June 15th, 2014
08:05 AM ET
5 months ago

How enthusiastic are Democrats about Clinton as nominee?

Washington (CNN) - Most Democrats say they'd support Hillary Clinton if she wins their party's nomination, but a new national survey indicates only a minority are excited about that prospect.

The CNN/ORC International poll released Sunday also indicates the race for the GOP nomination remains a wide open contest with no obvious frontrunner among the potential Republican White House hopefuls.

Full CNN/ORC International poll results

According to the survey, 63% of Democrats and independents who lean toward the party said they'd most likely support Clinton as the nominee.

That's virtually unchanged from CNN's May poll, but down from the seven in 10 Democrats who in February said that they'd back the former secretary of state, senator and first lady.

Clinton has been the overwhelming frontrunner for the nomination in just about every national and state poll conducted over the past 18 months.

Twenty-percent of those questioned said they'd support a more conservative Democrat for the nomination, with 11% saying they'd back a more liberal candidate.

"Clinton remains the prohibitive frontrunner for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2016, but there are signs that rank-and-file Democrats may be willing to consider other candidates," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

Forty-one percent of Democrats questioned said they'd be enthusiastic if Clinton wins the nomination, with 42% saying they'd be satisfied. One in 10 said they'd be dissatisfied, and 5% said they'd be upset.

"There are big differences between liberal and moderate Democrats that indicate that a primary challenger who runs to the right of Clinton may get more traction than a progressive challenger would," adds Holland.

"Fifty percent of liberal Democrats say they would be enthusiastic about Clinton winning the nomination, but only 36% of moderate Democrats feel the same way.

"Nearly three-quarters of liberals pick Clinton over her hypothetical opponents. Among moderate Democrats, that figure dropped to 58%," he added.

The poll's release comes nearly a week into Clinton's book tour for her much anticipated memoir, "Hard Choices."

In an interview leading up to the book tour, Clinton said she would announce her decision regarding a second White House run sometime early next year.

GOP nomination hunt wide open

Just as almost every public opinion poll has pointed to Clinton as the prohibitive frontrunner, the same surveys suggest that the GOP nomination is a free-for-all among the potential contenders.

According to the CNN survey, 14% of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP said they'd likely back Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, with 12% likely to support former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush.

Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, a 2008 Republican presidential candidate, stands at 11%. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, the 2012 GOP vice presidential nominee, has 10% support.

Nine percent of Republicans questioned said they'd likely support Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, with New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida at 8%.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry, who was unsuccessful in his 2012 bid for the nomination, is at 6%, and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker pulls in 5%. Former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, a 2012 GOP presidential candidate, gets 4%.

Taking into account the poll's sampling error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points, the GOP nomination hunt is up for grabs among the potential contenders.

The survey was conducted for CNN by ORC International May 29-June 1, with 1,003 adults nationwide, including 481 Democrats and independents who lean towards the party, and 452 Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP, questioned by telephone.

 

soundoff (146 Responses)
  1. Name

    I'm ready for Hillary!

    June 15, 2014 09:09 am at 9:09 am |
  2. Judy Konos

    We are very excited and happy should Hillary choose to run. There isn't anyone who can beat her. You might consider that Cantor's loss was not due to the Tea Party but rather by Democrats to get him out!

    June 15, 2014 09:10 am at 9:10 am |
  3. David

    The democrat party has controlled our govt for 7 years straight.
    Anytime one party rules too long, it becomes abusive and then corrupt.
    25 years of democrat control in California has turned us into the welfare state known as " Mexifornia"
    Hillery would just be 4 more years of Obama thinking.

    June 15, 2014 09:10 am at 9:10 am |
  4. Clave Chowhouse

    NO, we are NOT enthusiastic about Hillary. SHE CANNOT WIN. She will NEVER be President, and she deludes herself in thinking so. She needs to get some REAL feedback rather than the junk she's getting from her sycophant aides.I am a bleeding-heart liberal, but I have a brain. I liked her husband, but I do not like her personally. We were delighted when Romney got the nomination, and now the Republicans are foaming at the mouth thinking about her getting the nomination. Seriously, why else would traitor Karl Rove have been talking up Hilliary during the last election?

    June 15, 2014 09:11 am at 9:11 am |
  5. Frank

    I will not support the Clintons. I like Jim Webb.

    June 15, 2014 09:11 am at 9:11 am |
  6. cfd

    Apparently not and why would it. She even having trouble selling tickets to her speeches promoting her new book

    June 15, 2014 09:12 am at 9:12 am |
  7. saywhat

    Same people over and over and over again. Does anyone with fresh new ideas even stand a chance? Same crap with no choices. Even independents are recycled republicans and democrats. Our system sucks. Plain and simple.

