All tied up in Wisconsin gubernatorial race
May 21st, 2014
03:26 PM ET
7 months ago

All tied up in Wisconsin gubernatorial race

(CNN) - Republican Scott Walker appears to have lost his lead in this year's gubernatorial race, according to a new survey of Wisconsin voters.

A Marquette University Law School survey released Wednesday indicated the contest all tied up between the incumbent and Democratic challenger Mary Burke at 46%. That's a significant change from March when the same poll showed Walker up 7 points.

Burke is a former bicycle executive. She's hit Walker's economic leadership that she says left the state ranked 45th in projected job creation, as well as his refusal to accept a federal Medicaid expansion.

Still, as the survey notes, turnout could be key in whether a Democrat can take the state capitol. Democrats historically have struggled to get their base to show up in off election years.

"Turnout is one of the biggest unknowns of the fall election," said Charles Franklin, professor of law and public policy and director of the Marquette Law School Poll.

"Between now and Election Day, some voters will become more engaged by the election, while others may lose interest. These results show that the election outcome can change depending on turnout as both parties seek to mobilize their supporters."

Walker, first elected in 2010, gained national notoriety from conservatives after surviving a recall effort sparked by a budget-balancing initiative that stripped collective bargaining rights from most public unions. After an over year-long battle within the state, Walker beat Democratic Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett, 53% to 46% in the 2012 recall contest.

Walker is the first governor to survive a recall.

Walker 2016?

Even if he does win re-election in November, Walker has refused to commit to serving out a full, four-year term, stoking speculation that he might launch a 2016 bid for the GOP presidential nomination.

The Marquette survey indicated only 27% of Wisconsin voters would like to see Walker run for president, while 67% would not. Unsurprisingly, half of Republicans would like to see him run, compared to 9% of Democrats in the state.

The Marquette poll was conducted from May 15-18 with 802 registered Wisconsin voters questioned by telephone. The poll's sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Related: Scott Walker: College degree not a 'requirement' for higher office

Complete coverage of the 2014 midterm elections


Filed under: 2014 • Scott Walker • Wisconsin
soundoff (16 Responses)
  1. b2burns

    My fellow Badgers, please protect your gains by re-electing Walker as Governor. Don't turn the clock back and become subservient to unions again!

    May 21, 2014 03:31 pm at 3:31 pm |
  2. Lynda/Minnesota

    "The Marquette survey indicated only 27% of Wisconsin voters would like to see Walker run for president, while 67% would not."

    It's all good for Mr. Walker, eh?

    "Even if he does win re-election in November, Walker has refused to commit to serving out a full, four-year term, stoking speculation that he might launch a 2016 bid for the GOP presidential nomination."

    And the survey says: No problem. Dude won't be on the GOP presidential ticket one way or another. Wisconsin wants him ... they can keep him.

    May 21, 2014 03:31 pm at 3:31 pm |
  3. it must be said

    That's the great thing about America, if a state wishes to return to the basket case it was under Democrat leadership, it has every right to do so. Just don't expect the rest of the country to pay for your mistakes.

    May 21, 2014 03:33 pm at 3:33 pm |
  4. sonny chapman

    Trickle Down/Supply Side Economics WORKS. If you say it often enough & loud enough. Cutting down on Workers Benefits WORKS;For the guy doing the cutting. There once was a Goose who laid beautiful Golden Eggs. Cut down on his feed yielded:A Dead Goose.

    May 21, 2014 03:40 pm at 3:40 pm |
  5. Thomas

    Republican Scott Walker ,
    the guy who say's experience isn't important , the guy who say's education is a wast of time , the guy who takes big money from the Kock brothers

    Tim Russell, Scott Walker's former Deputy Chief of Staff, has been arrested and charged with two felonies and a misdemeanor for stealing thousands of dollars intended for wounded veterans and families of military servicemembers who died in Iraq and Afghanistan.

