August 8th, 2007
12:00 PM ET
9 years ago

Poll: Clinton tops Giuliani in three battleground states

WASHINGTON (CNN) - New York Sen. Hillary Clinton is increasing her lead over her Democratic rivals and either beating or tied with the Republican frontrunner in Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania, according to a new Quinnipiac poll released Wednesday.

"Sen. Clinton is inching ahead," Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, said in a press release. "Not only does she lead by a nose in two of the most important swing states in the Electoral College, but she is turning around independent and Republican voters who previously viewed her negatively."

In Florida, a crucial swing state, Clinton leads Giuliani 46-44 percent. She tops Giuliani in Pennsylvania by 45-44 percent and is tied with the Republican leader in Ohio.

The poll also evaluated other hypothetical match-ups. In all three states, Giuliani topped Illinois Sen. Barack Obama. But both Clinton and Obama beat former Sen. Fred Thompson, who has done well in polls but has yet to announce his candidacy.

The florida poll involved interviews with 962 voters and had a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.2 percent. The poll of Florida Republicans had a margin of plus-or-minus 5.1 percent and the poll of Florida Democrats had a margin of error of plus-or-minus 5 percent.

The Ohio poll involved interviews with 974 voters and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent. The poll of Ohio Republicans had a margin of error of plus-or-minus 5.3 percent. The poll of Ohio Democrats has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 5.1 percent.

The Pennsylvania poll involved interviews with 1,011 voters and had a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4/7 percent. The poll of Pennsylvania Republicans has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4.7 percent. The poll of Pennsylvania Democrats had a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4.8 percent.

–CNN Associate Producer Lauren Kornreich

soundoff (42 Responses)
  1. Kojo

    This bias towards Clinton is begining to get on my nerves,

    August 8, 2007 05:22 pm at 5:22 pm |
  2. VM, San Diego, CA

    "Get used to it" and "like it or not," are deeply inspiring campaign slogans, but I think I'll stick with Obama, thanks. He seems to have a better grasp on the meaning of democracy, as naive and inconsequential as that may be to others. Why not have a look at the other polls that show Obama beating Giuliani et al in percentages well outside the margin of error? I wonder.

    August 8, 2007 05:35 pm at 5:35 pm |
  3. nv, Chicago IL

    RE: Barabas

    the "primaries" begin in just a few months.. ever heard of those? the current race is not yet for the general election, it is to get the party nomination..

    wow, what are they teaching schools..

    oh yeah.. that's right, nothing.. bush's "no child left behind" has ensured our children are taught to the lowest common denominator.

    please google Ron Paul and educate yourself.

    August 8, 2007 05:37 pm at 5:37 pm |
  4. Gerald Sentell, Chicago, IL

    This is a misleading posting that borders on misrepresentation of the facts. The numbers from the poll clearly show that Giuliani and Clinton are statistically tied in the three battleground states. It is irresponsible of Mr. Brown and Quinnipiac University to issue a release claiming that anyone is "inching ahead" based on these results. The numbers quoted here are all well within the margins of error, which any high school statistics student will tell you means that the results are inconclusive at best. CNN should pay attention to details before posting a headline claiming that any candidate is ahead or behind.

    August 8, 2007 05:42 pm at 5:42 pm |
  5. Lance, Monrovia, CA

    Yippie, Hillary Clinton is in the lead. I wonder who she's paying off?

    I hear Hillary Clinton is calling for an overhaul of infrastructure?

    Wow, that’s really a genius revelation, ain’t it? Way to be ahead of the pack and speak about an issue before it comes to a head, like in say… a major bridge collapse.

    Maybe you’re talking about an overhaul of government, or an overhaul of your own reactionary campaign?

    The more I think of Hillary Clinton, the more I think she’s the infrastructure in need of an overhaul.

    Something she said last night at the AFL-CIO debate really made me weary of her, well more so than I was already.

    She said, “If you need somebody to take on the right, I’m your girl.”

    Great soundbite superleftgirl. The only thing is, YOU HAVEN’T BEEN TAKING ON THE RIGHT. You haven’t been speaking up in Congress, you’ve been safely hiding, you blindly voted for a right sponsored disaster of a war and have never apologized for your mistake, you stand by and say nothing as others call for the impeachment of Bush and Cheney as they break law after law and craft bigger lie after lie to cover it.

    While the American Constitution goes the way of a bald eagle in a bathtub full of DDT you say nothing.

