N.H. Poll: Scott Brown, Jeanne Shaheen statistically tied
August 21st, 2014
06:50 PM ET
5 years ago

N.H. Poll: Scott Brown, Jeanne Shaheen statistically tied

(CNN) - Republican Scott Brown appears to be closing the gap in his U.S. Senate race against Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen in New Hampshire, according to a new survey released Thursday.

The WMUR Granite State Poll indicates Shaheen leads Brown 46% to 44%, with 9% of likely voters undecided. Because the margin is within the survey's sampling error, the candidates are statistically tied.

The two-point gap marks the slimmest margin between them to date. Since Brown, a former U.S. senator from Massachusetts, entered the race in April, he had trailed Shaheen by about 8-12 percentage points.

Shaheen's numbers may be affected by national politics, according to a release about the poll. President Barack Obama has a 37% approval rating among likely voters. While Shaheen holds more than 90% support among that group, Brown holds 71% support among the 59% who disapprove of the President.

Mike Vlacich, Shaheen’s campaign manager, said in a statement about the poll that the senator’s campaign has “been ready for a competitive race since Day One.”

“This race will come down to who makes a difference for people in New Hampshire and Jeanne Shaheen's record is clear,” Vlacich said. “She puts New Hampshire first and always has, while Scott Brown is for Scott Brown and the special interests who line his pockets and fund his campaigns.”

Colin Reed, a spokesman for Brown, said "polls will go up and polls will go down, but Scott Brown is going to continue working hard, holding town hall meetings, taking his message directly to the people and earning every vote."

Republicans consider New Hampshire a potential pick-up seat in their quest to retake control of the Senate. The GOP needs a net gain of six seats to win the majority.

Brown joins two other Republicans who are running for their party's Senate nomination in New Hampshire: former U.S. Sen. Bob Smith and former state Sen. Jim Rubens. The poll shows Shaheen has a double-digit lead over Smith and Rubens.

The winner of the September 9 primary will face off against Shaheen, who also served for six years as the state's governor.

For the poll, the University of New Hampshire Survey Center interviewed 827 adults in the state by telephone from August 7 through August 17. The poll's sampling error is plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.

CNN's Ashley Killough, Paul Steinhauser and Sean Kennedy contributed to this report.


Filed under: Jeanne Shaheen • New Hampshire • Polls • Scott Brown • Senate
soundoff (55 Responses)
  1. just asking

    Rudy NYC
    just asking
    “This race will come down to who makes a difference for people in New Hampshire and Jeanne Shaheen's record is clear,” Vlacich said. “She puts New Hampshire first and always has,
    -–
    well she sure didn't put the interests of the people of nh first when she voted for obamacare and the destruction of their healthcare system. she voted as she was told how to vote by obama and harry reid. i wonder if there are tapes of her out there repeating all the obamacare lies? if there are, i'm sure they will be seen quite a bit in the next few months. don't re-elect proven liars people of nh!
    ==========================================================
    Do you really want to get into a sparring match over "lies" that have been told about Obamacare? Republicans have a big lead in that category beginning with the biggest whopper of the all, death panels. How can a 24-member panel of auditors can review millions of life-or-death patient cases per day? In fact, the panel has no power. It's only purpose is to make evaluations of the law's effectiveness based upon case reviews, and make non-binding recommendations to Congress.
    --–

    oh absolutely we do rudy! all of obama's and the democrat's lies directly affected everybody's healthcare when they were told a thousand times it would not. obamacare was passed based on a boatload of lies. it never would have passed had the truth been told. obamacare is the biggest fraud ever perpetrated on the american people and it was a fraud entirely committed by obama and democrats. to this day a majority of the american citizens want it gone. obama and the democrats have yet to reap the rewards of all their lies and fraud. that will come this november. the american people have a long memory especially when the lies comes from the liar of the year obama.

    btw, why isn't shaheen out there telling people she voted for obamacare and would do it all again? where is obama to campaign for her on her obamacare vote? because both he and obamacare are toxic to democrats and you continue to try and lie and bury it.

    August 22, 2014 09:09 am at 9:09 am |
  2. Wake Up People! Many Rivers to cross.....

    Victoria says:
    August 21, 2014 09:17 pm at 9:17 pm
    Good. Brown wants it more than Shaheen and he’s gonna win.

    Of course he wants it more. He has absolutely no idea of what a real job is. He lost in his own state. That's saying a lot. But like you said he wants it. What other job can you have where you work part part time, you don't have to do much except say negative things about the sitting POTUS, and vacation for half the year while getting paid big bucks along with great benefits. Hell I want to be a Congressperson. Being a republican means you can do anything criminal and they'll support you to the death. Unlike the cowardly dems that run people out on a rail over a selfie. And the icing on the cake is he has the look. You know you can tell his "continental origin".

