October 25th, 2008
02:10 PM ET
5 years ago

Polls: Obama has five-point advantage in Ohio

Sen. McCain and Gov. Palin campaigned recently in Ohio.
Sen. McCain and Gov. Palin campaigned recently in Ohio.

LIMA, Ohio (CNN) - It all came down to Ohio in the last presidential election, and a new average of the latest polls in this crucial battleground state indicates that the state is once again up for grabs.

George W. Bush's narrow victory in Ohio four years ago put the President over the top in his bid for re-election. This time around, Ohio could be just as crucial to the outcome of the race for the White House.

A CNN poll of polls compiled Saturday afternoon suggests that Barack Obama has a five-point lead in Ohio, 49 percent to 44 percent, with 7 percent of voters undecided in their choice for president.

This new edition of CNN's Ohio poll of polls consists of five surveys, an Ohio Newspaper poll conducted October 18-22, a Quinnipiac survey taken October 16-21, a CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted October 19-21, a Suffolk University survey taken October 16-19, and an NBC/Mason Dixon poll conducted October 16-17.

Senator Barack Obama, D-Illinois, was up by 7 points over Senator John McCain, R-Arizona, in the previous CNN Ohio poll of olls, which was compiled on October 23.

Both candidates, their running mates, and their surrogates, are spending a lot of time campaigning in Ohio. And Ohio voters are getting inundated with campaign television commercials. The McCain and Obama campaigns have spent a combined estimated $29 million in advertising in Ohio this election cycle.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • CNN Poll of polls • John McCain • Ohio
October 24th, 2008
09:40 AM ET
5 years ago

Poll Update: Obama up by 9

Obama is up 9 points over McCain.
Obama is up 9 points over McCain.

(CNN) - Barack Obama appears to be widening his lead over John McCain as Election Day inches closer.

According to the latest CNN poll of polls, the Illinois senator now holds a 9-point advantage over McCain nationwide, 51 percent to 42 percent.

That's an increase of two points over the last two days for Obama and a reflection of several national polls that suggest the race seems to be headed in the wrong way for the Arizona senator with only a week and a half remaining.

Included in the latest CNN poll of polls are new surveys from ABC/Washington Post (October 19-22), CBS/NYT (October 19-22), Fox/Opinion Dynamics (October 20-21), Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby (October 20-22), Gallup (October 20-22) and Diageo/Hotline (October 20-22).

October 23rd, 2008
04:30 PM ET
5 years ago

State polls: Obama ahead in PA, VA, OH, NV and FL

Sen. McCain campaigned in Florida Thursday where Sen. Obama has a three-point advantage, according to CNN's latest poll of polls for the state.
Sen. McCain campaigned in Florida Thursday where Sen. Obama has a three-point advantage, according to CNN's latest poll of polls for the state.

(CNN) – There is little good news for Sen. John McCain in the half dozen CNN state polls of polls released Thursday.

In five of the six states – Pennsylvania, Virginia, Ohio, Nevada, and Florida – Obama has an advantage over McCain. In West Virginia, McCain is ahead but just by two points.

In the six states, Obama’s lead is greatest in Pennsylvania where he is ahead of McCain by ten points – 51 percent to 41 percent with eight percent of likely voters in the state unsure about their choice for president. In CNN’s previous Pennsylvania poll of polls released October 16, Obama had a lead of 13 points – 53 percent to 40 percent.

In Virginia, Obama is ahead by eight points in CNN’s latest poll of polls. Fifty-one percent of likely voters in Virginia support Obama and 43 percent support McCain. Six percent of the state’s voters are unsure. In CNN’s previous Virginia poll of polls released October 6, Obama’s advantage was four points – 49 percent versus 45 percent.

Obama leads in Ohio by 7 points in CNN’s latest poll of polls for the state. The Democratic nominee has the support of 50 percent of likely voters in the battleground state while 43 percent back McCain and seven percent are unsure. CNN’s October 20 Ohio poll of polls showed Obama ahead of McCain by three points – 48 percent compared to 45 percent.

