June 15th, 2014
08:05 AM ET
5 months ago

How enthusiastic are Democrats about Clinton as nominee?

Washington (CNN) - Most Democrats say they'd support Hillary Clinton if she wins their party's nomination, but a new national survey indicates only a minority are excited about that prospect.

The CNN/ORC International poll released Sunday also indicates the race for the GOP nomination remains a wide open contest with no obvious frontrunner among the potential Republican White House hopefuls.

Full CNN/ORC International poll results

According to the survey, 63% of Democrats and independents who lean toward the party said they'd most likely support Clinton as the nominee.

That's virtually unchanged from CNN's May poll, but down from the seven in 10 Democrats who in February said that they'd back the former secretary of state, senator and first lady.

Clinton has been the overwhelming frontrunner for the nomination in just about every national and state poll conducted over the past 18 months.

Twenty-percent of those questioned said they'd support a more conservative Democrat for the nomination, with 11% saying they'd back a more liberal candidate.

"Clinton remains the prohibitive frontrunner for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2016, but there are signs that rank-and-file Democrats may be willing to consider other candidates," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

Forty-one percent of Democrats questioned said they'd be enthusiastic if Clinton wins the nomination, with 42% saying they'd be satisfied. One in 10 said they'd be dissatisfied, and 5% said they'd be upset.

"There are big differences between liberal and moderate Democrats that indicate that a primary challenger who runs to the right of Clinton may get more traction than a progressive challenger would," adds Holland.

"Fifty percent of liberal Democrats say they would be enthusiastic about Clinton winning the nomination, but only 36% of moderate Democrats feel the same way.

"Nearly three-quarters of liberals pick Clinton over her hypothetical opponents. Among moderate Democrats, that figure dropped to 58%," he added.

The poll's release comes nearly a week into Clinton's book tour for her much anticipated memoir, "Hard Choices."

In an interview leading up to the book tour, Clinton said she would announce her decision regarding a second White House run sometime early next year.

GOP nomination hunt wide open

Just as almost every public opinion poll has pointed to Clinton as the prohibitive frontrunner, the same surveys suggest that the GOP nomination is a free-for-all among the potential contenders.

According to the CNN survey, 14% of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP said they'd likely back Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, with 12% likely to support former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush.

Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, a 2008 Republican presidential candidate, stands at 11%. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, the 2012 GOP vice presidential nominee, has 10% support.

Nine percent of Republicans questioned said they'd likely support Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, with New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida at 8%.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry, who was unsuccessful in his 2012 bid for the nomination, is at 6%, and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker pulls in 5%. Former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, a 2012 GOP presidential candidate, gets 4%.

Taking into account the poll's sampling error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points, the GOP nomination hunt is up for grabs among the potential contenders.

The survey was conducted for CNN by ORC International May 29-June 1, with 1,003 adults nationwide, including 481 Democrats and independents who lean towards the party, and 452 Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP, questioned by telephone.

 

soundoff (146 Responses)
  1. Mojo09

    Elizabeth Warren for Pres. 2014. I am a Dem but will not vote for another Bush or Clinton it is time for this country to find a real leader like the Pope a man who walks the talk. I am not Catholic but I have a lot of respect for this man as he is what our world is missing great leaders and Clinton , Bush and Obama well what can I say and if we put another Clinton in the White House the hate this country is spewing will just continue time to move on.

    June 15, 2014 01:53 pm at 1:53 pm |
  2. Mojo09

    I support a third party choice this would send a message to both parties enough is enough. Get your but to work or get out of the way this country needs real change not this crap both parties are spewing.

    June 15, 2014 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
  3. Jeff T

    A lot of votes for Hillary will be more a vote against the Republicans than an actual vote for Clinton. Her record is abysmal and she is nothing more than a mainstream, corrupt, greedy and calculating politician. She has nothing in common with the 90%. That being said, the Republicans are actually worse. Overall a pretty dismal scenario for us. If Hillary gets the nod, I'll definitely be going third party. The Democrats might come to their senses and nominate someone like Warren, but otherwise I cannot stomach either of them.

    June 15, 2014 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  4. KLC

    I am very excited about Hillary, she already has 6 of my families votes! Go Hillary!!! I hope she runs. We would vote anyone but a Republican. We made that mistake with the second Bush

    June 15, 2014 02:18 pm at 2:18 pm |
  5. Hillary

    Hillary is owed it, she put in her time. The republican field is so woefully bad: Carnival Cruz, Waterboy Rubio, Crisco Christie, moms jeans Romney, ... Perry?

    June 15, 2014 02:25 pm at 2:25 pm |
  6. templec2

    My dream Democratic candidate for President in 2016, Elizabeth Warren. I will be happy if Hillary runs, though. Too bad Bernie Sanders is an Independent. We could run Howard the Duck and still beat the Republifails.

    .

