April 20th, 2014
09:00 AM ET
4 years ago

The "Inside Politics" Forecast: Another Governor Carter in Georgia?

CNN's John King and other top political reporters empty out their notebooks each Sunday on "Inside Politics" to reveal five things that will be in the headlines in the days, weeks and months ahead.

1. Another Governor Carter in Georgia?: Republicans are looking to make gains coast to coast this midterm election year, while Democrats are largely on defense. But Georgia – yes Georgia – is one unlikely source of guarded Democratic optimism - in part because of two famous names on the ballot.

A crowded Republican Senate primary field could potentially help Democrat Michelle Nunn. And GOP Gov. Nathan Deal took a hit in the polls after a disastrous response to a big snow storm last year which leaves an opening for state Sen. Jason Carter.

Jonathan Martin of The New York Times shared reporting that while Democrats do believe Nunn has a chance, they are more and more thinking their best hope for a win might well be the governor’s race, where Carter is seeking the office his grandfather, Jimmy, used as a springboard to the presidency in 1976.

2. Boehner's immigration reform timetable: House Speaker John Boehner promised to move immigration legislation earlier this year, then backed off after many of his loyal House Republican colleagues complained a tough vote like that early this year could bring them a conservative primary challenge back home.

And in recent days, the Speaker’s staff has bluntly used the word “chill” to dampen speculation the House GOP might heed President Obama’s repeated calls for action this year.

But, with apologies to Monty Python, perhaps – just perhaps – the issue is not dead yet.

Laura Meckler of The Wall Street Journal reports that the Speaker is still exploring whether there is an opening for 2014 action.

On Easter Sunday, a breakdown of Christians’ support for immigration reform by the Pew Research Center:
IP Pew Christian poll

3. Inside the Heritage Foundation retreat with Cruz and Rubio: CNN’s Peter Hamby took us inside another stop on the so-called “invisible primary” calendar for 2016 GOP presidential hopefuls.

The Heritage Foundation is a conservative think tank that has tilted even more to the right under the leadership of former South Carolina Sen. Jim Demint. Peter reports that freshman Sens. Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, of Texas and Florida, respectively, stopped by a recent Heritage retreat in Florida.

They say timing is everything in politics: Peter reports that Cruz took the state just as conservative nemesis Kathleen Sebelius was announcing her resignation as President Obama’s health secretary. So Cruz shared the news – and basked in the applause.

4. The Obamacare "red state" vs. "blue state" gap: Fifty states, 50 takes on how the implementation of Obamacare is going. Annie Lowery of The New York Times reminded us of that important factor as we watch to see how the health care law impacts the midterm elections.

And, she noted, that as a general rule, the implementation tends to be going better in blue states – states run by Democrats – and not as well in red states. There are exceptions of course, but Annie’s point is an important reminder that for all the national political talk – and polling – about the health care law, what really matters are voter perceptions in states with the most important races this year.

That’s one factor working against Democrats: a half dozen of the now Democratically held Senate seats on the ballot this year are in states President Obama lost twice: Alaska, South Dakota, Montana, West Virginia, Arkansas and Louisiana.

IP Gallup change uninsured rates

5. McConnell to the Granite State: When a big name Republican visits Iowa or New Hampshire and insists it has nothing to do with the next presidential election, it is almost always safe to roll your eyes.

But, in Bedford, New Hampshire this Wednesday, those words will actually pass the sniff test.

Who’s making the pilgrimage? Mitch McConnell, the Senate GOP leader, for a fund-raiser organized by New Hampshire GOP Sen. Kelly Ayotte.

Safe to say McConnell isn’t running for president in 2016. Also safe to say he is grateful for the help in 2014: McConnell first faces a tea party primary challenge, and if he survives that, then would head into a tough fall campaign against Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes.

That gratitude could work to Ayotte’s benefit; she already is a junior member of McConnell’s leadership team, and loyalty begets loyalty.

Filed under: Inside Politics
soundoff (59 Responses)
  1. The Film Professor

    it should help Jason Carter that he will be running against Governor Nathan "Shady" Deal, one of the most corrupt politicians recently in a state that has a long history of electing these kinds of goobers.

    And it astonishes me that some others of you goobers out there are still thinking running against Obamacare makes some kind of political sense. 8 MILLION people signed up! It's over, you doofbrains. You are really going to now campaign on planning to throw these 8 Million people under the old healthcare bus? Really?

    April 20, 2014 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  2. Polar Bear

    Another Gov. Carter in GA? Won't happen. The State's solidly red and all Carter has going for him is his family name. And the first Gov. Carter isn't widely admired. If this is the Dem's best hope, they have problems.

    April 20, 2014 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  3. Norma Vessels

    Walter, Walter, Walter ... the Democrats will not be sobbing if they lose the House in November, because the House is already run by a large majority of Republicans, and John Boehner. You can't lose something you haven't got.

    April 20, 2014 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  4. Rick McDaniel

    Can the state afford another massive round of hand outs????