    Did I hear you speak up when Habius Corpus was reversed and when anyone’s rights where stripped away merely by the “accusation” of being a terrorist?

    When Nancy Pelosi was arguing that point, or that wiretapping was illegal where you there beside her on C-SPAN?

    The two “girls” in action?


    When it was revealed that Alberto Gonzalez had tried to coerce John Ashcroft into signing an illegal surviellence program on possibly his deathbed were you speaking out in outrage like John Webb or Harry Reid or even Joe Biden?

    Were you even half as outspoken as Arlen Spector for cryin out loud, when he said that he’s lost all crediblity in our Attorney General? Or when he found out that an attorney in his own office authorized provisions of the Patriot Act that give the President absolute sole authority, totally bypassing your own Congress, to decide arbitrarily who should be a U.S. Attorney?

    When it became known that the U.S. is outsourcing it’s interrogations of POWs and suspected terrorists to countries in the former Soviet Union, Syria and Cuba, were you there besides the dozens of other Senators that loudly proclaimed it’s unconstitutionality?

    Where you beside President Jimmy Carter a few months ago when he called George W. Bush the worst President in history?

    I think you were complaining somewhat about Bush, but it was not quite as loud, not quite as up front as Mr. Carter or the others, was it?

    Did you personally try and block the vote that 14 of your fellow democrats signed last Friday that made Bush’s illegal spying on Americans over the last six years legal, even despite the total unconstitutionality of the law?


    Somehow, I doubt you’re our girl, Mrs. Clinton. I think you’d be okay, maybe not as bad.

    Not bad ain’t enough. Shame on you for pandering to the audience and making yourself into a progressive.


    If any infrastructure needs a major overhaul, it’s that of the U.S. Government, starting with yourself.

    Obama ‘08. At least the man still has his integrity. It hasn’t had time to be as corrupted as yours has been ma’am.

    Thank God he’s running now, instead of waiting another 10 years to become as cautious as you have become.
    Posted By Lance, Monrovia, CA : August 8, 2007 5:51 pm

    August 8, 2007 05:54 pm at 5:54 pm |
  6. David, Salinas, CA

    Chip –

    You asked "Does she have any foreign policy experience?"

    Senator Clinton followed her eight years as first lady with eight years on the Senate Armed Services Committee. She has first-hand knowledge of every political, social and military situation, and has been for two decades one of the most famous political leaders on the planet.

    Rudy Giuliani is an ex-mayor.

    August 8, 2007 07:00 pm at 7:00 pm |
  7. Adam, Plano, TX

    i was speaking to my mom recently about hilary, and we both came to the consensus, we don't know a single person who supports hilary. i'm confused where all these polls are finding the people who support hilary, i've only heard from anyone i know that they'd never vote for her, or read on the internets that no one will vote for her.

    August 8, 2007 08:33 pm at 8:33 pm |
  8. Sue Harris, Elmira NY

    I don't know where you live upstate New Yorker, but I am one as well, and Hillary has done lots for the people in this area and they appreciate her. You should know what you are talking about before you make statements like that. AND she'll make a really good president. After Bush, you should be thankful there are Democrats in the world.

    August 8, 2007 08:50 pm at 8:50 pm |
  9. Sue Harris, Elmira, NY

    Yes, Hillary has introduced quite a lot of legislation. Quit commenting unless you know. If you really want to know, it's easy to find out. Look it up! No one should have to do it for you, so in order to make true statements if you are going to make comments, be prepared.

    August 8, 2007 08:55 pm at 8:55 pm |
  10. Jeff Spangler, Arlington, VA

    Let's sing it again:
    (With apologies to the late great Robert Palmer)

    How can it be permissible
    She'll compromise our principles, yeah yeah
    Her elective lust is mythical
    She is anything but typical

    Her money ain't so powerful, huh
    Her candidacy is voidable
    Her trend is so reversible
    The woman is so vincible

    She's unnatural law, she don't leave me no awe
    She deserves no applause, don't surrender because
    She used to look good to Bill, but now I find her

    Simply unelectable
    Simply unelectable

    Simply unelectable
    She's so shrill, there's no tellin' where her real voice went
    Simply unelectable
    She's not ours, there's another way to go

    She is so avoidable, don't get backed against the wall
    She gives me icy feelings like I never felt before
    She'll break all promises, she'll break most every law
    She used to look good to Bill, but now I find her

    Simply unelectable
    She's so shrill, there's no tellin' where her real voice went
    Simply unelectable,
    She's not ours, there's another way to go

