June 15th, 2014
08:05 AM ET
4 years ago

How enthusiastic are Democrats about Clinton as nominee?

Washington (CNN) - Most Democrats say they'd support Hillary Clinton if she wins their party's nomination, but a new national survey indicates only a minority are excited about that prospect.

The CNN/ORC International poll released Sunday also indicates the race for the GOP nomination remains a wide open contest with no obvious frontrunner among the potential Republican White House hopefuls.

Full CNN/ORC International poll results

According to the survey, 63% of Democrats and independents who lean toward the party said they'd most likely support Clinton as the nominee.

That's virtually unchanged from CNN's May poll, but down from the seven in 10 Democrats who in February said that they'd back the former secretary of state, senator and first lady.

Clinton has been the overwhelming frontrunner for the nomination in just about every national and state poll conducted over the past 18 months.

Twenty-percent of those questioned said they'd support a more conservative Democrat for the nomination, with 11% saying they'd back a more liberal candidate.

"Clinton remains the prohibitive frontrunner for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2016, but there are signs that rank-and-file Democrats may be willing to consider other candidates," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

Forty-one percent of Democrats questioned said they'd be enthusiastic if Clinton wins the nomination, with 42% saying they'd be satisfied. One in 10 said they'd be dissatisfied, and 5% said they'd be upset.

"There are big differences between liberal and moderate Democrats that indicate that a primary challenger who runs to the right of Clinton may get more traction than a progressive challenger would," adds Holland.

"Fifty percent of liberal Democrats say they would be enthusiastic about Clinton winning the nomination, but only 36% of moderate Democrats feel the same way.

"Nearly three-quarters of liberals pick Clinton over her hypothetical opponents. Among moderate Democrats, that figure dropped to 58%," he added.

The poll's release comes nearly a week into Clinton's book tour for her much anticipated memoir, "Hard Choices."

In an interview leading up to the book tour, Clinton said she would announce her decision regarding a second White House run sometime early next year.

GOP nomination hunt wide open

Just as almost every public opinion poll has pointed to Clinton as the prohibitive frontrunner, the same surveys suggest that the GOP nomination is a free-for-all among the potential contenders.

According to the CNN survey, 14% of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP said they'd likely back Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, with 12% likely to support former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush.

Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, a 2008 Republican presidential candidate, stands at 11%. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, the 2012 GOP vice presidential nominee, has 10% support.

Nine percent of Republicans questioned said they'd likely support Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, with New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida at 8%.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry, who was unsuccessful in his 2012 bid for the nomination, is at 6%, and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker pulls in 5%. Former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, a 2012 GOP presidential candidate, gets 4%.

Taking into account the poll's sampling error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points, the GOP nomination hunt is up for grabs among the potential contenders.

The survey was conducted for CNN by ORC International May 29-June 1, with 1,003 adults nationwide, including 481 Democrats and independents who lean towards the party, and 452 Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP, questioned by telephone.


soundoff (146 Responses)
  1. TinFLA

    How can one get excited about a liar. I know all of these politicians are from the same mold, but she has the fabrication down to a science. Remember she "misspoke" about her and her daughter being shot at. If her lips be moving, she be lying.

    June 15, 2014 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  2. john smith

    Go Howard Dean 2016

    June 15, 2014 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  3. DC Johnny

    Nobody puts women first like Hillary, who admitted through 3 decades of personal behavior that it's perfectly okay in today's society for your husband to embarrass you privately and publicly, time and time again, for political expediency.

    She's a wonderful role model for women everywhere, and will do great things to further this idea once elected to the highest position in the world.

    I can only pray that my daughter has the fortitude to endure so much maltreatment and public ridicule from her future husband, yet still see the bigger picture like HillDog.

    June 15, 2014 10:49 am at 10:49 am |
  4. steve

    Looks like the democrats only prospect for 2016 is Hillary. One old ailing grandma with lots of baggage, a failure at her job and no real accomplishments against the entire GOP. Should be fun.

    June 15, 2014 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  5. Jaded Jayda

    Pick ANY name out of the phone book & it'd be a better choice! But, 'WE' don't elect our presidents, the MEDIA does that for us! 'Sheeple' going to the Polls in a futile endeavor......Didn't we learn that from who is in the oval office right now?!

    June 15, 2014 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  6. Bev

    Newshound...you are right! Americans can do without Bushes and Clintons...Hillary is dangerous in my view...

    June 15, 2014 11:02 am at 11:02 am |
  7. GonzoinHouston

    Blah, blah, blah. In June of 2006, the only person who took Obama's candidacy seriously was Michelle. Hillary was seen as having it all sewn up then, too. There's plenty of time for an unlikely candidate to emerge.

    As for the GOP, you can accuse her of everything short of the Kennedy assassination but you still won't beat her unless you run a better candidate. And no one on the current radar qualifies.

    June 15, 2014 11:03 am at 11:03 am |
  8. face01

    Hillary's opportunity was delayed by 8 yrs, but it is Hillary's time now. Republicans cannot field a credible candidate because they are so out of touch with their exclusive, divisive, and hateful social policies, obstructionism, the desire to crush the poor and middle-class by way of failed "trickle-down" economic policy, and their political world view-before-country approach to policy. The Clinton and Obama administrations have been the only measurable successfully admins we've had since Reagan. Look out for Michelle in 2024.

    June 15, 2014 11:03 am at 11:03 am |
  9. Jonathan

    Absolutely. Go Hillary 2016! I was a big fan of Bill Clinton and I will be of Hillary and I think she has a shot.

    June 15, 2014 11:06 am at 11:06 am |
  10. Jonathan

    The definition or the word disaster: REPUBLICAN.

