2016 polls: Clinton tops Christie in three major states
March 4th, 2014
08:51 AM ET
6 months ago

2016 polls: Clinton tops Christie in three major states

(CNN) - Hillary Clinton tops Chris Christie, Rand Paul and Paul Ryan in hypothetical showdowns in three states, according to new multi-state survey.

And a majority of voters questioned the polls by Roanoke College in Virginia, Rutgers-Eagleton in New Jersey and Siena College in New York state, say they have a favorable view of the former secretary of state and name her most often as the one eligible person that they'd most like to see as the next president.

The surveys indicate Clinton topping Christie, the two-term New Jersey governor, by 36 percentage points in New York, where she served eight years as a U.S. senator, by 8 points in Virginia, and by 10 points in Christie's home state, in possible 2016 presidential election matchups.

According to the polls, which were released Tuesday, Clinton leads Paul, the first-term senator from Kentucky by 43 points in New York, 14 points in Virginia and 29 points in New Jersey. And she's ahead of Ryan, the House Budget Chairman and 2012 GOP vice presidential nominee, by 37 points in the Empire State, 11 points in the Old Dominion, and 25 points in the Garden State.

New York and New Jersey are reliable states for Democrats in presidential elections, with Virginia a crucial battleground.
The survey indicates Clinton with a 64% favorable rating in New York, 59% in neighboring New Jersey, and 56% in Virginia.

"It's early, very early, but in these three states worth 56 of 270 electoral votes needed to win, Hillary Clinton is well-liked, the top choice by margins of four or five to one in New York and Virginia and named more than twice as often in Governor Christie's home state," said Don Levy, Director of the Siena College Research Institute.

"Head to head, she is untouchable in New York, has majorities in New Jersey and a lead in the potential battleground state of Virginia over not only two lesser known Republican hopefuls, Paul and Ryan, but over Christie who can no longer muster 50 percent favorable in any of the three states."

Clinton and Christie were basically all tied up in Virginia in a separate survey from Christopher Newport University that was released Monday.

Clinton's said she'll decide by the end of this year whether she makes a second bid for the White House. Virtually every poll indicates she'd become the overwhelming frontrunner for the Democratic nomination if she runs. Christie, Paul and Ryan are among a large group of Republicans who are considering 2016 campaigns for president.

Polling indicates no real frontrunner among the potential GOP contenders. Christie's poll numbers both nationally and in his home state have taken a hit because of the George Washington Bridge controversy that's ensnared his administration.

The next race for the White House officially doesn't get under way until after November's midterm elections. It's fair to say that at this point, such surveys are often heavily influenced by name recognition.

The Roanoke/Rutgers-Eagleton/Siena College Study was conducted jointly by the Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College, the Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling at Rutgers, and the Siena College Research Institute and were conducted February 22-28, 2014. A total of 707 Virginia registered voters were questioned by telephone, with a sampling error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points. Seven-hundred and twenty-nine New Jersey registered voters were questioned by telephone, with a sampling error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points. And 814 New York residents were questioned by telephone, with a sampling error of 3.7 percentage points.

CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this story


Filed under: 2016 • Chris Christie • Hillary Clinton • New Jersey • New York • Paul Ryan • Polls • Rand Paul • Virginia
soundoff (149 Responses)
  1. Tampa Tim

    Right wingnuts are now upset (what's new) that Obama did not attend the UN Security Council meeting with the rest of the ambassadors to the UN. How about, he the president, not the ambassador! So little understanding from the party of the brain dead. Nice Hannity talking point though.

    March 4, 2014 08:59 am at 8:59 am |
  2. Fair is Fair

    In the words of my esteemed democratic colleagues, "President Romney approves this message".

    March 4, 2014 08:59 am at 8:59 am |
  3. Tampa Tim

    Its 9 am, where is the feckless leader, John McCain?

    March 4, 2014 09:00 am at 9:00 am |
  4. Joe from CT, not Lieberman

    You know that has to be scary for Christie when Hillary Clinton out polls him in New Jersey. Kind of like every other Republican out polling Rick Santorum in Pennsylvania, but still being convinced he could win.

