August 14th, 2007
01:11 PM ET
15 years ago

Giuliani on top in two new national polls

Rudy is No. 1 in two new national polls.

WASHINGTON (CNN) – Two new national polls released Tuesday indicate former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani continues to lead the field of Republican White House hopefuls, but former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney has gained ground in both polls.

Giuliani leads Romney and former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson by at least ten points in both surveys.

A CBS News poll conducted August 8-12 has Giuliani on top with 38 percent, followed by Thompson at 18 percent and Romney with 13 percent. Thompson dropped seven percentage points since last month while Romney gained five percentage points in that same time. The number of Republicans who say they are satisfied with their candidate choices has increased 16 percent since June, a finding that may account for Romney's uptick in support and Thompson's decline.

"It's possible that Thompson's delay in officially announcing his candidacy has given Romney the opportunity to get a second look from Republicans, and perhaps some of them are starting to like what they see," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

The CBS News Poll surveyed 302 Republican primary voters and carries a margin of error of plus or minus six percentage points.

In a separate poll conducted August 9-12 by American Research Group (ARG), Romney gained six percentage points since July to tie Thompson for second place at 16 percent. Both trail Giuliani who tops the poll with 27 percent.

But The ARG poll shows Giuliani's support dropping slightly, while the CBS Poll shows the former New York City mayor gaining ground. The difference between the two polls may be due to Newt Gingrich, who was included in the ARG poll but not in the CBS survey. That difference makes it difficult to directly compare the two surveys. Since Gingrich has not entered the race, the CBS poll may be a better indication of the current state of the GOP race.

The vast majority of interviews for both surveys were conducted before Romney won Saturday's Iowa Straw Poll, so it's unlikely that his win influenced the results.

Yet even with his gains, Romney and the rest of the field continue to stare at Giuliani's back.

"Most Republicans continue to associate Giuliani with 9/11 and his record as New York City's mayor," said Holland. "That's a positive image that the other GOP candidates will have to work hard to overcome."

The ARG poll surveyed 600 Republican primary voters and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

- CNN Senior Political Producer Sasha Johnson

soundoff (47 Responses)
  1. Ineeda Mann, LA, CA

    Who Cares! I hate republicans!

    August 14, 2007 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  2. Anastasia Beverhousen, NY NY

    There's no such thing as a little Mamma Cass!

    August 14, 2007 01:58 pm at 1:58 pm |
  3. Frank Mosley

    If Romney wins the Republican nomination; it will be one of first times where I will not vote Republican. The same holds true for Hillary.

    August 14, 2007 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  4. Paul, New Orleans, LA

    Who cares?...RON PAUL took rudy to the woodshed on foreign policy in one of the debates...Spread RON PAUL who actually wants sound fiscal responsibility and understands implications of meddling in other countries.

    August 14, 2007 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  5. Will Truman, NY NY

    Romney? Rudy? Rudy? Romney? Uma? Oprah? Oprah? Uma?

    August 14, 2007 02:29 pm at 2:29 pm |
  6. Rick, Baltimore, MD

    Go Rudy!

    August 14, 2007 02:42 pm at 2:42 pm |
  7. TC Plainfield, IL

    On September 10, 2001, Rudy Giuliani was the lame-duck mayor of NYC. On September 11, Rudy basically did what he was paid to do: lead his city. It is a shame that he has profited via his speaking engagements and his side-businesses on the events of September 11. Now, he wants to run for President based on the new image his handlers created in the days after 9/11. He may be nominated, but he will have a hard time winning the Presidency.

    August 14, 2007 02:47 pm at 2:47 pm |
  8. David, Salinas, CA

    Note that these polls were take before Giuliani said:

    “I was at ground zero as often, if not more, than most of the workers … I was there working with them. I was exposed to exactly the same things they were exposed to. So in that sense, I’m one of them.”

    Also note that the majority of those polls aren’t likely to be political junkies like me (and you, gentle reader), so they still think of him as America’s mayor and are blissfully unaware of his unpopular positions, personal scandals, mixed mayoral record, shady business partners, complete lack of foreign policy credentials and repellant personality.