    June 15, 2014 11:07 am at 11:07 am |
  11. marilyn58

    She is annoying and talks too much, I don't like her but we need a woman in there, if another woman runs I will vote for her.

    June 15, 2014 11:07 am at 11:07 am |
  12. George T Hibs

    I think Hillary carries too much baggage to be a presidential candidate. She has already demonstrated she is easily rattled when she does not like the way things are going, showing us a very negative side of her, particularly when she is being questioned about her accountability. She admits she knew nothing about what was going on in Benghazi (or so she says), failed to read a cable warning of an attack, then participated in a cover up EVEN though her own intelligence agency had intercepted State Depart cell phones being used by terrorists calling their commanders telling them the attack was successful and they killed Americans. Hillary is an outright liability, not to mention deep down, people are sick of the Clinton political machine. We go fed up with it after 8 years of listening to Bill having the tail wag the dog.

    June 15, 2014 11:12 am at 11:12 am |
  13. Thomas

    Not much of a choice , yet I will vote for her .

    What is her stance on climate change and the environment ?

    June 15, 2014 11:12 am at 11:12 am |
  14. Bill Smells

    She's a lying loser. She'll never become president.

    June 15, 2014 11:18 am at 11:18 am |
  15. Jules

    I am an independent that slightly leans to the Dems. I have to say I am not excited abut Hilary. I am not against it either, after the past 8 years I am hoping the GOP will put a competent moderate up against her, then there will be a decision to make, if they keep putting on the circus shows of the past 10 years by election day, I will probably be disgusted enough to vote against them again. This is why I voted against Romney, by election day the crazies had disappeared from the field and Romney didn't have a chance. In the minds of many he was just another nutcase, when in reality he would have done an ok job and maybe better that the guy in right now, lets face it the bar is very low in out political system nowadays. I am just afraid that the GOP has lost the ability to stand for anything rational, and in the end it will be another opportunity to pick the least worthless of candidates.

    June 15, 2014 11:23 am at 11:23 am |
  16. Sam M

    Hard core Dems and Repubs are insignificant in elections – they always vote the same. They would vote for Charlie Manson if told to do so. It's the undecided voter that determines election outcomes,, and they are tired of a Dem in the W.H. The rest is blah, blah, blah

    June 15, 2014 11:24 am at 11:24 am |
  17. Lily

    With all attacks of Karl Rove and non-stop bashing of Fox News, Hillary is still doing very well in polls. What are they going to do now?

    June 15, 2014 11:30 am at 11:30 am |
  18. The Real Statistic

    Regardless of party affiliation, 100% of the potential candidates suck.

    June 15, 2014 11:33 am at 11:33 am |
  19. Susan

    About the only thing hilarious stirs with me is a need to vomit....

    June 15, 2014 11:34 am at 11:34 am |
  20. Tony

    How enthusiastic are Republicans about 2016? Whatever gains they are going to have in 2014 will be reversed in 2016, when the Democratic voters are going to show up.

    June 15, 2014 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  21. davecu

    Come on, people. Hillary is entitled!

    She kissed a LOT of back pockets and accomplished next to nothing keep her self eligible.
    She stayed with Bill so she could get this job.
    She swallow Barry's 'line' so she could get this job.
    She move to NY to get this job.

    Dang it, I say she deserves this job!

    June 15, 2014 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  22. polite centrist

    Looking at that list of Republicans, any of them could win the primary election. I can't see any of them attracting enough moderates to win the general election. Hillary will get all of the liberals and most of the moderates and win easily.

    June 15, 2014 11:54 am at 11:54 am |
  23. dpbenesch

    There is definite uneasiness about supporting Hillary. I hear the comments in the thread saying she is "politically savvy", but I would argue the opposite. She is not savvy enough since too many people see through her and wonder whether or not she can be trusted.

    She still has not seemed to learn that she can not take the "be everything to everyone" approach that Bill Clinton tried and what she tried in 2008. It comes across as trying to pander to everyone and insults people's intelligence.

    You take a position on an issue that is well-reasoned and thought out .. and you stand by that position. It isn't fair and nor is it acceptable to the public to take a "non position" and expect everyone to embrace you for it.

    June 15, 2014 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  24. Ed Zachary

    Hillary has it all wrapped up...according to the press. How dull for the democrat party! Of course she's the front runner. No one else is running at this time. No debates. No disagreements. No one with better, newer ideas. Let's just warm over the same ideas and approach again because she's Hillary! Maybe she should be running for ayatollah, because there's no controversy or differences of opinion allowed when you hold that position.

    June 15, 2014 11:59 am at 11:59 am |
  25. dave

    Clinton is a moderate democrat. There's not much difference between the extremist and a right wing democrat, or moderate, on issues such as trade and the use of supply side economics. On the economic side of things it will stay about the same, no matter who wins, if Clinton is the nominee. The differences come on the other issues, then it's pretty much obvious that Clinton wins, not many want the extremists policies, coupled with the continuation of failed policies on trade and supply side economics. A much more progressive candidate would be better for the democrats and for the economy, and jobs are the #1 issue. If Hillary came out and denounced, openly, supply side economics and all the bad trade deals, and had a plan to change from that, I'd vote enthusiastically for her, without that she's just a mediocre candidate, typical of hundreds of other moderate democrat politicians. All the other issues are important, but don't mean much if you don't have a strong economy with lots of good paying jobs. Some of those issues don't effect many, while the economy effects 100% of the voting public. In a population of 300+million, an issue has to effect about 100 million people, especially in a Presidential Election.

    June 15, 2014 11:59 am at 11:59 am |
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