June 29th, 2014
09:00 AM ET
3 weeks ago

The 'Inside Politics' Forecast: The next Chamber of Commerce target

CNN's John King and other top political reporters empty out their notebooks each Sunday on "Inside Politics" to reveal five things that will be in the headlines in the days, weeks and months ahead.

1. The next Chamber of Commerce target

The Chamber of Commerce spent big to help Sen. Thad Cochran in the runoff, including paying for an ad featuring Mississippi hero Brett Favre urging a vote for the GOP incumbent.

That investment paid off with a Cochran win. And more.

From the time the results were clear Tuesday night through close of business Friday, I'm told the Chamber raised more than $3 million for its 2014 campaign war chest.

Up next? Stay tuned. The chamber is watching two tea party challenges to Senate incumbents, in Kansas and Tennessee. At the moment it thinks Senators Pat Roberts and Lamar Alexander are in good shape, but will track those races and the House primary in Georgia for the seat being vacated by Senate candidate Rep. Jack Kingston.

Also being discussed: whether to try to turn the tables by targeting a House tea party incumbent. One leading possibility is … Rep. Justin Amash.

2. Bleak views of the economy could depress minority turnout

The Cook Political Report's Amy Walter fleshed out a troubling dynamic for Democrats: deep economic pessimism among a voting block the party desperately needs to turnout this November.

Democrats traditionally have a turnout problem, especially in a midterm year, and the economic pessimism blanketing much of the country is particularly strong among a key segment of the Democratic coalition: minority voters.

Amy cites this sobering drop: in 2012, 70% of non-white voters said they didn’t think things were good now but they believed things could be better in a year. But now only 50% of non-white voters think that things are going to be better a year from now.

“You need to turn out your base in a midterm election –and that’s the kind of voters that Democrats really need, “ said Walter.

Another factor that might be an issue-here’s a slide from NAACP 2012 battleground poll highlighting their concern about African-American turnout in a post-Obama election climate:

dems without obama

3. Revenge of the GOP Hawks in Cochran Race

Most of the attention in the wake of Sen. Thad Cochran's surprise win in last week's Mississippi Senate runoff has focused on the successful effort to woo African-American support.

But the Washington Post's Robert Costa also tells us Cochran's pro defense focus in the final days also helped and that one of the untold lessons of that battle is that it’s OK to be a hawk.

"He really played up his military record –he brought in John McCain in the final days of the campaign,” said Costa. “On the ground, I saw that that really helped with veterans and military personnel and I think across the country some other Republicans may be taking that as a lesson.”

4. A Sober Assessment of Iraq's New Battlefield

Steve Inskeep of NPR had a sober assessment to share after checking in with his deep reservoir of sources tracking the march of ISIS in Iraq.

Experts tell him that ISIS, the group that has taken over much of Northern Iraq, is just too weak to do very much more than they have but is too strong to be easily dislodged.

“That raises the prospect of a war that goes on for several years, that overshadows the end of Obama’s presidency, that is some kind of a factor potentially in a presidential campaign or at the least will be left to the next president to decide,” said Inskeep.

A map of Iraq’s ethnic divide and how it plays into the conflict:

map

5. A Promise for Sustained Focus on a Campus Crisis

NPR's Juana Summers shared reporting of an effort to make a sustained fight against campus sexual assault.

Department of Education officials testifying before Congress say the issue has been ignored for far too long.

Dozens of schools are being investigated by the Department of Education and the Justice Department on these Title IX violations.

"I don’t doubt that there is will on Capitol Hill to deal with this issue,” said Summers. “The question is what do they do with it.”

Hope to see you next Sunday.


Filed under: Chamber of Commerce • Chris McDaniel • Economy • Inside Politics • Iraq • Thad Cochran
soundoff (16 Responses)
  1. Marie MD

    When did the chamber of commerce go from a group you contacted to find out information about an area to meddling in politics?