    Strategically it’s probably not a great idea for me to criticize Giuliani, since I’m a Democrat and I think he’d be the easiest Republican to beat, other than maybe John Cox.

    August 14, 2007 02:51 pm at 2:51 pm |
  9. Jeff, Little Rock Arkansas

    JAHOGS
    IP: Logged
    Posted: 08/13 10:29a The only worthy candidate out there to vote for is RON PAUL!!! This guy is the most conservative and the only candidate that does not flip-flop on any issue. Go google Ron Paul or view some of his videos on youtube. This guy is amazing! Guys I have always voted for Democrat and always thought it was a party thing, but it's not. Ron Paul is the only candidate that believes in the Constitution and our civil liberties. If you don't know who he is, then please do some research on him. You owe it to yourself and our countries future. RON PAUL

    August 14, 2007 02:55 pm at 2:55 pm |
  10. Hairy Situation, NY NY

    Has anyone noticed that Rudy stopped his comb-over just before announcing his candidacy?

    August 14, 2007 03:03 pm at 3:03 pm |
  11. Smith

    Yay for Adolph Giuliani and Flip Romney! :/

    August 14, 2007 03:03 pm at 3:03 pm |
  12. Dan, Columbia MD

    Good news... but not surprising.

    August 14, 2007 03:09 pm at 3:09 pm |
  13. Will - Miami, Fl

    Rudy is a dirt-bag. He'll never get the nomination. Our party will return to the right (true conservatism) and, in case you didn't know, Rudy's politics are in the other direction.

    It's amazing to me that some pundits have quiped that Ron Paul is trying for the wrong party when, in fact, he is VERY conservative – nowhere near the left.

    Rudy is a democrat that likes to yell "911! 911! I was there! Kill! 911! Oh, uh, I want to fund abortions with your hard-earned money!"...

    August 14, 2007 03:10 pm at 3:10 pm |
  14. Mike, NY NY

    Rudy's #1 on my pole!

    August 14, 2007 03:19 pm at 3:19 pm |
  15. Greg, Phoenix, AZ

    The handwriting is on the wall with this one, friends.

    Republicans are beginning to unite behind Giuliani because they realize that not only is he the most qualified Republican candidate on the ballot, they also understand that he is their only chance to beat Hillary Clinton in the general election.

    Rudy will soon have a unified Republican voter base behind him and he will also have a significant % of independent voters who respond well to his strong stance on national security and his moderate social values.

    He is also capable of winning Democratic votes due to his moderate social values and this will ultimately lead to a fairly sound victory over Hillary, or Obama, in the general election.

    August 14, 2007 03:44 pm at 3:44 pm |
  16. lavelle

    I just pray this doesnt happen vvvv

    WASHINGTON, July 20 (RIA Novosti) – A former Reagan official has issued a public warning that the Bush administration is preparing to orchestrate a staged terrorist attack in the United States, transform the country into a dictatorship and launch a war with Iran within a year.

    Paul Craig Roberts, a former Assistant Secretary of the Treasury, blasted Thursday a new Executive Order, released July 17, allowing the White House to seize the assets of anyone who interferes with its Iraq policies and giving the government expanded police powers to exercise control in the country.

    Roberts, who spoke on the Thom Hartmann radio program, said: "When Bush exercises this authority [under the new Executive Order], there's no check to it. So it really is a form of total, absolute, one-man rule."

    "The American people don't really understand the danger that they face," Roberts said, adding that the so-called neoconservatives intended to use a renewal of the fight against terrorism to rally the American people around the fading Republican Party.

    Old-line Republicans like Roberts have become increasingly disenchanted with the neoconservative politics of the Bush administration, which they see as a betrayal of fundamental conservative values.

    According to a July 9-11 survey by Ipsos, an international public opinion research company, President Bush and the Republicans can claim a mere 31 percent approval rating for their handling of the Iraq war and 38 percent for their foreign policy in general, including terrorism.

    "The administration figures themselves and prominent Republican propagandists ... are preparing us for another 9/11 event or series of events," he said. "You have to count on the fact that if al Qaeda is not going to do it, it is going to be orchestrated."