    Her mind is most inscrutable
    The proof is irrefutable, Ooh-ooh-ooh-ooh-ooh-ooh-ooh
    She's totally dismissible, huh
    Our lives are incompatible

    She's a craze we can't endorse, she's a powerful farce
    You're not obliged to conform, 'cause there is another course
    She used to look good to Bill, but now I find her

    Simply unelectable
    Simply unelectable

    She's so shrill, there's no tellin' where her real voice went
    Simply unelectable, She's not ours, there's another way to go
    She's so shrill, there's no tellin' where her real voice went
    Simply unelectable, She's not ours, there's another way to go

    Simply unelectable

    * * * * *

    August 8, 2007 09:49 pm at 9:49 pm |
  11. David, Salinas, CA

    Chip says: “I keep seeing references to Hillary’s superior intelligence and experience etc. etc. on this thread. Where’s the beef? Name something SPECIFIC that she has done. A REAL, tangible action that has demonstrated these qualitites...”

    Okay, how about:

    Compensation to the families of 9/11 victims.

    Grants for small NY businesses damaged by the terrorist attacks.

    Health care for front line workers at Ground Zero.

    Tracking the health status of our troops.

    Expanded health benefits to the National Guard and Reserves.

    Protecting our food supply from bio-terrorism.

    Improving the quality and lowering the cost of prescription drugs.

    Middle-class tax cuts, marriage penalty relief and property tax relief.

    Reduction in the Alternative Minimum Tax.

    Broadband Internet access to rural communities.

    The Best Pharmaceuticals for Children Act.

    The Prevention First Act.

    The Renewal Communities Program.

    The Children's Health Insurance Program.

    Senator Clinton has authored, co-sponsored or supported all of these specific pieces of legislation.
    She is acknowledged on both sides of the aisle as one of the most capable legislators on the senate floor. She has also been a courageous and vocal critic of the most incompetent administration in American history

    What have the Republicans done for us, Chip?

    August 8, 2007 09:49 pm at 9:49 pm |
  12. Larry, West Covina, Ca

    Go HIllary!!!!!!!!!1

    August 9, 2007 02:03 am at 2:03 am |
  13. KD, Dallas, TX

    CNN has already decided the race and hoping that people who don't take the time to know what's really going on just pay attention to headlines and vote for Clinton. Geez, I have never seen a news channel so devoted to one candidate.

    August 9, 2007 08:11 am at 8:11 am |
  14. DMW, Roeland Park, KS

    I am very glad that we have so much time to really study and watch the candidates.

    It is early, but as time goes by, Hillary will move further and further ahead. All of those who are trying very hard to demonize her will not be successful because she has lots of time to counter their attacks.

    We are beginning to see that all of this hatred towards Hillary will not stand.

    Her intelligence, reasonableness, compassion, and being fresh air for us, rather than seeing just white males seriously vying for President this time is a joy for the majority of the people I know.

    It feels that someone other than a white male can be President for the first time in our country's history.

    I say continue on Hillary and I am proud that you are not silent in having your voice heard!

    August 9, 2007 08:50 am at 8:50 am |
  15. Barabas, Hot City, TX

    To NV in Chicago:

    The last time I checked, republicans don't run against democrats in "primaries". This report is about Clinton (A DEMOCRAT!) leading Giuliani (A REPUBLICAN!). In other words, it relates to the election for President, not the primary.

    I guess YOU were left behind by Bush's "no child left behind".

    August 9, 2007 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  16. Greg, Phoenix, AZ


    It's great that you are basing your vote on the fact that Hillary is not a male but most of us don't use that kind of "logic" in making choices of this magnitude. We prefer to use our sense and our sense tells us that this candidate would not be good for this country.

    August 9, 2007 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  17. Richard Orlando, FL

    Get real; no one of sound mind is going to trust Republicans again with national security. When they were in majority, they had a chance to shine, and they blew it in the most destructive, abhorrent way. Instead of providing the proper oversight in a time of war, they decided to rubber stamp every one of Bush's ill-conceived efforts in this Iraq debacle, escalating it into the mess we have today. If Republicans were to gain power again (which is the only thing they care about BTW), they would expand this war instead of looking for ways to bring it to a reasonable close. Another point to consider, national security also requires an equally strong diplomatic effort to work properly, and we see where modern-day Republicans are with that one–LOST. Just look at Tancredo’s nonsense as a prime example.

    August 9, 2007 02:18 pm at 2:18 pm |
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