November 12th, 2007
09:30 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll: Clinton lead over Obama shrinking

Clinton's lead over Obama in New Hampshire has grown tighter according to the latest poll.

(CNN)–Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton has seen her lead over fellow White House hopeful, Senator Barack Obama, D-Illinois, grow tighter.

In the latest poll of likely New Hampshire Democratic primary voters from the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, the New York senator had 36 percent support, to Obama's 25 percent. Last month, Clinton led Obama by 21 percentage points according to Marist.

In the latest poll, former North Carolina senator John Edwards had 14 percent support, and New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson, had 6 percent.

On the Republican side, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney's support over his closest rival, former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani grew as well.

In a poll of likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters in October, Romney had a 6 percentage point lead. That number has increased to 11 percent according to Marist's latest poll.

In the latest poll, Romney got 33 percent support, to Giuliani's 22 percent. Senator John McCain, R-Arizona, had 13 percent support in the latest poll, with Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, and former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee both registering 7 percent support. Former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson had 5 percent support in the latest poll.

The poll involved telephone telephone interviews conducted November 2-6, with 458 likely Democratic voters and 372 likely Republican voters in New Hampshire. The margins of sampling error were 5 percentage points for Democrats, and 5.5 points for Republicans.

A poll released by the Boston Globe on Sunday, also showed both Clinton and Romney leading the latest poll of likely New Hampshire voters.

In a poll of likely Granite state Democratic primary voters, Clinton registered the support of 35 percent of those polled, to Obama's 21 percent. John Edwards was third with 15 percent support, and Richardson was fourth with 10 percent.

On the GOP side, Romney led Giuliani 32 percent to 20 percent, with McCain in third at 17 percent. Huckabee came in fourth with 5 percent support, and Thompson came in fifth with 3 percent support.

The Globe surveyed 400 likely Democratic voters, and 404 likely Republican voters in New Hampshire between November 2 to November 7. The Globe said it had a margin of error for each party sub-sample of plus or minus 4.9 percent.

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- CNN Political Desk Editor Jamie Crawford

soundoff (143 Responses)
  1. Paul C., Palmetto Bay, FL

    I cringe when I think that we could get another Republican "uniter" "decider" that is "tough on terrorism".
    It is estimated that we spend $14 million for each terrorist we kill.
    Chances are we will fill our hospitals and cemetery's and empty the treasury before we declare victory and come home.
    It will take decades for the best President to undo the damage the 8 Bush years have done. Clinton had sex and lied. Bush had an endless war and lied. I'm sure we can do better if the voters focus on the important issues.

    November 12, 2007 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  2. J Houston, TX

    Bush had an endless war and lied

    People rammed planes into the world trade center if you don't recall. It's not like he started the war on terror, he's simply the first to respond. While I think he went foolhardy into Iraq, it's certainly better off than Saddam's rule. Where exactly, however, did he lie?

    His presidency has been fairly poor, the economy has been strong considering how long this bull market has lasted, and is still lasting. The war is really the strongest concern, and it's been totally mismanaged. Bad appointments from the start, but continuing to move in a direction of positive momentum as deaths are down more than ever and the PM in Iraq calling violence in the capital at "closure." This type of "endless" and "liar" stuff is really childish.

    November 12, 2007 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  3. Robert, Worcester MA

    People rammed planes into the world trade center if you don't recall

    Yes they did, but none of them were Iraqis!!

    It's this type of woeful ignorance, which seems to be all to prevalent in southern/middle America, that has gotten this country into this mess. In their minds, if you're a Muslim, you're a terrorist.

    So the Saudis and Afghanis commit an act of terror? Why, let's bomb Iraq and Iran to smithereens! They're all look similar and speak funny anyway.

    It's no wonder that this individual, who is STILL using 9/11 to justify the war in Iraq, is from the same state as Bush.

    November 12, 2007 02:38 pm at 2:38 pm |
  4. Steve, New York

    Posted By Coach Haughton NH : November 12, 2007 2:04 pm
    I dont second that at all. I understand that it's a little hard to swallow but there are 12 million illegal aliens here many of whom are going to drive. There is no way to deport them all immeadiately, so why not make our roads safe now?
    I'm sorry but that makes perfect sense.
    I'm beginning to feel like you guys are just bigots who dont like mexicans.
    BTW Barack Obama stated that very clearly and did not waffle, or try mislead the people of his viewpoint.

    Why do people like you always have to throw in the word “Mexican” NO ONE said anything about Mexicans. I said illegal immigrant. 2 different things. People need to stop making it a race issue. Last I checked illegal immigrant was not a race.