In Nevada, Obama is ahead by four points. Forty-five percent of likely voters in the state support McCain while 49 percent support Obama. Six percent of likely voters in Nevada are unsure about their choice for president. In CNN’s previous Nevada poll of polls released October 13, Obama was also ahead by four points – 49 percent versus 45 percent.

In CNN’s Florida poll of polls, Obama has an advantage of three points. Obama has support from 48 percent of Florida’s likely voters compared to 45 percent support for McCain. Seven percent of the state’s likely voters are unsure about their choice for president. In CNN’s previous Florida poll of polls released October 18, Obama also lead by three points and both men had the same levels of support.

CNN’s first West Virginia poll of polls shows a two-point advantage for McCain. The Republican nominee has the support of 47 percent of likely voters in the state and 45 percent support Obama with 8 percent unsure about their choice for president

FULL POST

October 22nd, 2008
02:00 PM ET
5 years ago

CNN Poll of Polls: Obama ahead by seven points

Sen. Obama leads Sen. McCain in CNN's lates national general election poll of polls.
Sen. Obama leads Sen. McCain in CNN's lates national general election poll of polls.

(CNN) – Sen. Barack Obama is maintaining his lead over Sen. John McCain, according to CNN’s latest national poll of polls.

In Wednesday’s poll of polls, Obama’s support with likely voters stands at 50 percent and McCain’s at 43 percent. Seven percent of those surveyed are unsure about their choice for president.

The latest poll of polls represents a slight tightening compared to the previous national poll of polls when Obama stood at 51 percent and McCain at 42 percent. Obama’s nine-point lead in the previous poll of polls was Obama’s widest advantage so far over McCain.

Wednesday’s CNN national poll of polls is comprised of the following eleven national general election surveys: American Research Group (October 18-20), Franklin & Marshall (October 13-19), IPSOS-McClatchy (October 16-20), Fox/Opinion Dynamics (October 20-21), AP/GfK (October 16-20), Pew (October 16-19), CNN/ORC (October 17-19), ABC/Washington Post (October 16-19), Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby (October 19-21), Gallup (October 19-21) and Diageo/Hotline (October 19-21).

CNN’s poll of polls does not have a sampling error.

October 21st, 2008
04:07 PM ET
5 years ago

CNN Poll of Polls: Obama leads by nine points

The two presidential rivals shook hands after their last debate as their wives looked on.
The two presidential rivals shook hands after their last debate as their wives looked on.

(CNN) - Sen. Barack Obama has his largest lead so far over rival Sen. John McCain, according to CNN’s latest national poll of polls.

Obama leads McCain by nine points in the poll of polls released Tuesday – 51 percent to 42 percent. Seven percent of those surveyed are unsure about their choice for president.

In Monday’s CNN’s poll of polls, Obama’s lead over McCain was seven points – 51 percent to 44 percent.

“Today’s Poll of Polls average reflects the fact that Obama has moved into a commanding position in the presidential race,” said CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “Obama is either tied or ahead in all of the battleground states. The Democrats now have what may be a decisive edge in terms of voter enthusiasm and financial resources. The financial meltdown has played to Obama’s advantage. By most measurements, McCain was not able to use the debates to gain ground on Obama. And most of the campaign is now being waged in previously red states. While anything can happen in the remaining two weeks, it’s hard not to conclude that McCain’s back is against the wall.”

Tuesday’s CNN poll of polls is composed of the following six national general election surveys of likely voters: Pew (October 16-19), CNN/ORC (October 17-19), ABC/Washington Post (October 16-19), Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby (October 18-20), Gallup (October 18-20) and Diageo/Hotline (October 18-20). The poll of polls does not have a sampling error.

October 8th, 2008
04:45 PM ET
6 years ago

CNN Polls of Polls: Obama ahead in NV, OH, PA, FL and nationally

Sen. Obama is ahead in four states and nationally in Wednesday's CNN polls of polls.
Sen. Obama is ahead in four states and nationally in Wednesday's CNN polls of polls.

