April 20th, 2014
09:00 AM ET
3 months ago

The "Inside Politics" Forecast: Another Governor Carter in Georgia?

CNN's John King and other top political reporters empty out their notebooks each Sunday on "Inside Politics" to reveal five things that will be in the headlines in the days, weeks and months ahead.

1. Another Governor Carter in Georgia?: Republicans are looking to make gains coast to coast this midterm election year, while Democrats are largely on defense. But Georgia – yes Georgia – is one unlikely source of guarded Democratic optimism - in part because of two famous names on the ballot.

A crowded Republican Senate primary field could potentially help Democrat Michelle Nunn. And GOP Gov. Nathan Deal took a hit in the polls after a disastrous response to a big snow storm last year which leaves an opening for state Sen. Jason Carter.

Jonathan Martin of The New York Times shared reporting that while Democrats do believe Nunn has a chance, they are more and more thinking their best hope for a win might well be the governor’s race, where Carter is seeking the office his grandfather, Jimmy, used as a springboard to the presidency in 1976.

2. Boehner's immigration reform timetable: House Speaker John Boehner promised to move immigration legislation earlier this year, then backed off after many of his loyal House Republican colleagues complained a tough vote like that early this year could bring them a conservative primary challenge back home.

And in recent days, the Speaker’s staff has bluntly used the word “chill” to dampen speculation the House GOP might heed President Obama’s repeated calls for action this year.

But, with apologies to Monty Python, perhaps – just perhaps – the issue is not dead yet.

Laura Meckler of The Wall Street Journal reports that the Speaker is still exploring whether there is an opening for 2014 action.

On Easter Sunday, a breakdown of Christians’ support for immigration reform by the Pew Research Center:
IP Pew Christian poll

3. Inside the Heritage Foundation retreat with Cruz and Rubio: CNN’s Peter Hamby took us inside another stop on the so-called “invisible primary” calendar for 2016 GOP presidential hopefuls.

The Heritage Foundation is a conservative think tank that has tilted even more to the right under the leadership of former South Carolina Sen. Jim Demint. Peter reports that freshman Sens. Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, of Texas and Florida, respectively, stopped by a recent Heritage retreat in Florida.

They say timing is everything in politics: Peter reports that Cruz took the state just as conservative nemesis Kathleen Sebelius was announcing her resignation as President Obama’s health secretary. So Cruz shared the news – and basked in the applause.

4. The Obamacare "red state" vs. "blue state" gap: Fifty states, 50 takes on how the implementation of Obamacare is going. Annie Lowery of The New York Times reminded us of that important factor as we watch to see how the health care law impacts the midterm elections.

And, she noted, that as a general rule, the implementation tends to be going better in blue states – states run by Democrats – and not as well in red states. There are exceptions of course, but Annie’s point is an important reminder that for all the national political talk – and polling – about the health care law, what really matters are voter perceptions in states with the most important races this year.

That’s one factor working against Democrats: a half dozen of the now Democratically held Senate seats on the ballot this year are in states President Obama lost twice: Alaska, South Dakota, Montana, West Virginia, Arkansas and Louisiana.

IP Gallup change uninsured rates

5. McConnell to the Granite State: When a big name Republican visits Iowa or New Hampshire and insists it has nothing to do with the next presidential election, it is almost always safe to roll your eyes.

But, in Bedford, New Hampshire this Wednesday, those words will actually pass the sniff test.

Who’s making the pilgrimage? Mitch McConnell, the Senate GOP leader, for a fund-raiser organized by New Hampshire GOP Sen. Kelly Ayotte.

Safe to say McConnell isn’t running for president in 2016. Also safe to say he is grateful for the help in 2014: McConnell first faces a tea party primary challenge, and if he survives that, then would head into a tough fall campaign against Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes.

That gratitude could work to Ayotte’s benefit; she already is a junior member of McConnell’s leadership team, and loyalty begets loyalty.


Filed under: Inside Politics
soundoff (59 Responses)
  1. daviddavid

    Campaign slogan for GOP in 2014:
    "If you don't like your Obamacare coverage, you don't have to keep your Democratic Senator who voted for it..."

    These are the Democrats 
running for re-election in 2014 who voted for Obamacare:
    1.Mark Begich, AK
    

2.Dick Durbin, Il
    3.

Al Franken, MN
    4.

Kay Hagan, NC


    5.Mary Landrieu, LA


    6.Jeff Merkley, OR


    7.Mark Pryor, AR


    8.Jack Reed, RI


    9.Jeanne Shaheen NH
    10.

Mark Udall, CO


    11.Tom Udall NM
    12.

Mark Warner VA

    April 20, 2014 09:29 am at 9:29 am |
  2. Stuffitu

    Compare the mainstream medias praie for the occupy movement taking over a public park in New York and the attendant crime, mischief, intimidation and garbage with their disdain for the rancher protecting his property in Nevada. Hypocrisy reigns in this Obamanation.

    April 20, 2014 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  3. Graeme from Ottawa

    The Democrats act while Republicans complain, choice is clear.

    April 20, 2014 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  4. Gurgyl

    -–nothing wrong with ACA Law. It is saving millions from pre-existing pts, and that were denied by insurance Greed, Hospital multiple tests on the same person, doctors defraud, put swan gantz for no reason. Republican don't care is much worse. Just know it.

    April 20, 2014 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  5. J Anthony

    If all the GOP has to run on is to keep trying to freak people out over the ACA, they are in a sorry state indeed. But not unlike Democrats, they have little to offer in the way of deep structural reform that is necessary to begin solving problems. It is not for lack of resources or funding that keep us from making progress, it is a lack off will and imagination.