    June 15, 2014 02:52 pm at 2:52 pm |
  7. Kendall

    Despite sky-high name recognition, a best-selling book and a weak Democratic presidential field, most Democrats just aren't that excited about Hillary Clinton at the moment.

    While a solid majority dutifully say they'll support the former first lady and secretary of state if she wins their party's presidential nomination, only a minority are excited about that prospect, a poll released Sunday revealed.

    June 15, 2014 02:57 pm at 2:57 pm |
  8. Cindy

    Who ever gets the nod, regardless of political affiliation, is going to possess extremely strong leadership capabilities and be someone that can lead us forward out of the mess this country is in. America will have to take a lot of very bitter medicine many of you will not like. While both parties in Washington suck and we the American tax payers deserve a lot better the Republican states are doing much better than the Democratic states financially. The Democrats need to learn more about fiscal responsibility and money management and the Republican party needs to learn what is is like to be a working class, middle income family. We need someone who can balance the two effectively. Right now there is no one on either side of the isle I would vote for.

    June 15, 2014 02:57 pm at 2:57 pm |
  9. Cindy

    Christie will make a comeback........ They never found anything on him and they won't.

    June 15, 2014 03:12 pm at 3:12 pm |
  10. Count de Likes

    As a "republican" I do hope Mrs. Clinton has enough support to claim her spot on the presidential ticket. Sadly, the Republican Party has become a joke and the platform approved at the Texas convention is further proof it's dying on the vine.

    June 15, 2014 03:14 pm at 3:14 pm |
  11. Patrish

    I do see anyone in the Democrats that I'd be interested in except Clinton. As likable as Joe Biden is, I don't think see him as being elected president. We've had a Catholic president, a black president, and now it's time for a woman!

    June 15, 2014 03:21 pm at 3:21 pm |
  12. The Republican Party Is Dead To Me

    Yes. By all means Vote Republican. Help eliminate the possibility you'll be able to live life in a state of enjoyment, without wondering where your next meal comes from or keeping the roof over your head. Go Ahead.

    June 15, 2014 04:01 pm at 4:01 pm |
  13. giantslor

    "Look at Detroit that had decades of democratic rule!!"

    Republicans love to bring up Detroit, as if that is the only Democrat-run city. But its problems have one cause: Auto companies shipping jobs overseas. Look at almost every other big city: Democrat-run, doing fine, the economic engines of the country. Now look at most of the Republican-run South and rural areas: Economically destitute and dependent on tax revenue from the blue states for their survival.

    If you want your town to be economically and socially backward, by all means vote Republican.

    June 15, 2014 04:15 pm at 4:15 pm |
  14. Gunderson

    Aw Gheez, I forgot,
    Not only did she fire the whole Travel Office but had someone named Craig Livingstone checking the FBI Files of some very prominent citizens. No doubt looking for dirt on her "enemies" And then she mistook a secret service agent for a bag boy and screamed at him, Get over here and get these bags, you ain't doing me any good over there. Hell, old Gunderson voting for Hillary!

    June 15, 2014 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  15. JohnS

    She has a baggage list that would make Nixon look honest. I can't think of ONE successful outcome from any of her 'gigs':First lady, Senator, Sec. Of State......everything this Progressive Alinskyite touches turns to manure.....and not even the useful fertilizer kind.

    June 15, 2014 07:01 pm at 7:01 pm |
  16. Joe

    Why isn't John Thune of South Dakota on the list? He would be a good choice, he just needs more name recongition.

    June 15, 2014 07:39 pm at 7:39 pm |
  17. Did You Know

    Did you know that you don't have to vote R or D. There are other parties, and that the presidential committee only consists of people who run the D Party and the R Party, thereby keeping it all in the family.

    June 15, 2014 07:58 pm at 7:58 pm |
  18. Marcus (from...?)

    'what me worry – Heres a question for the Dems and libs,,,, Will you give up your guns if a law passes to surrender them? Remember you're all for gun control.'

    Here's a question for you, do you honestly act so pathetical towards others in the real world?
    It's not about taking away guns, but to prevent that people who shouldn't be able to buy a gun (without a background check) do it. It's about responsability for his/her actions, not ownership rights.

    June 15, 2014 08:05 pm at 8:05 pm |
  19. Marcus (from...?)

    'Cindy – Christie will make a comeback........ They never found anything on him and they won't.'

    Maybe they won't maybe they will, we're talking about a real investigation here. No Darrell Issa wannabe is running that one.

    June 15, 2014 08:07 pm at 8:07 pm |
  20. Liz the First

    We can do without any more Bushes and Clintons, huh? well, let's see. under Bushes, we had war and recessions, under Clinton, we had peace and prosperity. i think we would do just fine with another Clinton!

    June 15, 2014 10:29 pm at 10:29 pm |
  21. sifto

    Most powerful position in the world and it is simply someone's "turn".? How naive ARE you liberals?

    June 16, 2014 07:45 am at 7:45 am |
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