August 9th, 2007
03:45 PM ET
16 years ago

Poll: Edwards, Clinton tied in Iowa

A new poll indicates Edwards and Clinton are tied in Iowa.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - Democratic presidential hopeful John Edward's one-time lead in Iowa has all but disappeared, according to a new poll out of the crucial early-voting state.

In a University of Iowa poll released Thursday, the former North Carolina senator now leads White House rival Hillary Clinton by a mere 1 percentage point, 26 percent to 25 percent, among likely Democratic caucus-goers. The slim difference is well within the poll’s 5 percentage point margin of error. Meanwhile, Illinois Sen. Barack Obama is close behind at 19 percent.

Both Edwards and Clinton have seen their support in the Hawkeye State drop since March, according to University of Iowa polling. Edwards is down 8 percent from a similar poll taken in March, and Clinton is down 4 percent. Obama has remained essentially in the same position.

The big mover is New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson, whose support has increased significantly in the same period, from less than 1 percent five months ago to 9 percent now. No other candidate in the poll received more than 2 percent.

When the sample is expanded beyond likely caucus-goers to all Democrats in Iowa, Clinton leads with 27 percent, followed by Obama and Edwards at 22 percent. Richardson pulls 9 percent.

The larger sample included 425 Democrats, while the likely caucus-goers sample included 319 Democrats.

- CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

Filed under: Iowa • Presidential Candidates
soundoff (17 Responses)
  1. Wallace, Philly, PA

    For God's Sake, let's just hope the people in Iowa start this off on the right track and make a BOLD statment to the country. Realistically, Obama is the only candidate that really cares about people in Iowa. He serves the people. Others just pretend. Vote Obama!

    August 9, 2007 04:21 pm at 4:21 pm |
  2. Providence, RI

    The people of Iowa are getting to know Edwards. They know about his hair cuts for $400.00, his spending in sauna for hours etc. They are also aware of his homphobia. He said that he is not comfortable around those people, which is a pure sign of homophobia. Gays and lesbians are human beings too, but not to Edwards! His wife, Liz, is a desperate woman for her husband to be President, and Iowans see it, hear it, smell it, and feel it. Edwards has his chances in 2004, and he lost it twice: Primary and General election... He is fake, phony, and you will notice when he speaks. His speech does not match his gestures....

    August 9, 2007 04:42 pm at 4:42 pm |
  3. Anonymous

    Gov. Bill Richardson is the current gov of New Mexico

    August 9, 2007 05:02 pm at 5:02 pm |
  4. cliff jones, Honolulu, Hi

    John Edwards is the only real people candidate in the race. Obama is the phoney. Clinton has only passing interest in helping middle class Americans.The people of Iowa know this and will vote accordingly. As soon as Gore officially drops from the race, Edwards numbers will rival Clintons.

    August 9, 2007 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  5. Philadelphia, PA

    "Iowans see it, hear it, smell it, and feel it."

    Uhh.... yeah. You ok up there, Providence, RI? Maybe time to take a nap or something.

    John Edwards is the candidate of change for the Democrats. He's got the most substantive policy proposals, from health care to energy. When people finally start thinking about what they want their president to do in office instead of thinking about where they want him or her to get their hair cut, Edwards will stand out as the choice for the kind of America we so desperately need in the next four years.

    August 9, 2007 05:24 pm at 5:24 pm |
  6. Len, Sparks, NV

    The real story is that in Iowa Obama has crossover appeal. 6.7 percent of Iowa Republicans support Obama, more than McCain and Thompson. That is incredible. Obama is the bipartisan candidate. Better take note of that. What does that mean when you look at the general election. Clinton doesn't have that appeal.

    August 9, 2007 06:03 pm at 6:03 pm |
  7. Greggory Heist, Baton Rouge, Louisiana

    THIS IS A LIE. CNN has an obvious biased towards Hillary Clinton. Take this into consideration: there are very VERY few early state polls that have Hillary Clinton in the lead in any January state besides Nevada and Florida. Most recent Iowa polls show Obama ahead @ 27 with Edwards and Clinton both at 26. In New Hampshire, Obama also has a slight lead and in South Carolina, the last major state poll taken showed him with a 7 point advantage. So isn't it simply interesting that in the entire time that these polls come out, only at CNN has Barack Obama consistently lost ground in these debates. I love CNN and I despise the right wing agenda at FOX, but this election is being tainted by major news networks picking their favorite candidate and sticking to them. However, most of you won't believe me, but mark my words, by the time Feb. 5 comes around, Barack Obama will have one the majority of the January primaries and be charging ahead to the nomination. I can guarantee that.

