September 26th, 2007
07:58 PM ET
14 years ago

Giuliani catches Romney in New Hampshire

Watch Bill Schneider's report about CNN's new poll on the New Hampshire GOP presidential race.

HANOVER, New Hampshire (CNN) - It's a dead heat in New Hampshire, according to our new poll of likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters.

Mitt Romney's lead in the battle for the GOP presidential nomination in the all important Granite State has evaporated, according to the results of a CNN/WMUR poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire.

The survey, released Wednesday, shows the former Massachusetts Governor drawing support from 25 percent of Republican primary voters to 24 percent for former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani.

That statistically-insignificant, 1 point margin is a major change from CNN/WMUR's last New Hampshire poll, taken in July, when Romney held a comfortable 14 point lead over Giuliani.

Full story

- CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser

Filed under: New Hampshire • Polls
soundoff (63 Responses)
  1. Sue, Michigan

    Guiliani has nothing to offer the voters besides his photo-ops on 9-11, all staged. And if you want a real reason to stay away from him, read the vanity Fair article on his queen-in-waiting wife! She's scary!

    September 26, 2007 07:27 pm at 7:27 pm |
  2. Kim Pinellas Park, FL

    Are you kidding me? The only reason Bush was elected was because he was "likeable". That was probably his only good quality. Now look at the mess he's gotten into. How about electing a President who's intelligent and competent? I'd rather have a leader who can do his/her job, than one I can have a beer with and do better than he/she on a math test.

    September 26, 2007 07:27 pm at 7:27 pm |
  3. Steve, Binghamton, NY

    Here's another Prediction – whether or not Ron Paul wins in New Hampshire, he will not win the Republican Nomination.


    and here's a fact – ron paul beats all other candidates head-to-head in the straw polls:

    Ron Paul's Head-to-Head Records

    (RPWin / RPLose / RPTie):

    Rudy Giuliani 23-3-0
    Mitt Romney 15-11-0
    Fred Thompson 13-12-0
    John McCain 22-3-0
    Mike Huckabee 21-3-1
    Sam Brownback 22-2-1
    Tom Tancredo 23-1-0
    Duncan Hunter 22-2-0

    Ron Paul's the most likeable and electable candidate in the race.

    September 26, 2007 07:38 pm at 7:38 pm |
  4. KD, Dallas, TX

    Ditto Kim, I couldn't have said this better myself.

    Are you kidding me? The only reason Bush was elected was because he was "likeable". That was probably his only good quality. Now look at the mess he's gotten into. How about electing a President who's intelligent and competent? I'd rather have a leader who can do his/her job, than one I can have a beer with and do better than he/she on a math test.

    Posted By Kim Pinellas Park, FL : September 26, 2007 7:27 pm

    September 26, 2007 07:43 pm at 7:43 pm |
  5. maria, CA

    Giuliani is one scary, twisted dude. Romney is an empty suit. Thompson conjures up visions of Viagra. They all suck! Good luck GOP, you are gonna need it!

    September 26, 2007 07:57 pm at 7:57 pm |
  6. Jon, Sacramento ~ Ca

    Ron Paul's the most likeable and electable candidate in the race.

    – – – – –

    Sorry... "likeable" will not elect Ron Paul. Advocating the ELIMINATION of the FBI, CIA, Homeland Security makes him (likeable or not) a NUTJOB.

    President Clinton took the "hands off" approach with the CIA – refusing to deal with unsavory characters. This eliminated our "human" intelligence and required us to rely on technology alone.

    Ron Paul is not only taking the "hands off" approach – he's amputating our arms and legs!

    NEVER will Ron Paul be nominated or elected. If you can't understand this – you've lost your ability to reason and see life pragmatically.

    September 26, 2007 07:59 pm at 7:59 pm |
  7. Carlos Zuniga Los Angeles, California

    Ron Paul is a crazy lunatic, Mitt Romney has no idea what he really believes in, and Rudy Guliani is too mean spirited. The truth is that Hillary will win 56% of the vote in fourteen months. Hopefully, she will choose Evan Bayh as her running mate. Clinton/Bayh will beat any ticket the Republicans choose.

    September 26, 2007 08:02 pm at 8:02 pm |
  8. Un Enrolled, Newton, NH

    Likeable by whom? Cranky old dogmatic Republicans with prostate problems?

    I don't recall Bob Dole winning the Executive Office, nor the NH primary, do you? If he wins, its because the swing vote found the Republican primary uninteresting, just as it found the Democratic primary with Gore being the only choice in 2000.

