CNN’s POLITICAL GUT CHECK | for July 8, 2014 | 5 p.m.
— n. a pause to assess the state, progress or condition of the political news cycle
CLEVELAND WINS! The Republican National Committee announced Tuesday that their Site Selection Committee has picked Cleveland to host the 2016 Republican National Convention. The full membership of the RNC is expected to ratify the Site Selection Committee's recommendation at its early August meeting in Chicago. – Mark Preston and Paul Steinhauser
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THE GOP’S RATIONALE: "A Cleveland convention offers our party a great steppingstone to the White House in 2016,” RNC Chairman Reince Priebus said in a statement. “As goes Ohio, so goes the presidential race,” he said on Fox.
Gut Check Full Service: No Republican has ever won the White House without Ohio. In 2012, Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney lost Ohio by just three percentage points. But in Cuyahoga County - where Cleveland is located - Romney lost by nearly 40 points.
MENENDEZ SUGGESTS CUBAN SMEAR, CALLS FOR INVESTIGATION... Sen. Robert Menendez, D-New Jersey, told CNN's Dana Bash Tuesday that the U.S. government should investigate any evidence it has that he was the subject of a conspiracy by the Cuban regime to spread false allegations that he traveled to have sex with underage Dominican prostitutes. Menendez said he "wouldn't be surprised" that the Cuban government "would do anything it can to stop me." – Evan Perez
OBAMA, PERRY TO MEET IN TEXAS ON BORDER CRISIS ... The political sparring over the border crisis intensified Tuesday as the White House released a letter accepting Texas Gov. Rick Perry's invitation to President Barack Obama for a meeting on the issue during his trip to Texas Wednesday. The letter from White House Senior Adviser Valerie Jarrett was in response to Perry's letter to the President, released Monday evening, that turned down an offer to greet Obama on the tarmac when he arrives in Austin, with the suggestion of a more “substantive meeting to discuss this critical issue.” Perry’s office later released a statement saying he was “pleased that President Obama has accepted his invitation” and that “he looks forward to meeting with the president tomorrow.” – Jim Acosta and Cassie Spodak
OBAMA SEEKS $3.7 BILLION FOR BORDER CRISIS ... The Obama administration announced it is seeking $3.7 billion in emergency funding from Congress. The total includes $1.8 billion for the care of unaccompanied children; $1.1 billion for transportation costs, detention and removal; $433 million in overtime and other costs for Border Patrol agents; and $64 million to hire immigration judicial teams and legal assistance for those who are detained.
PALIN: IT’S IMPEACHMENT TIME … In an op-ed for the conservative news website Breitbart, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin writes that the president’s handling of the border crisis is an impeachable offense “that makes the battered wife say, ‘no mas.’” “The many impeachable offenses of Barack Obama can no longer be ignored,” Palin declares. “If after all this he’s not impeachable, then no one is.”
QUOTE OF THE DAY: HILLARY CLINTON IN AN INTERVIEW WITH DER SPIEGEL: “We had two Roosevelts. We had two Adams. It may be that certain families just have a sense of commitment or even a predisposition to want to be in politics.”
THE BUZZ: WHAT’S WRONG WITH WASHINGTON ... Voters and lawmakers often express frustration about the gridlock in Washington. Some of it is ideological – sincere difference on issues – but often there are other reasons why things inside the beltway just don't function very well anymore. The Lead with Jake Tapper is launching a new series today in an attempt to shine a light on the reasons and the root causes behind some of the seemingly intractable problems and recurring crises in the nation’s capital. Here’s a look at the first segment of "Why Won't Washington Work:" 65% of U.S. food aid budget not spent on food.
MARKET WATCH: The Dow ends 113 points lower, below the 17,000 mark, as U.S. stocks retreat from recent highs. S&P 500 falls 0.7%.
Who was selected as the GOP presidential nominee the last time the Republican National Convention was held in Cleveland?
Did you miss it?