    March 4, 2014 09:01 am at 9:01 am |
  5. Tampa Tim

    This poll is sure different than the Poll that declared Mittens the winner in 2012.

    March 4, 2014 09:02 am at 9:02 am |
  6. Really?

    Wasn't it Hillary that brought the "Reset" button to Russia? some great failure of a Diplomat, huh?! Another replay of someone with no experience in governing running on the Democrat ticket. look where that got us. It would be great to hear her speak the truth about Benghazi. Also, don't forget her diplomatic failures in Egypt, Syria, Iran, Libya, Afghanistan, Israel, the list goes on.....

    March 4, 2014 09:05 am at 9:05 am |
  7. Dutch/Bad Newz, VA -aka- Where's Our $24 Billion?

    I don't think Virginia is going back to the GOP any time soon. But what's even more troubling about this poll is that Christie is losing in his home state. Regardless of who the democrat opponent is, I think Christie is damaged goods and is unelectable.

    March 4, 2014 09:05 am at 9:05 am |
  8. Gurgyl

    This NJ guy is gone, whether he is guilty or not, sheer bully–USA can not afford another bully like Reagan, Bush.
    PS: just this economy is recuperating, because of Obamacate, people are not denied of care, you can put kids till 26.

    March 4, 2014 09:06 am at 9:06 am |
  9. Wake up People!

    Who cares? Its 2 years away. I'm sick of hearing about the next election a day after the last one ends.

    March 4, 2014 09:07 am at 9:07 am |
  10. Enough is Enough

    No Tampa Tim – we are upset that he didn't attend the national security team meeting regarding the Ukraine on Saturday. What could be more important than the meeting held at the White House that required the attention of the Commander in Chief? Will you progressives EVER wake up and admit that this man is a complete failure? Of course not – and now you will all jump on the Hillary bandwagon. Some people simply can not learn – but they are very good at accusing others of being stupid or uneducated......Please Tim.....step into the real world for a few moments....

    March 4, 2014 09:08 am at 9:08 am |
  11. Al-NY,NY

    "why are you libruls so afraid of Chris Christie? Think he's gonna beat your candidate Hillary "Benghazi" Clinton? You know the one who let 4 people die"........forgetting of course that the same idiotic "afraid" comments have been thrown around when Simple Sarah is brought up AND the fact that Duh Duh Duh Bya had 50(?) foreign service people die under his watch. If he can't beat her in his own state, forget ANYTHING else he's got.

    March 4, 2014 09:13 am at 9:13 am |
  12. The Real Tom Paine

    -Really?

    Wasn't it Hillary that brought the "Reset" button to Russia? some great failure of a Diplomat, huh?! Another replay of someone with no experience in governing running on the Democrat ticket. look where that got us. It would be great to hear her speak the truth about Benghazi. Also, don't forget her diplomatic failures in Egypt, Syria, Iran, Libya, Afghanistan, Israel, the list goes on.....
    ***********************
    Sorry, but diplomacy does not follow a script, and no administration are directors with the power to yell cut and then edit it to fit their world view, though the neocons certainly tried to do that. Also take into consideration the fact that the GOP in its desperate efforts to undercut the President have never lined up behind this President on foreign policy and respectfully offered their opinions. I've never seen people so willing to run a shadow foreign policy that is based on nothing but reflexive hatred for the President, a policy that never offers solutions but only petty name-calling from people who should know better.

    March 4, 2014 09:16 am at 9:16 am |
  13. Dutch/Bad Newz, VA -aka- Where's Our $24 Billion?

    "Will you progressives EVER wake up and admit that this man is a complete failure?"
    --------------------------------------
    Ask Osama, Al-Awlaki and Khadaffi how much of a failure he is.

    March 4, 2014 09:18 am at 9:18 am |
  14. salty dog

    But but, benghazi, give it a rest rwnj, your sounding quite desperate, with good reason.

    March 4, 2014 09:18 am at 9:18 am |
  15. smith

    If the election was going on right H, Clinton would be the next potus. However, gotta ways to go til 2016. Just a couple of months ago Christie was looking pretty good, but one blunder sent him falling. The same can happend to Clinton.