    Like most unenrolled voters in NH, I hang up the phone as soon as someone says survey. I bet that's true for most voters. By now the only people answering polls are on a list of bona-fide 'ringers', people who answer the poll in an expected, favorable manner. Instead of the predominant 'click'.

    September 26, 2007 08:04 pm at 8:04 pm |
  9. Nick, Basking Ridge, NJ

    I think those that automatically declare Ron Paul unelectable will be in for a surprise come election time. These "polls" are taken over land-line phones – something that much of the younger generation has given up. They provide a skewed result.

    The GOP is in a bad position right now that will likely lead into a Democrat victory in the white house...especially if they nominate another Bush-loving pro-war Neo-conservative (Rudy, Romney, McCain...)

    I am really against Clinton taking over the White House, and our only chance is to nominate someone who will bring about REAL change and a TRUE conservative – Ron Paul.

    Explain to me this: why has he won or placed very high in all the straw polls? Why does he consistently win internet polls? Why does he have a grassroots movement with supporters WAY more enthusiastic than those for Rudy, Romney, McCain? The answer should be very obvious.

    September 26, 2007 08:12 pm at 8:12 pm |
  10. nh4ronpaul

    First of all, take it from one who knows in NH...

    These polls are conducted by the college, and they asked 324 people. You cannot base a whole election on 324 people. Often times they do not even ASK about some of the candidates and only include who THEY want to include.

    In 1996 these so-called 'polls' had Patrick Buchanan at 6% and he cleaned Dole's clock with 27%.

    They have Ron Paul at 4% which does not include the Libertarians, Democrats and most Indies who will be voting for him. Why even at the last LUNTZ focus group, out of 29 hard core GOPers there, we had 10%

    So these polls are bogus.
    I can't wait for Newt, another phony Republican to enter the race...

    Mitt, Rudy, Fred, John, and Newt - are not real Republicans, never have and never will be.
    Rudy is corrupt, Mitt's a lightweight and McCain is just plain nuts. Fred is either stupid (said he did not know about NAU) or a liar. You choose which.

    Ron Paul is the only real man for the 'republic' for us NHerites.

    We don't care about no college poll. 🙂

    September 26, 2007 08:12 pm at 8:12 pm |
  11. ronnie - knoxville, tn.

    Nashu NH (btw shouldn't that be Nashua) If you think Romney panders to corps. , have you seen Edwds and Hillary kissing union reps. The riches the unions have are vast, overflowing and unlimited, and infinite for the future. There's big big money in labor, don't let em fool you.

    September 26, 2007 08:16 pm at 8:16 pm |
  12. Steve, Binghamton, NY

    NEVER will Ron Paul be nominated or elected. If you can't understand this – you've lost your ability to reason and see life pragmatically.

    Let the American people decide whether he will or will not be nominated. These are the same people that elected Bush two terms in a row, reasoning and practicality is inherently absent in these decisions.
    Perhaps Ron Paul's ideas are more closely aligned to the average american than any other candidates. Electing Ron Paul might be a risk, but anti-war policies sound a lot better than what the other candidates are proposing.

    September 26, 2007 08:19 pm at 8:19 pm |
  13. ronnie - knoxville, tn

    dyinglike files – I take it you're an artsy type. Do we need a candidate who is like a tabloid pop star, someone exciting? Do we need good soundbytes and someone flashy, or do we need a solid , thoughtful man; a family man who will not embrace the degradation of culture seen on tv now. A man of strong military mindset, who will protect use from the looming tower of radical Islam using our superior military? Do we want to clean up crimeand close the borders, or increase spending on social services for both lazy people and illegal immigrants? So do we need a superstar, or can a quiet man be just as inspiring.

    September 26, 2007 08:21 pm at 8:21 pm |
  14. nh4ronpaul

    TO Jon, Sacramento ~ Ca:

    You can spread all the lies and FUD you want about Ron Paul but he is the only one with a 20 year record to stand for what he believes in, never flipping like Mitt or Rudy.

    These people cannot even call themselves Republicans.

    McCain and his Soros-influenced campaign bill, terrible illegal amnesty bill (while going after people for not paying their taxes, disgusting) and the refusal to take a no-tax pledge, plus being a bomb Iran nutcase, and going through $26M of campaign funds with nothing to show for it, you can see why this man is going nowhere.

    I am glad dumb and Newt are going to run - this just dilutes things in NH so Ron can win, like Pat did.