    April 20, 2014 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  6. texasnotea

    Republicans/tea party people who believe Americans will vote for their candidates because of Obamacare are in for a real disappointment. Obamacare has been and is successful and most Americans see that now despite the misinformation spread by republicans/tea party. A funny thing happened while Americans were getting affordable healthcare insurance through Obamacare, they found out the republicans are the liars, not the President.

    April 20, 2014 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  7. 1776usa2016

    These are the Democratic heroes 
running for re-election in 2014 who voted for Obamacare:

    1.Mark Begich, AK
    

2.Dick Durbin, Il
    3.

Al Franken, MN
    4.

Kay Hagan, NC


    5.Mary Landrieu, LA


    6.Jeff Merkley, OR


    7.Mark Pryor, AR


    8.Jack Reed, RI


    9.Jeanne Shaheen NH
    10.

Mark Udall, CO


    11.Tom Udall NM
    12.

Mark Warner VA

    These are Senators who care about the mddle-class and that every citizen has a right to be covered by healthcare insurance. They helped end all the discriminatory practices of the past such as denials for pre-existing conditions which essentially froze and enslaved people into their existing jobs.

    These Senators are true HEROES.

    .

    April 20, 2014 11:13 am at 11:13 am |
  8. Joe

    I live in Georgia and can assure you neither of these candidates have chance in Hades of getting elected! We don't need or want another Nunn or Carter in office. One of each was enough.

    April 20, 2014 11:19 am at 11:19 am |
  9. Gurgyl

    --voters are not stupid, and are decided. GOP I garbage is gone from the nation. True.

    April 20, 2014 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
  10. Orygun Duck

    Obamacare was penned by Gov Mitt Romney. Give the credit where credit is due.

    April 20, 2014 11:26 am at 11:26 am |
  11. Lizzie

    1776usa2016, "right to be covered" if that was the case than the democrats would have pased a one payer system, which we will get because Obamacare was NEVER supposed to work. These senators followed Hary Reid's Threats to vote for this monstrosity of a law of which 2000 pages have nothing to do with healthcare. You also forgot the Louisiana purchase or the Cornhuskers kickback,

    April 20, 2014 11:34 am at 11:34 am |
  12. Harold Read

    Screw credentials or experience, vote for family name!

    BTW: wasn't Jimmy Carter recongnized as one of the country's worst Presidents?

    April 20, 2014 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  13. don in albuquerque

    daviddavid

    And your idea is to replace ObamaCare, with WeCouldCareLess.

    April 20, 2014 11:51 am at 11:51 am |
  14. don in albuquerque

    Lizzie

    Shhhhhh. Not so loud. They haven't figured that out yet, and the impact it might have on their ability to wage war, and kill innocent people.

    April 20, 2014 11:54 am at 11:54 am |
  15. HWB

    Texasnotea you are seriously very seriously stupid. This is from the other 99% of Texas that say you need to get that cow dung out of your ears.

    April 20, 2014 12:01 pm at 12:01 pm |
  16. Walter

    Bwahahahaha! When a Carter is your best hope for a win, you're in SERIOUS trouble.

    April 20, 2014 12:02 pm at 12:02 pm |
  17. Walter

    Oh, I cannot WAIT to see the bitter, bitter tears of a Democrat loss of the House in November! I will DANCE to the sound of Democrat sobbing!

    April 20, 2014 12:03 pm at 12:03 pm |
  18. Biff McHenderson

    We've learned our lesson about Carters. Deal will be back in office.

    April 20, 2014 12:04 pm at 12:04 pm |
  19. Vijay

    GOP is going to kill thousands of people due to not expanding medicaid expansion provision of Obama care... It is pathetic...
    GOP only mantra = get sick = die soon.. GOP = Greed over poor and middle class party.

    GOP = Grand Obsession for Poor and middle class...

    April 20, 2014 12:05 pm at 12:05 pm |
  20. Thatguy371

    I'd be sure to vote for any of those dems running for re-election, especially the ones who voted for the ACA. Dems get things done... the RIGHT things. Repubs talk about being the I phone party?!?!?!?

    And BTW, ANY candidate will be better than our beloved bumbling brain-ded Guv Deal. He's made more skroo-ups than we can count.

    April 20, 2014 12:06 pm at 12:06 pm |
  21. Gunderson

    Whazzat?
    Who thinks you have a "Right" to Affordable Health Care or Affordable Housing for that matter. No one has a right to affordable health care. That means if you don't pay/can't pay someone else pays. Yes, most people have no problem with Welfare but sooner or later the money runs out. We now have nearly an 18 Trillion Dollar Federal debt because of promises made by politicians who are now dead or retired. The Bill is overdue and the very people that all these promises were supposed to help are the ones that will pay the bill. One result is high unemployment and high food prices as well as high gasoline prices. Hope you have a good retirement plan because nobody else is going to pay your freight.

    April 20, 2014 12:07 pm at 12:07 pm |
  22. brownbuttonglutton

    Get ready for a well deserved shellacking dims. Then the impeachment hearings can begin.

    April 20, 2014 12:35 pm at 12:35 pm |
  23. Tampa Tim

    Gunny- You do realize that those unfunded wars that you supported, lost revenue from tax cuts for those who least needed it, TARP, unfunded drug programs doubled the debt from 2001-2008? 5.4 million jobs have been created since W left the White House. If the house would pass the senate bipartisan jobs bills, unemployment would drop substantially.

    April 20, 2014 12:41 pm at 12:41 pm |
  24. BRUCE

    I hate to say it being a Democrat. Jimmy Carter was one of the worst Presidents this country ever had in both economics and foreign policy.

    April 20, 2014 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  25. ThinkAgain - Don't like Congress? Get rid of the repub/tea bag majority.

    All Dems need to do is GET OUT AND VOTE on November 4, 2014. PERIOD.

    April 20, 2014 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
1 2 3