Clinton pulling away from Obama in New Hampshire
Watch CNN's Bill Schneider report Sen. Hillary Clinton has a commanding lead in the latest CNN New Hampshire poll.
WASHINGTON (CNN) - Democratic presidential hopeful Hillary Clinton has significantly increased her lead over rival Barack Obama in the crucial early-voting state of New Hampshire, according to a CNN/WMUR poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire released Tuesday.
The New York Democrat registered 43 percent in the latest poll, 23 points more than Obama, a senator from Illinois. In a similar poll conducted in July, only 9 points separated the candidates, with Clinton then at 36 percent and Obama at 27 percent. (Full poll results [PDF])
"The seven-point change for both candidates is within the poll's sampling error, but may indicate growing support for Clinton as the primary approaches," CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said.
Meanwhile, former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards stands at 12 percent in the latest poll, three points higher than July. New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson is at 6 percentage points, 5 points lower than the last survey from CNN and WMUR. (CNN Interactive: The latest poll results)
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Who cares what Democrats in New Hampshire think. They haven't selected a successful challenger since Jimmy Carter.
Wow,Henry Tucker must be a fake name.FBI material there.Hey Tom isn't it past your bedtime?You youngin's are so silly.
Who cares about these stupid, meaningless polls?
the primary system of electing nominees is very undemocratic. How can a member of either party who lives in Texas for example, have a say on who is the nominee> Its stuid that new Hampshire and Iowa have so much power in this regard. Oh and by the way, New Hampshire and Iowa do not represent a good cross section of Americans.
With 40% of New Hampshire voters registered as Independent (and able to vote either way in the primary), as well as the large number of undecided voters, this story doesn't mean much.
She can win, some southerners who tend to vote republican don't think she can, but I sense a repeat with the Democrats again winning New Mexico, Colorado and Arkansas; yes the Democrats have someone that can compete....unlike a Thompson who won't win one Northern state or maybe not even the purple ones.
I think CNN should've highlighted the important question of the poll; questions 34.
34. (DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary, are you leaning toward someone, or do have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?
Definitely decided 17%
Leaning toward someone 28%
Still trying to decide 55%
That's a whopping 83% of the whole primary goers did not decide who to choose for! This idea of HRC's inevitability is laughable.
Who are you idiots saying you are going to vote for Hillary? How can you live with yourselves? Hillary was and is part of the problem, HOW CAN SHE BE THE SOLUTION TOO??!! Bill is the president most responsible for 9-11, he should have captured Osama Bin Laden, she voted to go to Iraq and then condemns Bush for being there. By the way, all of that is just the obvious stuff. Nevermind Hillary's failed health care program, or Bill overstretching and drastically underfunding our military to the point where it couldnt actually afford ammunition. Then Bill and Hill bragged about a "balanced budget" What a joke!!! So are you; those of you who vote for her, because the fact of the matter is – you would have voted for her then and now and it doesnt matter what you (choose) to hear or read (if ever or at all) because you will vote for her anyways! I just wish somehow that only those of you that vote for her would have to suffer through that nightmare, spare the rest of us!
What is it about that Clintons that anyone could find appealing. Do people just stick to "Well, Bill was the President during our countries most successfull decade." There must be more than that. If that is it, and anyone out there justifies a vote for Hillary with that reasoning, I implore to do 10 minutes of research for the opposition. You will find more than enough contradiction. You will find that Bill was pretty much a useless President, who did little to nothing meaningful, while many extraordinarily damaging things such as some the things I mentioned previously. I guess now you want more of the same, and you don't even know it, because you probably didnt read this.
Adam, Plano, TX
I am sorry you were upset by Hillary's sign: the improper use of capitalization and the illitaracy it shows. Did you vote for BUSH ????
Fred thats fine that you want your candidate to get elected...but to bash fellow democrats the way you do is distasteful at best...
"The seven-point change for both candidates is within the poll's sampling error, but may indicate growing support for Clinton as the primary approaches..."
If a result is within the margin of error, it carries absolutely no statistical weight. Come on CNN, you can do better than this. A basic statistics course would teach you otherwise. How about you say, "Clinton's lead is within the margin of error, so for all we know, Obama could be ahead."