Leading CNNPolitics: Poll: Voters split over control House and Senate
American voters are divided on whether they want the GOP to win control of the Senate in November's elections, according to a new national poll. And a Quinnipiac University survey also indicates the race for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination remains a free-for-all among the potential contenders, while Hillary Clinton, if she runs for the White House again, would be the prohibitive frontrunner for the Democratic nomination.
Leading CNNMoney: Congress wants to clobber my company
House Republicans are out to get rid of a federal agency, and employees at some small businesses could be among the causalities. Top House Republicans want to stop funding the Export-Import Bank, because they believe the agency helps companies that don't need it, like giant corporations Boeing and General Electric. The Ex-Im bank, as it is commonly known, provides loans to foreign entities that buy products from these large American companies. – Jennifer Liberto
Leading Denver Post: Colorado's 3 top Democrats to miss Obama event at Cheesman Park
The biggest name in the Democratic Party plans to speak Wednesday at Denver's Cheesman Park, but President Barack Obama won't be sharing the stage with three Colorado Democrats now in the fight of their political careers. Missing from the morning event — which is closed to the public but open to the media — will be U.S. Sen. Mark Udall, Gov. John Hickenlooper and Andrew Romanoff, the former state House speaker now running for a seat in Congress. – Mark Matthews and Kurtis Lee
Leading HuffPo: What's Done Is Done: Christie Defends Sandy Hook Refusal
New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) defended his decision not to meet with the families of the children killed at Sandy Hook Elementary School before vetoing gun control legislation last week, saying during a press conference Monday that there was nothing they could have said to change his mind. – Sam Levine
Leading Drudge: Rocket Attacks On Tel Aviv
For second time on Tuesday evening, Gaza terrorists launch rocket at central Israel; air raid sirens sounds in central Israel, blasts heard in Tel Aviv; Tel Aviv opens public bomb shelters; no injuries reported. – Jerusalem Post
Leading Politico: Behind Harry Reid's war against the Koch brothers
At first, it seemed like just another example of Harry Reid being Harry Reid. The Senate majority leader, whose unscripted attacks can veer into bellicosity and take liberties with facts, spoke on the Senate floor last October and appeared to blame billionaire industrialists Charles and David Koch for the government shutdown. – Ken Vogel
Leading New York Times: How Birth Year Influences Political Views
A new model of presidential voting suggests President Obama’s approval rating — currently in the low 40s — will inform not only the 2016 election, but also the election in 2076. The model, by researchers at Catalist, the Democratic data firm, and Columbia University, uses hundreds of thousands of survey responses and new statistical software to estimate how people’s preferences change at different stages of their lives. – Amanda Cox
The political bites of the day
- House GOP reacts to Obama’s $3.7 billion border crisis request -
BOEHNER SPOKESMAN MICHAEL STEEL, IN A STATEMENT: “The Speaker still supports deploying the National Guard to provide humanitarian support in the affected areas - which this proposal does not address.”
HOUSE APPROPRIATIONS CHAIRMAN HAL ROGERS, IN A STATEMENT: “Plainly, the situation for many of these unaccompanied children is extremely dire, and the United States has both a security and a moral obligation to help solve the crisis at hand.”
HOUSE JUDICIARY CHAIRMAN BOB GOODLATTE, R-VIRGINIA, IN A STATEMENT: “President Obama has many tools at his disposal now to quell this activity at our southern border, such as enforcing immigration laws and cracking down on rampant asylum fraud. Unfortunately, none of these tools are mentioned in his proposal.”
- Texas Democrats: RNC chose Cleveland because of ‘toxic’ Texas GOP -
TEXAS DEMOCRATIC PARTY EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR WILL HAILER TO THE DALLAS MORNING NEWS: “The choice of Cleveland over Dallas to host the 2016 Republican National Convention shows just how toxic Texas Republicans are ... By choosing Dallas, national Republicans would have essentially endorsed the Texas Republican platform and values, including reparative therapy for the LGBT community, repealing the 17th amendment that allows citizens to elect their own U.S. senator, and repealing the Voting Rights Act.”