    Roberts suggested that in the absence of a massive popular outcry, only the federal bureaucracy and perhaps the military could put constraints on Bush's current drive for a fully-fledged dictatorship.

    "They may have had enough. They may not go along with it," he said.

    The radio interview was a follow-up to Robert's latest column, in which he warned that "unless Congress immediately impeaches Bush and Cheney, a year from now the U.S. could be a dictatorial police state at war with Iran."

    Roberts, who has been dubbed the "Father of Reaganomics" and has recently gained popularity for his strong opposition to the Bush administration and the Iraq War, regularly contributes articles to Creators Syndicate, an independent distributor of comic strips and syndicated columns for daily newspapers.

    August 14, 2007 03:45 pm at 3:45 pm |
  17. bkrane Pittsburgh PA

    Methinks this could be the first time that Repubs don't even field a candidate – could simply be an economic move to be well-funded in attempt to defeat Hilary in her re-election campaign.

    August 14, 2007 03:59 pm at 3:59 pm |
  18. C.LyOns, New York, NY

    He is also capable of winning Democratic votes due to his moderate social values and this will ultimately lead to a fairly sound victory over Hillary, or Obama, in the general election.

    -"insert laugh here"

    There is no way Rudy G can gain any substantial amount of Democratic votes explicitly because he is trying to run a water-down version of the 04 Bush campaign....and if all you corn-huskers in the South and Midwest don't shape up you will be responsible for 12 years of GOP destruction of this country....and growing animosity toward this country in the world

    Vote Obama 08!!!

    August 14, 2007 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  19. HJ, Pitts, PA

    A business-as-usual, status quo Republican will never win the '08 election. I am a registered Republican and I will not vote for Rudy, Romney or McCain. I will write in the name of the candidate of my choosing, regardless of whether his name is on the ballot – or, I will abstain from voting. My conscience will not let me do otherwise.

    August 14, 2007 04:33 pm at 4:33 pm |
  20. John S. Chicago, Illinois

    sweet, THE less competition the Democrats have the better. This guy cant even get his own daughter to vote for him. he is a dirty mayor whom happend to come out the backside of 9-11 looking like a damn saint. he will historically flounder.

    August 14, 2007 04:34 pm at 4:34 pm |
  21. Ryan, New York, NY

    If the American public elects this guy following all of the warnings from New Yorkers about the time period before 9/11, they deserve all of the fallout that will happen.

    August 14, 2007 04:42 pm at 4:42 pm |
  22. Rex, Toledo, Ohio

    Sure wish I'd get a call to participate in a poll. Curious. Have any of you that participate in this blog ever been contacted to do a National Political Poll?
    Anyhow, nominating Rudy is a sure fire win for Hillary, and either way, a loss for our Country.

    August 14, 2007 04:45 pm at 4:45 pm |
  23. Ryan, Provo,UT

    The poll has a margin of error of +/- 6%!? Why in the world are we talking about things like Romney's gain of 5% and Thompson's drop of 7%? Its irresponsible reporting is what it is. You guys are not required to report every poll with a press release.

    In other news, I really hope Rudy Guliani doesn't win the republican primary because I think he's got a decent chance of beating Hillary and I think of all candidates he may be the least qualified to lead the country. He was a mayor for crying out loud! A mayor. How in the world does that qualify you to lead a country?

    August 14, 2007 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  24. Tricia M Charlottetown PEI

    Republican House HOPEFULS is Right!
    Hope is all they've got.

    August 14, 2007 05:03 pm at 5:03 pm |
  25. James, Phoenix AZ

    Lavelle,

    Copying and pasting an article from a Russian rag? Citing a Bush critic who has called for impeachment and is quoted, "many supporters of George W. Bush "are brownshirts with the same low intelligence and morals as Hitler's enthusiastic supporters."

    This article was printed July 20th. WONDER why none of the US media outlets have taken and run with it??

    Gosh, maybe the captured Aliens from Area 51 will break free from government captivity and save the world from Bush and Company!

    August 14, 2007 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
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