(CNN) – CNN’s latest polls of polls show Barack Obama leading John McCain in Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida - but slipping slightly nationally and in Florida, losing one point in each.

In CNN’s first Nevada poll of polls, Obama leads McCain by 3 percentage points. The Illinois senator has the support of 49 percent of likely voters in Nevada, while 46 percent support the Arizona senator. Five percent of likely voters in Nevada are unsure about their choice for president.

In CNN’s latest Ohio poll of polls, Obama has increased his advantage over McCain. In Ohio, Obama is now ahead of McCain by five percentage points with support from 50 percent of likely voters in the state compared to support from 45 percent for McCain. Five percent of likely voters in the state are unsure about who they prefer. In CNN’s September 21 Ohio poll of polls, Obama was ahead of McCain by a single point – 47 percent versus 46 percent.

In Pennsylvania, Obama has also increased his advantage. CNN’s October 3 Pennsylvania poll of polls showed Obama ahead by 10 percentage points – 51 percent versus 41 percent. In the new Pennsylvania poll of polls released Tuesday, Obama is ahead by 12 points. The Democratic nominee has the support of 52 percent of likely voters in Pennsylvania, while the Republican nominee has the support of 40 percent of likely voters. In Pennsylvania. Eight percent of likely voters are unsure about their choice for president.

Nationally, Obama leads McCain by four points in CNN’s latest national poll of polls. Forty-eight percent of voters support Obama while 44 percent support McCain; 8 percent of voters aren’t sure about who they support. In CNN’s October 7 national poll of polls, Obama was ahead by 5 percentage points – 49 percent for Obama and 44 percent for McCain.

Obama has also lost a point in CNN's latest Florida poll of polls. Forty-nine percent of likely voters in Florida support Obama, 45 percent support McCain, and 6 percent are unsure about who they support for president. In CNN's October 2 Florida poll of polls Obama was ahead of McCain by five points - 49 percent to Obama's 44 percent.

FULL POST


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • CNN Poll of polls • Florida • John McCain • Nevada • Ohio • Pennsylvania
October 7th, 2008
04:10 PM ET
6 years ago

Double-digit Obama edge in Minnesota

Sen. McCain is trailing in Minnesota despite the fact that the Republican convention was held in St. Paul.
Sen. McCain is trailing in Minnesota despite the fact that the Republican convention was held in St. Paul.

(CNN) – With less than a month to go until Election Day, CNN’s latest Minnesota poll of polls shows a major advantage for Sen. Barack Obama.

Obama now leads Sen. John McCain by 14 percentage points – with support from 54 percent of likely voters in the state, compared to 40 percent for McCain. Six percent of likely Minnesota voters are unsure about their choice for president. In CNN’s previous Minnesota poll of polls, Obama was ahead of McCain by a single point – 47 percent to 46 percent.

“The meltdown on Wall Street has significantly strengthened Obama’s hand in Minnesota,” noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “The crisis has reinforced the state’s traditional embrace of economic populism, which almost always benefits the Democrats. At the same time, any local bounce McCain might have received from holding his party’s convention in St. Paul has now worn off. It’s worth remembering that no Republican candidate has carried Minnesota since Richard Nixon in 1972; it’s tough to imagine any GOP candidate seriously contesting the state when he’s trailing nationally by five or six points.”

Tuesday’s CNN Minnesota poll of polls is made up of the following three surveys: Minnesota Public Radio/Humphrey Institute (October 3-5), Star Tribune (September 30-October 2) and CNN/Time/ORC (September 28-30).

The poll of polls does not have a sampling error.

Minnesota is the latest in a number of states that have seen growing advantages for Obama since the financial crisis began.

October 6th, 2008
01:45 PM ET
6 years ago

Obama now up by four points in Virginia

Sen. Obama campaigned in Newport News, Virginia over the weekend.
Sen. Obama campaigned in Newport News, Virginia over the weekend.

