N.H. Poll: Scott Brown, Jeanne Shaheen statistically tied
August 21st, 2014
06:50 PM ET
2 months ago

N.H. Poll: Scott Brown, Jeanne Shaheen statistically tied

(CNN) - Republican Scott Brown appears to be closing the gap in his U.S. Senate race against Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen in New Hampshire, according to a new survey released Thursday.

The WMUR Granite State Poll indicates Shaheen leads Brown 46% to 44%, with 9% of likely voters undecided. Because the margin is within the survey's sampling error, the candidates are statistically tied.

The two-point gap marks the slimmest margin between them to date. Since Brown, a former U.S. senator from Massachusetts, entered the race in April, he had trailed Shaheen by about 8-12 percentage points.

Shaheen's numbers may be affected by national politics, according to a release about the poll. President Barack Obama has a 37% approval rating among likely voters. While Shaheen holds more than 90% support among that group, Brown holds 71% support among the 59% who disapprove of the President.

Mike Vlacich, Shaheen’s campaign manager, said in a statement about the poll that the senator’s campaign has “been ready for a competitive race since Day One.”

“This race will come down to who makes a difference for people in New Hampshire and Jeanne Shaheen's record is clear,” Vlacich said. “She puts New Hampshire first and always has, while Scott Brown is for Scott Brown and the special interests who line his pockets and fund his campaigns.”

Colin Reed, a spokesman for Brown, said "polls will go up and polls will go down, but Scott Brown is going to continue working hard, holding town hall meetings, taking his message directly to the people and earning every vote."

Republicans consider New Hampshire a potential pick-up seat in their quest to retake control of the Senate. The GOP needs a net gain of six seats to win the majority.

Brown joins two other Republicans who are running for their party's Senate nomination in New Hampshire: former U.S. Sen. Bob Smith and former state Sen. Jim Rubens. The poll shows Shaheen has a double-digit lead over Smith and Rubens.

The winner of the September 9 primary will face off against Shaheen, who also served for six years as the state's governor.

For the poll, the University of New Hampshire Survey Center interviewed 827 adults in the state by telephone from August 7 through August 17. The poll's sampling error is plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.

CNN's Ashley Killough, Paul Steinhauser and Sean Kennedy contributed to this report.


Filed under: Jeanne Shaheen • New Hampshire • Polls • Scott Brown • Senate
soundoff (55 Responses)
  1. Lynda/Minnesota

    "The answer to too much salt in a sauce, is to add more salt, really, that makes sense to you, honestly?"

    Oh, absolutely. Too much salt makes one thirsty. If we are to believe polling data, making one thirsty IS the goal. The more thirsty we become, the more likely the GOP will win.

    They hold the water bottle; dabbling a little here - a little there; and the believers come out from under their rocks, pleading for more.

    Guess the thirsty still haven't figured out who put them under the rocks to begin with. Too busy pleading, I suspect.

    August 22, 2014 11:15 am at 11:15 am |
  2. tom l

    Rudy NYC

    NYNJCT

    Dear Residents in N.H, you are smart enough to figure out that President Obama (D) and Democratic U.S. Senate want to save illegal immigrants of 11,000,000 plus 300,000 invaders who's broken our border. However Obama has failed to save one American great Journalist. American can't trust the President and the Democratic U.S. Senate any more.
    ---------–
    Is the right wing that amoral that they would turn that tragedy into a political football? Yup, you betcha.

    ========

    Someone on the ticker is now a fundraiser? I never knew. Plus, once again, apparently it's not amoral to you when dems were fundraising off of Sandy Hook. That was perfectly fine to you.

    August 22, 2014 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  3. Rudy NYC

    smith

    @Rudy-I gotta agree with you on that point.
    ------------------------
    Good, Here's some more food for thought.

    Both sides did try to push a political agenda following Sandy Hook. What was it, something like 90% of people polled [read bi-partisan support, both sides doing it] wanted to enact common sense gun control that would keep deadly weapons out of the hands of the mentally ill. Unfortunately, Republican politicians would have no parts of it.

    August 22, 2014 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  4. Marcus (from...?)

    Rudy NYC @ smith @Rudy-Speaking of using a tragedy to further advance a political agenda. Remember the left using Sandy Hook to push their gun control agenda? They both do it, Bucky.
    ----------
    You might have a point. Both do it. The right used Sandy Hook to promote gun sales. "....good guy with a gun."
    ----------------------------------------------
    I haven't heard that they stopped using this inivitation to foolishness, even after that good guy (no doubts about it) tried to stop the lunatic who had just shot two cops and found out that he hadn't do that alone...

    August 22, 2014 11:22 am at 11:22 am |
  5. Tom l

    Rudy,
    I noticed that you haven't commented on my post on the first page of comments. Is love to get your response and thoughts.

    August 22, 2014 11:33 am at 11:33 am |
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