    Kevin Kavanaugh, Scott Walker's appointee to a Veteran Service Commission, has been arrested and charged with five felonies related to the theft of funds from Operation Freedom.

    Scott Walker 2016 .
    He's ready to fleece DC and he has friends who can use the money !

    May 21, 2014 03:48 pm at 3:48 pm |
  6. Pander Bear

    Buh buh but Scott Walker is a Tea Party hero. How can he possibly lose?

    May 21, 2014 03:57 pm at 3:57 pm |
  7. Hector Slagg

    He, He,
    Now that is a lot of Cheese! Um, Whazzat? Trickle down Economics WORKS if you say it enough? Last i heard you have to start at the bottom and work yourself up. Kill the Goose that laid the Golden Egg? That's a Liberal Idea if I ever heard one. You know, Right out of Vaudville. WITH YOUR MONEY AND MY BRAINS, WE WILL GO PLACES. So far we have went

    May 21, 2014 03:59 pm at 3:59 pm |
  8. Rudy NYC

    Burke is a former bicycle executive. She's hit Walker's economic leadership that she says left the state ranked 45th in projected job creation, as well as his refusal to accept a federal Medicaid expansion.
    ----------------------------------------
    Job creation is the right button to push in Wisconsin. Walker had campaigned on creating tens of thousands, 40,000(?), per year. Four year later, the numbers show that he's still struggling to create the first 40,000.

    May 21, 2014 04:03 pm at 4:03 pm |
  9. Rudy NYC

    it must be said

    That's the great thing about America, if a state wishes to return to the basket case it was under Democrat leadership, it has every right to do so. Just don't expect the rest of the country to pay for your mistakes.
    ------------------------
    There you go again. You just had to open your mouth and let the hypocrisies out. Didn't you? Everyone knows that the 10 states who receive the most federal dollars for every tax dollar that they send to DC are red states, which hae Republican leadership for decades on end.

    May 21, 2014 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  10. just asking

    so is this the usual lefty pollster trying to con people into thinking the democrat has a chance? probably.

    May 21, 2014 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  11. Sniffit

    "if a state wishes to return to the basket case it was under Democrat leadership"

    LOL. WI had one of the healthiest budgets in the country at the start of the recession.

    May 21, 2014 04:10 pm at 4:10 pm |
  12. supreme ideology

    Please explain how citizens can be subservient to a union? Your gop was all set to run ads claiming Wisconsin to be 7th in job creation, that's just a little off, by about 35 states, keep it up gop, you won't be able to hide your abysmal stats. Florida and Michigan were set to do the same, now in Michigan they found out Snyder's numbers are a joke again, were still broke, but his first ad last month said we're leading the comeback, and the surplus proved it, well, I haven't seen the ad lately, wonder why.

    May 21, 2014 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  13. Rick McDaniel

    No Dem will do a good job of running any government. They have a history of disasters, corruption, and fiscal excess, that have caused the Republicans who came in behind them, to have to work very hard to solve all the problems the Dems created.

    May 21, 2014 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  14. Dead Bear

    And I thought Corbett was bad when it came to job creation here in PA. Looks like the union-busting Reagan-wannabe Walker has done even worse for Wisconsin... Send the clown packing! And toss out Lyin' Ryan with his trickle-down economics while you're at it.

    May 21, 2014 04:38 pm at 4:38 pm |
  15. PaulCat

    Before some of you make comments, you need to do your homework on the facts.
    Oh, that's right, if you are a republican, facts doesn't matter.
    The only thing that matter is you "hate Obama." (we get that)

    May 21, 2014 04:45 pm at 4:45 pm |
  16. rs

    Hector Slagg

    He, He,
    Now that is a lot of Cheese! Um, Whazzat? Trickle down Economics WORKS if you say it enough? Last i heard you have to start at the bottom and work yourself up.
    _______________________________
    Hey! Hey! This a family oriented web site, They'll be no "work yourself up" here perv!

    May 21, 2014 04:54 pm at 4:54 pm |