Joaquin Castro (@Castro4Congress)
Republicans choose Cleveland over Dallas for GOP 2016 convention, scared off by @TXGOP extremism... http://www.esquire.com/blogs/politics/Crazy_In_Texas
- McConnell: Obamacare is an ‘intellectually lazy idea’ -
SENATE MINORITY LEADER MITCH MCCONNELL ON THE SENATE FLOOR: “Obamacare is built upon the intellectually lazy idea that we can simply legislate a desirable outcome into existence. That we can tell a hulking federal bureaucracy to simply bureaucratize affordable healthcare into being. Unfortunately life doesn’t work that way. Reality always intervenes.”
- Dueling ads heat up Kentucky Senate race–
KENTUCKY OPPORTUNITY COALITION AD BLASTING ALISON LUNDERGAN GRIMES: “What do we know about Alison Grimes? The Bowling Green Daily News says she ‘waffles on the issues…hides from voters.’ The Herald-Leader reports Grimes is ‘nearly impossible to pin down.’”
COAL MINER IN AN NEW GRIMES AD: Mitch McConnell voted to “raise my Medicare costs by six thousand dollars ... How are my wife and I supposed to afford that?”
GRIMES TO COAL MINER: “I don't think he's going to answer that.”
- Portman may ‘have a change of heart’ regarding 2016 -
SEN. ROB PORTMAN, R-OHIO, TO THE WASHINGTON POST: “I’m not particularly eager to do it myself, and having been involved in six presidential campaigns, I know what it’s like ... But if nobody running is able to win and willing to address these issues, then I might have a change of heart.”
Shira T. Center (@shiracenter)
Portman lobbied hard to bring #RNC to Cleveland in 2016. Texas delegation? Not so much. http://roll.cl/1vT5o5h
What stopped us in 140 characters or less
Dennis Deninger (@DDeninger)
Great stat: Brazil hasn't given up 5 goals in an entire WorldCup tournament since 1998. Today they gave up 5 in 30 minutes. #2014WorldCup
Don Mooney (@DonMooneyJr)
Congrats to Cleveland on landing the GOP convention. Maybe proximity to prospective nominee Ted Cruz's native Canada helped.
Igor Bobic (@igorbobic)
That sound you hear is Cleveland's hospitality industry yelling from the rooftops.
Marco Rubio (@marcorubio)
Congratulations to Cleveland on being awarded the #GOP2016 convention. But you still aren't getting @KingJames back!
jennifer bendery (@jbendery)
Asked John McCain about Sarah Palin's call for impeaching Obama over immigration: "I always respect other people's opinions."
David Frum (@davidfrum)
At the rate she’s going, by 2017, Sarah Palin will have to advocate presidential assassination to get a link on @Mediaite
Dave Carney (@granitewinger)
Huge freaking deal! Rand Paul taps Manchester’s Biundo as chief strategist for PAC in New England nhjournal.com/rand-paul-taps… via @NewHampJournal
Jonathan Martin (@jmartNYT)
Rand show of early-state hiring also in keeping w his dispensing of the i'm-focused-on-midterm fiction others try to float
Peter Daniels (@PeterHyDaniels)
Legal #marijuana sales start today in Washington State; from @cspanvl: the first ever Cannabis Business Summit c-span.org/video/?320138-…
TRIVIA ANSWER from @sarafischer
The last time the Republicans held their national convention in Cleveland – in 1936 – their presidential nominee, Kansas Gov. Alf Landon, was crushed by FDR. But in 1924, the first time the GOP hosted a convention in Cleveland, they tapped incumbent President Calvin Coolidge, who rolled on to an easy victory in November.
GUT CHECK WINNER’S CIRCLE
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Congrats to Sean Evins (@Evins) for correctly answering today’s Gut Check trivia question.
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