    June 29, 2014 09:08 am at 9:08 am |
  2. vic , nashville ,tn

    Always Republican Party control by out side forces tea party, chamber of commerce, NRA religion groups ….. When party is in the power they couldn’t do major change or reforms NOTHING GET DONE

    Democrats depend on woman voters, African American voters Hispanic voters Middle class voters when party is in power they go after big reforms things get done

    June 29, 2014 09:31 am at 9:31 am |
  3. Anonymous

    Looks like the Chamber of Commerce, has become snti-citizen in America..........so that means the citizens need to become anti-Chamber.

    June 29, 2014 09:32 am at 9:32 am |
  4. Chris..E.al

    Dems are criminals or at the very least guilty by assoiation .

    June 29, 2014 10:00 am at 10:00 am |
  5. Hector Slagg

    Good Lord,
    As long as the politicians are meddling with the economy don't expect things to get better. The Liberals have been "Fixing" things for the last 100 years. The Democrats had the Congress for 40 years. That was a Smashing Success. As long as the Federal Government is running, "Ruining" the Economy expect thing to stay the same. Most likely the "Great Unwashed" is going to send all the "Elites" down the "Tubes" Again.

    June 29, 2014 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  6. Harry Legg

    It appears the Chamber is afraid of the Tea Party. And rightly so as both political parties are a failure with solving anything.
    Go Palin sock it to them... lol

    June 29, 2014 11:41 am at 11:41 am |
  7. NameFrank Deery

    The IRS cover-up(way tooo many techies out there CNN and Candy Ceowley disputing)
    and Republicans, whether Issa or someone else, Will find the "Smoking Gun", giving Issa
    Enough rope to charge Lois Lerner, then offer immunity. She will sing! This is still a working part of our Separation of Powers system, which Obama has ignored-until the
    Supreme Court caught him-Friday. Was that a "stunt", Mr Obama or Ms Crowley? No! They woke up.

    June 29, 2014 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  8. J Anthony

    @marie: since 2010,, see the Citizens United ruling. @hector gunderslag: the monetary-system has stayed the same since 1913,, regardless. Neither party has had the will to challenge this institutionalized usury. If you had a clue you'd understand that.

    June 29, 2014 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  9. Diane

    I missed the show and I can't find anything here, but did they discuss the unanimous decision by the Supreme Court against Obama's overreach on recess appointments he made illegally? What did they say if they discussed it?

    June 29, 2014 02:34 pm at 2:34 pm |
  10. Malory Archer

    Does the chamber of commerce enjoy tax exempt status?

    June 29, 2014 03:08 pm at 3:08 pm |
  11. Thomas

    High speed rail before useless pipeline !

    June 29, 2014 04:33 pm at 4:33 pm |
  12. whitepine

    All Congress does is argue. Since more of Congress are wealthy, they just don't want the IRS to investigate them and where all their political money comes from. It's not about protecting the common man. Congress has become a waste of taxpayers money. These people just get elected to be wealthy celebrities with easy jobs and we the voters give them these opportunities.

    June 29, 2014 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  13. homeearning

    I say goodbye to my chamber affiliation now that they decided to play inside national elections........the check isn't in the mail.

    June 29, 2014 06:23 pm at 6:23 pm |
  14. Robert N. constant

    The Chamber of Commerce is an arm of the Republican Party. Its members are also major employers of undocumented aliens in the United States. It is probably for this reason that the Chamber of Commerce is opposed to Immigration Reform. It would increase the cost of doing business for many of its members.

    June 29, 2014 07:50 pm at 7:50 pm |
  15. Cunamara

    It's amazing how many of these comments seem to be written by the same person under different names, based on the grammar, word choice and conceptualization.

    To answer Marie MD, pretty much always. They are just bolder now due to the Supreme Court's ongoing confusion about what free speech really is.

    June 29, 2014 09:32 pm at 9:32 pm |
  16. kols

    Harry Legg,
    Where have you been? Palin lost whatever influence she had long ago. She is at the point of being irrelevant. She can shoot off her mouth all she wants, but most people don't pay attention.

    June 30, 2014 12:51 am at 12:51 am |