    August 22, 2014 09:15 am at 9:15 am |
  3. smith

    @Rudy-Speaking of using a tragedy to further advance a political agenda. Remember the left using Sandy Hook to push their gun control agenda? They both do it, Bucky.

    August 22, 2014 09:16 am at 9:16 am |
  4. Lynda/Minnesota

    The WMUR Granite State Poll indicates Shaheen leads Brown 46% to 44%, with 9% of likely voters undecided. Because the margin is within the survey's sampling error, the candidates are statistically tied.

    Well, then, why even hold the Republican primary in Sept? A bit silly for the two candidates running against him to waste their time and effort if it's already a done deal for Brown before voting even begins.

    August 22, 2014 09:22 am at 9:22 am |
  5. Gunderson

    Whazzzat?,
    The situation in the country is what the people are looking at. Jobs is the number one issue. The Slicksters have moved the Obama Care Mandates past the elections in November hoping you won't notice. But the Liars and Movers are still pushing it post haste. Throwing jobs to the Wolves is the result. So if you are not as dumbas[r]ocks you will throw out the democrats, that is if you want a job.

    August 22, 2014 09:35 am at 9:35 am |
  6. Rudy NYC

    btw, why isn't shaheen out there telling people she voted for obamacare and would do it all again? where is obama to campaign for her on her obamacare vote? because both he and obamacare are toxic to democrats and you continue to try and lie and bury it.
    --------------------------------------–
    If Obamacare is so toxic to Democrats, then why is it that so few Republicans running for election talk about it? Compared to times past, Republicans have been pretty much tight lipped on the subject: i.e.: Mitch McConnell.

    August 22, 2014 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  7. denny

    Scott Brown has common sense and business sense. It's what we desperately need in Congress and Oval Office. Wise up people. Get rid of the hacks who are only interested in their political longevity.

    August 22, 2014 09:57 am at 9:57 am |
  8. Lynda/Minnesota

    "What's the GOP solution?"

    Pearl clutching and hand wringing.

    August 22, 2014 09:58 am at 9:58 am |
  9. Rudy NYC

    smith

    @Rudy-Speaking of using a tragedy to further advance a political agenda. Remember the left using Sandy Hook to push their gun control agenda? They both do it, Bucky.
    ----------------------------
    You might have a point. Both do it. The right used Sandy Hook to promote gun sales. "....good guy with a gun."

    August 22, 2014 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  10. Lynda/Minnesota

    denny
    Scott Brown has common sense and business sense. It's what we desperately need in Congress and Oval Office. Wise up people. Get rid of the hacks who are only interested in their political longevity.
    ----------

    Nah. Scott Brown is a corporate stooge who thinks only of himself and what he can get for himself. The rest of us are pawns in his game of self adulation and grandstand promotion of himself.

    August 22, 2014 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  11. riff raff

    Volumes of achievements, I nearly wet myself, robbing workers of their retirement funds to further enrich himself, how exactly does that translate into good governance? They bought companies up, and either bankrupt them, and took the money and ran, of shipped jobs overseas, your remark only reinterates your complete ignorance, again.

    August 22, 2014 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  12. rs

    denny -says:

    Scott Brown has common sense and business sense. It's what we desperately need in Congress and Oval Office. Wise up people. Get rid of the hacks who are only interested in their political longevity.
    _________________________
    Sure he does. He moved from one state where his approval was low and he had no chance of being elected to one where people don't know him.

    August 22, 2014 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  13. salty dog

    @IMBS, the truth stings a little huh, well gee, I don't know, you say something truthful, and I'll let you know how it feels.

    August 22, 2014 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  14. J Anthony

    @it must be/just assing: name one "far-left" policy that's been implemented since 2009. You can't, because there are none, except in your small mind. You do nothing but contribute confusion and fear, based on nothing substantial. Who's paying you?

    August 22, 2014 10:13 am at 10:13 am |
  15. rs

    just asking

    “This race will come down to who makes a difference for people in New Hampshire and Jeanne Shaheen's record is clear,” Vlacich said. “She puts New Hampshire first and always has,
    -–

    well she sure didn't put the interests of the people of nh first when she voted for obamacare and the destruction of their healthcare system. she voted as she was told how to vote by obama and harry reid. i wonder if there are tapes of her out there repeating all the obamacare lies? if there are, i'm sure they will be seen quite a bit in the next few months. don't re-elect proven liars people of nh!
    ________________________________
    Ahhh, yes, Right-wing insanity at work. Getting 11 million Americans (our fellow citizens) access to affordable healthcare (using a Republican model) is BAAAAD!
    When the GOPpers get off their duffs and do something, sonny (like write a real live health care bill that can accomplish as much as the ACA does), you can talk. Until then, you simply demonstrate the Right's hatred for the vast majority of Americans. Pretty pathetic.

