?

    March 4, 2014 01:54 pm at 1:54 pm |
  6. Rudy NYC

    James C

    @The Real Tom Paine... "Reduced to name calling"? Really? The Democrats toss around "Rethuglicans", "Teabaggers" etc. all the day long, so don't lecture us about name calling. The Bengazzi charge is legit. People died and Obama and company came off as being clueless
    ---------------------–
    Did you know that the U.S. personnel who died druing the Benghazi attack had died within the first hour of an eight hour attack? Do youi know that it would taken ground forces several hours to reach Benghazi? And, that the nearest fighter jets were in Germany, at least five hours away? BTW, what were fighter jets supposed to do? Bomb the compound with the Americans still inside of it, playing hide and seek with the attackers for hours on end? Remaining personnel were quickly ordered to evacuate the premises.

    Did you know that at least one of the nine House Committees investigating the events of that day has put into its' final report that there never was an order given to "stand down", as Darrell Issa keeps suggesting. To my knowledge, only Issa's committee is the only committee still investigating the attacks. Do you have any idea what conservatives really sound like to most people when they run around screaming "Benghazi, Benghazi, Benghazi"? Do you?

    March 4, 2014 01:59 pm at 1:59 pm |
  7. Thomas

    The next president of the United states of America will be a woman .

    And we will continue to fight against childhood obesity , thank you first lady !

    March 4, 2014 01:59 pm at 1:59 pm |
  8. joeintucker

    get back to me in 2016 and maybe then I'll give a_crap!

    March 4, 2014 01:59 pm at 1:59 pm |
  9. jorge washinsen

    Nothing strange about this,she is offering to give more.

    March 4, 2014 02:00 pm at 2:00 pm |
  10. Steve

    A has been and a never was. Who cares. Bring us real candidates with solutions for real world problems.

    March 4, 2014 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  11. pkrbkr

    Hillary, next US President!

    March 4, 2014 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  12. pkrbkr

    The people who will use the Benghazi blame game need to think about all the killing of Iraqis done under Bush....a war we were lied into fighting!

    March 4, 2014 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  13. Gurgyl

    Shhhhhh, peeyush zindal/Namrata randwa heley16. We can grab all 0.00024 percent of Indian Americans.

    March 4, 2014 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  14. samb

    If Hillary looks like she will surpass Christie, he will just block the bridge!

    March 4, 2014 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  15. The Real Tom Paine

    -Really?

    Oh well Tom P., you completely missed the point and you assumptions are incorrect. I was pointing out that due to a void in global leadership that this Administration has created (and that includes Hillary), the U.S. has allowed a thug like Putin to fill it. this shows why Hillary is a poor choice for president since it will be more of the same failures. Obama has shown that he will not even consider working with the GOP and that is why he cannot run this government properly. even if he disagrees they are still elected officials and every one has to work with people they don't like from time to time. However that shouldn't prevent things from getting done. BTW, it is a fact that Obama was a community organizer, look it up. Sorry if you thought it was insulting to him. Maybe you have buyers remorse, huh?
    **********************
    No, I consider the community organizwer to be a compliment, since he was interested in building a community as opposed to selling it off, one piece at a time. As far as a leadership vid is concerned, that was not created by him, it was created by the feckless "leadership" that preceded it. Its amusing that a person who you characterize as a thug was read so well by Bush and his cronies that Putin was able to waltz in and take parts of Georgia.The void was there long before Obama was elected, and at least we have credibility where we lacked it before. I don't have buyer's remorse, just a realistic view of what the limits of our power actually are. The fact that there is no one on the GOP side who anyone could point to as ready to point us in a different direction is indicative of how bankrupt the GOP actually si on ideas. Just accept it: you have nothing,

    March 4, 2014 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  16. The Real Tom Paine

    -Rudy NYC

    James C

    @The Real Tom Paine... "Reduced to name calling"? Really? The Democrats toss around "Rethuglicans", "Teabaggers" etc. all the day long, so don't lecture us about name calling. The Bengazzi charge is legit. People died and Obama and company came off as being clueless
    -------–
    Did you know that the U.S. personnel who died druing the Benghazi attack had died within the first hour of an eight hour attack? Do youi know that it would taken ground forces several hours to reach Benghazi? And, that the nearest fighter jets were in Germany, at least five hours away? BTW, what were fighter jets supposed to do? Bomb the compound with the Americans still inside of it, playing hide and seek with the attackers for hours on end? Remaining personnel were quickly ordered to evacuate the premises.

