N.H. Poll: Scott Brown, Jeanne Shaheen statistically tied
August 21st, 2014
06:50 PM ET
5 years ago

N.H. Poll: Scott Brown, Jeanne Shaheen statistically tied

(CNN) - Republican Scott Brown appears to be closing the gap in his U.S. Senate race against Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen in New Hampshire, according to a new survey released Thursday.

The WMUR Granite State Poll indicates Shaheen leads Brown 46% to 44%, with 9% of likely voters undecided. Because the margin is within the survey's sampling error, the candidates are statistically tied.

The two-point gap marks the slimmest margin between them to date. Since Brown, a former U.S. senator from Massachusetts, entered the race in April, he had trailed Shaheen by about 8-12 percentage points.

Shaheen's numbers may be affected by national politics, according to a release about the poll. President Barack Obama has a 37% approval rating among likely voters. While Shaheen holds more than 90% support among that group, Brown holds 71% support among the 59% who disapprove of the President.

Mike Vlacich, Shaheen’s campaign manager, said in a statement about the poll that the senator’s campaign has “been ready for a competitive race since Day One.”

“This race will come down to who makes a difference for people in New Hampshire and Jeanne Shaheen's record is clear,” Vlacich said. “She puts New Hampshire first and always has, while Scott Brown is for Scott Brown and the special interests who line his pockets and fund his campaigns.”

Colin Reed, a spokesman for Brown, said "polls will go up and polls will go down, but Scott Brown is going to continue working hard, holding town hall meetings, taking his message directly to the people and earning every vote."

Republicans consider New Hampshire a potential pick-up seat in their quest to retake control of the Senate. The GOP needs a net gain of six seats to win the majority.

Brown joins two other Republicans who are running for their party's Senate nomination in New Hampshire: former U.S. Sen. Bob Smith and former state Sen. Jim Rubens. The poll shows Shaheen has a double-digit lead over Smith and Rubens.

The winner of the September 9 primary will face off against Shaheen, who also served for six years as the state's governor.

For the poll, the University of New Hampshire Survey Center interviewed 827 adults in the state by telephone from August 7 through August 17. The poll's sampling error is plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.

CNN's Ashley Killough, Paul Steinhauser and Sean Kennedy contributed to this report.


Filed under: Jeanne Shaheen • New Hampshire • Polls • Scott Brown • Senate
soundoff (55 Responses)
  1. Dumbas[R]ocks

    Wow. After all of the obvious FAILURES of [R] politics and policies over the last decade or two, why would people in NH think electing a [R] bozo to congress would be a 'good' thing?

    Maybe NH should move southward and vie to be Mississippi's neighbor.

    Next time I travel through that state, I will be more careful not to run-over the already mentally road-killed.

    August 21, 2014 07:27 pm at 7:27 pm |
  2. Gurgyl

    These republicans are the worst than ISIS, Al Queda. True.

    August 21, 2014 07:39 pm at 7:39 pm |
  3. FidyCents

    Amazing to even think it's tied this late. Shaheen is not going to hide that dismal record and mess she voted for. What a huge loss to the Demorats if she is thrown out!

    August 21, 2014 08:51 pm at 8:51 pm |
  4. Victoria

    Good. Brown wants it more than Shaheen and he's gonna win.

    August 21, 2014 09:17 pm at 9:17 pm |
  5. tom l

    Silence DoGood

    @Rudy NYC
    Hey, conservatives. Remember this?

    "If you're not with us [the White House], then you're with the terrorists." George W. Bush.
    ---–
    With all the talk of "2nd amendment solutions" and violent take over of the government, and domestic terror, I cannot help but think many in the Tea Party are cheering for the terrorists abroad.
    =====

    You know what's ironic? That's exactly what repubs said about dems when the war in Iraq was going on in the early 2000's. You have become them and they have, apparently, become you. So many people on the hardcore right said that the left was wanting them to fail in the country's efforts in Iraq. They literally said the exact same thing you just did. You guys on the hardcore left and the hardcore right are 2 sides of the same coin. No different. But you think you are better than the other side when all you are is the exact same; it just depends who is in power. And, the funniest part to me, is that you both think your moderate, middle of the road folks. Your comment, Silence, really resonated with me. Just like George Bush said – "either you're with us, or you're with the terrorists!" You just used different words to convey the exact same thought process. Wow, what a 180

    August 21, 2014 09:49 pm at 9:49 pm |
  6. ja

    Accordingly Romney was aheadh of Obama in the polls as were McCain

    August 21, 2014 10:48 pm at 10:48 pm |
  7. NYNJCT

    Dear Residents in N.H, you are smart enough to figure out that President Obama (D) and Democratic U.S. Senate want to
    save illegal immigrants of 11,000,000 plus 300,000 invaders who's broken our border. However Obama has failed to save
    one American great Journalist. American can't trust the President and the Democratic U.S. Senate any more.