    June 15, 2014 09:13 am at 9:13 am |
  8. Dale

    Unless you enjoy two families running this country (Bush/Clinton) from 1988 to past 2017, vote for someone new.

    June 15, 2014 09:15 am at 9:15 am |
  9. Joe Pullman

    More proof that the Democrats are dumbed down and pathetic.

    June 15, 2014 09:16 am at 9:16 am |
  10. MieinMT

    She won't run. Her skin is not thick enough to take the abuse that she will inevitably face. She's the best chance for Republican's to take back the White House in 2016 because of her collapse as Secretary of State. Her baggage is heavy. Her accomplishments rare. Hear leadership non-existent.

    June 15, 2014 09:18 am at 9:18 am |
  11. Carolle

    I'd vote for a lamp post if it wasn't a Republican.

    June 15, 2014 09:19 am at 9:19 am |
  12. Tad

    To support anyone because of party, gender or race is irresponsible voting

    June 15, 2014 09:20 am at 9:20 am |
  13. vg

    they would be more excited if Neil deGrasse Tyson were her running mate!

    June 15, 2014 09:21 am at 9:21 am |
  14. Bill

    This is "Breaking News" huh? In other breaking news, only 35% of those polled said they'd be excited if Kim Kardashian was eating lunch at the table next to them.

    June 15, 2014 09:22 am at 9:22 am |
  15. SAMikeP

    Nothing new here... Democrats supporting their own no matter if they believe they are good for the country or not...

    June 15, 2014 09:23 am at 9:23 am |
  16. Liz

    She showed leadership in Benghazi.

    June 15, 2014 09:23 am at 9:23 am |
  17. Dick Hertz

    Might as well vote for Bieber. He would accomplish just as much if not more than Mrs. Clinton. The people of the United State would unanimously vote for Biebs. Our society is a lost cause. More "hashtags" for change you idiots!!!! Get real, wake up

    June 15, 2014 09:25 am at 9:25 am |
  18. Steve, New York City

    In the very unlikely scenario that the GOP candidate is a moderate like Governor Christy, I'm inclined to vote for the GOP in 2016, as I dislike Hillary. However, given the way that the GOP is trending these days, I might just "hold my nose" and vote for Hillary.
    I do not like Hillary– the size of her ego seems to rival the scale of our solar system, and she blindly followed that nonsense Neocon rhetoric on Saddam Hussein that led us into a useless war in Iraq (Saddam was not a Hitler - he was more like the "Tito" of the fertile crescent - holding together Sunni, Shia and Kurd with a horrible iron fist). In that regard, I'm worried that a Hillary as president would spend more time telling people how great she is, rather than focusing on good governance.

    June 15, 2014 09:26 am at 9:26 am |
  19. tone

    This is one democrat who IS NOT EVER going to vote for Hillary. Please Republicans, find someone that isn't too extreme or clueless, like Twitt Romney, and I'll jump ship.

    June 15, 2014 09:26 am at 9:26 am |
  20. Angus

    Dusty old ideas from a career politician aren't going to excite anyone.

    June 15, 2014 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  21. ib4ucy

    Most of us old enough to know/remember about the Clinton's are not to thrilled about the prospect of her running for office. They have NO shame.

    June 15, 2014 09:29 am at 9:29 am |
  22. ib4ucy

    Mr Clinton disgraced the office when was prez. She will do the same.

    June 15, 2014 09:37 am at 9:37 am |
  23. John line

    Isn't this the same issue with Obamacare polling? Liberal democrats don't like but ask if they want to repeal it the answer is no.

    June 15, 2014 09:41 am at 9:41 am |
  24. dencal26

    I am not sure what people see in Hillary. She is perhaps the most overrated politician in America. From corrupt lawyer at Rose Law Firm to polarizing 1st Lady who fired the entire travel office in order to give the business to a cousin. As US senator she had no major legislation to her name. As Secretary of State she had no major diplomatic successes and very few attempts. She tried to remain under the radar not to hurt her chance at 2016. Her reset button with Russia was a cringe worthy display of amateurism.

    June 15, 2014 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
  25. Randy, San Francisco

    The presidential race is two years away and Hillary is making all the right moves towards a strong campaign. Nothing like an extreme conservative Tea Party Republican candidate to motivate Democrats, women, moderate, young, independent, and minority voters to become enthusiastic Hillary supporters.

    June 15, 2014 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
1 2 3 4 5 6