    April 20, 2014 01:08 pm at 1:08 pm |
  5. Harold Read

    Pretty hilarious that Dems are more than willing to accept Obama's countless lies:
    "I will close Guantanamo"
    "There is NO spying on US citizens"
    "Undocumented immigrants can not get Obamacare"
    "You can keep your policy. Period."
    But like any cult followers, Obama's word is above all others. If you disagree in any way,shape, or form you are a 'domestic terrorist'

    April 20, 2014 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  6. ObeySparky

    I, too, live in Georgia, and I can tell you the excitement over both Nunn and Carter is palpable. A lot of the people here are sick and tired of the lack of real action on true issues, and constant under current of pure hatred that spews incessantly from the GOP leaders in this state. GA will go purple this midterm. Long overdue for some real leaders that can make meaningful changes, instead of maintaining status quo.

    April 20, 2014 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  7. Jeff

    This is hilarious, here in Georgia, we are not thus far impressed with Governor Deal and he might – that's might- not survive a primary challenge, Michelle Nunn faces no chance of being elected. So you political left leaning pundits at CNN can look someplace else for your let's look at the bright side moment.

    April 20, 2014 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  8. philbox

    God help America.

    April 20, 2014 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  9. karek40

    We had 17% inflation under Carter, until the current president he was the worse president we have ever had.

    April 20, 2014 01:46 pm at 1:46 pm |
  10. 13directors

    Fat chance that happening. Republicans have a tight grip on our whole state of affairs.

    April 20, 2014 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  11. daviddavid

    here is another SUPPORTER of OBcare, BUT NOW............

    ConsumerWatch: Some Covered California Patients Say They Can’t See A Doctor
    Thinn Ong was thrilled to qualify for a subsidy on the health care exchange. She is paying $200 a month in premiums. But the single mother of two is asking, what for?
    “Yeah, I sign it. I got it. But where’s my doctor? Who’s my doctor? I don’t know,” said a frustrated Ong.
    Nguyen said the newly insured patients checked the physicians’ lists they were provided and were told they weren’t accepting new patients or they did not participate in the plan.
    ...can’t find doctors, landing them into a state described as “medical homelessness.”
    But there is some good news for Dems: NYT: Obamacare recruits least likely to vote...
    If you like your (fill in the blank), you can keep your (fill in the blank), PERIOD.

    April 20, 2014 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |
  12. matt

    the Democrats already took your health care, now they're going to take your job and give it to an illegal immigrant.

    April 20, 2014 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |
  13. Python

    OD,Obamacare was PLAGIRIZED by Mitt. The late Senator Kennedy wanted insurance carriers participation while Senator Obama wanted and President Carter WANTS universal Medicare.

    April 20, 2014 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |
  14. HM8432

    Is Carter's campaign slogan "Forever Malaise!"? The (R) and (D) choices for Gov. in Georgia stink. Vote for the better, third option...the Libertarian Party. Fiscally Conservative, Socially Tolerant.

    April 20, 2014 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  15. Keith

    Throw them all out, the Democrats and the Republicans and start over. The country is in horrible shape because of both of them, not because of one party or the other

    April 20, 2014 02:35 pm at 2:35 pm |
  16. tom c

    hey stuffittu.the property doesn't belong to the deadbeat rancher. it is BLM land and they charge rent that he won't pay.
    if I was running the government show out there he would either pay or leave.

    April 20, 2014 02:54 pm at 2:54 pm |
  17. DC Johnny

    You heard it here first, from the mouths of liberal commenters. The constitution is dead, and a new declaration of rights has been unilaterally adopted without nomination or vote or oversight.

    Everyone now enjoys "the right" to affordable health insurance, regardless of whether that right stands in direct contrast with the previous rights of private property ownership, as the former will inherently require seizure of the latter for implementation.

    Good luck, New America.

    April 20, 2014 02:56 pm at 2:56 pm |
  18. Ken gile

    Most of our problems are due to corporate greed. CEOs are out in front on this issue.and only want a peasant class of American workers. Equal pay for women is going to backfire on the good old boys who perpetuated it. No reason not to share the wealth that the workers of this country built. It was not the CEOs who built the wealth, it was the workers.Corporate board of directors should be ashamed.

    April 20, 2014 03:05 pm at 3:05 pm |
  19. The Fact of the Matter

    Even the people of Georgia aren't dumb enough to make the same mistake twice.

    April 20, 2014 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  20. michael

    And if you don't like the waste of our government for the benefit of themselves and their wealthy meters for the last 5 years, here is a list of Repugnicans responsible for attempting to destroy our nation that a are running for reelection in 2014 that you can vote out of office:

    April 20, 2014 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  21. Larry

    I'll say this for Jimmy Carter – he doesn't look so bad after George W. and Barack.

    April 20, 2014 05:15 pm at 5:15 pm |
  22. Larry L

    President Carter is a kind man of deep character and conviction.

    April 20, 2014 05:33 pm at 5:33 pm |

    I laughed the first time I saw he was running. Sorry, but your last name screwed you.

    April 20, 2014 06:37 pm at 6:37 pm |

    what we need is a person that has had control of a company or companies to take control and help get jobs going. and a community organizer to help them. i have no problem in helping people. but first you have to have the cash without going into debt.

    April 20, 2014 06:49 pm at 6:49 pm |
  25. G_Edwards

    "...while Democrats are largely on defense."

    Can't be. Dems have been saying the GOP is extinct for years now.

    Apparently the Dems have screwed things up so badly, the GOP has come back from the dead.


    April 20, 2014 07:00 pm at 7:00 pm |
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