June 15th, 2014
08:05 AM ET
2 months ago

How enthusiastic are Democrats about Clinton as nominee?

Washington (CNN) - Most Democrats say they'd support Hillary Clinton if she wins their party's nomination, but a new national survey indicates only a minority are excited about that prospect.

The CNN/ORC International poll released Sunday also indicates the race for the GOP nomination remains a wide open contest with no obvious frontrunner among the potential Republican White House hopefuls.

Full CNN/ORC International poll results

According to the survey, 63% of Democrats and independents who lean toward the party said they'd most likely support Clinton as the nominee.

That's virtually unchanged from CNN's May poll, but down from the seven in 10 Democrats who in February said that they'd back the former secretary of state, senator and first lady.

Clinton has been the overwhelming frontrunner for the nomination in just about every national and state poll conducted over the past 18 months.

Twenty-percent of those questioned said they'd support a more conservative Democrat for the nomination, with 11% saying they'd back a more liberal candidate.

"Clinton remains the prohibitive frontrunner for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2016, but there are signs that rank-and-file Democrats may be willing to consider other candidates," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

Forty-one percent of Democrats questioned said they'd be enthusiastic if Clinton wins the nomination, with 42% saying they'd be satisfied. One in 10 said they'd be dissatisfied, and 5% said they'd be upset.

"There are big differences between liberal and moderate Democrats that indicate that a primary challenger who runs to the right of Clinton may get more traction than a progressive challenger would," adds Holland.

"Fifty percent of liberal Democrats say they would be enthusiastic about Clinton winning the nomination, but only 36% of moderate Democrats feel the same way.

"Nearly three-quarters of liberals pick Clinton over her hypothetical opponents. Among moderate Democrats, that figure dropped to 58%," he added.

The poll's release comes nearly a week into Clinton's book tour for her much anticipated memoir, "Hard Choices."

In an interview leading up to the book tour, Clinton said she would announce her decision regarding a second White House run sometime early next year.

GOP nomination hunt wide open

Just as almost every public opinion poll has pointed to Clinton as the prohibitive frontrunner, the same surveys suggest that the GOP nomination is a free-for-all among the potential contenders.

According to the CNN survey, 14% of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP said they'd likely back Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, with 12% likely to support former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush.

Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, a 2008 Republican presidential candidate, stands at 11%. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, the 2012 GOP vice presidential nominee, has 10% support.

Nine percent of Republicans questioned said they'd likely support Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, with New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida at 8%.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry, who was unsuccessful in his 2012 bid for the nomination, is at 6%, and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker pulls in 5%. Former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, a 2012 GOP presidential candidate, gets 4%.

Taking into account the poll's sampling error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points, the GOP nomination hunt is up for grabs among the potential contenders.

The survey was conducted for CNN by ORC International May 29-June 1, with 1,003 adults nationwide, including 481 Democrats and independents who lean towards the party, and 452 Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP, questioned by telephone.

 

soundoff (146 Responses)
  1. smako

    The majority of voters choose by what they were most attracted to with the show put on. Romney gave a sermon, Obama put on a Punch and Judy Show. Democrats wanted someone who would end the war and bring back jobs, but Obama changed his mind right after the votes were counted.
    Whoever gets the most laughs wins, you can predict the winner before election day based on that.

    June 15, 2014 09:52 am at 9:52 am |
  2. Excited Democrat Girlkind

    I am so excited that Hillary is our next President of the United States of America . She will beat anything with two feet at the ballot box in 2016 . She is already our next President . No more Republicans and no more Tea Party , we have already won !

    June 15, 2014 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  3. dencal26

    Hillary and Obama had MANY debates. In all those debates the only major issue they differed on was the mandate for ACA ( Obama fllip flopped on the issue later) Otherwise they are identical. If you want 4 more years of this disaster then go ahead and elect Hillary. same dopes who rejected Romney who had the best resume to run America

    June 15, 2014 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  4. Robert Henry Eller

    Who cares how many people who'd vote for Hillary are excited about her.

    All that matter is, come election day, will they feel compelled to show up at the polls and vote for her against any of the likely prospective Republican candidates.

    Think Eric Cantor, and the power of voter resentment. Keep it up Republicans. You've already been campaigning for 2016 for the last 6 years, and you're all doing a heckuva job.

    June 15, 2014 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  5. Anonymous

    "According to the CNN survey, 14% of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP said they'd likely back Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, with 12% likely to support former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush."

    Both Rand Paul and Jeb Bush have their work cut out for them. The GOP has no one to fall back on come 2016. It might explain why so many Republicans have started their "I'm a Democrat and I would never vote for Hillary". This isn't going to get the GOP one step closer to the White House in 2016. Tell us who you ARE excited for in your own party, GOP. We already know you don't like Hillary.

    June 15, 2014 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  6. karek40

    She was the frontrunner when Obama beat her, she will fade in the stretch, too much baggage that will be used against her.

    June 15, 2014 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  7. srcactus

    This is a news story? Or more likely keeping name recognition of a partisan.
    Show me a candidate with a resume of success and integrity, not just another name politician.