    August 22, 2014 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  16. salty dog

    rs, hit it on the head there, he was passed on, so, let's move to another state, it reminds me of when I lived in a sketchy neighborhood, there was this kid who would play in one neighborhood until no parents would let their kids play with him anymore, a week or two, then he'd move onto the next one.

    August 22, 2014 10:21 am at 10:21 am |
  17. just asking

    Rudy NYC

    btw, why isn't shaheen out there telling people she voted for obamacare and would do it all again? where is obama to campaign for her on her obamacare vote? because both he and obamacare are toxic to democrats and you continue to try and lie and bury it.
    ------------––
    If Obamacare is so toxic to Democrats, then why is it that so few Republicans running for election talk about it? Compared to times past, Republicans have been pretty much tight lipped on the subject: i.e.: Mitch McConnell.
    --

    thanks to the liar in chief, that battle has already been won for the republicans which is what the polls show. it is supposedly a big accomplishment of shaheen and the democrats and they should be out there and taking credit for their destruction. why aren't they and where is the liar in chief? why isn't he out there telling the american people what they have to look forward to next year when all the employer mandates kick in?

    August 22, 2014 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  18. Klutch Cargo

    Aw, Yes,
    Government Solutions. Hey, now we are on easy street! Finally, after years and years of having setbacks we have now achieved Universal Health Care! Wonderbar! Huh, what's that? Companies laying off workers? Corporations moving Off shore? Oh, sorry, it's just Right Wing Insanity. Now what Coach? We killed the Goose that Laid the Golden Egg. Any more bright ideas? I think we are in the soup now.

    August 22, 2014 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  19. cary

    Obama may have just helped Shaheen lose in November by encouraging the illegals to pour over the border. Brown may be a rino but voting with the repubs 50% of time would still be better than shaheen always voting with the dems. I will vote for Brown.

    August 22, 2014 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  20. smith

    @Rudy-I gotta agree with you on that point.

    August 22, 2014 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  21. salty dog

    Killed the goose that laid the golden egg, I couldn't have made you sound more ignorant if I tried. Oh yes the Koch brothers are do broke they were barely able go afford our government, they've already bought Canada's, wonder why Canada has banned books regarding climate change, burned them, and outlawed them, where have we seen this before. Hope your happy,and really do trust the Koch's, cause if the gop gets into power, look out. No more social security, Medicaid, and your taxes will obviously have to go up substantially,to cover the tax breaks the rich need to create jobs, enjoy!

    August 22, 2014 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  22. riff raff

    Isn't the Republicans economic plan considered trickle down economics? And haven't they agreed that only works for the wealthy? Then why do so many still try to convince you its the only way your life will get better? And aren't we currently in the worst state of inequality ever in our history? Then why do so many believe the rich are being treated unfairly, the same people who complain how bad things are? They're bad because of the staggering inequality, yet were lead to believe the answer is to pass policies that make it worse, and somehow that will make it better. The answer to too much salt in a sauce, is to add more salt, really, that makes sense to you, honestly?

    August 22, 2014 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  23. Say WHAT???

    salty dog
    Killed the goose that laid the golden egg, I couldn't have made you sound more ignorant if I tried. Oh yes the Koch brothers are do broke they were barely able go afford our government, they've already bought Canada's, wonder why Canada has banned books regarding climate change, burned them, and outlawed them, where have we seen this before. Hope your happy,and really do trust the Koch's, cause if the gop gets into power, look out. No more social security, Medicaid, and your taxes will obviously have to go up substantially,to cover the tax breaks the rich need to create jobs, enjoy!
    ---

    You post this nonsensical rant and accuse others of being ignorant? Too Funny...priceless.

    August 22, 2014 11:04 am at 11:04 am |
  24. riff raff

    Cary, right, because up til then she had your vote, right no? Well then, what difference does it make?

    August 22, 2014 11:07 am at 11:07 am |
  25. Klutch Cargo

    Well, Sorry!,
    Salt Mines just ahead! Maybe owned by Koch Brothers, don't know for sure. Golly, Beggers still can't be choosers! But still they try, until they get the message! When Government Screw Big Business, Big Business Screw little Business. Guess who Little Business Screw? Um, sorry you missed Aesop's Fables. Most learn the hard way. Experience is such a tough teacher. Keep running your head into Brick Walls. Brick walls love it.

    August 22, 2014 11:11 am at 11:11 am |
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