(CNN) – Less than a month before Election Day, Barack Obama appears to hold a growing advantage over John McCain in the traditionally red state of Virginia, according to a new CNN Virginia poll of polls released Monday.

Obama has the support of 49 percent of likely voters in the state while McCain has the support of 45 percent. Six percent remain unsure about their choice for president.

In CNN’s previous Virginia poll of polls, released on October 2, Obama was ahead of McCain by a single point – 48 percent to 47 percent.

“Virginia hasn’t voted for a Democratic presidential nominee in 44 years,” noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “But the combination of a struggling economy and the state’s changing demographics might be enough to turn the tide this time. If Obama wins the D.C. suburbs in Northern Virginia by a landslide while benefiting from a large turnout from African-Americans and younger voters statewide, the Democrats might carry Virginia’s 13 electoral votes. That would be a serious blow to McCain.”

Monday’s CNN Virginia poll of polls is comprised of the following four surveys: Suffolk (October 3-5), CNN/Time/ORC (September 28-30), Mason-Dixon (September 29-October 1), and ARG (September 27-29). The poll of polls does not have a sampling error.

A new poll out Monday shows Obama ahead in the battleground state of New Mexico. CNN’s latest polls of polls in show Obama leading McCain in New Hampshire and Pennsylvania, and virtually tied in typically red Colorado.

October 5th, 2008
03:55 PM ET
6 years ago

A dead heat in Colorado

Sen. McCain held a town hall in Denver earlier this week.
Sen. McCain held a town hall in Denver earlier this week.

(CNN) - Call it the Rocky Mountain battle for the White House.

A new CNN Poll of Polls in Colorado suggests the battle for the state's 9 electoral votes is a dead heat. In the survey, compiled Sunday, 47 percent of likely voters in Colorado back Barack Obama for president, with 46 percent supporting John McCain. Seven percent of those questioned are undecided.

The CNN Poll of Polls is a compilation of the latest surveys in the state. The polls in this latest average are a Mason-Dixon survey conducted September 29-October 1, a CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll taken September 21-23, and an American Research Group survey conducted September 23-25.

Both campaigns are spending a lot of time and money campaigning in Colorado. McCain made a swing through the state on Thursday and Friday. Obama last campaigned in Colorado on September 29. The Democrats also held their party's national convention there in late August.

Colorado, New Mexico, and Nevada are three mountain west states that voted for George W. Bush in 2004 that the Democrats are hoping to turn from red to blue come Election Day.

October 3rd, 2008
02:00 PM ET
6 years ago

Obama gains in NH, maintains lead in PA

Sen. Obama campaigned in Pennsylvania Friday where he currently holds a 10-point lead over Sen. McCain, according to a new CNN Pennsylvania poll of polls.
Sen. Obama campaigned in Pennsylvania Friday where he currently holds a 10-point lead over Sen. McCain, according to a new CNN Pennsylvania poll of polls.

(CNN) – A day after the McCain campaign announced that it is shifting resources out of Michigan and into other battleground states, CNN’s latest polls of polls in New Hampshire and Pennsylvania suggest that Sen. John McCain may face an uphill battle in both states between now and Election Day.

Sen. Barack Obama is now ahead in New Hampshire by 6 percentage points. Obama has the support of 48 percent of likely voters in New Hampshire while McCain’s support stands at 42 percent and 10 percent are unsure about their choice for president.

In CNN’s previous New Hampshire poll of polls released on September 26, Obama was up by two points – 46 percent to McCain’s 44 percent.

During the Democratic primaries, Obama lost Pennsylvania to Sen. Hillary Clinton. In CNN’s latest poll of polls, however, Obama leads McCain by 10 percentage points with likely Pennsylvania voters – 51 percent versus 41 percent, with 8 percent unsure. In CNN’s previous Pennsylvania poll of polls released on October 1, Obama also led McCain by 10 points – 49 percent to 39 percent.

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