    Did you know that at least one of the nine House Committees investigating the events of that day has put into its' final report that there never was an order given to "stand down", as Darrell Issa keeps suggesting. To my knowledge, only Issa's committee is the only committee still investigating the attacks. Do you have any idea what conservatives really sound like to most people when they run around screaming "Benghazi, Benghazi, Benghazi"? Do you?
    *********************
    What is really sad is that he said that to me, when I have never used those terms.Name-calling is a stock in trade by the conservatives on here, presumably because their time in the echo-chambers does not prepare them for criticism from others. Their lack of tolerance coupled with their demands for it are actually pretty amusing.

    March 4, 2014 02:18 pm at 2:18 pm |
  17. Anonymous

    bricha

    Giuseppe my thought is we will never have a real election until we have a valid third party candidate. Right now we have two parties that want to stay in power. It doesn't matter if you vote Republican or Democrat you get the same thing. Point in case would be Obama's promise to end all of the wars and shut down Guantanamo bay, instead he kept the prison open, increased the amount of troops in Afghanistan for his entire first term, and expanded the use of drone strikes on sovereign soil. In my mind once we break the two party system we could finally break some of the gridlock in congress and get leaders that actually represent what the people want.
    ______________________
    This right here is the biggest truth members of both parties don't want you to hear!!! I say do away with parties all together, a candidate runs on his/her own values and ideas, period. Until this happens, we will have the same old in Washington NO matter what party is in office!

    March 4, 2014 02:21 pm at 2:21 pm |
  18. DC Johnny

    Wow, NY and NJ to vote for a Democrat in a general election? Stop the presses! This is huge news.

    Tell me more.

    March 4, 2014 02:22 pm at 2:22 pm |
  19. Me

    bricha

    Giuseppe my thought is we will never have a real election until we have a valid third party candidate. Right now we have two parties that want to stay in power. It doesn't matter if you vote Republican or Democrat you get the same thing. Point in case would be Obama's promise to end all of the wars and shut down Guantanamo bay, instead he kept the prison open, increased the amount of troops in Afghanistan for his entire first term, and expanded the use of drone strikes on sovereign soil. In my mind once we break the two party system we could finally break some of the gridlock in congress and get leaders that actually represent what the people want.
    _____________________
    This right here is the absolute truth that neither party wants you to hear! I say do away with political parties all together, a candidate runs on his/her own values and ideas period. Until we do this we will have the same old in Washington, NOTHING will change.

    March 4, 2014 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  20. vidal808

    Hillary – you have MY vote for sure.....everyone else, waste of time!

    March 4, 2014 02:26 pm at 2:26 pm |
  21. TPMel

    Her silence is deafening on every major issue of the day. She helped re-set Russia yet offers no insight or suggestions into the issues facing the Ukraine.
    We do not need a candidate that waits to see how problems are addressed by others and then forms a hindsight opinion.

    March 4, 2014 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  22. chrissy

    Lol @ Steve, THAT is exactly what is wrong with the GOTP! They dont have a viable candidate! And the citizens of THIS country WANT a candidate with solutions to THIS countries problems. Get it?

    March 4, 2014 02:29 pm at 2:29 pm |
  23. Gunderson

    Ok But,
    You are going to have to humanize Hillary! Didja you hear the one where Hillary Mis-Took a Secret Service Agent for a Bag Boy? It was reported that Hillary bellered at the Agent, get the f over here. You ain't doin' me any good over there. 'Bloody Mary" has returned.

    March 4, 2014 02:31 pm at 2:31 pm |
  24. salty dog

    C, as in clueless

    March 4, 2014 02:40 pm at 2:40 pm |
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