    November 12, 2007 02:54 pm at 2:54 pm |
  5. D

    She's still killing it!

    America needs Hillary!

    November 12, 2007 02:59 pm at 2:59 pm |
  6. Tony, Alexandria, VA

    Republicans would love nothing bettter that to see Obama be the Democratic nominee. For his great speeches, rhetoric, blah, blah...this guy is not ready for the Presidency or the Republican attack machine. What a waste of time.

    November 12, 2007 03:09 pm at 3:09 pm |
  7. Bea, Hoboken, NJ

    Bea, how many years of "elected national experience" does Hillary have?

    Being the First Lady does not qualify as elected experience, by any measure.

    Posted By Sean, Detroit, MI : November 12, 2007 1:23 pm

    She has been a US senator for 7 years, he for a mere 3 and I don't consider his years at the state level sufficient experience to be president (just as you discount her years in the White House). You vote for whomever you please, but I still think that she's more prepared to be president than he is in this election. His time will come, but not in 2008.

    November 12, 2007 03:19 pm at 3:19 pm |
  8. Rodney Dallas TX

    Steve, New York

    When 90% of the illegal immigrants are Mexican, it makes perfect sense to generalize the illegal population as one group. The majority of the states in the US have illegal mexicans. NYC may have a wide variety but there is the rest of the country to think about as well.

    November 12, 2007 03:20 pm at 3:20 pm |
  9. J Houston, TX

    Driving is a privilege, not a right, so you don't need to be a citizen. Frankly let states hand out all the documents they want. When they list their address and get a plate, hand the information over to ICE. Problem solved. No illegal is going to get one no matter what anyways.

    November 12, 2007 04:02 pm at 4:02 pm |
  10. Robb, New York

    This is the best news yet on this marathon of a campaign trail. Obama and Edwards worked together during the last debate to expose Hillary's major weakness—tap dancing around important issues. Hopefully, the momentum will continue into Thursday's debate and beyond, and that Democrats will finally listen to their gut rather than the chosen "frontrunner" who in a poll showed that more than 50 percent of the country disliked. Nominating someone on such a distinction is a guaranteed failure. Meanwhile, there are Republicans for Obama groups popping up in strong "red states." Shouldn't that tell the Democrats something? Do they want a president who can win or a president who can win and be respected by the other party?

    November 12, 2007 04:07 pm at 4:07 pm |
  11. TB, Tampa

    Hey idiots!!! There was once another two term senator of Illinois became president and made history...for the historically challenged his name was Abraham Lincoln!!! Less political corruption=better president...translation a president of the people!

    Obama 08!!

    November 12, 2007 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  12. Anonymous

    Posted By AJ, IL : November 12, 2007 1:38 pm

    Great comment!!!! I could not have said it better myself.

    November 12, 2007 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  13. Andy, New York, New York

    With such a name as CLINTION, and given the apparent strong dislike for Bush and Republicans, Hillary should have been running away in all pulse polls. But the fact that a virtual newcomer in Barak could be pulling down such high numbers in Hillary's shadow, is tell-tale about Clinton's believability and electability. Apparently America doesn't trust her that much! America could well vote Republican again just to keep Hillary 'Socialist' Clinton out of the Oval Office.

    November 12, 2007 06:28 pm at 6:28 pm |
  14. Robert, Tulsa OK

    10 points is not a small shift in the polls. That's a major blow. Obama cut her lead in half in one month, with almost 2 months to go. And if you look at the trends in Iowa and NH, Edwards is dropping off, Richardson is dropping off and Obama is gaining ground on her. As of today, Iowa is a statistical dead heat and he has the momentum.

    November 12, 2007 07:59 pm at 7:59 pm |
  15. Ross, Dartmouth, Massachusetts

    I want some with experience in the White House in 2008. Barack Obama does not have that experience. I support Hillary Clinton 100%, but if Obama gets the nomination, he will not receive my vote. He is not ready.

    November 12, 2007 08:35 pm at 8:35 pm |
  16. xtina - chicago IL

    OH please. AJ, you live in Illinois. Name one thing that Obama has done that is financially smart, anything that made us safer in this state , or anything to tighten the government budgets up. With the Ryan scandal, he lucked out. It could have happened to anyone.

    November 12, 2007 10:47 pm at 10:47 pm |
  17. Big Silly, San Diego, CA

    Hillary just might lose the nomination.

    Let's see.

    Talk about it at

    November 13, 2007 03:02 am at 3:02 am |
  18. TLC, Richmond, VA

    Hillary will be the next leader! I hope she brings back the issue of socialized healthcare. She's the best candidate to help get our country back on its feet.

    November 20, 2007 04:09 pm at 4:09 pm |
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