    September 26, 2007 08:25 pm at 8:25 pm |
  15. Herschel, New York, NY

    I live in New York. Don't be fooled by Giuliani. He is not a nice man.

    September 26, 2007 08:31 pm at 8:31 pm |
  16. alan St Louis Mo

    who cares !!!!

    the PARTY OF CORRUPTION gona lose this election.

    September 26, 2007 08:35 pm at 8:35 pm |
  17. Seam, Philly, Pa

    Polls are either extremely misleading or people in New Hamphire are confused. Giuliani is a joke.

    September 26, 2007 08:51 pm at 8:51 pm |
  18. Daniel, NY

    This confirms other polls that we have seen in the past months that show Romney's lead is eroding. Romney needs, absolutely needs a win in Iowa and New Hampshire. A stumble, and he is likely to be out.

    September 26, 2007 08:53 pm at 8:53 pm |
  19. Ed,Ellenville,New York

    Tom,Dedham,someone posted that his platform was on his website so I went to check his "pander" factor and clicked on "culture and values"and found that he was pandering to theocratic religious people.I and many others find that promoting theocratic ideals boils down to bigotry against people of other faiths and no faith at all.As an atheist,I'm particularly sensitive to that type of bigotry.I believe all people deserve equal treatment under the law,regardless of whether or not they practice.While I don't practice,I'm a staunch supporter of other's rights to do so.I like Rudy for how he ran NYC,and would consider him to be the best of the republicans to govern without prejudice.Btw ,thank you for discussing the ID issue with me,I heard tonight that Eliot Spitzer,my governor has revoked the requirement of a ss card to get a license and returned to me my citizenship.I hope in the next day or two to not face arrest and prosecution for lack of ID that I couldn't get.Again' discussion of issues is the best resolution to conflict.Your participation is appreciated.

    September 26, 2007 08:53 pm at 8:53 pm |
  20. Anonymous

    It's funny how you can have a 14 point lead when only about 300 people participated in the poll.

    Polls are tailored to the maker. They don't use cell phones so all you have are the old farts participating if it's an honest cold calling program.

    It's just silly to throw numbers around to convince people these twats are in the lead. Who cares about them? We want someone who isn't evil and fake.

    Vote for Ron Paul

    September 26, 2007 09:26 pm at 9:26 pm |
  21. Kelly Pittsburgh PA

    No disrespect to my fellow Americans, but this is why I question and fear my fellow citizens. How does Giuliani possess such a high likeability? The man utilizes 911, the worst tragedy, for political gain, increases hate towards Muslims and Muslim-Americans, and embodies hypocrisy. As a person left of center (and actually possess the similar social views as Mr. Fear Mongerer), I hope that Americans will wake up and support a candidate with substance and respect, like McCain or Huckabee (who I possess not many same views, but respect for their actual respect of this country). Wake up, America! Giuliani is not a Commander-in-Chief, he is Fear-Mongerer-in-Chief. If you like cowboy diplomacy by Bush, prepare yourself for urban cowboy diplomacy by Giuliani. Prepare yourself from isolation from the world. Giuliani would take this country further into a hole and I am an optimist! Canada, expect an increase of citizen applications.

    September 26, 2007 09:29 pm at 9:29 pm |
  22. Scott, Milwaukee, WI

    Does Mitt Romney still abuse his pets? You know, keep his dog in a kennel on top of his car for an 8 hour road trip until it has diarrhea all over the car, then hose the dog down and continue on his merry way?

    Make an issue of this, and Mitt Romney is toast. Americans love their pets...especially dogs.

    September 26, 2007 10:18 pm at 10:18 pm |
  23. Ryan A., Gardner, Mass.

    Go Ron Paul! Wait until they actually have to count REAL votes, not phone surveys only listing 4 options for President.

    THE PAST POLLING METHODS DO NOT APPLY! Nobody I know owns a land line anymore! We don't polled. Peace

    September 26, 2007 11:13 pm at 11:13 pm |
  24. Stephen,Naples, Florida

    Ron Paul? Maybe if we asked nicely and apologised, the British would take us back instead.

    September 27, 2007 12:51 am at 12:51 am |
  25. George, Billerica, Mass.

    From a statistical point of view, with a 5.5% margin of error (which works both ways for each number), the actual poll results show a THREE-way race now. McCain's 18% is close enough to the "front-runners" 24% and 25% that it is only fair that CNN report that any one of the three could actually be in the lead at this point.

    September 27, 2007 01:17 am at 1:17 am |
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