    August 9, 2007 06:35 pm at 6:35 pm |
  8. john randell grand rapids, mi.

    My Lord, Edwards can in no way be considered a leader of any capacity. What he says means nothing to those in power. His presidency would be the biggest waste of time we have ever seen. Nobody in Washington cares about what he thinks. We should take that as a clue to his abilities.

    August 9, 2007 08:06 pm at 8:06 pm |
  9. Julie, Atlanta, GA

    John Edwards is THE candidate...Don't misunderestimate him.


    August 9, 2007 09:03 pm at 9:03 pm |
  10. Matthew, Boston

    Just saying, they aren't tied. CNN should at least report the story correctly. Even if it is one point, it is still one point. They did it for Obama, they should do it for Edwards, no matter how much they think his boat has sailed.

    August 9, 2007 11:47 pm at 11:47 pm |
  11. Kyu Reisch, Radcliff, Kentucky

    Do you know why Republicans support Obama? They know they can beat Obama easily in General Election, but they can't beat Hillary, that's why they support Obama to win Primary. Think about it why they support Obama, they met Hillary many dacades ago than Obama, they know Hillary better than Obama, they recognized how smart she is, then what is the purpose of supporting Obama? Don't make another mistake, we don't need another administration like Bush-Cheney, it is more than enough.

    August 10, 2007 01:39 am at 1:39 am |
  12. Anonymous

    Dude, you're from Philly and you know what Iowans want?

    Are you a corn farmer?

    Don't put your two cents in on a state you know nothing of.

    If we wanted to be like Philly, we'd vote for Obama. Luckly, we want happiness and strong world leadership. The us may be ready for Obama, but the world isn't. Asians couldn't tolerate Obama.

    August 10, 2007 09:02 am at 9:02 am |
  13. Carl, Dallas, Texas

    These polls mean nothing. Only one that matters is elections day.

    Please stop printing garbage... it means nothing

    August 10, 2007 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  14. TC

    I just added this to a different CNN Post where they said

    “A Washington Post/ABC News poll of Iowa voters released on August 3 had Clinton, Obama and Edwards in a virtual tie in that key early caucus state. Obama led with 27 percent, while Clinton and Edwards both had 26 percent. ”

    CNN please find some Consistency

    August 10, 2007 11:41 am at 11:41 am |
  15. Darrius, AR

    This poll is not as good as it looks for Clinton.

    The question asked the respondent to "Just tell me the name". In other words the respondents had to choose among names that they already knew, they were not given any names to choose from, and only last names were recorded.

    Clinton has 100% name recognition. There are undoubtedly a small percentage of people who don't know any other names in the race. For the other people to poll so close to her actually means that she is trailing.

    August 10, 2007 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  16. d smith

    A not necessarily off-the-wall question. Why all the bad (obscured, mid-speech, gesturing widely) pictures of Edwards? This has always been one of the distructive ways the media types show thier displeasure with someone in public office. Whats-a-matta? he say somethig some producer there didn't like. That shouldn't be the way to express it.

    August 10, 2007 07:45 pm at 7:45 pm |
  17. Lori-Chicago, IL

    CNN is owned by the Guptas, who are big Clinton backers...hence the incorrect and inconsistent CNN poll results (conflicted between the truth and their owner's bias?).

    If, as one responder suggests, Republicans pick Obama only because they know they can beat him, then why does Obama win nearly every poll that pits him against a Republican candidate? And why does Hillary lose nearly every poll that pits her against a Republican candidate?

    Republicans support Obama because they like him and hate Clinton. Pure and simple. My dad is a staunch, staunch, staunch conservative/Republican, and he says that Obama makes more sense than McCain.

    Obama is the ONLY Dem who can beat a Republican in '08.

    August 15, 2007 09:25 pm at 9:25 pm |