Poll: Jerry Brown has huge lead in historic bid
June 25th, 2014
11:21 AM ET
6 months ago

Poll: Jerry Brown has huge lead in historic bid

(CNN) - California Gov. Jerry Brown's in the driver's seat as he campaigns this year for an unprecedented fourth term steering the Golden State, according to a new survey.

A Field Poll released Wednesday indicates that Brown leads GOP challenger Neel Kashkari 52%-32% among California voters likely to cast ballots in the November general election. Sixteen percent of likely votes were undecided.

Kashkari, a former Bush administration treasury official, beat out GOP state Rep. Tim Donnelly for second place earlier this month in California's gubernatorial primary.

The Golden State holds "open" or "jungle" primaries, in which all candidates compete in a single contest and the first and second place finishers, regardless of party affiliation, advance to the general election.

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The 76-year old Brown was first elected California governor in 1974 and re-elected in 1978. He also served as Oakland mayor from 1998-2006, California Attorney General from 2006-2010, and was elected governor again four years ago. He also made bids for the Democratic presidential nomination in 1976, 1980 and 1992, but earlier this year ruled out a fourth run for the White House in 2016.

The Field Poll indicates that Brown tops Kashkari 82%-7% among Democrats and has a 49%-25% lead among independents, with Kashkari favored 71%-13% among Republicans.

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The survey also indicates that 54% of California voters approve of the job Brown's doing as governor, with 29% giving him a thumbs down.

The Field poll was conducted June 5-22, with 1,382 registered voters in the Golden State questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.

CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this story.


Filed under: 2014 • California • Jerry Brown
soundoff (50 Responses)
  1. Malory Archer

    Of course he does. It's "librul" California.

    June 25, 2014 11:27 am at 11:27 am |
  2. Dean

    I love reading about California. I consider myself fortunate that I don't live there.

    June 25, 2014 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  3. Dutch/Bad Newz, VA - Take Back the House

    A Bush cronie trying to become governor of true blue California. Hilarious!

    June 25, 2014 11:45 am at 11:45 am |
  4. O'drama ya Mama

    Malory Archer

    Of course he does. It's "librul" California.
    June 25, 2014 11:27 am at 11:27 am |
    _________________________________________________________________________________________________

    Hey Malory,
    Remember when the Republicans elected Arnold as the California Governor? How did that work out for you?

    June 25, 2014 11:48 am at 11:48 am |
  5. Tommy G

    Just leave California to the nutty leftist Democrat Party to finalize their destruction. Whenever a Republican tries to help save them from themselves, they get blamed. Just leave California to the Democrats to run and ruin just like Detroit. Of course, they will still blame others for their destruction. That will never change, just like in Washington DC.

    June 25, 2014 11:54 am at 11:54 am |
  6. Malory Archer

    Dean
    I love reading about California. I consider myself fortunate that I don't live there.

    +++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    As does the state of California!

    June 25, 2014 12:11 pm at 12:11 pm |
  7. Vince

    The people of California can elect whoever they want. Those from other places should worry about their own states.

    June 25, 2014 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  8. Malory Archer

    O'drama ya Mama
    Malory Archer

    Of course he does. It's "librul" California.
    June 25, 2014 11:27 am at 11:27 am |
    _________________________________________________________________________________________________

    Hey Malory,
    Remember when the Republicans elected Arnold as the California Governor? How did that work out for you?

    +++++++++++++++++++++

    LOL – forgot to end my post with "sarcasm . That being said, it was the "librul's" fault he cheated on his wife and fathered a child out of wedlock with his housekeeper!

    June 25, 2014 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  9. Fair is Fair

    O'drama ya Mama

    Malory Archer

    Of course he does. It's "librul" California.
    June 25, 2014 11:27 am at 11:27 am |
    _________________________________________________________________________________________________

    Hey Malory,
    Remember when the Republicans elected Arnold as the California Governor? How did that work out for you?
    --------
    The "Republicans" didn't elect him... the fruits & nuts of California did.

    June 25, 2014 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  10. Malory Archer

    LOL – forgot to end my post with "sarcasm . That being said, it was the "librul's" fault he cheated on his wife and fathered a child out of wedlock with his housekeeper!

    ++++++++++++++++++++++

    that should have been "sarcasm OFF" but somehow "OFF" was omitted from my post while it was "awaiting moderation". What's up with that?

    June 25, 2014 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  11. Thomas

    Kashkari, a former Bush administration treasury official .

    Sounds just like yesterday ,
    The American Economy is strong , " 2007 CRASH ",
    We will be greeted as liberators " Iraq 2001 ".
    2005 car of the year " Hummer ".

    What happened to the Ebay Lady or the Hewlett Packer's Babe ?
    And who can forget Arnold S.

    June 25, 2014 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  12. smith

    No big surprise here. Cali is true blue just like NY and IL. Throw in red state TX and you got the big four in the greatest amount of debt (of course Cali has a huge lead over the rest).

    June 25, 2014 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  13. Thomas

    @Dean
    I love reading about California. I consider myself fortunate that I don't live there.
    =======

    I'm also glad you don't live in California , Yet , you will be welcomed to visit after your children move there to get away from you .

    June 25, 2014 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  14. Donna

    Remember lefties... California's massive debt is THEIRS, not the rest of the country's. None of this 'too big to fail' federal government bail out insanity. When Brown and the Democrats run the state into the ground, the people of California can pay for it, NOT US.

