November 15, 2007
Posted: November 15th, 2007 08:41 AM ET

The candidates will square off in the Cox Pavilion Thursday night.

LAS VEGAS, Nevada (CNN) – Campaign staffers, pols, and political junkies are all trying to game out the importance of the Democratic caucuses here in Nevada.

If one candidate (read Hillary Clinton) scoops up wins in Iowa and New Hampshire, will Nevada simply rubberstamp her march to victory? Or if Iowa and New Hampshire spit out different winners could the 11 days (sorry Michigan) between the presumed first-in-the-nation primary and the Silver State caucuses determine who wins the nomination before the race turns back East to South Carolina?

"If one of the candidates needs to get momentum or build momentum they are going to spend a lot of time here," says veteran Nevada political columnist and commentator Jon Ralston.

While it may not be the same attention they shower on Iowa, the Democratic candidates certainly have given Nevada some lovin' thus far. The CNN/Las Vegas Democratic Party Debate Thursday will mark New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson’s 19th day in the state. Former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards boasts three offices and will complete his 17th trip, 19th day, to Nevada by the end of this weekend. Illinois Sen. Barack Obama’s debate appearance will bring his trip tally to nine and New York Sen. Hillary Clinton and Delaware Joe Biden have each hit the state seven times. Obama has the most campaign offices, roughly 50 field organizers, and his campaign has conducted over 100 mock caucuses. Camp Clinton boasts three visits by the senator’s top surrogate and husband, former President Bill Clinton, and the endorsement of Rory Reid, son of Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid.

"I think Barack Obama has a real good organization here," says Ralston. "I think he has a chance to do well here. I think Bill Richardson, who started early on has a chance. Clinton has the endorsement of most of the major politicians and she looks inevitable here, but again it’s a caucus. It’s unpredictable. I think anybody who makes predictions is just whistling in the dark, because they’ve never done it before. They have absolutely no idea what turnout is going to be, and who is going to turn out, and it’s very difficult to do polling under those circumstances. So I think it’s a crap shoot."

No pun intended.

– CNN Senior Political Producer Sasha Johnson

Filed under: Democratic primary • Nevada caucuses


November 14, 2007
Posted: November 14th, 2007 08:01 AM ET

LAS VEGAS, Nevada (CNN) – The key to winning the Nevada Democratic caucuses could hinge on the endorsement of a powerful Silver State union that represents 60,000 people who work in the state’s casinos.

Culinary Workers Union Local 226 is a must stop for the Democratic candidates whenever they come to town, and the presidential hopefuls are aggressively courting this influential organization.

“To win the Nevada caucuses, you have to get the union’s support,” said Jon Ralston, a non-partisan analyst considered the expert on Nevada politics.

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Filed under: Culinary Workers Union Local 226 • Las Vegas • Nevada caucuses


Posted: November 14th, 2007 07:50 AM ET

WASHINGTON (CNN) - Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nevada, and Sen. Ken Salazar, D-Colorado, predicted Tuesday that Western states will play a critical role in electing the next president.

"The road to the White House will lead directly through the West and directly through Nevada and Colorado," Salazar said in a conference call Tuesday with reporters.

Reid, who played an important role in helping his state earn the right to hold an early presidential nominating contest, credited the move for helping to bring attention to issues that affect Western Democrats, and declared Nevada's caucuses will be "the first test of real diversity."

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Filed under: Harry Reid • Nevada caucuses



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