November 29th, 2007
03:50 PM ET
14 years ago

Clinton leads in the Sunshine State

Clinton leads in a new poll out of Florida.

ST. PETERSBURG, Florida (CNN) - It appears that a majority of Florida Democrats want Hillary Clinton to be their party’s presidential nominee.

Fifty-one percent of likely Democratic Florida primary voters support the New York senator in a new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll out Thursday.

That’s 30 points ahead of her nearest rival in the Sunshine State, Senator Barack Obama of Illinois.

“Hillary Clinton has a big lead in Florida, but there is evidence that the race may change dramatically in the Sunshine State after Iowa and New Hampshire have their say,” says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. “If the election were held today, Clinton would get support from 51% of Democratic likely voters, to 21% for Obama and 11% for Edwards.”

The Iowa caucuses, which kick off the presidential primary voting, will be held on January 3, five weeks from today. Florida will hold its primary on January 29. The state moved up its primary date to become more of a player in the presidential primary process, but it did so without permission from the national Democratic and Republican parties.

The parties, angered by the move, penalized Florida. The Democratic National Committee voted to prevent the state from seating any of the delegates at the Democratic National Convention next summer. The Republican National Committee voted to hold back half of Florida’s delegates at their nominating convention.

The major Democratic White House hopefuls also agreed to refrain from actively campaigning in Florida. The Republican candidates are stumping in the Sunshine State, and faced off last night in a CNN/YouTube debate in St. Petersburg.

So will the lack of a presence by the Democratic candidates influence the horserace?

“Six in ten likely Democratic primary voters saying they have not made up their minds and a quarter admitting that they will wait until the first primaries to decide who to vote for, so the outcome in the Sunshine State is difficult if not impossible to predict,” says Holland. “Most Democrats have not campaigned in Florida, so it's possible that Clinton's big lead is due to name recognition. If that's the case, the early primaries may provide instant name recognition to one or more of her rivals and make the Florida primary very competitive.”

The poll had a sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

- CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser

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soundoff (80 Responses)
  1. Ike Woodbridge , VA.

    Hillary you are the best and we stand tall with you. Hillary, you will not only carry Florida, you will in fact carry Iowa, NewHampshire, Nevada, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia and all other states. You will also beat any republican nominee. This is your time and we support you all the way. Go Hillary. If any one of you out there doubts my prediction, why are republicans proping up Obama? The answer is simple. Obama is a sure win for republicans. Hillary is our best chance and our only hope.

    November 30, 2007 08:31 am at 8:31 am |
  2. JB Boston MA

    These are democratic voters. What happens to the 49% of the democratic voters who don't vote for Hillary. The truth is many of those 49% will NEVER vote for Hillary. Do they go to the Republican nominee. PROBABLY!!!

    She will only succeed in getting a R elected.

    Too many people in this country despise her. Get smart people and vote for any other candidate!

    November 30, 2007 08:38 am at 8:38 am |
  3. Shane, Kansas City

    Hillary, oh how your ego clouds the world...

    My vote is for someone who actually cares more about the people then him/her self.

    Go Ron Paul.

    P.S. I thought we already sold all of our secrets to China, do we really nead another Clinton in office?

    November 30, 2007 09:32 am at 9:32 am |
  4. delbert mcgraff easton pa

    totally AGREE GO RON PAUL!!!!

    anyone else notice her Seig Heil salute?

    I detest her
    I was sick of looking at the old hag wind bag years back
    and sick of hearing her now
    God help us if idiots vote her in

    then we'd have to see & hear her for years

    I wished she'd gag & die on her lies and just go where she belongs
    straight into hell
    f u hilli bag hag !!

    December 1, 2007 11:56 pm at 11:56 pm |
  5. Brandon, Tampa, FL

    Obama for the win!

    December 3, 2007 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
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