    June 25, 2014 12:28 pm at 12:28 pm |
  15. The Real Tom Paine

    California has a budget surplus, folks. Anyone who thinks CA is heading for destruction needs to wake up.

    June 25, 2014 12:28 pm at 12:28 pm |
  16. Rudy NYC

    I wish the Republican Party would hurry up and get its' act together, and find a leader who doesn't talk to microphones.

    June 25, 2014 12:31 pm at 12:31 pm |
  17. The REAL Truth...

    @Donna – When Brown and the Democrats run the state into the ground, the people of California can pay for it, NOT US.
    -----------------------------–
    LOL – donna, Brown is doing what Obama is doing.. fixing the mess left by the Republicans. It doesn't happen overnight.. its amazing what one can learn about how Arnie TRIPLED CA's DEBT during his 7 yrs in office.... reminds me of ur messiah Reagan's record, closely followed by Dubya's dismal showing..
    you appear oblivious to the historical patterns..

    June 25, 2014 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  18. smith

    @TomP-Surplus? So what, thats like saying your going good because you have a thousand dollars in your checking account but you are fifty thousand dollars in actual debt.

    June 25, 2014 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  19. Rudy NYC

    smith

    No big surprise here. Cali is true blue just like NY and IL. Throw in red state TX and you got the big four in the greatest amount of debt (of course Cali has a huge lead over the rest).
    --------------------------------
    You're confabulating again, smith. California and New York are doing just fine. I cannot speak for Illinois, but I do know that a lot of manufacturing plants closed up because the jobs were outsourced overseas.

    California is running a surplus, which Democrats have been putting aside as a rainy day fund for emergencies, or another major economic downturn. The cash pile is driving conservatives crazy because they want to spend it in the form of a tax cut.

    June 25, 2014 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  20. yerkiddinright

    Love all the out of starters talking about how horrible California is. Governor Brown has guided us to a budget surplus with a significant contribution to paying down the debt. He did it because the GOP is so utterly irrelevant here so he doesn't have to deal with their petty obstructionist BS. Get rid of the GOTea nut jobs in DC and watch how quickly prosperity follows.

    June 25, 2014 01:07 pm at 1:07 pm |
  21. Tony D

    The Real Tom Paine
    California has a budget surplus, folks. Anyone who thinks CA is heading for destruction needs to wake up.
    --
    Rudy NYC
    California is running a surplus, which Democrats have been putting aside as a rainy day fund for emergencies, or another major economic downturn. The cash pile is driving conservatives crazy because they want to spend it in the form of a tax cut.
    --

    Yikes! the lies from the lefties just come fast & furious in here.... Now the facts as reported by the NYT. Nice try liars!

    While Mr. Brown called for an 8.5 percent spending increase, he also proposed spending $11 billion on debts and liabilities, including a $6 billion deferred payment to schools and roughly $4 billion to pay down economic recovery bonds issued by his predecessor, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger.

    Mr. Brown’s budget was missing some of the proposals for new spending on social programs, like universal prekindergarten, that many Democrats have called for.
    Some Republicans quickly praised Mr. Brown’s approach, but it could set off a fight among fellow Democrats, who control the legislature and hope to use some of the projected $4.2 billion surplus to restore program cuts.
    Armed with charts to illustrate the volatile boom-and-bust cycles in the state’s revenues, which rely heavily on capital gains taxes, Mr. Brown emphasized efforts to address a “mountain of long-term liabilities,” including unfunded retirement benefits, that amount to $354.5 billion.
    Much of the state’s future debt comes from potentially crippling pension liabilities. Mr. Brown’s budget estimated $218 billion in unfunded retirement benefits for public employees. Several cities in California — most recently Stockton and San Bernardino — have filed for bankruptcy because they have been unable to pay for pension and health care benefits for retirees.
    The California State Teachers Retirement System has an estimated shortfall of $80 billion, and several officials have warned that the fund could deplete its money in 30 years. Mr. Brown called the teacher pension fund a “disaster ahead” and said he would call on teachers and school districts to help the state come up with a new way to pay for the obligations.

    June 25, 2014 01:10 pm at 1:10 pm |
  22. salty dog

    If you don't think your post about brown running Cali, bankrupt is delusional, here's your sign: I recall California being in big trouble, oh somewhere after Arnold took control, and changed things, you really don't have the capacity to be honest do you? Go go tinfoil hat!

    June 25, 2014 01:10 pm at 1:10 pm |
  23. The REAL Truth...

    @smith – So what, thats like saying your going good because you have a thousand dollars in your checking account but you are fifty thousand dollars in actual debt.
    -----------------------------
    Using that 1,000 to pay down the 50k would be far better than spending it to offset a tax cut – like the GOP wants. That defeats the purpose and bumps the debt to 51,000..

    June 25, 2014 01:11 pm at 1:11 pm |
  24. salty dog

    One things for certain, honesty is not on the gop menu, absolute insanity, free with every order!

    June 25, 2014 01:12 pm at 1:12 pm |
  25. Silence DoGood

    @Tommy G
    Just leave California to the nutty leftist Democrat Party to finalize their destruction. Whenever a Republican tries to help save them from themselves, they get blamed. Just leave California to the Democrats to run and ruin just like Detroit. Of course, they will still blame others for their destruction. That will never change, just like in Washington DC.
    ----------
    I don't need to "saved from myself". This is the whole trouble with the self-righteous Theocracy movement. I choose freedom instead.

    June 25, 2014 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
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