I feel a bad beat coming for the Democrats if Hillary wins the nomination. HAving said that,I will support her and work for her if she gets the nomination, but deep down I am afraid this country will not let her win. Too much baggage and hate among republicans, even if not deserved. If we blow it this time Dems, we have only ourselves to blame. Wake up people, Joe Biden can beat any Republican contender. Think long and hard about this (not that my vote in FL will count in the primary).
Hillary........Definately an Idiot...No Doubt.....
Wow! That Hillary sure has a big ol' booty and some thick thighs. I sure would like to see her in a dress. She wears those long jackets to try to hide those thick thighs and big butt! Sadly to say, I don't think we have very many good candidates. I would like to see someone not connected to the "Good Ol' Boy" network. Tancrendo is my choice, but doesn't stand a chance. Ron Paul would be my second choice.
First of all, the sample size of 307 is not large enough to get good results. However, the glaring problem with this non random survey is the sample error margin; 5.5 is way too high for this size of samples. In other words, this poll is worthless.
"But just as I have been saying: Mr Obama should position himself for a place on the ticket and wait until 2016 for his turn"
wait his TURN?
oh im sorry, i thought this was a democracy. i forgot that we don't pick the president; its picked based on seniority.
idiot.
Of course. Folks in New Hampshire are not stupid.
I think the PDF document tells another story.
If you ready question 34, it says 83% of the people who were sampled in this poll are undecided!
Why isnt this highlighted in the article?
Polls at this point do not have much meaning. The Clintons are too corrupted and dishonest. I belive that the country has better candidates (i.e. Obama) than Hillary. If you read Obama's books, you can not helping admiring his intelligence, vision, wisdom, and leadership. In fact, he has more public service experience than both Hillary and Edwards. And we know he has better judgment than them, too, shown on the Iraqi issue back in 2002. Obama is not afraid to say what he thinks is right for the country, while others say what people want to hear to get the votes – traditional politicians.
Get ready to rumble guys.
Hillary Clinton Will BE the next President of The United States.
Love her or hate her, she's the best candidate in this election, everyone knows and realizes that. This is why, along with many other reasons, the American People will make her President in 2008.
By the way, to all those who say the polls are meaningless, you clearly don't know squat about statistics.
Have you ever questioned why state polls usually have a sample size in the hundreds? There's a reason for it. Results from samples have always proven to be more accurate and better representatives of the whole picture than a general population poll. Again, be conservative WITH numbers. It's Math guys, don't argue. Don't believe me, just ask a Statistics teacher.
"By the way, to all those who say the polls are meaningless, you clearly don't know squat about statistics."
Posted By Joe, Florida : September 26, 2007 8:50 am
Joe, buddy. Have you looked at the actual document and not the spin that's posted here.
Read question 34! It clearly says 83% of the sample is still undecided.
Do you now see how these polls are meaningless?
I hope that Hillary does not get the presidency. If she get's it, we are in big trouble. Does America forget what her husband did when he was in office? You might as well vote for him because he will be helping Hillary run the show. All it will take is for Hillary to have a bad day, or go through menopause or something like that to screw our country up. I don't want her to get in.She has no business being President. We need somebody who has balls enough to stand up and do what's right for our country. and Hillary is not that person.
Ed, Ellenville NY
You wrote, "Wow,Henry Tucker must be a fake name.FBI material there.Hey Tom isn't it past your bedtime?You youngin's are so silly."
Actually Ed, it's Henry and I live in Tucker, Ga – not too far from Atlanta. Tom (I assume you're refering to Tom /Needham, Ma?) and I share some similar ideology – but we aren't the same person. I wouldn't vote for Obama, but Tom finds some of Obama's views and centurist ideas appealing. Nothing wrong with a healthy debate.
You, Ed – or is it Vanrueter?, consistently post Bush-bashing Moveon.Org rhetoric. It's fun entertainment but does little to inspire constructive dialogue.
Warmest Regards!
I just learned something interesting about this poll on another site when I actually saw the poll. Something like 70 percent of NH voters are STILL UNDECIDED. That means that when CNN says Hillary's pulling away, they're talking about a tiny percentage of voters. Most of the people are still considering and the reason for that is Obama is actually forcing them to think about the race instead of just repeating soundbites like what this article would have you believe.
The more they investigate Obama, the more they will like him. Come back in three months and tell me she's pulling ahead. It ain't gonna happen. There's no way she can win. Hands down, Barack Obama will be the next President of the United States.