    March 4, 2014 09:19 am at 9:19 am |
  16. Pete

    It's funny how people keep bringing up Benghazi and the 4 men that were warned to leave but didn't innocently died..I know beat Hillary to death on this one incident even though over 300 died in embassies and others under Bushs watch not including those two wasteful wars in Iraq,Afghanistan that murdered over 5000 not including civilians...Take your blinders off republicans your murderous ways are famous since before Eisenhower and you know it...

    March 4, 2014 09:21 am at 9:21 am |
  17. Gt

    Slow news day ...yrs away from next election ..but the way things are going with Obama it can't get here soon enough

    March 4, 2014 09:29 am at 9:29 am |
  18. salty dog

    Not likely Smith, she holds no office, your boy Christie, toast. For all we know Hillary has no plans to run, but not being in office is a big plus for her.

    March 4, 2014 09:30 am at 9:30 am |
  19. len

    Let us not forget that Russia invaded Geoegia in 2008 during the Bush Administration. What was done...Nothing. Let us not forget that Bush said...I look into Putin's eyes and I see a man with a soul and he cares about others.
    So, please stop your bashing. Or join the military instead of depending on less than one percent of our population to protect your ....

    March 4, 2014 09:30 am at 9:30 am |
  20. Fair is Fair

    len

    Let us not forget that Russia invaded Geoegia in 2008 during the Bush Administration. What was done...Nothing.
    -------–
    Let us not forger that Russia invaded Czechoslovakia in 1968 during the LBJ adminstration. What was done... Nothing.

    Let us not forget that Russia invaded Afghanistan in 1979 during the Carter administration. What was done... Nothing.

    So why leave these 2 out and emphasize Georgia?

    March 4, 2014 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  21. Rudy NYC

    smith

    If the election was going on right H, Clinton would be the next potus. However, gotta ways to go til 2016. Just a couple of months ago Christie was looking pretty good, but one blunder sent him falling. The same can happend to Clinton.
    ----------------------------–
    You're right, of course. Anything can happen. Make no mistake, I'm not a Clinton Coronation enthusiast. The strategy didn't work last time, and it will likely fail again. I think it is far more likely than someone else could rise up and over Clinton than her committing some blunder, as you put it. Republicans have been unsuccessfully trying to manufacture blunders for years, and continuing to do so will only highlight the lack of ideas and solutions that conservatives have to offer.

    March 4, 2014 09:40 am at 9:40 am |
  22. rs

    Meaningless data at this point. No one wants a 3-year election cycle for the next President.

    March 4, 2014 09:42 am at 9:42 am |
  23. The Real Tom Paine

    -Fair is Fair

    len

    Let us not forget that Russia invaded Geoegia in 2008 during the Bush Administration. What was done...Nothing.
    ---–
    Let us not forger that Russia invaded Czechoslovakia in 1968 during the LBJ adminstration. What was done... Nothing.

    Let us not forget that Russia invaded Afghanistan in 1979 during the Carter administration. What was done... Nothing.

    So why leave these 2 out and emphasize Georgia?
    ****************
    Possibly because Putin was behind the action against Georgia, even if he was not President.

    March 4, 2014 09:44 am at 9:44 am |
  24. Really?

    Too Bad Tom P. the reason no one backs up Obama is because he doesn't know what he's doing. he never had experience for this type of thing being a community organizer and all. the International community doesn't trust him since he will not follow through on any of his positions (remember no support for the Iranian protestors and the red line in Syria?). Always two different stories for Americans and foreign leaders (i.e. The Canadian Prime Minister when he was "Candidate" Obama and Medvedev on his second run). It's his bed, not the GOP's, and Hillary helped change the sheets.

    March 4, 2014 09:47 am at 9:47 am |
  25. smith

    @Salty dog- "My boy", I don`t think so. Im not for the GOP, the Dems, or the tea party. Most of them(including your wonderful democrats) are bought and paid for by special interest groups and political donors.

    March 4, 2014 09:49 am at 9:49 am |
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