    August 21, 2014 11:20 pm at 11:20 pm |
  8. Chris..E.Al

    Its not cool the media is still showing 0bamas jr high pix ? Come on now Snicker Snicker .

    August 21, 2014 11:31 pm at 11:31 pm |
  9. J.V.hodgson

    Who is already able to say that an out of state candidate will win the primary for the republican campaign for senate in September? brown in the past at best was a leaning republican senator not good i9n the current ideological climate amongst republicans
    Regards,
    Hodgson

    August 21, 2014 11:36 pm at 11:36 pm |
  10. Robert

    Shaheen says special interests line Scott Browns pockets....like she doesn't have a bunch of special interests backing her campain...like anti-gunners, public employees unions that have bankrupted this country, the pro abortion crowd, the pro illegal immigrant crowd, people on welfare and food stamps and everybody sucking off the social welfare tit...and the fact that she supported Obama care...she favors big lok over your shoulder big government besides being Obama's rubber stamp...the woman is a joke...

    August 22, 2014 02:13 am at 2:13 am |
  11. NATHAN WIMBERLY

    Turtle McConnell pulled a Rapheal Cruz move being taped saying that the GOP will shut down the people's government AGAIN. Shaheen and the democrats need to run that tape on a loop right up until Nov.

    August 22, 2014 04:36 am at 4:36 am |
  12. Name JK. SFL. THE GOP THE NATIONAL JOKE PARTY , WE WONT PASS ANYTHING AND STILLGET PAID

    I really don't think the people of New Hampshire are DUMB enough to put ANOTHER republican in congress for MORE gridlock because it's perfectly clear that the GOP EXTREMIST ARE the cause of it . Vote AGAINEST EVERY GOP on the ballot and get our country moving again!!!! I can't wait till November . The people of Massachusetts wer smart enough to get rid of this GOP CLOWN!!!!

    August 22, 2014 05:05 am at 5:05 am |
  13. Clay

    Scott Brown is a clown. He has no chance of winning. That pollster knows it, trying to inject excitement into race, won't work.

    August 22, 2014 06:04 am at 6:04 am |
  14. Marie MD

    I thought people in NH were smarter. brown is a loser who is using your state, NOW, to get back into politics.

    August 22, 2014 06:29 am at 6:29 am |
  15. Tony in Maine

    Are you people mad? Scott Brown wouldn't be in NH were he not effectively locked out of Mass. He may look like a good ole boy with his baccy stained pickup, but he's an opportunistic carpoetbagger.

    August 22, 2014 06:44 am at 6:44 am |
  16. it must be said

    Shaheen's numbers may be affected by national politics, according to a release about the poll. President Barack Obama has a 37% approval rating among likely voters. While Shaheen holds more than 90% support among that group, Brown holds 71% support among the 59% who disapprove of the President.
    --

    "affected by national politics"??? No, that is NOT an accurate statement. Affected by OBAMA'S DISMAL RATINGS is the accurate statement! And guess what Democrats? THAT is happening ALL OVER THE COUNTRY IN EVERY RACE. The fact is the country is FED UP with the far left Democrats and their failure and incompetent in the White House. After 6 years in office, it has become painfully clear the country made a huge 8 year mistake and will now start correcting their error in November.

    August 22, 2014 08:16 am at 8:16 am |
  17. riff raff

    Quality guy, his achievements again?

    August 22, 2014 08:22 am at 8:22 am |
  18. ???

    FidyCents
    Amazing to even think it's tied this late. Shaheen is not going to hide that dismal record and mess she voted for. What a huge loss to the Demorats if she is thrown out!
    -–

    This late? The Republicans haven't even completed their primary (Sept. 9). Once Brown wins the primary, the real campaign begins and you will see Shaheen drop in the polls with Brown pulling ahead. An incumbent being that far below 50% at this stage is usually a sign that they need to start looking for another job.

    Put this one in the Republican column and kiss the Senate and that senile clown Harry Reid good bye Democrats. You are getting what you deserve for your insane policies that still keep a record number of people unemployed SIX YEARS after the recession ended.