    June 15, 2014 09:57 am at 9:57 am |
  8. carol green

    Hillary has a certain flair about her but she also has political savvy. Unfortunately, I do not see her or any woman being in the White House....perhaps as VP but not President. She carries around a lot of baggage and am sure Bill will want a piece of the action as well. I don't know how well that would sit with people. Am sure if she says she will get it done...it will be done. She's a straight shooter and I believe that she would do right by the people; however, I don't think this country is ready for a woman leading them.

    June 15, 2014 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  9. meltemi

    of course they are excited about the opportunity to reach a second affirmative action milestone. qualifications don't matter.

    June 15, 2014 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  10. john healey

    my wife and i moved out of new york state when i heard hillary was moving in. we are not republicans.

    June 15, 2014 10:06 am at 10:06 am |
  11. FairWitness

    Mrs. Clinton hasn't shown me anything over the past 25 years, why would I expect her abilities to change. Truth evades her, both men and women don't respect her and she looked like a muttering fool at the Benghazi inquest.

    Regardless, I don't think that she is young enough, healthy enough or HONEST enough to hold this high office without disgrace.

    June 15, 2014 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  12. newshound

    If this country can do no better than more Bushes and Clintons, we are in real trouble.

    June 15, 2014 10:13 am at 10:13 am |
  13. Thatguy371

    Hillary is more than anything an extremely qualified person to run for president. The right would complain if Jesus himself ran for the position as a dem, so I long since gave up caring what they think. I wish Hillary well in your decision, whatever she chooses.

    June 15, 2014 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  14. Liz the First

    How excited folks are shouldn't matter. we vote for all the wrong reasons in this country. George W. Bush 'won' because some folks voted for him because, even though they thought Gore would be a better president, they thought Bush would be a good guy to sit down and have a beer with! and we saw how that worked out. people need to look at the parties and see which one most represents their views and support that party's candidates. I'm not a Democrat because i support what the party believes, i'm a Democrat because that party represents what i believe! and i'm betting most people who'be been suckered into supporting the republican party would be very surprised to find out they are much more in line with Democratic principals. i doubt if many average folks have the 'i've got mine, the hell with you!' attitude. i doubt they believe war is the answer to every human conflict. i doubt they believe changing the rules in order to win is honorable. i could go on but the point is, people need to pay attention and vote based on their own research and not on the propaganda slung at them daily. there are plenty of sites on line that will show which party actually represents you. check them out. you might be surprised.

    June 15, 2014 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  15. Mike Smith

    Carolle
    I'd vote for a lamp post if it wasn't a Republican.

    ================================
    People like you are the reason this country is a mess.

    June 15, 2014 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  16. Gunderson

    Well, Lessee,
    High unemployment, 50 million on food stamps, millions of mortgages under water, overwhelmed with illegals, 18 Trillion Dollar Federal debt, high sutudent debt...Uh yes Hillary should do just fine. Why change the landscape now.

    June 15, 2014 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  17. sandy

    I think a big old yawn sums it up nicely. She's boring as white toast and the gaffes she did this week hurt her. How obnoxious of her to state she and Bill the lying cheater were dead broke when they left he WH.

    June 15, 2014 10:20 am at 10:20 am |
  18. Chris-E...al

    Elvis if you are still alive please come back and run for president i know you will do a better job than Hillary could do and i know you are still healthy enough and a much better actor ?1 for the money 2 for the show ?

    June 15, 2014 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  19. DBF

    She'll never win, too much baggage and would be more of the same old, same old, the country needs what we thought we were getting with Obama, yet sadly he turned out just like all the rest, maybe even worse!

    June 15, 2014 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  20. Lizzie

    fumes
    She's myopic. Bill would have never said they were "broke". Bill gets the big picture. She doesn't. Broke myass!
    - of course they been broke, had to scrape together money to buy TWO million dollar homes, wonder who financed those loans, plus now they had TWO kitchens, so she never knew where her next meal was coming from

    June 15, 2014 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  21. ken

    No, her solution for illegals is to give more jobs, the right to vote and hold public office.

    June 15, 2014 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  22. fumes

    Um NO! She's for phony Global Warming Alarmism. Get real. And does she inhale? Or does she agree with Obama and the DEA that pot is eville? More crapp. And "broke"? LOL. That's as bad as her memory of being shot at in Bosnia after de-planing. We need a candidate! And it's not Hillary.

    June 15, 2014 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  23. Joe

    Voting for Hillary would be like voting for Charles Manson and Bernie Madoff all in one. Why would I vote for a murderer and scam artist?

    June 15, 2014 10:38 am at 10:38 am |
  24. iceload

    Running Hillary is going to be the biggest disaster the dems have ever had. People are tired of the Bush's Clinton's they want to hear about jobs, runaway healthcare, corporate welfare and govt welfare. The Clinton's didn't do anything when they were in power and talking about it now is a little late.

    June 15, 2014 10:39 am at 10:39 am |
  25. everett walker

    They can probably get her elected as right now CNN, MSNBC the Networks and the NYT and whatever else constitutes the democrat party propaganda mill are idling along. Later on they can push the headcount along for a solid victory for Hilliary or whatever leftist messiah they choose.

    June 15, 2014 10:40 am at 10:40 am |
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