    August 22, 2014 08:24 am at 8:24 am |
  19. Rudy NYC

    NYNJCT

    Dear Residents in N.H, you are smart enough to figure out that President Obama (D) and Democratic U.S. Senate want to save illegal immigrants of 11,000,000 plus 300,000 invaders who's broken our border. However Obama has failed to save one American great Journalist. American can't trust the President and the Democratic U.S. Senate any more.
    -----------------------------
    Is the right wing that amoral that they would turn that tragedy into a political football? Yup, you betcha.

    August 22, 2014 08:25 am at 8:25 am |
  20. just asking

    “This race will come down to who makes a difference for people in New Hampshire and Jeanne Shaheen's record is clear,” Vlacich said. “She puts New Hampshire first and always has,
    -–

    well she sure didn't put the interests of the people of nh first when she voted for obamacare and the destruction of their healthcare system. she voted as she was told how to vote by obama and harry reid. i wonder if there are tapes of her out there repeating all the obamacare lies? if there are, i'm sure they will be seen quite a bit in the next few months. don't re-elect proven liars people of nh!

    August 22, 2014 08:29 am at 8:29 am |
  21. Tony D

    Rudy NYC
    NYNJCT
    Dear Residents in N.H, you are smart enough to figure out that President Obama (D) and Democratic U.S. Senate want to save illegal immigrants of 11,000,000 plus 300,000 invaders who's broken our border. However Obama has failed to save one American great Journalist. American can't trust the President and the Democratic U.S. Senate any more.
    ---------–
    Is the right wing that amoral that they would turn that tragedy into a political football? Yup, you betcha.
    ---

    BWAHAHAHAHAHA!!!! "tragedy"? By that do you mean the tragedy of the non-enforcement of our immigration laws and lawless actions of the Obama administration?

    This was entirely the result of Obama's lawlessness in granting amnesty to nearly a million illegals in this country. He rang the dinner bell and all the illegals came charging over our unsecured southern border WHICH IS OBAMA'S JOB TO ENFORCE. Does he think the oath he swore was a joke? It sure seems like it. Obama and the Democrats have, and continue to use, illegal immigration at the expense of this country and its citizens and now it has come around to bite them in the backside.

    August 22, 2014 08:36 am at 8:36 am |
  22. Rudy NYC

    just asking

    “This race will come down to who makes a difference for people in New Hampshire and Jeanne Shaheen's record is clear,” Vlacich said. “She puts New Hampshire first and always has,
    -–

    well she sure didn't put the interests of the people of nh first when she voted for obamacare and the destruction of their healthcare system. she voted as she was told how to vote by obama and harry reid. i wonder if there are tapes of her out there repeating all the obamacare lies? if there are, i'm sure they will be seen quite a bit in the next few months. don't re-elect proven liars people of nh!
    ==========================================================
    Do you really want to get into a sparring match over "lies" that have been told about Obamacare? Republicans have a big lead in that category beginning with the biggest whopper of the all, death panels. How can a 24-member panel of auditors can review millions of life-or-death patient cases per day? In fact, the panel has no power. It's only purpose is to make evaluations of the law's effectiveness based upon case reviews, and make non-binding recommendations to Congress.

    August 22, 2014 08:39 am at 8:39 am |
  23. Rudy NYC

    Tony D

    Rudy NYC
    NYNJCT
    Dear Residents in N.H, you are smart enough to figure out that President Obama (D) and Democratic U.S. Senate want to save illegal immigrants of 11,000,000 plus 300,000 invaders who's broken our border. However Obama has failed to save one American great Journalist. American can't trust the President and the Democratic U.S. Senate any more.
    ---–
    Is the right wing that amoral that they would turn that tragedy into a political football? Yup, you betcha.
    -

    BWAHAHAHAHAHA!!!! "tragedy"? By that do you mean the tragedy of the non-enforcement of our immigration laws and lawless actions of the Obama administration?
    ============================================================
    Thanks for demonstrating the willful ignorance of the right wing again. I was referring to the journalist remark, that tragedy.

    August 22, 2014 08:49 am at 8:49 am |
  24. mike in NH

    Brown has been on the trail winning the people of NH over everyday this year, while as we see it; Shaheen is playing "Where's Waldo Shaheen" hiding from her constituents and questions. Shaheen is done and the Dem Senate is over. NH says bye bye Harry Reid.

    August 22, 2014 08:49 am at 8:49 am |
  25. Anonymous

    riff raff
    Quality guy, his achievements again?
    --

    Sorry that ship has sailed as both Obama and Hillary Clinton had zero achievements when elected while the country refused to elect Romney who had volumes of achievements and successes. Our country demands to elect do nothing, know nothing novelty acts. We are doomed.

    August 22, 2014 09:02 am at 9:02 am |
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